Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E32: Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Estimated DSGE Models
2. Dynamic Factor Models
3. Real Business Cycle Theory
4. Labor in RBC models
5. International RBC

2021

• Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2021, "Online estimation of DSGE models," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 24, issue 1, pages 33-58.
• Francisco Louçã & Alexandre Abreu & Gonçalo Pessa Costa, 2021, "Disarray at the headquarters: Economists and Central bankers tested by the subprime and the COVID recessions
  [Forward guidance without common knowledge]," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, volume 30, issue 2, pages 273-296.
• Valerie Cerra & Antonio Fatas & Sweta C Saxena, 2021, "Fighting the scarring effects of COVID-19
  [Stagnation traps]," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, volume 30, issue 2, pages 459-466.
• Cristiano Cantore & Filippo Ferroni & Miguel León-Ledesma, 2021, "The Missing Link: Monetary Policy and The Labor Share," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, volume 19, issue 3, pages 1592-1620.
• Dessie Tarko Ambaw & Nicholas Sim, 2021, "Real exchange rate misalignment and civil conflict: Evidence from sub-Saharan Africa," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, volume 73, issue 1, pages 178-199.
• Désirée I Christofzik & Steffen Elstner, 2021, "International spillover effects of U.S. tax reforms: evidence from Germany," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, volume 73, issue 2, pages 578-600.
• Robert Kollmann, 2021, "Liquidity traps in a monetary union," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, volume 73, issue 4, pages 1581-1603.
• Tryfonas Christou & Apostolis Philippopoulos & Vanghelis Vassilatos, 2021, "Institutions and macroeconomic performance: core versus periphery countries in the Eurozone," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, volume 73, issue 4, pages 1634-1660.
• Atif Mian & Ludwig Straub & Amir Sufi, 2021, "Indebted Demand," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, volume 136, issue 4, pages 2243-2307.
• Ofer Eldar & Michael D. Wittry, 2021, "Crisis Poison Pills," The Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 10, issue 1, pages 204-251.
• Oleksiy Kryvtsov & Nicolas Vincent, 2021, "The Cyclicality of Sales and Aggregate Price Flexibility," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 88, issue 1, pages 334-377.
• Vladimir Asriyan, 2021, "Balance Sheet Channel with Information-Trading Frictions in Secondary Markets," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 88, issue 1, pages 44-90.
• Adam M Guren & Alisdair McKay & Emi Nakamura & Jón Steinsson, 2021, "Housing Wealth Effects: The Long View," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 88, issue 2, pages 669-707.
• Zhongjun Qu & Fan Zhuo, 2021, "Likelihood Ratio-Based Tests for Markov Regime Switching," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 88, issue 2, pages 937-968.
• Vladimir Asriyan & Luca Fornaro & Alberto Martin & Jaume Ventura, 2021, "Monetary Policy for a Bubbly World," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 88, issue 3, pages 1418-1456.
• Alessandro Gavazza & Andrea Lanteri, 2021, "Credit Shocks and Equilibrium Dynamics in Consumer Durable Goods Markets," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 88, issue 6, pages 2935-2969.
• Farzad Saidi & Daniel Streitz, 2021, "Bank Concentration and Product Market Competition," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 34, issue 10, pages 4999-5035.
• Pedro Gete & Michael Reher, 2021, "Mortgage Securitization and Shadow Bank Lending
  [The liquidity coverage ratio and liquidity risk monitoring tools]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 34, issue 5, pages 2236-2274.
• Christoph Albert & Andrea Caggese, 2021, "Cyclical Fluctuations, Financial Shocks, and the Entry of Fast-Growing Entrepreneurial Startups
  [Young, restless and creative: Openness to disruption and creative innovations]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 34, issue 5, pages 2508-2548.
• Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2021, "The “Matthew Effect” and Market Concentration:Search Complementarities and Monopsony Power," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 932, Feb.
• Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo, 2021, "Global Uncertainty," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno", number 0269, Feb.
• Giovanni Pellegrino & Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Caggiano, 2021, "Uncertainty And Monetary Policy During The Great Recession," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno", number 0270, Mar.
• Martin M. Andreasen & Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2021, "Why Does Risk Matter More in Recessions than in Expansions?," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno", number 0275, Aug.
• Azhar Iqbal & Sam Bullard, 2021, "Estimating the economic cost of the COVID-19 pandemic," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, volume 56, issue 4, pages 212-216, October, DOI: 10.1057/s11369-021-00240-5.
