Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E32: Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Estimated DSGE Models
2. Dynamic Factor Models
3. Real Business Cycle Theory
4. Labor in RBC models
5. International RBC

2025

• Ulrich Roschitsch & Hannes Twieling, 2025, "United in Booms, Divided in Busts: Regional House Price Cycles and Monetary Policy," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 25-36, Dec, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2025-36.
• Jan David Schneider, 2025, "The Sectoral Origins of Post-Pandemic Inflation," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 25-37, Dec, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2025-37.
• Sami Alpanda & Serdar Kabaca, 2025, "Portfolio Rebalancing Channel and the Effects of Large-Scale Stock and Bond Purchases," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 25-38, Dec, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2025-38.
• Josef Schroth, 2025, "Anticipating changes in bank capital buffer requirements," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2025-27, Dec, DOI: 10.34989/san-2025-27.
• Julien Pascal, 2025, "Solving economic models with neural networks without backpropagation," BCL working papers, Central Bank of Luxembourg, number 196, Apr.
• Patrick Fève & Alban Moura, 2025, "Measuring business cycles using VARs," BCL working papers, Central Bank of Luxembourg, number 201, Oct.
• Alejandro Fernández Cerezo & Mario Izquierdo, 2025, "Encuesta a las empresas españolas sobre la evolución de su actividad: primer trimestre de 2025," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue 2025/T1, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/39358.
• Alejandro Fernández Cerezo & Mario Izquierdo, 2025, "Encuesta a las empresas españolas sobre la evolución de su actividad: segundo trimestre de 2025," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue 2025/T2, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/40105.
• Alejandro Fernández Cerezo & Mario Izquierdo & Diana Posada, 2025, "Encuesta a las empresas españolas sobre la evolución de su actividad: tercer trimestre de 2025," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue 2025/T3, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/40645.
• Alejandro Fernández Cerezo & Mario Izquierdo, 2025, "The Banco de España Business Activity Survey," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 2025/Q1, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/39487.
• Alejandro Fernández Cerezo & Mario Izquierdo & Diana Posada, 2025, "The Banco de España Business Activity Survey: 2025 Q3," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 2025/Q3, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/40705.
• Luis Fernández Lafuerza & Irene Roibás & Raquel Vegas Sánchez, 2025, "Indicadores de desequilibrios de precios del mercado inmobiliario comercial," Occasional Papers, Banco de España, number 2507, Apr, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/39625.
• Marta García Rodríguez, 2025, "The role of wage expectations in the labor market," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2507, Jan, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/38937.
• Jorge E. Galán, 2025, "Macroprudential policy and the tail risk of credit growth," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2509, Jan, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/38957.
• Peter Karadi & Anton Nakov & Galo Nuño & Ernesto Pastén & Dominik Thaler, 2025, "Strike while the Iron is Hot: Optimal Monetary Policy with a Nonlinear Phillips Curve," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2510, Feb, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/38958.
• Álvaro Fernández-Gallardo & Simon Lloyd & Ed Manuel, 2025, "The Transmission of Macroprudential Policy in the Tails: Evidence from a Narrative Approach," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2519, Apr, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/39444.
• Galo Nuño, 2025, "Three Theories of Natural Rate Dynamics," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2528, Jun, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/40086.
• Galo Nuño & Philipp Renner & Simon Scheidegger, 2025, "Monetary policy with persistent supply shocks," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2529e, Jun, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/40165.
• Luis Herrera & Jesús Vázquez, 2025, "Learning from news," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2531, Sep, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/40725.
• Pablo Garcia & Pascal Jacquinot & Crt Lenarcic & Kostas Mavromatis & Niki Papadopoulou & Edgar Silgado-Gómez, 2025, "Green transition in the Euro area: domestic and global factors," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2537, Oct, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/40866.
• Tatsuro Senga & Iacopo Varotto, 2025, "Investment Irreversibility in a Granular World," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2546, Nov, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/41857.
• Erik Andres-Escayola & Luis Molina & Javier J. Pérez & Elena Vidal, 2025, "How economic policy uncertainty spreads across borders: the case of Latin America," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2549, Dec, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/41984.
• Claire Giordano & Giacomo Roma & Alessandro Schiavone & Filippo Vergara Caffarelli & Stefania Villa, 2025, "EU industrial policy between crises and the twin transition," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 931, Apr.
• Simone Emiliozzi & Filippo Favero, 2025, "Unveiling natural gas consumption sectoral price elasticities," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 941, Jun.
