Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E32: Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Estimated DSGE Models
2. Dynamic Factor Models
3. Real Business Cycle Theory
4. Labor in RBC models
5. International RBC

2018

• Bjorn Richter & Moritz Schularick & Paul Wachtel, 2018, "When to Lean Against the Wind," Working Papers, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics, number 18-10.
• Alexander Doser & Ricardo Nunes & Nikhil Rao & Viacheslav Sheremirov, 2018, "Inflation Expectations and Nonlinearities in the Phillips Curve," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 1018, Aug.
• Syed Hassan & Sarosh Shabi & Taufiq Choudhry, 2018, "US Economic Uncertainty, EU Business Cycles and the Global Financial Crisis," Working Papers, Swansea University, School of Management, number 2018-05, Feb.
• Syed Hassan & Sarosh Shabi & Taufiq Choudhry, 2018, "Asymmetry, Uncertainty and International Trade," Working Papers, Swansea University, School of Management, number 2018-24, Feb.
• Eo, Yunjong & Lie, Denny, 2018, "Changes in the Inflation Target and the Comovement between Inflation and the Nominal Interest Rate," Working Papers, University of Sydney, School of Economics, number 2018-02, Jul, revised May 2020.
• Morley, James & Wong, Benjamin, 2018, "Estimating and Accounting for the Output Gap with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers, University of Sydney, School of Economics, number 2018-04, Sep, revised Feb 2019.
• Klaus Gründler & Sarah Sauerhammer, 2018, "Do expectations matter? Reassessing the effects of government spending on key macroeconomic variables in Germany," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 25, issue 15, pages 1045-1050, September, DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1394967.
• Marcelo Arbex & Sidney Caetano & Michel Souza, 2018, "Asymmetric effects of shocks on TFP," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 25, issue 3, pages 206-210, February, DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1310990.
• Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Fabien Tripier, 2018, "Uncertainty and the macroeconomy: evidence from an uncertainty composite indicator," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 50, issue 10, pages 1093-1107, February, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1349294.
• Emilio Colombo & Valentina Rotondi & Luca Stanca, 2018, "Macroeconomic conditions and well-being: do social interactions matter?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 50, issue 28, pages 3029-3038, June, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1414935.
• Christopher Thiem, 2018, "Oil price uncertainty and the business cycle: Accounting for the influences of global supply and demand within a VAR GARCH-in-mean framework," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 50, issue 34-35, pages 3735-3751, July, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1436142.
• Martin Ademmer & Nils Jannsen, 2018, "Post-crisis business investment in the euro area and the role of monetary policy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 50, issue 34-35, pages 3787-3797, July, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1436147.
• Grzegorz Wesoƚowski, 2018, "Do long-term interest rates drive GDP and inflation in small open economies? Evidence from Poland," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 50, issue 57, pages 6174-6192, December, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489507.
• Elena Deryugina & Alexey Ponomarenko & Andrey Sinyakov & Constantine Sorokin, 2018, "Evaluating underlying inflation measures for Russia," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 11, issue 2, pages 124-145, May, DOI: 10.1080/17520843.2017.1301511.
• Aleksandar Vasilev, 2018, "A real-business-cycle model with pollution and environmental taxation: the case of Bulgaria," Journal of Environmental Economics and Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 7, issue 4, pages 441-451, October, DOI: 10.1080/21606544.2018.1480972.
• Daniel Levy & Avichai Snir, 2018, "Here Lives a Wealthy Man: Price Rigidity and Predictability in Luxury Housing Markets," Working Papers, International School of Economics at TSU, Tbilisi, Republic of Georgia, number 001-18 JEL Codes: E31, E3.
• Evren Erdogan Cosar, 2018, "A Revised Direct Output Gap Measure for the Turkish Economy," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1804.
• Evren Erdogan Cosar & Sayg�n Sahinoz, 2018, "Quantifying Uncertainty and Identifying its Impacts on the Turkish Economy," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1806.
• Selen Andic, 2018, "Multivariate Filter for Estimating Potential Output and Output Gap in Turkey," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1807.
• Jean-Olivier Hairault & Fran ois Langot & Thepthida Sopraseuth, 2018, "Unemployment Fluctuations Over the Life Cycle," TEPP Working Paper, TEPP, number 2018-11.
• Eleni Iliopulos & Fran ois Langot & Thepthida Sopraseuth, 2018, "Welfare Cost of Fluctuations. When Labor Market Search Interacts with Financial Frictions," TEPP Working Paper, TEPP, number 2018-13.
• Edward Kane, 2018, "Double Whammy: Implicit Subsidies and the Great Financial Crisis," Working Papers Series, Institute for New Economic Thinking, number 81, Sep, DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3258225.
