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What Hinders Investment in the Aftermath of Financial Crises: Insolvent Firms or Illiquid Banks?

Author Info

Listed author(s):
  • Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
  • Herman Kamil
  • Carolina Villegas-Sanchez

Abstract

We quantify the effects of lending and balance sheet channels on corporate investment during large crises in emerging markets. The depreciated currency creates investment opportunities in the tradable sector but firms might be financially constrained due to: 1) a deterioration of their balance sheet via un-hedged foreign currency debt (balance sheet channel) and 2) a decline in the supply of credit by banks (lending channel). We find that during twin crises, domestic exporters holding un-hedged foreign currency debt decrease investment while foreign exporters with better access to credit increase investment, in spite of their un-hedged foreign currency debt. We do not find such a differential effect under pure currency crises. Using firm-bank matched data during global financial crisis, we show that both domestic and foreign-owned firms experienced a decline in bank credit from affected banks however, foreign-owned firms substituted the lost credit.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 16528.

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Date of creation: Nov 2010
Publication status: published as Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan & Herman Kamil & Carolina Villegas-Sanchez, 2016. "What Hinders Investment in the Aftermath of Financial Crises: Insolvent Firms or Illiquid Banks?," Review of Economics and Statistics, vol 98(4), pages 756-769.
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:16528
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Find related papers by JEL classification:
  • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
  • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
  • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
  • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
  • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

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  1. Guillermo A. Calvo & Carmen M. Reinhart, 2002. "Fear of Floating," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 117(2), pages 379-408.
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  9. Blalock, Garrick & Gertler, Paul J. & Levine, David I., 2008. "Financial constraints on investment in an emerging market crisis," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(3), pages 568-591, April.
  10. Daniel Paravisini & Veronica Rappoport & Philipp Schnabl & Daniel Wolfenzon, 2015. "Dissecting the Effect of Credit Supply on Trade: Evidence from Matched Credit-Export Data," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 82(1), pages 333-359.
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  12. repec:hrv:faseco:4784029 is not listed on IDEAS
  13. Gita Gopinath & Brent Neiman, 2014. "Trade Adjustment and Productivity in Large Crises," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(3), pages 793-831, March.
  14. Maggie Chen & Laura Alfaro, 2010. "Surviving the Global Financial Crisis: Foreign Direct Investment and Establishment Performance," Working Papers 2010-17, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
  15. Reinhart, Carmen M. & Rogoff, Kenneth S., 2013. "Banking crises: An equal opportunity menace," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4557-4573.
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  17. Stallings, Barbara & Studart, Rogerio, 2002. "Financial Regulation and Supervision in Emerging Markets. The Experience of Latin America since the Tequila Crisis," WIDER Working Paper Series 045, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
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