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Dollar and Exports

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  • Valentina Bruno
  • Hyun Song

Abstract

The strength of the U.S. dollar has attributes of a barometer of dollar credit conditions, with a stronger dollar associated with tighter dollar credit conditions. We find that following dollar appreciation, exporters that are more reliant on dollar-funded bank credit suffer a greater decline in credit and slowdown in exports, including those exporting to the United States. Our findings shed light on the role of the U.S. dollar in the interaction between financial globalization and international trade and show a novel channel of exchange rate transmission that goes in the opposite direction to the competitiveness channel.Authors have furnished an Internet Appendix, which is available on the Oxford University Press Web site next to the link to the final published paper online.

Suggested Citation

  • Valentina Bruno & Hyun Song, 2023. "Dollar and Exports," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 36(8), pages 2963-2996.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:36:y:2023:i:8:p:2963-2996.
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    2. Torsten Ehlers & Mathias Hoffmann & Alexander Raabe, 2020. "Non-US global banks and dollar (co-)dependence: how housing markets became internationally synchronized," IHEID Working Papers 18-2020, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    3. Wang, Mengjiao & Liu, Jianxu & Yang, Bing, 2024. "Does the strength of the US dollar affect the interdependence among currency exchange rates of RCEP and CPTPP countries?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PA).
    4. Ryan Niladri Banerjee & Boris Hofmann & Aaron Mehrotra, 2020. "Corporate investment and the exchange rate: The financial channel," BIS Working Papers 839, Bank for International Settlements.
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    6. Ozge Akinci & Gianluca Benigno & Serra Pelin & Jon Turek, 2024. "The Dollar’s Imperial Circle," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(2), pages 653-700, June.
    7. Camila Casas & Sergii Meleshchuk & Yannick Timmer, 2020. "The Dominant Currency Financing Channel of External Adjustment," Borradores de Economia 1111, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    8. Longaric, Pablo Anaya, 2022. "Foreign currency exposure and the financial channel of exchange rates," Working Paper Series 2739, European Central Bank.
    9. Ibhagui, Oyakhilome & Olarewaju, Favour, 2020. "Broad Dollar Shocks and Economic Activity in Trade-Heavy Countries: The Role of Government Size," MPRA Paper 100944, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Georgiadis, Georgios & Müller, Gernot J. & Schumann, Ben, 2024. "Global risk and the dollar," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    11. Mr. Luis Brandão-Marques & Mr. Gaston Gelos & Mr. Thomas Harjes & Ms. Ratna Sahay & Yi Xue, 2020. "Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies," IMF Working Papers 2020/035, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Saleem Bahaj & Ricardo Reis, 2020. "Jumpstarting an International Currency," Discussion Papers 2015, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    13. Avdjiev, Stefan & Binder, Stephan & Sousa, Ricardo, 2021. "External debt composition and domestic credit cycles," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    14. Yusuf Emre Akgündüz & Salih Fendoğlu, 2022. "Export Prices, Imported Inputs, and Domestic Supply Networks," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 70(3), pages 383-419, September.
    15. Georgiadis, Georgios & Hildebrand, Sebastian & Ricci, Martino & Schumann, Ben & van Roye, Björn, 2021. "ECB-Global 2.0: a global macroeconomic model with dominant-currency pricing, tariffs and trade diversion," Working Paper Series 2530, European Central Bank.
    16. Ikhlaas Gurrib & Firuz Kamalov & Osama Atayah & Dalia Hemdan & Olga Starkova, 2024. "Long-Run Trade Relationship between the U.S. and Canada: The Case of the Canadian Dollar with the U.S. Dollar," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(9), pages 1-21, September.
    17. Beck, Thorsten & Bednarek, Peter & te Kaat, Daniel Marcel & von Westernhagen, Natalja, 2021. "Exchange rate depreciations and local business cycles: The role of bank loan supply," Discussion Papers 52/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    18. Eduardo Borensztein & Lei Sandy Ye, 2021. "Corporate debt overhang and investment in emerging economies: Firm‐level evidence," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(1), pages 18-39, April.
    19. Janus, Jakub, 2022. "Cross-border flights to safe assets in bond markets: evidence from emerging market economies," MPRA Paper 113875, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Carlos Cantù & Catherine Casanova & Rodrigo Alfaro & Fernando Chertman & Gerald Cisneros & Toni dos Santos & Roberto Lobato & Calixto Lopez & Facundo Luna & David Moreno & Miguel Sarmiento & Rafael Ni, 2022. "How capital inflows translate into new bank lending: tracing the mechanism in Latin America," BIS Working Papers 1051, Bank for International Settlements.
    21. Miguel Sarmiento, 2022. "Sudden Yield Reversals and Financial Intermediation in Emerging Markets," Borradores de Economia 1210, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    22. Shesadri Banerjee & M S Mohanty, 2021. "US monetary policy and the financial channel of the exchange rate: evidence from India," BIS Working Papers 945, Bank for International Settlements.
    23. Myoung Shik Choi, 2021. "Major exchange rates and value-added exports," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 74(298), pages 179-205.
    24. Ryan Banerjee & Boris Hofmann & Aaron Mehrotra, 2022. "Corporate investment and the exchange rate: The financial channel," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3), pages 296-312, December.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General
    • F65 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Finance

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