• Matteo Santi & Sefano Schiaffi, 2025, "The bank-based transmission of the 2024-25 monetary policy easing in the euro area," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 964, Sep.
• Valentina Michelangeli & Fabio Massimo Piersanti, 2025, "Business loan characteristics and inflation shocks transmission in the euro area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1477, Feb.
• Luca Rossi, 2025, "Uncovering the inventory-business cycle nexus," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1478, Feb.
• Fabrizio Ferriani & Andrea Gazzani & Filippo Natoli, 2025, "The macroeconomic effects of a greener technology mix," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1482, Mar.
• Andrea Foschi & Christopher L. House & Christian Proebsting & Linda L. Tesar, 2025, "Should I stay or should I go? The response of labor migration to economic shocks," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1489, Jun.
• Christian Höynck, 2025, "Production networks and the flattening of the Phillips curve," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1492, Jul.
• Fabrizio Ferriani & Andrea Gazzani, 2025, "The international transmission of Chinese monetary policy and the commodity channel," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1510, Dec.
• Fabrizio Renzi, 2025, "New evidence on state-dependent fiscal multipliers," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1512, Dec.
• Vincenzo Cuciniello & Giuseppe Ferrero & Alessandro Notarpietro & Sergio Santoro, 2025, "Uncertainty, data dependence and interest rate volatility," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1513, Dec.
• Mauricio Stern, 2025, "Windfalls for All? International Elasticities and Dutch Disease in a Commodity Exporting Economy," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2025-06, Apr.
• Alberto Montagnoli & Miroslava Quiroga-Trevino & Christoph Thoenissen, 2025, "The Balance Sheet Channel of Fiscal Policy: Sovereign Exposure and Credit to Firms in the European Periphery," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2025-12, Sep.
• Thomas Dengler & Britta Gehrke & Leopold Zessner-Spitzenberg, 2025, "Short-time work and precautionary savings," Berlin School of Economics Discussion Papers, Berlin School of Economics, number 0066, May, DOI: 10.48462/opus4-5828.
• Johannes Geyer & Peter Haan & Mia Teschner, 2025, "The Impact of Macroeconomic Conditions on Long-Term Care: Evidence on Prices," Berlin School of Economics Discussion Papers, Berlin School of Economics, number 0080, Oct, DOI: 10.48462/opus4-5988.
• Daniel Parra-Amado & Camilo Granados, 2025, "Output Gap Measurement after COVID for Colombia: Lessons from a Permanent-Transitory Approach," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1295, Jan, DOI: 10.32468/be.1295.
• José Luis Peydró & Hernán Rincón-Castro & Miguel Sarmiento & Alejandro Granados, 2025, "Wealth Taxes and Firms’ Capital Structures: Credit Supply and Real Effects," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1316, Jun, DOI: 10.32468/be.1316.
• José Vicente Romero & Sara Naranjo-Saldarriaga & Jonathan Alexander Muñoz-Martínez, 2025, "Adverse Weather-Induced Inflation: Some Implications for Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1319, Jul, DOI: 10.32468/be.1319.
• Luis E. Arango & Juan José Ospina & Fernando Arias-Rodríguez & Jaime Collazos & Diana M. Cortázar & Juan P. Cote & Julio Escobar & Aaron Garavito & Franky Galeano & Eliana Gonzales & Camila Gómez & An, 2025, "Características cuantitativas de los ciclos económicos en Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, issue 110, pages 1-139, October, DOI: 10.32468/espe110.
• Jordan Kjosevski, 2025, "Inflation Movements In The Eu In Conditions Of External Shocks," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, volume 70, issue 246, pages 7-35, July – Se.
• Marco Pinchetti, 2025, "Geopolitical Risk and Inflation: The Role of Energy Markets," Working papers, Banque de France, number 1005.
• José García Revelo & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc & Grégory Levieuge, 2025, "Revisiting 15 Years of Unusual Transatlantic Monetary Policies," Working papers, Banque de France, number 1018.
• Mario Forni & Alessandro Franconi & Luca Gambetti & Luca Sala, 2025, "Asymmetric Transmission of Oil Supply News," Working papers, Banque de France, number 1020.
• Lukas Hack & Klodiana Istrefi & Matthias Meier, 2025, "The Systematic Origins of Monetary Policy Shocks," Working papers, Banque de France, number 1021.
• Frédéric Vinas, 2025, "Oil Shocks and their Impact on Corporate Profitability, Productivity, and Credit Risk: Firm-Level Evidence Over Two Decades," Working papers, Banque de France, number 989.