• Eva (E.F.) Janssens & Robin (R.) Lumsdaine & Sebastiaan (S.H.L.C.G.) Vermeulen, 2018, "An Epidemiological Model of Crisis Spread Across Sectors in The United States," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 18-008/III, Jan.
• Pim B. Kastelein & Ward E. Romp, 2018, "Pension Fund Restoration Policy In General Equilibrium," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 18-053/VI, May, revised 06 Jul 2018.
• Eric Bartelsman & Paloma Lopez-Garcia & Giorgio Presidente, 2018, "Cyclical and Stuctural Variation in Resource Reallocation: Evidence for Europe," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 18-057/VI, Jun.
• Agnieszka (A.P.) Markiewicz & Rafal Raciborski, 2018, "Income Inequality and Stock Market Returns," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 18-075/IV, Oct.
• Guay C. Lim & Robert Dixon & Jan (J.C.) van Ours, 2018, "Beyond Okun's Law: Output Growth and Labor Market Flows," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 18-097/V, Dec.
• Noritaka Kudoh & Hiroaki Miyamoto & Masaru Sasaki, 2018, "Employment and Hours over the Business Cycle in a Model with Search Frictions," CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo, number CIRJE-F-1084, Apr.
• Toshihiko Mukoyama & Mototsugu Shintani & Kazuhiro Teramoto, 2018, "Cyclical Part-Time Employment in an Estimated New Keynesian Model with Search Frictions," CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo, number CIRJE-F-1093, Aug.
• Wen Yao & Xiaodong Zhu, 2018, "Structural Change and Aggregate Employment Fluctuations in China and the US," Working Papers, University of Toronto, Department of Economics, number tecipa-600, Apr.
• Kajal Lahiri & Yongchen Zhao, 2018, "International Propagation of Shocks: A Dynamic Factor Model Using Survey Forecasts," Working Papers, Towson University, Department of Economics, number 2018-04, Sep, revised Sep 2018.
• R. Tamara Konetzka & Karen B. Lasater & Edward C. Norton & Rachel M. Werner, 2018, "Are Recessions Good for Staffing in Nursing Homes?," American Journal of Health Economics, MIT Press, volume 4, issue 4, pages 411-432, Fall.
• Günes Kamber & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2018, "Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 100, issue 3, pages 550-566, July.
• Emanuele Ciola & EDOARDO GAFFEO & Mauro Gallegati, 2018, "Matching frictions, credit reallocation and macroeconomic activity: how harmful are financial crises?," DEM Working Papers, Department of Economics and Management, number 2018/05.
• Gersbach, Hans & Rochet, Jean-Charles & Scheffel, Martin, 2018, "Financial Intermediation, Capital Accumulation and Crisis Recovery," TSE Working Papers, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), number 18-885, Jan.
• Fève, Patrick & Moura, Alban & Pierrard, Olivier, 2018, "Predetermined Interest Rates in a Analytical RBC model," TSE Working Papers, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), number 18-954, Sep.
• Chahrour, Ryan & Ulbricht, Robert, 2018, "Robust Predictions for DSGE Models with Incomplete Information," TSE Working Papers, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), number 18-971, Nov, revised Mar 2019.
• Guido Baldi & Andre Bodmer, 2018, "Intangible Capital Formation, International Equity Investments, and Output Synchronization," Diskussionsschriften, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft, number dp1810, Jun.
• Yannic Stucki & Jacqueline Thomet, 2018, "A neoclassical perspective on Switzerland s 1990s stagnation," Diskussionsschriften, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft, number dp1818, Jun.
• Jacqueline Thomet & Philipp Wegm ller, 2018, "Technology shocks and hours worked: a cross-country analysis," Diskussionsschriften, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft, number dp1819, Jun.
• Yannic Stucki & Jacqueline Thomet, 2018, "The effects of firing costs on employment and hours per employee," Diskussionsschriften, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft, number dp1820, Jul.
• Christian Myohl, 2018, "The Effect of a Financial Block on the Identification of Confidence Shocks in a Structural VAR Model," Diskussionsschriften, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft, number dp1821, Aug.
• Christian Myohl & Yannic Stucki, 2018, "Confidence and the Financial Accelerator," Diskussionsschriften, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft, number dp1823, Jul.
• R. Tamara Konetzka & Karen B. Lasater & Edward C. Norton & Rachel M. Werner, 2018, "Are Recessions Good for Staffing in Nursing Homes?," American Journal of Health Economics, University of Chicago Press, volume 4, issue 4, pages 411-432, Fall.
• John Haltiwanger & Henry Hyatt & Erika McEntarfer, 2018, "Who Moves Up the Job Ladder?," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, volume 36, issue S1, pages 301-336, DOI: 10.1086/694417.
• Mary F. Evans & Scott M. Gilpatric & Jay P. Shimshack, 2018, "Enforcement Spillovers: Lessons from Strategic Interactions in Regulation and Product Markets," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, volume 61, issue 4, pages 739-769, DOI: 10.1086/700281.
