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Stock market response to public investment under the zero lower bound: Cross-industry evidence from Japan

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  • Miyazaki, Tomomi
  • Hiraga, Kazuki
  • Kozuka, Masafumi

Abstract

This study examines the effects of public investment on the stock market between the zero lower bound (ZLB) and the non-ZLB periods using Japanese sectoral panel data. The empirical results first show that while public investment shocks have stimulating effects on stock returns during the ZLB period, this is not the case outside of the ZLB. Furthermore, the impulse responses for the manufacturing industry are estimated to be positive and significant regardless of model specification. Our results suggest that the government is recommended to increase public investment under the ZLB to prop up the stock market but cut back once the economy is no longer in a liquidity trap.

Suggested Citation

  • Miyazaki, Tomomi & Hiraga, Kazuki & Kozuka, Masafumi, 2024. "Stock market response to public investment under the zero lower bound: Cross-industry evidence from Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jjieco:v:71:y:2024:i:c:s0889158323000576
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jjie.2023.101302
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stock market; public investment; zero lower bound; local projection method; factor-augmented VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • H54 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Infrastructures

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