• Tommaso Gasparini, 2025, "Imperfect Banking Competition and the Propagation of Uncertainty Shocks," Working papers, Banque de France, number 997.
• Marco Pinchetti, 2025, "Geopolitical risk and inflation: the role of energy markets
  [Risque géopolitique et inflation : le rôle des marchés de l’énergie]," Eco Notepad, Banque de France, number 420, Nov.
• Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2025, "Policy evaluation with Sufficient Macro Statistics -a primer," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1474, Jan.
• Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2025, "Innovations Meet Narratives -Improving the Power-Credibility Trade-off in Macro," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1475, Jan.
• Edouard Schaal & Mathieu Taschereau-Dumouchel, 2025, "Echoes and Delays: Time-to-build in Production Networks," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1482, Mar.
• Davide Debortoli & Jordi Galí, 2025, "Heterogeneity and Aggregate Consumption: An Empirical Assessment," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1484, Apr.
• Sophie Brochet & Hannes Mueller & Christopher Rauh, 2025, "Uncovering Economic Policy Uncertainty During Conflict," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1503, Jul.
• Mishel Ghassibe & Anton Nakov, 2025, "Business Cycles with Pricing Cascades," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1525, Oct.
• Joshua Kimani, 2025, "Green Fiscal Policies and Their Role in Promoting Sustainable Development," Journal of Environment, CARI Journals Limited, volume 5, issue 3, pages 1-13.
• Andrea Foschi & Christopher L. House & Christian Proebsting & Linda L. Tesar, 2025, "Should I Stay or Should I Go? The Response of Labor Migration to Economic Shocks," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, volume 56, issue 1 (Spring, pages 67-137.
• Hanno Kase & Leonardo Melosi & Matthias Rottner, 2025, "Estimating nonlinear heterogeneous agent models with neural networks," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1241, Jan.
• Matthias Kaldorf & Matthias Rottner, 2025, "Climate Minsky moments and endogenous financial crises," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1248, Mar.
• Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo & Fernando Linardi & Luis Vissotto, 2025, "Supply chain transmission of climate-related physical risks," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1260, Apr.
• Pierre L Siklos & Dora Xia & Hongyi Chen, 2025, "R* in East Asia: business, financial cycles, and spillovers," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1285, Aug.
• Torsten Ehlers & Jon Frost & Carlos Madeira & Ilhyock Shim, 2025, "Macroeconomic impact of weather disasters: a global and sectoral analysis," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1292, Sep.
• Hanno Kase & Matthias Rottner & Fabio Stohler, 2025, "Generative economic modeling," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1312, Dec.
• Daniel Levy & Haipeng (Allan) Chen & Sourav Ray & Elliot Charette & Xiao Ling & Weihong Zhao & Mark Bergen & Avichai Snir, 2025, "Asymmetric price adjustment over the business cy," Working Papers, Bar-Ilan University, Department of Economics, number 2025-03, Jan.
• Alexander Eliseev, 2025, "Nowcasting Russian GDP in a Mixed-Frequency DSGE Model with a Panel of Non-Modelled Variables," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 84, issue 3, pages 63-93, September.
• Ilya Zverev & Nadezhda Kislyak, 2025, "Estimating the Output Gap of the Russian Economy: A Multivariate Approach Based on BVAR and the Beveridge-Nelson Filter," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 84, issue 4, pages 22-46, December.
• Alexander Eliseev, 2025, "Nowcasting Russian GDP in a mixed-frequency DSGE model with a panel of non-modelled variables," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series, Bank of Russia, number wps145, Feb.
• Denis Krylov & Nikita Pakhmutov, 2025, "Synchronisation of business cycles in Russia and China," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series, Bank of Russia, number wps150, May.
• Woo Suk Lee & Eunseong Ma, 2025, "Housing market connectedness and transmission of monetary policy," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, volume 63, issue 3, pages 961-984, July, DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13292.
• Yunjong Eo & Denny Lie, 2025, "Changes in the Inflation Target and the Comovement Between Inflation and the Nominal Interest Rate," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, volume 101, issue 332, pages 3-40, March, DOI: 10.1111/1475-4932.12853.
• Dan Andrews & Elif Bahar & Jonathan Hambur, 2025, "The Effects of COVID‐19 and JobKeeper on Productivity‐Enhancing Reallocation in Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, volume 101, issue 333, pages 142-168, June, DOI: 10.1111/1475-4932.12856.
• Luke Hartigan & Tom Rosewall, 2025, "Nowcasting Quarterly GDP Growth During the COVID‐19 Crisis Using a Monthly Activity Indicator," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, volume 101, issue 335, pages 456-484, December, DOI: 10.1111/1475-4932.70000.