• Javier Bianchi & Enrique G. Mendoza, 2018, "Optimal Time-Consistent Macroprudential Policy," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, volume 126, issue 2, pages 588-634, DOI: 10.1086/696280.
• Miroslav Gabrovski & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2018, "Housing Market Dynamics with Search Frictions," Working Papers, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, number 201804, Mar.
• Miroslav Gabrovski & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2018, "Search and Credit Frictions in the Housing Market," Working Papers, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, number 201816, Sep.
• Mykhailo Matvieiev, 2018, "Land Reform in the Credit Cycle Framework: The Case of Ukraine," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 245, pages 4-29, DOI: 10.26531/vnbu2018.245.01.
• Oleksandr Faryna & Heli Simola, 2018, "The Transmission of International Shocks to CIS Economies: A Global VAR Approach," Working Papers, National Bank of Ukraine, number 04/2018, Sep.
• Cristiano Cantore & Filippo Ferroni & Miguel A. Leon-Ledesma, 2018, "The Missing Link: Monetary Policy and The Labor Share," Studies in Economics, School of Economics, University of Kent, number 1808, Jun.
• Jan-Philipp Dueber, 2018, "Endogenous Time-Varying Volatility and Emerging Market Business Cycles," Studies in Economics, School of Economics, University of Kent, number 1811, Oct.
• Anthony Savagar, 2018, "Measured Productivity with Endogenous Markups and Economic Profits," Studies in Economics, School of Economics, University of Kent, number 1812, Oct.
• José Carrión Pesantez & Diego Ochoa-Jiménez, 2018, "Endogeneity of the natural rate of economic growth in Ecuador: 1970-2014," Economía, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas y Sociales (IIES). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Sociales. Universidad de Los Andes. Mérida, Venezuela, volume 43, issue 45, pages 49-71, January-J.
• José Mora, 2018, "Theoretical aggregate supply and demand model for the venezuelan economy," Economía, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas y Sociales (IIES). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Sociales. Universidad de Los Andes. Mérida, Venezuela, volume 43, issue 46, pages 65-100, july-dece.
• Stefano BOSI & David DESMARCHELIER, 2018, "Pollution effects on disease transmission and economic stability," Working Papers of BETA, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg, number 2018-11.
• Francis Bismans, 2018, "Is the South African economy likely to fall back into recession in 2018-2019?," Working Papers of BETA, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg, number 2018-33.
• Marianna Epicoco, 2018, "Technological change and economic development: endogenous and exogenous fluctuations," Working Papers of BETA, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg, number 2018-34.
• Stefano BOSI & David DESMARCHELIER, 2018, "Pollution, carrying capacity and the Allee effect," Working Papers of BETA, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg, number 2018-37.
• Bibiana Lanzilotta & Gabriela Mordecki & Victoria Umpiérrez, 2018, "Political economic uncertainty in a small & open economy: the case of Uruguay," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers), Instituto de Economía - IECON, number 18-05, May.
• Ronald Miranda & Leonel Muinelo-Gallo, 2018, "The behavior of social transfers over the business cycle: empirical evidence of Uruguay," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers), Instituto de Economía - IECON, number 18-15.
• Arslan Razmi, 2018, "Montenegro’s Unilateral Euroization," UMASS Amherst Economics Working Papers, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Department of Economics, number 2018-13.
• Alberto Martin & Enrique Moral-Benito & Tom Schmitz, 2018, "The financial transmission of housing booms: evidence from Spain," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1613, Jun, revised Sep 2020.
• Vladimir Asriyan & Luc Laeven & Alberto Martin, 2020, "Collateral booms and information depletion," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1622, Dec, revised Jan 2019.
• Roberto M. Billi & Jordi Galí, 2018, "Gains from wage flexibility and the zero lower bound," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1625, Dec, revised Feb 2019.
• Christoph Albert & Andrea Caggese, 2018, "Cyclical fluctuations, financial shocks, and the entry of fast-growing entrepreneurial startups," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1628, Dec, revised Jun 2019.
• Italo Pedrosa & Dany Lang, 2018, "Heterogeneity, distribution and financial fragility of non-financial firms: an agent-based stock-flow consistent (AB-SFC) model," CEPN Working Papers, Centre d'Economie de l'Université de Paris Nord, number 2018-11, Nov.
• Andrey Polbin & Mikhail Andreyev & Andrey Zubarev, 2018, "How Commodity Prices Influence the Members of the Eurasian Economic Union," Economy of region, Centre for Economic Security, Institute of Economics of Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, volume 1, issue 2, pages 623-637.
