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The Dominant Currency Financing Channel of External Adjustment

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Abstract

We provide evidence of a new channel of how exchange rates affect trade. Using a novel identification strategy that exploits firms' foreign currency debt maturity structure in Colombia around a large depreciation, we show that firms experiencing a stronger debt revaluation of dominant currency debt due to a home currency depreciation compress imports relatively more while exports are unaffected. Dominant currency financing does not lead to an import compression for firms that export, hold foreign currency assets, or are active in the foreign exchange derivatives markets, as they are all hedged against a revaluation of their debt. These findings can be rationalized through the prism of a model with costly state verification and foreign currency borrowing. Dominant currency pricing mutes the effects of dominant currency financing on imports relative to producer currency pricing.

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  • Camila Casas & Sergii Meleshchuk & Yannick Timmer, 2022. "The Dominant Currency Financing Channel of External Adjustment," International Finance Discussion Papers 1343, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedgif:1343
    DOI: 10.17016/IFDP.2022.1343
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    Cited by:

    1. Frohm, Erik, 2023. "Dominant currencies and the export supply channel," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 1-18.
    2. Ding, Ding & Timmer, Yannick, 2023. "Exchange rate elasticities of international tourism and the role of dominant currency pricing," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    3. Ms. Emine Boz & Camila Casas & Georgios Georgiadis & Ms. Gita Gopinath & Helena Le Mezo & Arnaud Mehl & Miss Tra Nguyen, 2020. "Patterns in Invoicing Currency in Global Trade," IMF Working Papers 2020/126, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Joana Garcia & João Amador, 2023. "Currency choices and the role of the U.S. dollar in international services trade," Working Papers w202316, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    5. Montfaucon, Angella Faith & Sato, Kiyotaka & Shrestha, Nagendra & Parsons, Craig, 2021. "Exchange rate pass-through and invoicing currency choice between fixed and floating exchange rate regimes: Evidence from Malawi’s transaction-level data," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 562-577.
    6. Juan Esteban Carranza & Camila Casas & Alejandra Ximena González-Ramírez, 2020. "The Colombian peso depreciation of 2014-2015 and the adjustment of trade in the manufacturing sector," Borradores de Economia 1125, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Imports; Exports; Foreign Currency Exposure; Capital Structure; Exchange Rates; Debt Revaluation; Hedging;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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