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Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Pandolfi, Lorenzo & Williams, Tomas, 2019. "Capital flows and sovereign debt markets: Evidence from index rebalancings," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(2), pages 384-403.
  2. Anomita Ghosh & Rupayan Pal, 2017. "Welfare Ranking of Alternative Export Taxes Revisited," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2), pages 619-630.
  3. Scheubel, Beatrice & Stracca, Livio & Tille, Cédric, 2019. "The global financial cycle and capital flow episodes: a wobbly link?," Working Paper Series 2337, European Central Bank.
  4. Saktinil Roy & David M. Kemme, 2022. "Are capital inflow bonanzas a common precursor to banking crises? A categorical data analysis," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(10), pages 3192-3223, October.
  5. Alessandro Moro, 2021. "Can capital controls promote green investments in developing countries?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1348, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  6. Ansgar Belke & Clemens Domnick, 2021. "Trade and capital flows: Substitutes or complements? An empirical investigation," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(3), pages 573-589, August.
  7. Mariam Camarero & María Dolores Gadea-Rivas & Ana Gómez-Loscos & Cecilio Tamarit, 2019. "External imbalances and recoveries," Working Papers 1912, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
  8. Baskaya, Yusuf Soner & di Giovanni, Julian & Kalemli-Özcan, Şebnem & Peydro, José-Luis & Ulu, Mehmet Fatih, 2017. "Capital flows and the international credit channel," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(S1), pages 15-22.
  9. Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio & Ferrero, Andrea & Rebucci, Alessandro, 2018. "International credit supply shocks," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 219-237.
  10. Fernando Broner & Alberto Martin & Lorenzo Pandolfi & Tomas Williams, 2019. "Winners and losers from Sovereign debt inflows: evidence from the stock market," Economics Working Papers 1693, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
  11. Katharina Bergant & Francesco Grigoli & Niels‐Jakob Hansen & Damiano Sandri, 2024. "Dampening Global Financial Shocks: Can Macroprudential Regulation Help (More than Capital Controls)?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(6), pages 1405-1438, September.
  12. Francesco Saraceno & Roberto Tamborini, 2015. "How can it work? On the impact of quantitative easing in the Eurozone," DEM Working Papers 2015/03, Department of Economics and Management.
  13. Polo, Andrea & Gonzalez, Rodrigo & Khametshin, Dmitry & Peydró, José-Luis, 2018. "Hedger of Last Resort: Evidence from Brazilian FX Interventions, Local Credit and Global Financial Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 12817, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  14. Eugenio Cerutti & Stijn Claessens & Andrew K. Rose, 2019. "How Important is the Global Financial Cycle? Evidence from Capital Flows," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(1), pages 24-60, March.
  15. Bhavesh Garg & Pravakar Sahoo, 2021. "DO DIFFERENT TYPES OF CAPITAL INFLOWS HAVE DIFFERENTIAL IMPACT ON OUTPUT? Evidence from Time series and Panel Analysis," IEG Working Papers 443, Institute of Economic Growth.
  16. Olivier Blanchard & Jonathan D. Ostry & Atish R. Ghosh & Marcos Chamon, 2016. "Capital Flows: Expansionary or Contractionary?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(5), pages 565-569, May.
  17. Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2017. "Capital flows and GDP in emerging economies and the role of global spillovers," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 140-163.
  18. Julian di Giovanni & Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan & Mehmet Fatih Ulu & Yusuf Soner Baskaya, 2022. "International Spillovers and Local Credit Cycles," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 89(2), pages 733-773.
  19. Nina Boyarchenko & Leonardo Elias & Philippe Mueller, 2019. "Corporate Credit Provision," Staff Reports 895, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  20. Beck, Thorsten & Poelhekke, Steven, 2023. "Follow the money: Does the financial sector intermediate natural resource windfalls?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
  21. Willem Thorbecke, 2024. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Economic Performance in Malaysia: A Sectoral Analysis," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(3), pages 1-19, March.
  22. Matthieu Bussière & Julia Schmidt & Natacha Valla, 2018. "International Financial Flows in the New Normal: Key Patterns (and Why We Should Care)," Financial and Monetary Policy Studies, in: Laurent Ferrara & Ignacio Hernando & Daniela Marconi (ed.), International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis, pages 249-269, Springer.