• Laura Gardini & Iryna Sushko, 2018, "Growing through chaos in the Matsuyama map via subcritical flip and bistability," Working Papers, University of Urbino Carlo Bo, Department of Economics, Society & Politics - Scientific Committee - L. Stefanini & G. Travaglini, number 1801, revised 2018.
• Thomas Walther & Lanouar Charfeddine & Tony Klein, 2018, "Oil Price Changes and U.S. Real GDP Growth: Is this Time Different?," Working Papers on Finance, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance, number 1816, May.
• Marwil J. Dávila-Fernández & Serena Sordi, 2018, "Path dependence, distributive cycles and export capacity in a BoPC growth model," Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena, number 785, Oct.
• Ricardo A. Araújo & Marwil J. Dávila-Fernández, 2018, "Some new insights on the empirics of Goodwin’s growth-cycle model," Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena, number 790, Nov.
• Marwil J. Dávila-Fernández, 2018, "Alternative Approaches to Technological Change when Growth is BoPC," Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena, number 795, Dec.
• Korkut Alp Erturk & Ivan Mendieta-Munoz, 2018, "The changing dynamics of short-run output adjustment," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah, University of Utah, Department of Economics, number 2018_04.
• Robert Calvert Jump & Cars Hommes & Paul Levine, 2018, "Learning, Heterogeneity, and Complexity in the New Keynesian Model," Working Papers, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol, number 20181807, Jan.
• Dmitry Levando & Maxim Sakharov, 2018, "Natural Instability of Equilibrium Prices," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari", number 2018:01.
• Michael Donadelli & Luca Gerotto & Marcella Lucchetta & Daniela Arzu, 2018, "Migration Fear, Uncertainty, and Macroeconomic Dynamics," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari", number 2018:29.
• Martin Wolf, 2018, "Optimal Prudential Policy in Economies with Downward Wage Rigidity," Vienna Economics Papers, University of Vienna, Department of Economics, number vie1804, Aug.
• DINGA, Emil, 2018, "Direct And Back Reactions Between Real And Nominal Economic Convergence," Journal of Financial and Monetary Economics, Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", volume 6, issue 1, pages 169-175, October.
• AILINCA, Alina Georgeta, 2018, "Identification Criteria Of Automatic Stabilizers And Their Typological Classes," Journal of Financial and Monetary Economics, Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", volume 6, issue 1, pages 39-47, October.
• Gonzalo Caballero & Marcos Álvarez-Díaz, 2018, "The Procyclicality of Political Trust in Spain," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, volume 65, issue 1, pages 21-36.
• Kıvanç Halil Arıç & Serkan Taştan, 2018, "Are China and India Decoupling from the United States?," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, volume 65, issue 1, pages 65-78.
• Dmitry Burakov, 2018, "Retesting the Institutional Memory Hypothesis: An Experimental Study," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, volume 65, issue 4, pages 441-458.
• Tanja Broz, 2018, "Should the EMU Stop Enlarging?," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, volume 65, issue 4, pages 459-477.
• Vladimir Filipovski & Predrag Trpeski & Jane Bogoev, 2018, "Business Cycle Synchronization of a Small Open EU-Candidate Country’s Economy with the EU Economy," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, volume 65, issue 5, pages 609-631.
• Skikiewicz Robert & Garczarczyk Józef, 2018, "Cyclical Fluctuations in the Banking Services Market and the Changes in the Situation of Entities from the Financial Services Sector," Central European Economic Journal, Paradigm, volume 5, issue 52, pages 118-129, January, DOI: 10.1515/ceej-2018-0014.
• Vasilev Aleksandar, 2018, "The Role of Energy in a Real Business Cycle Model with an Endogenous Capital Utilization Rate in a Government Sector: Lessons from Bulgaria (1999–2016)," Central European Economic Journal, Paradigm, volume 5, issue 52, pages 130-141, January, DOI: 10.1515/ceej-2018-0011.
• Przybylska-Mazur Agnieszka, 2018, "Types of Government Deficit in Respect of Fiscal Decision-Making," Financial Sciences. Nauki o Finansach, Paradigm, volume 23, issue 2, pages 60-74, June, DOI: 10.15611/fins.2018.2.05.
• Barczyk Ryszard, 2018, "The Business Cycle and Cycles in The Banking Sector in The Polish Economy in The Years 2000‒2017," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Paradigm, volume 18, issue 2, pages 106-120, December, DOI: 10.2478/foli-2018-0022.
• Harnos László, 2018, "Cycles of the Housing Market in Hungary from the Economic Crisis until Today," Naše gospodarstvo/Our economy, Paradigm, volume 64, issue 2, pages 3-14, June, DOI: 10.2478/ngoe-2018-0007.
• Croitoru Gabriel & Duica Mircea Constantin & Manolache Dorin Claudiu & Banu Mihaela Ancuta, 2018, "Entrepreneurial Education - a New Challenge for Universities in Romania," Valahian Journal of Economic Studies, Paradigm, volume 9, issue 2, pages 57-68, November, DOI: 10.2478/vjes-2018-0018.