• Carolina Correa-Caro & Leandro Medina & Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro & Bennett Sutton, 2021, "Fiscal Stimulus and Firms’ Sales and Capital Expenditure During the Global Financial Crisis," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, volume 63, issue 3, pages 489-535, September, DOI: 10.1057/s41294-021-00160-5.
• Nicolas Gavoille & Katharina Hofer, 2021, "Capital Controls and Electoral Cycles," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, volume 69, issue 2, pages 275-324, June, DOI: 10.1057/s41308-020-00123-3.
• Alessandro Bitetto & Paola Cerchiello & Charilaos Mertzanis, 2021, "A data-driven approach to measuring financial soundness throughout the world," DEM Working Papers Series, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management, number 199, Feb.
• Zhesheng Qiu & Jose-Victor Rios-Rull, 2021, "Procyclical Productivity in New Keynesian Models," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 22-006, Dec.
• Michal Bernardelli & Mariusz Prochniak & Bartosz Witkowski, 2021, "Time stability of the impact of institutions on economic growth and real convergence of the EU countries: implications from the hidden Markov models analysis," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, volume 16, issue 2, pages 285-323, June, DOI: 10.24136/eq.2021.011.
• Lawrence B. Dacuycuy, 2021, "How influential are COVID-19 data points? A fresh look at an estimated small scale DSGE model for the Philippines," Philippine Review of Economics, University of the Philippines School of Economics and Philippine Economic Society, volume 58, issue 1 and 2, pages 14-37, June and .
• Greg Philip Hannsgen & Tai Young-Taft, 2021, "Expectational and Portfolio-Demand Shifts in a Keynesian Model of Monetary Growth Fluctuations," Working Papers, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES), number PKWP2112, Aug.
• Ulrich Eydam, 2021, "The Distributional Implications of Climate Policies Under Uncertainty," CEPA Discussion Papers, Center for Economic Policy Analysis, number 33, Jun, DOI: 10.25932/publishup-50895.
• Kitov, Ivan, 2021, "The link between unemployment and real economic growth in developed countries," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 105873, Feb, revised 07 Feb 2021.
• Kitov, Ivan, 2021, "Real GDP per capita: global redistribution of economic power," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 105875, Feb, revised 07 Feb 2021.
• Nakatani, Ryota, 2021, "Fiscal Rules for Natural Disaster- and Climate Change-Prone Small States," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 106020, Feb.
• Jia, Pengfei, 2021, "Trust Shocks, Financial Crises, and Money," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 106343, Feb.
• Wang, Boqun & Yang, Dennis Tao, 2021, "Volatility and Economic Systems: Evidence from A Large Transitional Economy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 106624.
• Seo, Takashi, 2021, "Schumpeter's paradox reconsidered: The need for a theory of circular flow," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 106802, Mar.
• Omoshoro-Jones, Oyeyinka Sunday, 2021, "Asymmetry in Okun’s Law Revisited: New evidence on cyclical unemployment–cyclical output trade-off in the Free State Province using NARDL model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 107126, Apr.
• Bhatt, Vipul & Kishor, N. Kundan, 2021, "(A)Synchronous Housing Markets of Global Cities," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 107175, Apr.
• Plassard, Romain, 2021, "Barro, Grossman, and the domination of equilibrium macroeconomics," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 107201, Apr.
• Brinca, Pedro & João, Costa-Filho, 2021, "Output falls and the international transmission of crises," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 107297, Apr.
• Brinca, Pedro & Costa-Filho, João, 2021, "Economic depression in Brazil: the 2014-2016 fall," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 107298, Apr.
• Kamalyan, Hayk, 2021, "The State-Dependent Effects of Monetary Policy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 107489.
• Kamalyan, Hayk, 2021, "The State-Dependent Effects of Monetary Policy: Calvo versus Rotemberg," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 107490, Apr.
• Bashar, Omar & Mallick, Debdulal, 2021, "Frequency of Shocks, Resilience and Shock Persistence: Evidence from Natural Disasters," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 107517, May.
• Kamalyan, Hayk, 2021, "Data Revisions and the Effects of Monetary Policy Volatility," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 107581, Jan.
• Tsoulfidis, Lefteris & Tsaliki, Persefoni, 2021, "The Long Recession and Economic Consequences of the COVID-19 Pandemic," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 107646, May.