  23. Jeffrey A. Frankel, 2016. "International Coordination," NBER Working Papers 21878, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  24. Thorsten Beck & Steven Poelhekke, 2017. "Follow the money: Does the Financial Sector Intermediate Natural Resource Windfalls?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-027/VIII, Tinbergen Institute.
  25. Daniel Carvalho & Etienne Lepers & Rogelio Mercado, 2025. "Taming the “Capital Flows-Credit Nexus”: A Sectoral Approach," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 36(2), pages 373-429, April.
  26. Tobias Adrian & Daniel Stackman & Erik Vogt, 2019. "Global Price of Risk and Stabilization Policies," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(1), pages 215-260, March.
  27. Joscha Beckmann & Robert L. Czudaj, 2020. "Net Foreign Asset Positions, Capital Flows and GDP Spillovers," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 295-308, April.
  28. Stephen G. Cecchetti & Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli & Machiko Narita & Ratna Sahay, 2020. "US or Domestic Monetary Policy: Which Matters More for Financial Stability?," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 68(1), pages 35-65, March.
  29. Nina Boyarchenko & Leonardo Elias, 2024. "Financing Private Credit," Staff Reports 1111, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  30. Mercado, Rogelio, 2020. "Are capital inflows expansionary or contractionary in the Philippines?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
  31. Ronny Mazzocchi & Roberto Tamborini, 2019. "Current Account Imbalances and the Euro Area: Alternative Views," EconPol Working Paper 27, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
  32. Cova, Pietro & Natoli, Filippo, 2020. "The risk-taking channel of international financial flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
  33. Adler, Gustavo & Chang, Kyun Suk & Wang, Zijiao, 2021. "Patterns of foreign exchange intervention under inflation targeting," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 2(4).
  34. Corsetti, Giancarlo & Dedola, Luca & Leduc, Sylvain, 2018. "Exchange Rate Misalignment, Capital Flows, and Optimal Monetary Policy Trade-offs," CEPR Discussion Papers 12850, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  35. Rob Hayward & Andros Gregoriou, 2021. "International Capital Flows and Speculation," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-12, April.
  36. Bhattarai, Saroj & Chatterjee, Arpita & Park, Woong Yong, 2021. "Effects of US quantitative easing on emerging market economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
  37. Suman S. Basu & Atish R. Ghosh & Jonathan D. Ostry & Pablo E. Winant, 2018. "Managing Capital Outflows with Limited Reserves," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 66(2), pages 333-374, June.
  38. Niraj P. Koirala & Hassan Anjum Butt & Jeffrey Zimmerman & Ahmed Kamara, 2024. "Financial Development, Financial Openness, and Policy Effectiveness," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(6), pages 1-16, May.
  39. Channarith Meng & Roberto Leon Gonzalez, 2017. "Credit Booms in Developing Countries: Are They Different from Those in Advanced and Emerging Market Countries?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(3), pages 547-579, July.
  40. Willem Thorbecke, 2021. "The weak rupiah: catching the tailwinds and avoiding the shoals," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 23(3), pages 521-539, December.
  41. Kwak, Jun Hee & Han, Bada & Lee, Jae Young, 2025. "The causal effects of equity flows: Evidence from Korea," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
  42. Karsten Kohler, 2020. "Gross capital flows and the balance-of-payments: a balance sheet perspective," Working Papers PKWP2019, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
  43. Pravakar Sahoo & Ranjan Kumar Dash & Yoon Jung Choi, 2021. "Do Absorptive Capacities matter for FPI-Growth Nexus? Evidence from Cross-country Analysis," IEG Working Papers 435, Institute of Economic Growth.
  44. Garg, Bhavesh & Sahoo, Pravakar, 2023. "Are gross financial inflows expansionary or contractionary? Evidence from emerging economies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
  45. Willem THORBECKE, 2016. "Investigating the Effect of U.S. Monetary Policy Normalization on the ASEAN-4 Economies," Discussion papers 16070, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
  46. Pietro Cova & Filippo Natoli, 2017. "International financial flows and the risk-taking channel," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2017_005, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
  47. Pablo Anaya & Stefan Hasenclever, 2018. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Exchange Rate Movements," DIW Roundup: Politik im Fokus 121, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
  48. Broner, Fernando & Martin, Alberto & Pandolfi, Lorenzo & Williams, Tomas, 2021. "Winners and losers from sovereign debt inflows," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
  49. Nazim Kadri Ekinci, 2018. "Credit, Capital Flows and Monetary Policy: A Post-Keynesian Analysis," World Journal of Applied Economics, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, vol. 4(2), pages 55-74, December.
