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A Quantitative Model for the Integrated Policy Framework

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Tobias Adrian
  • Christopher J. Erceg
  • Jesper Lindé
  • Pawel Zabczyk
  • Ms. Jianping Zhou

Abstract

Many central banks have relied on a range of policy tools, including foreign exchange intervention (FXI) and capital flow management tools (CFMs), to mitigate the effects of volatile capital flows on their economies. We develop an empirically-oriented New Keynesian model to evaluate and quantify how using multiple policy tools can potentially improve monetary policy tradeoffs. Our model embeds nonlinear balance sheet channels and includes a range of empirically-relevant frictions. We show that FXI and CFMs may improve policy tradeoffs under certain conditions, especially for economies with less well-anchored inflation expectations, substantial foreign currency mismatch, and that are more vulnerable to shocks likely to induce capital outflows and exchange rate pressures.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Tobias Adrian & Christopher J. Erceg & Jesper Lindé & Pawel Zabczyk & Ms. Jianping Zhou, 2020. "A Quantitative Model for the Integrated Policy Framework," IMF Working Papers 2020/122, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2020/122
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    JEL classification:

    • C54 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Quantitative Policy Modeling
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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