• Rybacki, Jakub & Gniazdowski, Michał, 2021, "Macroeconomic Forecasting in Poland: Lessons From the COVID-19 Outbreak," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 107682, May.
• Pincheira, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolas & Bentancor, Andrea & Henriquez, Cristóbal & Tapia, Ignacio, 2021, "Forecasting Base Metal Prices with an International Stock Index," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 107828, May.
• Dadam, Vincent & Viegi, Nicola, 2021, "Hysteresis without Hope: investigating unemployment persistence in South Africa," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 108129, May.
• Kollmann, Robert, 2021, "Effects of Covid-19 on Euro Area GDP and Inflation: Demand vs. Supply Disturbances," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 108285, Jun.
• Jia, Pengfei, 2021, "Understanding a New Keynesian Model with Liquidity," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 108286, Jun.
• Barnett, William A. & Nguyen, Van H., 2021, "Constructing Divisia monetary aggregates for Singapore," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 108422, Jun.
• Ha, Jongrim & Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2021, "Inflation During the Pandemic: What Happened? What is Next?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 108677, Jul.
• Saccal, Alessandro, 2021, "Efficiency wage (and slavery) efficiency: in theory and in time," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 108969, Jul.
• Chrysanthopoulou, Xakousti, 2021, "Banks’ internalization effect and equilibrium," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 109275, Aug.
• Lomonosov, Daniil, 2021, "Роль Коронавирусной Пандемии И Развала Сделки Опек+ В Динамике Цены На Нефть В 2020 Году
  [The role of the coronavirus pandemic and the collapse of the OPEC + deal in the dynamics of oil prices in 2020]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 109319, Jul.
• Elgin, Ceyhun & Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska & Yu, Shu, 2021, "Understanding Informality," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 109490, Aug.
• Elgin, Ceyhun & Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska & Yu, Shu, 2021, "Growing Apart or Moving Together? Synchronization of Informal and Formal Economy Cycles," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 109492, Aug.
• Lenarčič, Črt, 2021, "Estimating business and financial cycles in Slovenia," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 109977, Oct.
• Mitra, Aruni, 2021, "The Productivity Puzzle and the Decline of Unions," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 110102, Oct.
• Busato, Francesco & Chiarini, Bruno & Cisco, Gianluigi & Ferrara, Maria, 2021, "Greta Thunberg effect and Business Cycle Dynamics: A DSGE model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 110141, Oct.
• Krouglov, Alexei, 2021, "Economic growth induced by the increases of investment and demand," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 110314, Oct.
• Kamalyan, Hayk, 2021, "Phase-Dependent Monetary and Fiscal Policy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 110341, Oct.
• Khalil, Makram & Weber, Marc-Daniel, 2021, "Chinese supply chain shocks," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 110356, Oct.
• Zaretski, Aliaksandr, 2021, "Financial constraints, risk sharing, and optimal monetary policy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 110757, May.
• Jia, Pengfei, 2021, "Optimal Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy with Non-tradable Goods," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 110805, Nov.
• Bhadury, Soumya & Ghosh, Saurabh & Gopalakrishnan, Pawan, 2021, "In quest for policy 'silver bullets' towards triggering a v-shaped recovery," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 110905, Dec.
• Mitra, Aruni, 2021, "The Productivity Puzzle and the Decline of Unions," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 110961, Oct.
• Doojav, Gan-Ochir, 2021, "Socio-economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic: Macroeconomic impacts and policy issues in Mongolia," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 111197, Aug.
• Arce, Fernando, 2021, "Private Overborrowing under Sovereign Risk," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 113176, Dec.
• Bazhal, Iurii, 2021, "Advance Financing Innovations and the Radical Change Economic Development," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 121948, Jul, revised Sep 2022.
• Hoffmann, Mathias & Hürtgen, Patrick, 2021, "Do exchange rates absorb demand shocks at the ZLB?," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 13/2021.
• Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Kok Sørensen, Christoffer & Rottner, Matthias, 2021, "Reversal interest rate and macroprudential policy," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 24/2021.
• Mönch, Emanuel & Stein, Tobias, 2021, "Equity premium predictability over the business cycle," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 25/2021.
• Götz, Martin & Gozzi, Juan Carlos, 2021, "Financial integration and the co-movement of economic activity: Evidence from U.S. states," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 37/2021.