• Yuzuka Kashiwagi & Petr Matous & Yasuyuki Todo, 2018, "International propagation of economic shocks through global supply chains," Working Papers, Waseda University, Faculty of Political Science and Economics, number 1810, Nov.
• Michal Brzezinski, 2018, "What accounts for the rise of low self-rated health during the recent economic crisis in Europe?," Working Papers, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, number 2018-16.
• Gunter,Samara & Riera-Crichton,Daniel & Vegh Gramont,Carlos Alberto & Vuletin,Guillermo Javier, 2018, "Non-Linear Effects of Tax Changes on Output : The Role of the Initial Level of Taxation," Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank, number 8668, Dec.
• Anja Sebbesen & Harald Oberhofer, 2018, "The Propagation of Business Sentiment within the European Union?," WIFO Working Papers, WIFO, number 549, Jan.
• Ralf Fendel & Nicola Mai & Oliver Mohr, 2018, "Recession Probabilities for the Eurozone at the Zero Lower Bound: Challenges to the Term Spread and Rise of Alternatives," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management, number 18-04, Jul.
• Amat Adarov & Vasily Astrov & Alexandra Bykova & Rumen Dobrinsky & Richard Grieveson & Julia Grübler & Doris Hanzl-Weiss & Peter Havlik & Philipp Heimberger & Mario Holzner & Gabor Hunya & Michael Lan, 2018, "Strong Growth Amid Increased Negative Risks," wiiw Forecast Reports, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw, number Autumn2018, Nov.
• Marcelo Arbex & Sidney Caetano & Wilson Correa, 2018, "Macroeconomic Effects of Inflation Target Uncertainty Shocks," Working Papers, University of Windsor, Department of Economics, number 1804, Dec.
• Anja Kukuvec & Harald Oberhofer, 2018, "The propagation of business sentiment within the European Union," Department of Economics Working Papers, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics, number wuwp257, Jan.
• Niko Hauzenberger & Maximilian Böck & Michael Pfarrhofer & Anna Stelzer & Gregor Zens, 2018, "Implications of Macroeconomic Volatility in the Euro Area," Department of Economics Working Papers, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics, number wuwp261, Apr.
• Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber, 2018, "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Department of Economics Working Papers, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics, number wuwp276, Dec.
• Kukuvec, Anja & Oberhofer, Harald, 2018, "The propagation of business sentiment within the European Union," Department of Economics Working Paper Series, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, number 257.
• Hauzenberger, Niko & Böck, Maximilian & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Stelzer, Anna & Zens, Gregor, 2018, "Implications of Macroeconomic Volatility in the Euro Area," Department of Economics Working Paper Series, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, number 6246, Apr.
• Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian, 2018, "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Department of Economics Working Paper Series, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, number 276, Dec.
• Feldkircher, Martin & Kakamu, Kazuhiko, 2018, "How does monetary policy affect income inequality in Japan? Evidence from grouped data," Working Papers in Regional Science, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, number 2018/03.
• Pierre Siklos, 2018, "Boom-and-Bust Cycles in Emerging Markets: How Important is the Exchange Rate?," LCERPA Working Papers, Laurier Centre for Economic Research and Policy Analysis, number 0108, Jan, revised 30 Jan 2018.
• José Dorich & Nicholas Labelle St‐Pierre & Vadym Lepetyuk & Rhys R. Mendes, 2018, "Could a higher inflation target enhance macroeconomic stability?," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, volume 51, issue 3, pages 1029-1055, August, DOI: 10.1111/caje.12343.
• Sami Alpanda & Gino Cateau & Césaire Meh, 2018, "A policy model to analyze macroprudential regulations and monetary policy," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, volume 51, issue 3, pages 828-863, August, DOI: 10.1111/caje.12339.
• Malik Shukayev & Alexander Ueberfeldt, 2018, "Monetary policy tradeoffs between financial stability and price stability," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, volume 51, issue 3, pages 901-945, August, DOI: 10.1111/caje.12340.
• Simon Gilchrist & Benoit Mojon, 2018, "Credit Risk in the Euro Area," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 128, issue 608, pages 118-158, February, DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12427.
• Kevin J. Lansing & Agnieszka Markiewicz, 2018, "Top Incomes, Rising Inequality and Welfare," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 128, issue 608, pages 262-297, February, DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12411.
• Isabel Cairó & Tomaz Cajner, 2018, "Human Capital and Unemployment Dynamics: Why More Educated Workers Enjoy Greater Employment Stability," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 128, issue 609, pages 652-682, March, DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12441.
• Michael Plante & Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton, 2018, "The Zero Lower Bound and Endogenous Uncertainty," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 128, issue 611, pages 1730-1757, June, DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12445.