  50. Piero Esposito & Marcello Messori, 2016. "Improved Structural Competitiveness or Deep Recession? On the recent macroeconomic rebalances in the EMU," LEAP Working Papers 2016/3, Luiss Institute for European Analysis and Policy.
  51. Roberto Tamborini, 2018. "Macroeconomic Imbalances and the Euro Zone. Alternative Views," EconPol Working Paper 14, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
  52. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/4ei7u710bj9par121c71ul9fdr is not listed on IDEAS
  53. Dodd, Olga & Kalimipalli, Madhu & Chan, Wing, 2021. "Evaluating corporate credit risks in emerging markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  54. Ligonniere, Samuel, 2018. "Trilemma, dilemma and global players," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 20-39.
  55. Bénétrix, Agustin & Pallan, Hayley & Panizza, Ugo, 2022. "The Elusive Link Between FDI and Economic Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers 17692, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  56. Ronny Mazzocchi & Roberto Tamborini, 2021. "Current account imbalances and the Euro Area. Controversies and policy lessons," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 38(1), pages 203-234, April.
  57. L. Gauvin & R. Jimborean & J. Ramos Tallada, 2017. "Capital inflows and credit growth: where do we stand?," Rue de la Banque, Banque de France, issue 38, february..
  58. Joshua Aizenman, 2016. "International Coordination and Precautionary Policies," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 379-391, July.
  59. Dhar, Amrita, 2021. "Identification of Extreme Capital Flows in Emerging Markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 359-384.
  60. Olivier Jeanne, 2016. "The Macroprudential Role of International Reserves," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(5), pages 570-573, May.
  61. Gustavo Adler & Mr. Ruy Lama & Juan Pablo Medina Guzman, 2016. "Foreign Exchange Intervention under Policy Uncertainty," IMF Working Papers 2016/067, International Monetary Fund.
  62. Fatma Taşdemir & Erdal Özmen, 2018. "Exchange Rate Regimes As Thresholds: The Main Determinants Of Capital Inflows In Emerging Market Economies," ERC Working Papers 1810, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Oct 2018.
  63. Cristina Arellano & Gabriel Mihalache & Yan Bai, 2018. "Inflation Targeting with Sovereign Default Risk," 2018 Meeting Papers 851, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  64. Tomas Williams, 2018. "Capital Inflows, Sovereign Debt and Bank Lending: Micro-Evidence from an Emerging Market," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(12), pages 4958-4994.
  65. Ferrero, Andrea & Habib, Maurizio Michael & Stracca, Livio & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2022. "Leaning against the global financial cycle," Working Paper Series 2763, European Central Bank.
  66. Carlos Cantù & Catherine Casanova & Rodrigo Alfaro & Fernando Chertman & Gerald Cisneros & Toni dos Santos & Roberto Lobato & Calixto Lopez & Facundo Luna & David Moreno & Miguel Sarmiento & Rafael Ni, 2022. "How capital inflows translate into new bank lending: tracing the mechanism in Latin America," BIS Working Papers 1051, Bank for International Settlements.
  67. Mr. Tobias Adrian & Christopher J. Erceg & Jesper Lindé & Pawel Zabczyk & Ms. Jianping Zhou, 2020. "A Quantitative Model for the Integrated Policy Framework," IMF Working Papers 2020/122, International Monetary Fund.
  68. Harrison, Andre & Reed, Robert R., 2023. "Gross capital inflows, the U.S. economy, and the response of the Federal Reserve," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  69. Javier G. Gómez-Pineda, 2016. "Commodity Price Fluctuations, Core Inflation and Policy Interest Rates," Borradores de Economia 967, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  70. Kalemli-Özcan, Sebnem & Servén, Luis & Avdjiev, Stefan & Hardy, Bryan, 2017. "Gross Capital Inflows to Banks, Corporates and Sovereigns," CEPR Discussion Papers 11806, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  71. Ogrokhina, Olena & Rodriguez, Cesar M., 2024. "Inflation targeting and capital flows: A tale of two cycles in developing countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
  72. Camarero, Mariam & Gadea-Rivas, María Dolores & Gómez-Loscos, Ana & Tamarit, Cecilio, 2021. "Effects of external imbalances on GDP recovery patterns," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 349-362.