• Hinterlang, Natascha & Martin, Anika & Röhe, Oke & Stähler, Nikolai & Strobel, Johannes, 2021, "Using energy and emissions taxation to finance labor tax reductions in a multi-sector economy: An assessment with EMuSe," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 50/2021.
• Böhl, Gregor & Lieberknecht, Philipp, 2021, "The hockey stick Phillips curve and the effective lower bound," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 55/2021.
• Kukacka, Jiri & Sacht, Stephen, 2021, "Estimation of Heuristic Switching in Behavioral Macroeconomic Models," Economics Working Papers, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics, number 2021-01.
• Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2021, "A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics, number 415.
• Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Schmidt, Sebastian, 2021, "Macroeconomic stabilisation and monetary policy effectiveness in a low-interest-rate environment," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 656.
• Kilian, Lutz & Nomikos, Nikos K. & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2021, "Container trade and the U.S. recovery," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 659.
• Arrigoni, Simone & Bobasu, Alina & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2021, "The simpler, the better: Measuring financial conditions for monetary policy and financial stability," EIB Working Papers, European Investment Bank (EIB), number 2021/10, DOI: 10.2867/149278.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2021, "A Real-Business-Cycle model with search-and-matching frictions and efficiency ("fair") wages," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 64, issue 2, pages 1-23.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2021, "A Real-Business-Cycle model with institutional quality: The Case of Bulgaria (1999-2018)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue forthcomi.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2021, "A Real-Business-Cycle model with endogenous discounting and a government sector," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue forthcomi.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2021, "The role of endogenous capital depreciation rate for business cycle dynamics: lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2018)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue forthcomi.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2021, "A Real-Business-Cycle model with human capital accumulation: Lessons for Bulgaria (1999-2018)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue forthcomi.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2021, "The role of inventories for the propagation of aggregate fluctuations: Lessons for Bulgaria (1999-2019)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue forthcomi.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2021, "Is military spending quantitatively important for business cycle fluctuations?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue Forthcomi.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2021, "Are credit shocks quantitatively important for the propagation of aggregate fluctuations in Bulgaria (1999-2018)?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 27, issue 3, pages 5-20.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2021, "An RBC model with Epstein-Zin (non-expected-utility) recursive preferences: lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2018)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue forthcomi.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2021, "A Real-Business-Cycle model with robots: Lessons for Bulgaria," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 7, issue 2, pages 7-15.
• Benchimol, Jonathan & Ivashchenko, Sergey, 2021, "Switching volatility in a nonlinear open economy," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 110, pages 1-31.
• Chatelain, Jean-Bernard & Ralf, Kirsten, 2021, "Imperfect Credibility versus No Credibility of Optimal Monetary Policy," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 0, issue 1, pages 43-63.
• Barja, Gover, 2021, "Graphing and Measuring COVID-19’s First Wave Impact on the Bolivian Economy: Facing the Unknown," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 19, issue 36, pages 7-42, DOI: 10.35319/lajed.202136451.
• Barja, Gover, 2021, "Using mobility measures to explain short-run economic performance during COVID-19's first wave," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 25, issue 53, pages 4-20.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2021, "How quantitatively important are shocks to consumption and income tax rates for business cycle fluctuations? Lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2020)," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 243316.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2021, "A Real-Business-Cycle model with robots: Lessons for Bulgaria," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 243348.
• Brancatelli, Calogero & Inderst, Roman, 2021, "Income and Consumption over the Business Cycle: Evidence from Matched Administrative Data," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 253665.
• Barja, Gover, 2021, "Graphing and measuring Covid's first wave impact on the Bolivian economy," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 333583.
• Kovalenko, Tim, 2021, "Uncertainty shocks and employment fluctuations in Germany: The role of establishment size," Discussion Papers, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Chair of Labour and Regional Economics, number 119.
• Dieckelmann, Daniel, 2021, "Market sentiment, financial fragility, and economic activity: The role of corporate securities issuance," Discussion Papers, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics, number 2021/6, DOI: 10.17169/refubium-29416.
• Herzog-Stein, Alexander & Nüß, Patrick & Peede, Lennert & Stein, Ulrike, 2021, "Germany's Labour Market in Coronavirus Distress - New Challenges to Safeguarding Employment," GLO Discussion Paper Series, Global Labor Organization (GLO), number 840.