• Daniel L. Greenwald & John Krainer & Pascal Paul, 2025, "The Credit Line Channel," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, volume 80, issue 6, pages 3137-3183, December, DOI: 10.1111/jofi.13486.
• Gunnar Bårdsen & Ragnar Nymoen, 2025, "U.S. Wage‐Price Dynamics, Before, During and After COVID‐19, Through the Lens of an Empirical Econometric Model," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 87, issue 6, pages 1122-1145, December, DOI: 10.1111/obes.12686.
• Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2025, "Firm‐Level Expectations and Macroeconomic Conditions: Underpinnings and Disagreement," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, volume 93, issue 2, pages 203-218, June, DOI: 10.1111/saje.12393.
• CORDUNEANU Alexandru, 2025, "Between Innovation And Waiting: Entrepreneurial Calculation And The Temporal Logic Of The "Austrian" Cycle," Revista Economica, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 77, issue 3, pages 7-21, December, DOI: 10.56043/reveco-2025-0021.
• Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. & Francesco Zanetti, 2025, "Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty," Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, number No 02/2025, Feb.
• Dimitris Korobilis, 2025, "Learning from crises: A new class of time-varying parameter VARs with observable adaptation," Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, number No 09/2025, Dec.
• Tom Doan, 2025, "LAUBACH_WILLIAMS_RESTAT2003: RATS program to replicate Laubach-Williams multivariate state-space model with regressors," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number RTZ00214, revised .
• Tom Doan, 2025, "KILIAN_AER2009: RATS program to replicate Kilian(2009)'s VAR analysis of oil market/macro data," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number RTZ00226, revised .
• Pablo Guerron-Quintana & James M. Nason, 2025, "Bayesian estimation of DSGE models: An update," Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics, number 1097, Sep.
• Thibaut Duprey & Artur Kotlicki & Daniel Rigobon & Philip Schnattinger, 2025, "Bouncing back: how mothballing curbs prices," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series, Bank of England, number 1112, Jan.
• Davide Brignone & Luca Gambetti & Martino Ricci, 2025, "Geopolitical risk shocks: when size matters," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series, Bank of England, number 1118, Feb.
• Davide Brignone & Marco Mazzali, 2025, "It is all about demand and supply: a dualistic view of the euro area business cycle," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series, Bank of England, number 1124, Apr.
• Nobuhiro Abe & Yuto Ishikuro & Koki Nakayama & Yutaro Takano, 2025, "Interest Rate Pass-through by U.S. Banks: Macro Implications of Bank Competition," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 25-E-9, Sep.
• Cristiano Cantore & Haroon Mumtaz & Filippo Ferroni & Angeliki Theophilopoulou, 2025, "A tail of labor supply and a tale of monetary policy," Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna, number wp1210, Sep.
• Fabio Franceschini, 2025, "The Innovation Long-Run Risk Component," Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna, number wp1215, Nov.
• Christian Bayer & Alexander Kriwoluzky & Gernot J. Müller & Fabian Seyrich, 2025, "Being and Consciousness: Fiscal Attitudes according to HANK," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2024_694, Jul.
• Christian Bayer & Luis Calderon & Moritz Kuhn, 2025, "Distributional Dynamics," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2025_625, Jan.
• Jan Schymik & Matthias Meier & Alexander Schramm & Alexander Schwemmer, 2025, "Capital (Mis)allocation, Incentives and Productivity," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2025_637, Jan.
• Niklas Garnadt & Lena Füner & Konrad Stahl & Joacim Tag, 2025, "Successful Entrepreneurs Come From the Top of the Earned Income Distribution," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2025_693, Jun.
• Toshihiko Mukoyama & Kanato Nakakuni & Makoto Nirei, 2025, "Propagation of Export Shocks: The Great Recession in Japan," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2025_711, Nov.
• Lin Shuheng & Pérez Francisca, 2025, "Do Firm-Level Shocks Generate Aggregate Fluctuations? A Cross-Country Analysis," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 25, issue 1, pages 45-79, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2024-0017.
• Albanese Marina & Busato Francesco & Cisco Gianluigi, 2025, "Green Transition, Skills Heterogeneity, and Inequality," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 25, issue 2, pages 499-551, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2023-0159.
• Brennan Connor M. & Jacobson Margaret M. & Matthes Christian & Walker Todd B., 2025, "Monetary Policy Shocks: Data or Methods?," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 25, issue 2, pages 595-659, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2024-0175.