  73. McQuade, Peter & Schmitz, Martin, 2017. "The great moderation in international capital flows: A global phenomenon?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA), pages 188-212.
  74. Broos, Menno & Ghalanos, Michalis & Kennedy, Bernard & Landbeck, Alexander & Lerner, Christina & Menezes, Paula & Schiavone, Alessandro & Tilley, Thomas & Viani, Francesca & Reinhardt, Dennis & Metzem, 2016. "Dealing with large and volatile capital flows and the role of the IMF," Occasional Paper Series 180, European Central Bank.
  75. Mosley, Max, 2021. "The importance of being earners: Modelling the implications of changes to welfare contributions on macroeconomic recovery," MPRA Paper 108620, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  76. Maurice Obstfeld, 2020. "Global Dimensions of U.S. Monetary Policy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(1), pages 73-132, February.
  77. Cavallino, Paolo & Sandri, Damiano, 2023. "The open-economy ELB: Contractionary monetary easing and the trilemma," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
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  79. Stefan Avdjiev & Bryan Hardy & Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan & Luis Servén, 2022. "Gross Capital Flows by Banks, Corporates, and Sovereigns," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 20(5), pages 2098-2135.
  80. Cuadra, Gabriel & Menna, Lorenzo, 2019. "Capital flows and the business cycle," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 1-1.
  81. Yang, Yang & Tang, Yanling & Zhang, Ren & Wu, Li, 2023. "Investigating the impact of technology and noise shocks on capital flows," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
  82. Yongseok Choi & Levan Efremidze & Ozan Sula & Thomas D. Willett, 2025. "Which Capital Flow Surge Methods Are Better at Predicting Reversals and Sudden Stops?: Balancing Type 1 and Type 2 Errors," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 781-824, July.
  83. Andreas M. Fischer & Pinar Yesin, 2023. "The kindness of strangers: Brexit and bilateral financial linkages," Working Papers 2023-02, Swiss National Bank.
  84. Özmen, Erdal & Taşdemir, Fatma, 2021. "Gross capital inflows and outflows: Twins or distant cousins?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 45(3).
  85. Lama, Ruy & Medina, Juan Pablo, 2020. "Mundell meets Poole: Managing capital flows with multiple instruments in emerging economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
  86. Esposito, Piero & Messori, Marcello, 2019. "Competitive or recession gains? On the recent macroeconomic rebalances in the EMU," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 147-167.
  87. Beckmann, Joscha & Bettendorf, Timo, 2025. "On the effects of global uncertainty shocks on portfolio flows," Discussion Papers 23/2025, Deutsche Bundesbank.
  88. Arestis, Philip & Phelps, Peter, 2017. "Financial market implications of monetary policy coincidences: Evidence from the UK and Euro Area government-bond markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 88-102.
  89. Alexander Guschanski & Özlem Onaran, 2023. "Global Value Chain Participation and the Labour Share: Industry‐level Evidence from Emerging Economies," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 54(1), pages 31-63, January.
  90. Olani, Adugna, 2016. "Dynamic Capital inflow transmission of monetary policy to emerging markets," Queen's Economics Department Working Papers 274684, Queen's University - Department of Economics.
  91. Roberto Tamborini, 2017. "Europe at the Interdependence War," EconPol Working Paper 2, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
  92. Corpus, John Paul & Cassimon, Danny, 2025. "Effects of external capital inflows on industrialization in developing countries: evidence from ASEAN-4 economies," IOB Working Papers 2025.05, Universiteit Antwerpen, Institute of Development Policy (IOB).
  93. Satoshi Tobe, 2017. "Domestic Credit Growth, International Capital Inflows, and Risk Perception in Global Markets," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2), pages 631-636.
  94. Masahiro Inoguchi, 2021. "The impact of foreign capital flows on long‐term interest rates in emerging and advanced economies," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 268-295, May.
  95. Adler, Gustavo & Mano, Rui C., 2021. "The Cost of Foreign Exchange Intervention: Concepts and Measurement," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
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