• Sotirakopoulos, Panagiotis & Guven, Cahit & Ulker, Aydogan & Graham, Carol, 2021, "Macroeconomic Contractions during Impressionable Years and Entrepreneurship in Later Adulthood," GLO Discussion Paper Series, Global Labor Organization (GLO), number 850.
• Hülsewig, Oliver & Rottmann, Horst, 2021, "Euro area house price fluctuations and unconventional monetary policy surprises," Weidener Diskussionspapiere, University of Applied Sciences Amberg-Weiden (OTH), number 80.
• Busch, Christopher & Ludwig, Alexander, 2021, "Higher-order income risk over the business cycle," ICIR Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, International Center for Insurance Regulation (ICIR), number 36/21.
• Böhl, Gregor, 2021, "Efficient solution and computation of models with occasionally binding constraints," IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS), number 148.
• Lechthaler, Wolfgang & Tesfaselassie, Mewael F., 2021, "Endogenous growth, skill obsolescence and output hysteresis in a New Keynesian model with unemployment," IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS), number 149.
• Milivojevic, Lazar & Tatar, Balint, 2021, "Fixed exchange rate - a friend or foe of labor cost adjustments?," IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS), number 152.
• Böhl, Gregor & Lieberknecht, Philipp, 2021, "The hockey stick Phillips curve and the zero lower bound," IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS), number 153.
• Böhl, Gregor & Hommes, Cars H., 2021, "Rational vs. irrational beliefs in a complex world," IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS), number 156.
• Evans, Trevor, 2021, "The twilight of neoliberalism in the USA?," IPE Working Papers, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE), number 157/2021.
• Camehl, Annika & Rieth, Malte, 2021, "Disentangling Covid-19, economic mobility, and containment policy shocks," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 2/2021.
• Glas, Alexander & Heinisch, Katja, 2021, "Conditional macroeconomic forecasts: Disagreement, revisions and forecast errors," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 7/2021.
• Hasan, Iftekhar & Manfredonia, Stefano & Noth, Felix, 2021, "Cultural resilience, religion, and economic recovery: Evidence from the 2005 hurricane season," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 9/2021.
• Holtemöller, Oliver & Rieth, Malte, 2021, "Wirtschaftliche Mobilität dürfte nach Lockerung deutlich steigen – aber auch die Zahl der COVID-19-Fälle," IWH Policy Notes, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 3/2021.
• Holtemöller, Oliver & Rieth, Malte, 2021, "Economic mobility likely to increase significantly after relaxation - but also number of COVID-19 cases," IWH Policy Notes, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 3/2021 (en).
• Holtemöller, Oliver & Zeddies, Götz, 2021, "Projektion der Ausgaben für die Beamtenversorgung in Deutschland bis zum Jahr 2080," IWH Technical Reports, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 2/2021.
• Holtemöller, Oliver, 2021, "Unternehmensinsolvenzen in Deutschland im Zuge der Corona-Krise," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 27, issue 1, pages 5-11.
• Holtemöller, Oliver & Zeddies, Götz, 2021, "Projektion der Ausgaben für die Beamtenversorgung in Deutschland bis zum Jahr 2080," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 27, issue 2, pages 30-34.
• Grömling, Michael, 2021, "Branchen und Regionen driften auseinander: IW-Konjunkturumfrage Frühjahr 2021," IW-Reports, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, number 14/2021.
• Grömling, Michael, 2021, "Unternehmen gehen mit Zuversicht in das zweite Halbjahr 2021: IW-Konjunkturumfrage Sommer 2021," IW-Reports, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, number 24/2021.
• Kirchhoff, Jasmina & Schumacher, Simon, 2021, "Pharmaindustrie unter Pandemie-Bedingungen stabil: Konjunkturelle Entwicklung der pharmazeutischen Industrie im Jahr 2020," IW-Reports, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, number 3/2021.
• Grömling, Michael, 2021, "Zuversicht dominiert für 2022: IW-Konjunkturumfrage Spätherbst 2021," IW-Reports, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, number 45/2021.
• Grömling, Michael, 2021, "Klare Signale für Wachstum - Ergebnisse der IW-Verbandsumfrage 2021," IW-Reports, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, number 47/2021.
• Bardt, Hubertus & Grömling, Michael, 2021, "Kein schnelles Ende der Corona-Krise: Mittelfristige Produktions-, Beschäftigungs- und Investitionslücken der deutschen Industrie
  [No quick end to the corona crisis: Gaps in medium-term production, employment and investment in German industry]," IW-Trends – Vierteljahresschrift zur empirischen Wirtschaftsforschung, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, volume 48, issue 1, pages 23-39, DOI: 10.2373/1864-810X.21-01-02.