• Benedetto Molinari & Francesco Turino, 2018, "Advertising and Aggregate Consumption: A Bayesian DSGE Assessment," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 128, issue 613, pages 2106-2130, August, DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12514.
• Michele Piffer & Maximilian Podstawski, 2018, "Identifying Uncertainty Shocks Using the Price of Gold," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 128, issue 616, pages 3266-3284, December, DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12545.
• Oliver de Groot & Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton, 2018, "Uncertainty Shocks in a Model of Effective Demand: Comment," Econometrica, Econometric Society, volume 86, issue 4, pages 1513-1526, July, DOI: 10.3982/ECTA15405.
• Susanto Basu & Brent Bundick, 2018, "Uncertainty Shocks in a Model of Effective Demand: Reply," Econometrica, Econometric Society, volume 86, issue 4, pages 1527-1531, July, DOI: 10.3982/ECTA16262.
• George‐Marios Angeletos & Fabrice Collard & Harris Dellas, 2018, "Quantifying Confidence," Econometrica, Econometric Society, volume 86, issue 5, pages 1689-1726, September, DOI: 10.3982/ECTA13079.
• Haroon Mumtaz & Gabor Pinter & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2018, "What Do Vars Tell Us About The Impact Of A Credit Supply Shock?," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, volume 59, issue 2, pages 625-646, May, DOI: 10.1111/iere.12282.
• Claudia Foroni & Francesco Furlanetto & Antoine Lepetit, 2018, "Labor Supply Factors And Economic Fluctuations," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, volume 59, issue 3, pages 1491-1510, August, DOI: 10.1111/iere.12311.
• Gerhard Rünstler & Marente Vlekke, 2018, "Business, housing, and credit cycles," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 33, issue 2, pages 212-226, March, DOI: 10.1002/jae.2604.
• John M. Maheu & Yong Song, 2018, "An efficient Bayesian approach to multiple structural change in multivariate time series," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 33, issue 2, pages 251-270, March, DOI: 10.1002/jae.2606.
• Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2018, "Policy uncertainty and aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 33, issue 3, pages 319-331, April, DOI: 10.1002/jae.2613.
• Marco Bernardini & Gert Peersman, 2018, "Private debt overhang and the government spending multiplier: Evidence for the United States," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 33, issue 4, pages 485-508, June, DOI: 10.1002/jae.2618.
• Joshua C. C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2018, "Bayesian model comparison for time‐varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 33, issue 4, pages 509-532, June, DOI: 10.1002/jae.2617.
• Laurent Ferrara & Pierre Guérin, 2018, "What are the macroeconomic effects of high‐frequency uncertainty shocks?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 33, issue 5, pages 662-679, August, DOI: 10.1002/jae.2624.
• Maik H. Wolters, 2018, "How the baby boomers' retirement wave distorts model‐based output gap estimates," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 33, issue 5, pages 680-689, August, DOI: 10.1002/jae.2636.
• Sébastien Fries & Jean‐Stéphane Mésonnier & Sarah Mouabbi & Jean‐Paul Renne, 2018, "National natural rates of interest and the single monetary policy in the euro area," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 33, issue 6, pages 763-779, September, DOI: 10.1002/jae.2637.
• Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2018, "Forecasting US GNP growth: The role of uncertainty," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 37, issue 5, pages 541-559, August, DOI: 10.1002/for.2517.
• Timothy S. Hills & Taisuke Nakata, 2018, "Fiscal Multipliers at the Zero Lower Bound: The Role of Policy Inertia," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 50, issue 1, pages 155-172, February, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12456.
• Munechika Katayama & Kwang Hwan Kim, 2018, "Intersectoral Labor Immobility, Sectoral Comovement, and News Shocks," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 50, issue 1, pages 77-114, February, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12454.
• Jordan Roulleau‐Pasdeloup, 2018, "The Government Spending Multiplier in a (Mis)Managed Liquidity Trap," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 50, issue 2-3, pages 293-315, March, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12461.
• Emmanuel De Veirman & Andrew Levin, 2018, "Cyclical Changes in Firm Volatility," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 50, issue 2-3, pages 317-349, March, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12462.
• Neville Francis & Laura E. Jackson & Michael T. Owyang, 2018, "Countercyclical Policy and the Speed of Recovery after Recessions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 50, issue 4, pages 675-704, June, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12477.
• Julien Champagne & Guillaume Poulin‐Bellisle & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2018, "The Real‐Time Properties of the Bank of Canada's Staff Output Gap Estimates," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 50, issue 6, pages 1167-1188, September, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12493.
• Marek Jarociński & Michele Lenza, 2018, "An Inflation‐Predicting Measure of the Output Gap in the Euro Area," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 50, issue 6, pages 1189-1224, September, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12496.