• Lee Seungyoon & Park Jongwook, 2025, "Business Cycles, Monetary Policy Stance, and Monetary Policy Transmission in Korea," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 25, issue 2, pages 799-824, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2024-0127.
• Lim King Yoong & Liu Chunping & Tan Linzhi, 2025, "Loan Loss Provision, Unsecured-Collateralized Loan Choice and Macro-Stability in China," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 25, issue 2, pages 847-884, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2025-0101.
• Lee Seungyoon, 2025, "Price Stickiness, Input–Output Linkages, and Monetary Policy Transmission in Korea," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 25, issue 2, pages 885-915, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2024-0172.
• Yépez Carlos A., 2025, "Firm Dynamics, Informality, and Monetary Policy," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 25, issue 2, pages 951-978, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2025-0024.
• Gupta Rangan & Sun Xiaojin, 2025, "Time-Varying Parameter Four-Equation DSGE Model," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 29, issue 2, pages 235-246, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2023-0010.
• Dufrénot Gilles & Ginn William & Pourroy Marc & Sullivan Adam, 2025, "Does State Dependence Matter in Relation to Oil Price Shocks on Global Economic Conditions?," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 29, issue 2, pages 247-264, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2023-0018.
• Bilbiie, F. O. & Galaasen, S. M. & Gurkaynak, R. S. & Maehlum, M. & Molnar, K, 2025, "Hanksson," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 2516, Mar.
• Basihos, S., 2025, "The Granular Role of Mergers and Acquisitions in Aggregate Fluctuations," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 2560, Aug.
• Chadha, J. S. & Corrado, G. & Corrado, L. & Buratta, I. D. L., 2025, "The Role of Macroprudential Policy in Times of Trouble," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 2561, Sep.
• Bilbiie, F. O. & Hanks, F. & Lavender, S., 2025, "Complementarity, Heterogeneity, and Multipliers: Utility for HANK," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 2573, Oct.
• Hashmat Khan & Sergio Lago Alves, 2025, "Are New Keynesian Models Useful When Trend Inflation is Not Very Low?," Carleton Economic Papers, Carleton University, Department of Economics, number 25-01, Feb.
• Rubio, Margarita & Yao, Fang, 2025, "The Conduct of LTV Policy under Inflationary Shocks," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 1/RT/25, Feb.
• Mugrabi, Farah & Rünstler, Gerhard, 2025, "Housing and Credit Cycles in Ireland," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 16/RT/25, Oct.
• Bro de Comères, Quentin & Mugrabi, Farah & Lyons, Paul, 2025, "A Quick Stress Testing Methodology for Irish Banks," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 17/RT/25, Oct.
• Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2025, "Why Applied Macroeconomists Should Not Use Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2025/22, Nov.
• Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong & Zhu, Zheyi, 2025, "Is there PPP in the data? New evidence from a structural DSGE model," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2025/6, Mar.
• Mauro Sayar Ferreira & Berto Carvalho da Silva Jr, 2025, "Fiscal multiplier in Brazil: the role played by controls," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, number 684, Sep.
• Ryan Hanson & Ana María Herrera, 2025, "The Effect of Oil News Shocks on Job Creation and Destruction," Working Papers, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau, number 25-06, Jan.
• Melanie Arntz & Michael J. Bohm & Georg Graetz & Terry Gregory & Florian Lehmer & Cacilia Lipowski, 2025, "Firm-level technology adoption in times of crisis," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp2093, Apr.
• Alena Bicakova & Guido Matias Cortes & Kelly Foley & Jacopo Mazza & Peter McHenry, 2025, "Unpacking the Countercyclicality of Post-Secondary Enrollment in the United States," CERGE-EI Working Papers, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague, number wp795, May.
• Marlon Azinovic-Yang & Jan Zemlicka, 2025, "Deep Learning in the Sequence Space," CERGE-EI Working Papers, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague, number wp802, Oct.
• Masashige Hamano & Philip Schnattinger & Mototsugu Shintani & Iichiro Uesugi & Francesco Zanetti, 2025, "Credit Market Tightness and Zombie Firms: Theory and Evidence," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11640.
• Carlos Carrillo-Tudela & Fraser Summerfield & Ludo Visschers, 2025, "Workers’ Task and Employer Mobility over the Business Cycle," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11660.
• Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yiliang Li & Le Xu & Francesco Zanetti, 2025, "Charting the Uncharted: The (Un)Intended Consequences of Oil Sanctions and Dark Shipping," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11684.