• Bardt, Hubertus & Grömling, Michael, 2021, "Privater Konsum in Deutschland: Die Auswirkungen der Corona-Pandemie im Spiegel früherer Konjunkturkrisen," IW-Trends – Vierteljahresschrift zur empirischen Wirtschaftsforschung, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, volume 48, issue 2, pages 3-22, DOI: 10.2373/1864-810X.21-02-01.
• Merkl, Christian & Stüber, Heiko, 2023, "Wage and employment cyclicalities at the establishment level," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics, number 06/2021, revised 2023.
• D'Acunto, Francesco & Hoang, Daniel & Paloviita, Maritta & Weber, Michael, 2021, "Effective policy communication: Targets versus instruments," Working Paper Series in Economics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management, number 147, DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000130652.
• D'Acunto, Francesco & Hoang, Daniel & Weber, Michael, 2021, "Managing households' expectations with unconventional policies," Working Paper Series in Economics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management, number 148, DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000130761.
• Blagov, Boris & Müller, Henrik & Jentsch, Carsten & Schmidt, Torsten, 2021, "The investment narrative: Improving private investment forecasts with media data," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 921, DOI: 10.4419/96973067.
• Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2021, "A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors," Working Papers, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, number 02/2021.
• Pagenhardt, Laura & Große Steffen, Christoph & Rieth, Malte, 2021, "Commited to Flexible Fiscal Rules," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 242330.
• Radke, Lucas & Wicknig, Florian, 2021, "Experience-Based Heterogeneity in Expectations and Monetary Policy," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 242414.
• Enders, Zeno & Vespermann, David, 2021, "Cross-country unemployment insurance, transfers, and trade-offs in international risk sharing," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 242430.
• Pellens, Maikel & Peters, Bettina & Hud, Martin & Rammer, Christian & Licht, Georg, 2021, "Public R&D Investment in Economic Crises," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 242467.

2020

• Wolf, Elias & Mokinski, Frieder & Schüler, Yves, 2020, "On adjusting the one-sided Hodrick-Prescott filter," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 11/2020.
• Kajuth, Florian, 2020, "The German housing market cycle: Answers to FAQs," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 20/2020.
• Hertrich, Markus, 2020, "Foreign exchange interventions under a one-sided target zone regime and the Swiss franc," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 21/2020.
• Kick, Thomas & Malinkovich, Swetlana & Merkl, Christian, 2020, "Loan supply and bank capital: A micro-macro linkage," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 27/2020.
• Schüler, Yves, 2020, "On the credit-to-GDP gap and spurious medium-term cycles," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 28/2020.
• Hartwig, Benny, 2020, "Robust inference intime-varying structural VAR models: The DC-Cholesky multivariate stochasticvolatility model," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 34/2020.
• Hürtgen, Patrick, 2020, "Fiscal sustainability duringthe COVID-19 pandemic," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 35/2020.
• Gareis, Johannes & Mayer, Eric, 2020, "Financial shocks and the relative dynamics of tangible and intangible investment: Evidence from the euro area," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 39/2020.
• Gerke, Rafael & Giesen, Sebastian & Kienzler, Daniel, 2020, "Interest rate pegs and the reversal puzzle: On the role of anticipation," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 50/2020.
• Metiu, Norbert, 2020, "Anticipation effects of protectionist U.S. trade policies," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 52/2020.
• Khalil, Makram, 2020, "Global oil prices and the macroeconomy: The role of tradeable manufacturing versus nontradeable services," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 60/2020.
• Hartwig, Benny & Lieberknecht, Philipp, 2020, "Monetary policy, firm exit and productivity," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 61/2020.
• Karau, Sören, 2020, "Buried in the vaults of central banks: Monetary gold hoarding and the slide into the Great Depression," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 63/2020.
• Böhl, Gregor & Strobel, Felix, 2020, "US business cycle dynamics at the zero lower bound," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 65/2020.
• Bursian, Dirk & Goldbach, Stefan & Jochem, Axel & Nagengast, Arne & Schön, Matthias & Stähler, Nikolai & Vetlov, Igor, 2020, "A model-based analysis of the German current account surplus," Technical Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 03/2020.
• Herwartz, Helmut & Ochsner, Christian & Rohloff, Hannes, 2020, "The credit composition of global liquidity," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics, number 409.
• Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Smets, Frank, 2020, "Effects of state-dependent forward guidance, large-scale asset purchases and fiscal stimulus in a low-interest-rate environment," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 639.
• Biécáková, Alena & Cortes, Guido Matias & Mazza, Jacopo, 2020, "Caught in the cycle: Economic conditions at enrollment and labor market outcomes of college graduates," CLEF Working Paper Series, Canadian Labour Economics Forum (CLEF), University of Waterloo, number 19.
• Blit, Joel, 2020, "Is increasing productivity COVID-19's silver lining?," CLEF Working Paper Series, Canadian Labour Economics Forum (CLEF), University of Waterloo, number 30.
• Blit, Joel, 2020, "Automation and reallocation: The lasting legacy of COVID-19 in Canada," CLEF Working Paper Series, Canadian Labour Economics Forum (CLEF), University of Waterloo, number 31.
• Avdic, Daniel & de New, Sonja C. & Kamhöfer, Daniel A., 2020, "Economic downturns and mental wellbeing," DICE Discussion Papers, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE), number 337.
• Gupta, Apoorva, 2020, "R&D and firm resilience during bad times," DICE Discussion Papers, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE), number 352.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2020, "Indeterminacy with preferences featuring multiplicative habits in consumption: lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2016)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue forthcomi.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2020, "How quantitatively important is public investment for both business cycle fluctuations and output growth in Bulgaria (1999-2018)?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue forthcomi.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2020, "An RBC model with non-Ricardian households: Lessons for Bulgaria (1999-2018)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue Forthcomi.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2020, "Optimal fiscal policy in a model with search-and-matching frictions: the case of Bulgaria (1999-2018)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue Forthcomi.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2020, "How quantitatively important are the shocks to the time endowment for business cycle fluctuations? Lessons for Bulgaria (1999-2018)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue forthcomi.
• Gießler, Stefan & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver, 2020, "(Since When) Are East and West German Business Cycles Synchronised?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue Ahead of , pages 1-28, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2019-0026.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2020, "A business-cycle-model with monopolistically-competitive firms and Calvo wages: Lessons for Bulgaria (1999-2018)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue Early Cit.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2020, "A progressive capital income tax - a bad idea, or just a useless idea? Lessons for Bulgaria (1999-2018)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 2, issue 4, pages 402-411.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2020, "Does the form of the Aggregate Production Function Matter for Modelling Business Cycle Fluctuations? Lessons for Bulgaria (1999-2018)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 18, pages 81-86.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2020, "A business-cycle model with a modified cash-in-advance feature and government sector: the case of Bulgaria (1999-2018)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue 4 (forthc, pages 47-59.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2020, "A business-cycle model with a modified cash-in-advance feature, government sector and one-period nominal wage contracts: the case of Bulgaria," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 6, issue 1(10), pages 19-38, DOI: 10.14505/jmef.v6.1(10).00.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2020, "Search and matching frictions and business cycle fluctuations in Bulgaria," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 19, issue 3, pages 319-340.
• Keshtgar, Nafiseh & Pahlavani, Mosayeb & Mirjalili, Seyed Hossein, 2020, "The Impact of Macroprudential Policies on the Vulnerability of the Banking System: Dynamic Panel Model," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 15, issue 4, pages 357-379, DOI: 10.29252/jme.15.4.357.
• Salzmann, Leonard, 2020, "China's Economic Slowdown and International Inflation Dynamics," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 176757, revised 2020.
• Levy, Daniel & Mayer, Tamir & Raviv, Alon, 2020, "Academic Scholarship in Light of the 2008 Financial Crisis: Textual Analysis of NBER Working Papers," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 214194.
• Heinrich, Markus, 2020, "Does the Current State of the Business Cycle matter for Real-Time Forecasting? A Mixed-Frequency Threshold VAR approach," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 219312.
• Pazhanisamy, R., 2020, "Asymmetric Information and Global Market Failure: Evidence and Policy Implications from Covid-19," EconStor Research Reports, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 228512.
• Faryna, Oleksandr & Pham, Tho & Talavera, Oleksandr & Tsapin, Andriy, 2020, "Wage Setting and Unemployment: Evidence from Online Job Vacancy Data," GLO Discussion Paper Series, Global Labor Organization (GLO), number 503.