• Masashige Hamano & Francesco Zanetti, 2018, "On Quality and Variety Bias in Aggregate Prices," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 50, issue 6, pages 1343-1363, September, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12476.
• Anna Kormilitsina & Sarah Zubairy, 2018, "Propagation Mechanisms for Government Spending Shocks: A Bayesian Comparison," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 50, issue 7, pages 1571-1616, October, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12555.
• Paolo Gelain & Kevin J. Lansing & Gisle J. Natvik, 2018, "Explaining the Boom–Bust Cycle in the U.S. Housing Market: A Reverse‐Engineering Approach," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 50, issue 8, pages 1751-1783, December, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12504.
• Franziska Bremus & Claudia M. Buch & Katheryn N. Russ & Monika Schnitzer, 2018, "Big Banks and Macroeconomic Outcomes: Theory and Cross‐Country Evidence of Granularity," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 50, issue 8, pages 1785-1825, December, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12545.
• Gregory E. Givens & Robert R. Reed, 2018, "Monetary Policy and Investment Dynamics: Evidence from Disaggregate Data," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 50, issue 8, pages 1851-1878, December, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12519.
• Haroon Mumtaz & Laura Sunder‐Plassmann & Angeliki Theophilopoulou, 2018, "The State‐Level Impact of Uncertainty Shocks," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 50, issue 8, pages 1879-1899, December, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12509.
• Grey Gordon & Shi Qiu, 2018, "A divide and conquer algorithm for exploiting policy function monotonicity," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, volume 9, issue 2, pages 521-540, July, DOI: 10.3982/QE640.
• Jesús Fernández‐Villaverde & Oren Levintal, 2018, "Solution methods for models with rare disasters," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, volume 9, issue 2, pages 903-944, July, DOI: 10.3982/QE744.
• Andrzej Kocięcki & Marcin Kolasa, 2018, "Global identification of linearized DSGE models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, volume 9, issue 3, pages 1243-1263, November, DOI: 10.3982/QE530.
• Thomas Hintermaier & Winfried Koeniger, 2018, "Household debt and crises of confidence," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, volume 9, issue 3, pages 1489-1542, November, DOI: 10.3982/QE769.
• Gregory Colman & Dhaval Dave, 2018, "Unemployment and Health Behaviors over the Business Cycle: A Longitudinal View," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, volume 85, issue 1, pages 93-120, July, DOI: 10.1002/soej.12283.
• Martin, Chris & Wang, Bingsong, 2018, "Unemployment Volatility in a Behavioural Search Model," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics, number 1179.
• Sangyup Choi & Myungkyu Shim, 2018, "Financial vs. Policy Uncertainty in Emerging Market Economies," Working papers, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute, number 2018rwp-116, Mar.
• Lance A. Fisher & Hyeon-seung Huh, 2018, "Combining sign and parametric restrictions in SVARs by Givens Rotations," Working papers, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute, number 2018rwp-122, Jun.
• Sangyup Choi, 2018, "Bank Lending Standards, Loan Demand, and the Macroeconomy: Evidence from the Emerging Market Bank Loan Officer Survey," Working papers, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute, number 2018rwp-126, Jul.
• Sangyup Choi & Myungkyu Shim, 2018, "Labor Market Dynamics in Developing Economies: the Role of Subsistence Consumption," Working papers, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute, number 2018rwp-127, Aug.
• Črt Lenarčič, 2018, "Oil Shocks and the Excise Duty Tax in a DSGE Model Setting," Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, volume 21, issue 2, pages 49-69, November, DOI: 10.2478/zireb-2018-0014.
• Ahrens, Steffen & Lustenhouwer, Joep & Tettamanzi, Michele, 2018, "The stabilizing role of forward guidance: A macro experiment," BERG Working Paper Series, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group, number 137.
• Faryna, Oleksandr & Simola, Heli, 2018, "The transmission of international shocks to CIS economies: A Global VAR approach," BOFIT Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT), number 17/2018.
• Pasten, Ernosto & Schoenle, Raphael & Weber, Michael, 2018, "Price rigidities and the granular origins of aggregate fluctuations," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 3/2018.
• Oinonen, Sami & Paloviita, Maritta & Viren, Matti, 2018, "Effects of monetary policy decisions on professional forecasters' expectations and expectations uncertainty," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 24/2018.
• Schüler, Yves S., 2018, "On the cyclical properties of Hamilton's regression filter," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 03/2018.
• Nakatani, Ryota, 2018, "Output Costs of Currency Crises: Shocks, Policies and Cycles," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 83549, Jan.
• Pincheira, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolas, 2018, "Forecasting Base Metal Prices with Commodity Currencies," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 83564, Jan.
• Harashima, Taiji, 2018, "Bubbles and Bluffs: Risk Lovers Can Survive Economically," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 83615, Jan.