• Melanie Arntz & Michael Böhm & Georg Graetz & Terry Gregory & Florian Lehmer & Cäcilia Lipowski & Cäcilia vom Baur, 2025, "Firm-Level Technology Adoption in Times of Crisis," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11825.
• Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino & Laust L. Særkjær, 2025, "The Inflation Uncertainty Amplifier," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11853.
• Galo Nuño, 2025, "Three Theories of Natural Rate Dynamics," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11878.
• Fabio Milani, 2025, "Inflation Tolerance Bands and Private Sector Beliefs," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11910.
• Anastasiia Antonova & Luis Huxel & Mykhailo Matvieiev & Gernot J. Muller & Gernot Müller, 2025, "The Propagation of Tariff Shocks via Production Networks," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11917.
• António Afonso & José Alves & Frederico Silva Leal, 2025, "Government Scale as a Stabilizer: Effects on Output Volatility and Losses," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11993.
• Marc Dordal i Carreras & Seung Joo Lee, 2025, "Higher-Order Forward Guidance," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12034.
• Fabio Milani, 2025, "Inflation, Monetary Policy, and Capital-Labor Inequality," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12065.
• Michael Alexeev & William Pyle & Jiaan Wang, 2025, "Russian Society, Democratic Values, and the Legacy of the Early-1990s Economic Shock," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12095.
• Siavash Mohades & Giulia Piccillo & Maria Savona & Tania Treibich, 2025, "Firms’ Investment and Capacity Utilisation: The Role of Financial Constraints and Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12108.
• Fabio Milani, 2025, "Monetary Policy, Heterogeneous Expectations, and the Return of High Inflation," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12123.
• Fabio Milani, 2025, "Expectations, Learning Gains, and Forecast Errors: Assessing Nonlinearities with a Functional Coefficient Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12124.
• Anastasiia Antonova & Gernot Müller, 2025, "Distorted Prices and Targeted Taxes in the New Keynesian Network Model," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12144.
• Paula Patzelt, 2025, "Renewable Energy Supply Shocks from Wind Electricity," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12146.
• Robert Fairlie & Frank M. Fossen & Ke Lyu & Robert W. Fairlie, 2025, "A Tale of Two Startups: The Loss and Gain of Startups in the U.S. Economy in the Pandemic," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12163.
• Sebastian Blesse & Klaus Gründler & Philipp Heil & Henning Hermes, 2025, "The Demand for Economic Narratives," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12204.
• Lukas Hack & Davud Rostam-Afschar, 2025, "Which Macroeconomic News Matters for Price-Setting?," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12215.
• Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino & Laust L. Særkjær, 2025, "Monetary Policy Shocks and Narrative Restrictions: Rules Matter," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12246.
• Maximilian Boeck & Zeno Enders & Michael Kleemann & Gernot Müller, 2025, "Dancing in the Dark: Sentiment Shocks and Economic Activity," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12252.
• Santiago Alvarez-Blaser & Raphael Auer & Sarah M. Lein & Andrei A. Levchenko & Raphael A. Auer & Sarah Marit Lein, 2025, "The Granular Origins of Inflation," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12262.
• Jonas Dovern & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2025, "The Causal Effects of Trump's Reelection on Business Expectations of German Firms," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12266.
• Julien Grenet & Hans Grönqvist & Edvin Hertegård & Martin Nybom & Jan Stuhler, 2025, "How Early Career Choices Adjust to Economic Crises," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12307.
• Friederike Fourné & Lara Zarges, 2025, "Identifying Macroeconomic Shocks Using Firm-Level Data: Material Shortages in The German Manufacturing Sector," ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 418.
• Masashige Hamano & Philip Schnattinger & Mototsugu Shintani & Iichiro Uesugi & Francesco Zanetti, 2025, "Credit Market Tightness and Zombie Firms: Theory and Evidence," CARF F-Series, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo, number CARF-F-597, Jan.
• Uluc Aysun & Sewon Hur & Zeynep Yom, 2025, "Technology creation and monetary transmission," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2025-02, Apr.
• Masashige Hamano & Philip Schnattinger & Mototsugu Shintani & Iichiro Uesugi & Francesco Zanetti, 2025, "Credit Market Tightness and Zombie Firms: Theory and Evidence," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 2504, Jan.
• Li Li & Xiangyang Li & Steven Ongena & Yabin Wang, 2025, "Extreme Rainfall and Municipal Financing: Risk Pricing and Adaptive Mitigation by Sponge Cities," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute, number 25-25, Mar.