• Nguena, Christian-Lambert & Kodila-Tedika, Oasis, 2020, "On Recessive and Expansionary Impact of Financial Development: Empirical Evidence," GLO Discussion Paper Series, Global Labor Organization (GLO), number 555.
• Haefke, Christian & Reiter, Michael, 2020, "Long Live the Vacancy," GLO Discussion Paper Series, Global Labor Organization (GLO), number 654.
• Petroulakis, Filippos, 2020, "Task content and job losses in the Great Lockdown," GLO Discussion Paper Series, Global Labor Organization (GLO), number 702.
• Martín-Román, Ángel L., 2020, "Beyond the added-worker and the discouraged-worker effects: the entitled-worker effect," GLO Discussion Paper Series, Global Labor Organization (GLO), number 707.
• Bonacini, Luca, 2020, "Unequal effects of the economic cycle on human capital investment. Evidence from Italian panel data," GLO Discussion Paper Series, Global Labor Organization (GLO), number 733.
• Borraz, Fernando & Livan, Giacomo & Rodríguez-Martínez, Anahí & Picardo, Pablo, 2020, "Price, sales, and the business cycle: a time series principal component analysis," GLO Discussion Paper Series, Global Labor Organization (GLO), number 735.
• Aßmuth, Pascal, 2020, "Stock price related financial fragility and growth patterns," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 14, pages 1-34, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2020-.
• Enders, Almira & Groll, Dominik & Stähler, Nikolai, 2020, "Parity funding of health care contributions in Germany: A DSGE perspective," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 279868.
• Ademmer, Martin & Jannsen, Nils & Mösle, Saskia, 2020, "Extreme weather events and economic activity: The case of low water levels on the Rhine river," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2155.
• Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2020, "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2158.
• Lechthaler, Wolfgang & Tesfaselassie, Mewael F., 2020, "Endogenous growth, skill obsolescence and output hysteresis in a New Keynesian model with unemployment," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2162.
• Böhl, Gregor & Goy, Gavin & Strobel, Felix, 2020, "A structural investigation of quantitative easing," IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS), number 142.
• Böhl, Gregor & Strobel, Felix, 2020, "US business cycle dynamics at the zero lower bound," IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS), number 143.
• Hasan, Iftekhar & Manfredonia, Stefano & Noth, Felix, 2020, "Cultural resilience and economic recovery: Evidence from Hurricane Katrina," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 16/2020.
• Böhm, Hannes & Schaumburg, Julia & Tonzer, Lena, 2020, "Financial linkages and sectoral business cycle synchronisation: Evidence from Europe," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 2/2020.
• Claudio, João C. & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2020, "On the international dissemination of technology news shocks," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 25/2020.
• Berner, Julian & Buchholz, Manuel & Tonzer, Lena, 2020, "Asymmetric investment responses to firm-specific forecast errors," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 5/2020.
• Demary, Markus & Hüther, Michael, 2020, "Führt die Corona-Krise zu einer Bankenkrise? Anlass zu sorgsamer Beobachtung, nicht aber vorsorglicher Intervention," IW policy papers, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, number 17/2020.
• Grömling, Michael & Hüther, Michael & Beznoska, Martin & Demary, Markus, 2020, "Wirtschaftspolitische Antworten auf die Corona-Krise: Liquidität hat Vorrang!," IW policy papers, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, number 4/2020.
• Demary, Markus & Hasenclever, Stefan & Hüther, Michael, 2020, "How will the COVID-19-crisis affect the trend in corporate saving?," IW-Reports, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, number 61/2020.
• Bardt, Hubertus & Grömling, Michael, 2020, "Kein schnelles Ende des Corona-Schocks: Ökonomische Einschätzungen deutscher Unternehmen
  [No abrupt end to the corona shock: How German companies assess the future of the economy]," IW-Trends – Vierteljahresschrift zur empirischen Wirtschaftsforschung, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, volume 47, issue 2, pages 21-41, DOI: 10.2373/1864-810X.20-02-02.
• Goecke, Henry & Grömling, Michael & Wendt, Jan Marten, 2020, "Lkw-Verkehrsdaten in der Konjunkturanalyse: Eine Anwendung für die bayerische Wirtschaft
  [Road haulage data in business cycle analysis: An application for the Bavarian economy]," IW-Trends – Vierteljahresschrift zur empirischen Wirtschaftsforschung, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, volume 47, issue 3, pages 79-92, DOI: 10.2373/1864-810X.20-03-05.