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Effects of renminbi appreciation on foreign firms: The role of processing exports

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  • Eichengreen, Barry
  • Tong, Hui

Abstract

We examine the impact of Chinese currency (renminbi) revaluation on firm valuations, focusing on the effect of surprise announcements of changes in China's currency policy on 9753 manufacturing firms in 44 countries. Renminbi appreciation has no significant impact on the valuation of firms in sectors exporting to China on average. But this “non-result” confounds a positive effect on firms in sectors exporting final goods to China with a negligible effect on those providing inputs for China's processing exports. We also find no significant effect on firms in sectors competing with China at home and in third markets. But again this “non-result” confounds the positive effect on firms competing with China in final goods with an insignificant effect on firms competing with China's processing exports. When evaluating the effects of renminbi appreciation on other countries, it follows, distinguishing processing trade from trade in final goods is key.

Suggested Citation

  • Eichengreen, Barry & Tong, Hui, 2015. "Effects of renminbi appreciation on foreign firms: The role of processing exports," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 146-157.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:deveco:v:116:y:2015:i:c:p:146-157
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2015.04.004
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    Cited by:

    1. Swarnali Ahmed & Maximiliano Appendino & Michele Ruta, 2015. "Depreciations without Exports?; Global Value Chains and the Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports," IMF Working Papers 15/400, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Ahmed Swarnali & Appendino Maximiliano & Ruta Michele, 2017. "Global value chains and the exchange rate elasticity of exports," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-24, January.
    3. Stefan Avdjiev & Valentina Bruno & Catherine Koch, 2018. "The dollar exchange rate as a global risk factor: evidence from investment," BIS Working Papers 695, Bank for International Settlements.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Renminbi appreciation; Firm valuations; Processing exports;

    JEL classification:

    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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