• Julien Martin & Kevin Moran & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2025, "Impacts macroéconomiques d’une guerre tarifaire Canada–États-Unis," CIRANO Papers, CIRANO, number 2025pr-03, Mar.
• Julien Martin & Kevin Moran & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2025, "Macroeconomic Impacts of a Canada-U.S. Tariff War," CIRANO Papers, CIRANO, number 2025pr-04, Mar.
• Kevin Moran & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2025, "Chocs macroéconomiques et finances publiques au Canada et au Québec," CIRANO Project Reports, CIRANO, number 2025rp-29, Dec.
• Martín Almuzara & Manuel Arellano & Richard Blundell & Stéphane Bonhomme, 2025, "Nonlinear Micro Income Processes with Macro Shocks," Working Papers, CEMFI, number wp2025_2515, Aug.
• Dante Amengual & Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana, 2025, "Testing shock independence in Gaussian structural VARs," Working Papers, CEMFI, number wp2025_2532, Dec.
• Volha Audzei & Jan Bruha & Ivan Sutoris, 2025, "Does Firms' Financing in Foreign Currency Matter for Monetary Policy?," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2025/10, Jun.
• Jan Janku & Simona Malovana & Josef Bajzik & Klara Moravcova & Ngoc Anh Ngo, 2025, "Credit Shocks Fade, Output Shocks Persist: A Meta-Analysis of 2,600 VAR Estimates Across 63 Countries," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2025/12, Sep.
• Francesco Zanetti & Masashige Hamano & Philip Schnattinger & Mototsugu Shintani & Iichiro Uesugi, 2025, "Credit Market Tightness and Zombie Firms: Theory and Evidence," CIGS Working Paper Series, The Canon Institute for Global Studies, number 25-005E, Jan.
• Francesco Zanetti & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Yiliang Li & Le Xu, 2025, "Charting the Uncharted: The (Un)Intended Consaequences of Oil Sanctions and Dark Shipping," CIGS Working Paper Series, The Canon Institute for Global Studies, number 25-009E, Feb.
• Tomohiro Hirano & Joseph E. Stiglitz, 2025, "Growth and Fluctuations Economies with Land Speculation," CIGS Working Paper Series, The Canon Institute for Global Studies, number 25-012E, Mar.
• Juan Jos√© Rinc√≥n Brice√±o, 2025, "Colombian economic activity nowcasting: addressing nonlinearities and high dimensionality through machine-learning," Documentos CEDE, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE, number 21388, Jun.
• Richard Jaimes Bonilla & Javier Esteban Martínez, 2025, "Age Structure and Monetary Policy Transmission: Conventional vs. Unconventional Shocks in the Euro Area," Vniversitas Económica, Universidad Javeriana - Bogotá, volume 25, issue 2, pages 1-35, June.
• Rodolfo Moisés Espinosa Tigre & Elías Alvarado Lagunas & Juan Bautista Solís Muñoz, 2025, "Gender differences in access to financing for microenterprises in Morona Canton, Ecuador," Revista Tendencias, Universidad de Narino, volume 26, issue 02, pages 84-106, July, DOI: 10.22267/rtend.2526.
• Robert Barro & Francesco Bianchi & Carlos Giraldo & Iader Giraldo-Salazar, 2025, "Inflation as a Fiscal Phenomenon: Evidence from Latin America," Documentos de trabajo, FLAR, number 021801, Nov.
• Carlos Giraldo & Iader Giraldo-Salazar & Jose E. Gomez-Gonzalez & Jorge M Uribe, 2025, "Government Debt Expansion and Bank Capitalization: The Conditioning Role of Institutional Quality," Documentos de trabajo, FLAR, number 021931, Dec.
• Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2025, "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," LIDAM Reprints CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 3331, Jan, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2.
• Kevin Moran & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2025, "Risk Scenarios and Macroeconomic Impacts: Insights for Canadian Policy," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, volume 51, issue 3, pages 344-362, September, DOI: 10.3138/cpp.2024-021.
• Bayer, Christian & Kuhn, Moritz & Calderon, Luis, 2025, "Distributional Dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19829, Jan.
• Alvarez-Blaser, Santiago & Auer, Raphael & Lein, Sarah & Levchenko, Andrei, 2025, "The granular origins of inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19844, Jan.
• Le Grand, François & Ragot, Xavier & Rodrigues, Diego, 2025, "The Welfare of Nations: Social Preferences and the Macroeconomy," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19847, Jan.
• Hamano, Masashige & Schnattinger, Philip & Shintani, Mototsugu & Uesugi, Iichiro & Zanetti, Francesco, 2025, "Credit Market Tightness and Zombie Firms: Theory and Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19863, Jan.