• Gomez-Loscos, Ana & Gadea, M. Dolores & Bandres, Eduardo, 2018, "Business cycle patterns in European regions," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 83964, Jan.
• Ojo, Marianne, 2018, "Greater certainty in trade relations?: understated strategic alliances, vital legislation, trade and regional agreements," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 84050.
• Ogawa, Shogo, 2018, "Dynamic Analysis of a Disequilibrium Macroeconomic Model with Dual Labor Markets," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 84107, Jan.
• Sabaj, Ernil, 2018, "Cyclical Behavior of Fiscal Policy in the Western Balkans," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 84279, Feb.
• Harashima, Taiji, 2018, "Why Are Inflation and Real Interest Rates So Low? A Mechanism of Low and Floating Real Interest and Inflation Rates," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 84311, Apr.
• Mashabela, Juliet & Raputsoane, Leroi, 2018, "The behaviour of disaggregated transitory and potential output over the economic cycle," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 84422, Feb.
• MacDonald, Stephen & Meyer, Leslie, 2018, "Long Run Trends and Fluctuations In Cotton Prices," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 84484, Jan, revised 10 Feb 2018.
• Ledenyov, Viktor O. & Ledenyov, Dimitri O., 2018, "Business Cycles in Economics," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 84959, Mar.
• Cavallari, Lilia, 2018, "Monetary policy with non-homothetic preferences," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 85147, Feb.
• Levy, Daniel & Snir, Avichai, 2018, "Here Lives a Wealthy Man: Price Rigidity and Predictability in Luxury Housing Markets," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 85264, Feb.
• Accolley, Delali, 2018, "Accounting for Busines Cycles in Canada: II. The Role of Money," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 85481, Mar.
• Hasumi, Ryo & Iibsoshi, Hirokuni & Nakamura, Daisuke, 2018, "Trends, Cycles and Lost Decades: Decomposition from a DSGE Model with Endogenous Growth," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 85521, Jan.
• Hasumi, Ryo & Iiboshi, Hirokuni & Matsumae, Tatsuyoshi & Nakamura, Daisuke, 2018, "Does a financial accelerator improve forecasts during financial crises?: Evidence from Japan with Prediction Pool Methods," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 85523, Mar.
• Nishi, Hiroshi, 2018, "A Dynamic Analysis of Demand and Productivity Growth in a Two-sector Kaleckian Model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 86778, Apr.
• Nishi, Hiroshi, 2018, "Balance-of-payments-constrained Cyclical Growth with Distributive Class Conflicts and Productivity Dynamics," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 86780, Apr.
• Rodriguez-Lopez, Jesus & Solis-Garcia, Mario, 2018, "Defense spending and fiscal multipliers: it's all in the variance," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 86911, May.
• Dave, Chetan & Ghate, Chetan & Gopalakrishnan, Pawan & Tarafdar, Suchismita, 2018, "Fiscal Austerity in Emerging Market Economies," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 87086, May.
• Olkhov, Victor, 2018, "The Business Cycle Model Beyond General Equilibrium," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 87204.
• Olkhov, Victor, 2018, "Economic Transactions Govern Business Cycles," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 87207.
• Fratini, Saverio M., 2018, "A note on re-switching and the neo-Austrian concept of the average period of production," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 87306, Jun.
• Ertürk, Korkut Alp & Mendieta-Muñoz, Ivan, 2018, "The changing dynamics of short-run output adjustment," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 87409, Jun.
• Blanco-Arroyo, Omar & Ruiz-Buforn, Alba & Vidal-Tomás, David & Alfarano, Simone, 2018, "On the determination of the granular size of the economy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 87599, Jun.
• Escañuela Romana, Ignacio, 2018, "Instability in the basic New Keynesian model under limited information," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 88015, Jul.
• Olkhov, Victor, 2018, "Economic Transactions Govern Business Cycles," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 88531, Jun, revised 19 Aug 2018.
• Kapur, Muneesh, 2018, "Macroeconomic Policies and Transmission Dynamics in India," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 88566, Aug.
• Olivo, Victor, 2018, "An Empyrical Analysis of Price Stickiness in Five Latin American Inflation Targeters:2000-2016," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 88589, Aug.
• Ibrahim, Taofik, 2018, "Oil price Fluctuation and Aggregate Output Performance in Nigeria," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 88636, Jan, revised 12 Apr 2018.
• Epstein, Brendan & Finkelstein Shapiro, Alan & Gonzalez Gomez, Andres, 2018, "Global Financial Risk, Domestic Financial Access, and Unemployment Dynamics," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 88692.
• Epstein, Brendan & Finkelstein Shapiro, Alan, 2018, "Financial Development, Unemployment Volatility, and Sectoral Dynamics," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 88693.