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Can hedging tell the full story? Reconciling differences in United States aggregate- and industry-level exchange rate risk premium

  • Francis, Bill B.
  • Hasan, Iftekhar
  • Hunter, Delroy M.

While the importance of currency movements to industry competitiveness is theoretically well established, there is little evidence that currency risk impacts US industries. Applying a conditional asset pricing model to 36 US industries, we find that all industries have a significant currency premium that adds about 2.47 percentage points to the cost of equity and accounts for approximately 11.7% of total risk premium in absolute value. Cross-industry variation in the currency premium is explained by foreign income, industry competitiveness, leverage, liquidity, and other industry characteristics, while its time variation is explained by US aggregate foreign trade, monetary policy, growth opportunities, and other macro variables. The results indicate that methodological weakness, not hedging, explains the insignificant industry currency risk premium found in previous work, thus resolving the puzzle that currency risk premium is important at the aggregate stock market level, but not at the industry level.

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Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Financial Economics.

Volume (Year): 90 (2008)
Issue (Month): 2 (November)
Pages: 169-196

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Handle: RePEc:eee:jfinec:v:90:y:2008:i:2:p:169-196
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/505576

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