• Poilly, Céline & Tripier, Fabien, 2025, "Regional Trade Policy Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19906, Feb.
• Ä°pek, Mahmut Sefa & KısacıkoÄŸlu, Burçin, 2025, "Estimating Euro Area Output Gap Dynamics: Evidence from the updated Area-Wide Model Database," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19913, Feb.
• Berardi, Nicoletta & Ravenna, Federico & Samano, Mario, 2025, "Everyday Regular Prices in a Multi-Product Retailer," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19921, Feb.
• Ravenna, Federico & Walsh, Carl, 2025, "Inclusive Monetary Policy in a Model with Heterogeneous Workers," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19922, Feb.
• Jarocinski, Marek & Karadi, Peter, 2025, "Disentangling Monetary Policy, Central Bank Information, and Fed Response to News Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19923, Feb.
• Gambetti, Luca & Korobilis, Dimitris & Tsoukalas, John & Zanetti, Francesco, 2025, "Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19946, Feb.
• Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Li, Yiliang & Xu, Le & Zanetti, Francesco, 2025, "Charting the Uncharted: The (Un)Intended Consequences of Oil Sanctions and Dark Shipping," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20009, Mar.
• Braggion, Fabio & Floccari, Giuseppe & Kvaerner, Jens, 2025, "The Passthrough of the Business Cycle to Labor Income," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20074, Mar.
• Bilbiie, Florin & Galaasen, Sigurd & Gürkaynak, Refet & Maehlum, Mathis & Molnar, Krisztina, 2025, "Hanksson," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20090, Mar.
• Ricco, Giovanni & Savini, Emanuele, 2025, "Decomposing Monetary Policy Surprises: Shock, Information, and Policy Rule Revision," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20166, Apr.
• Hoffmann, Mathias & Moench, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2025, "A KISS for Central Bank Communication in Times of High Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20213, May.
• Adrian, Tobias & Giannone, Domenico & Luciani, Matteo & West, Mike, 2025, "Scenario Synthesis and Macroeconomic Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20219, May.
• Basco, Sergi & Rosés, Joan R., 2025, "Pandemics, Capital Allocation and Structural Change," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20232, May.
• Forbes, Kristin & Ha, Jongrim & Kose, M. Ayhan, 2025, "Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation and the Price Level," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20240, May.
• Antonova, Anastasiia & Huxel, Luis & Matvieiev, Mykhailo & Müller, Gernot, 2025, "The Propagation of Tariff Shocks via Production Networks," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20305, May.
• Li, Xiang & Ongena, Steven, 2025, "Global Banks’ Macroeconomic Expectations and Credit Supply," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20342, Jun.
• Broer, Tobias & Kramer, John & Mitman, Kurt, 2025, "The Distributional Effects of Oil Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20345, Jun.
• Känzig, Diego, 2025, "The Unequal Economic Consequences of Carbon Pricing," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20405, Jul.
• Rachel, Å ukasz & Ravn, Morten, 2025, "Brothers in Arms: Monetary-Fiscal Interactions Without Ricardian Equivalence," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20445, Jul.
• Bayer, Christian & Kriwoluzky, Alexander & Müller, Gernot & Seyrich, Fabian, 2025, "Being and Consciousness: Fiscal Attitudes according to HANK," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20473, Jul.
• Känzig, Diego & Konradt, Maximilian & Wang, Lixing & Zhang, Donghai, 2025, "Green Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20475, Jul.
• Balatti, Mirco & Kose, M. Ayhan & Mckinnon, Kate Frances & Palombo, Edoardo & Sugawara, Naotaka & Verduzco-Bustos, Guillermo & Vorisek, Dana, 2025, "From Tailwinds to Headwinds: Emerging and Developing Economies in the Twenty-First Century," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20558, Aug.
• Brochet, Sophie & Mueller, Hannes & Rauh, Christopher, 2025, "Uncovering Economic Policy Uncertainty During Conflict," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20560, Aug.
• Ghassibe, Mishel & Nakov, Anton, 2025, "Business Cycles with Pricing Cascades," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20605, Sep.
• Degryse, Hans & De Jonghe, Olivier & Laeven, Luc & Zhao, Tong, 2025, "Collateral and Credit," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20639, Sep.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Tornese, Tommaso, 2025, "An Empirical Investigation of the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on the Italian Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20661, Sep.
• Caballero, Ricardo & Simsek, Alp, 2025, "FCI-Plot: Central Bank Communication Through Financial Conditions," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20680, Sep.