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Firms Dynamics and Business Cycle: New Disaggregated Data

Author

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  • Lorenza Rossi

    (Department of Economics and Management, University of Pavia)

  • Emilio Zanetti Chini

    (Department of Economics and Management, University of Pavia)

Abstract

We provide stylized facts on firms dynamics by disaggregating U.S. yearly data from 1977 to 2013. To this aim, we use an unobserved component-based method, encompassing several classical regression-based techniques currently in use. Our series of entry and exit of firms at establishment level are feasible proxies of business cycle. Exit is a leading and countercyclical indicator, while entry is lagging and pro-cyclical. According to a standard structural econometric analysis, exit overshoots its average level in the medium-run. Several robustness checks confirm these results, hence supporting the most recent theoretical literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Lorenza Rossi & Emilio Zanetti Chini, 2018. "Firms Dynamics and Business Cycle: New Disaggregated Data," DEM Working Papers Series 151, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    • Handle: RePEc:pav:demwpp:demwp0151
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    Cited by:

    1. Savagar, Anthony & Dixon, Huw, 2020. "Firm entry, excess capacity and endogenous productivity," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    2. Emilio Zanetti Chini, 2013. "Generalizing smooth transition autoregressions," CREATES Research Papers 2013-32, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    3. Lorenza Rossi & Emilio Zanetti Chini, 2016. "Firms’ Dynamics and Business Cycle: New Disaggregated Data," DEM Working Papers Series 123, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bayesian VAR; Entry; Exit; Productivity; State Space Models.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C40 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - General
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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