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Agriculture and climate change in global scenarios: why don't the models agree

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  1. Buhari Arin Hassan & Jasper Knight, 2023. "Adaptation to Climate Change and Variability by Farming Households in North-Central Nigeria," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-16, November.
  2. Simon Dietz & Bruno Lanz, 2019. "Growth and Adaptation to Climate Change in the Long Run," CESifo Working Paper Series 7986, CESifo.
  3. Hermann Lotze-Campen & Martin Lampe & Page Kyle & Shinichiro Fujimori & Petr Havlik & Hans Meijl & Tomoko Hasegawa & Alexander Popp & Christoph Schmitz & Andrzej Tabeau & Hugo Valin & Dirk Willenbocke, 2014. "Impacts of increased bioenergy demand on global food markets: an AgMIP economic model intercomparison," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(1), pages 103-116, January.
  4. Xiaolin Ren & Matthias Weitzel & Brian C. O’Neill & Peter Lawrence & Prasanth Meiyappan & Samuel Levis & Edward J. Balistreri & Michael Dalton, 2018. "Avoided economic impacts of climate change on agriculture: integrating a land surface model (CLM) with a global economic model (iPETS)," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 146(3), pages 517-531, February.
  5. Alexander Nii Adjei Sowah & Kwadwo Owusu & Paul William Kojo Yankson & Edna Quansah, 2021. "Effects of socio-cultural norms on smallholder adaptation to climate change in Nkoranza South municipality, Ghana," Development in Practice, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(2), pages 161-173, February.
  6. Bruno Lanz & Simon Dietz & Tim Swanson, 2016. "Economic growth and agricultural land conversion under uncertain productivity improvements in agriculture," FOODSECURE Working papers 53, LEI Wageningen UR.
  7. Wesseh, Presley K. & Lin, Boqiang, 2017. "Climate change and agriculture under CO2 fertilization effects and farm level adaptation: Where do the models meet?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 556-571.
  8. Prabhu Pingali & Anaka Aiyar & Mathew Abraham & Andaleeb Rahman, 2019. "Transforming Food Systems for a Rising India," Palgrave Studies in Agricultural Economics and Food Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-3-030-14409-8, December.
  9. Martinez, Pilar & Blanco, Maria & Van Doorslaer, Benjamin & Ramos, Fabien & Stanca, Lucian, 2015. "What role does climate change play in agricultural market uncertainty? An integrated assessment taking into account market-driven adjustments," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 212230, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
  10. H. Charles J. Godfray & Sherman Robinson, 2015. "Contrasting approaches to projecting long-run global food security," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 31(1), pages 26-44.
  11. Marcos-Martinez, Raymundo & Bryan, Brett A. & Schwabe, Kurt A. & Connor, Jeffery D. & Law, Elizabeth A. & Nolan, Martin & Sánchez, José J., 2019. "Projected social costs of CO2 emissions from forest losses far exceed the sequestration benefits of forest gains under global change," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 1-1.
  12. Uris Lantz C. Baldos & Thomas W. Hertel, 2014. "Global food security in 2050: the role of agricultural productivity and climate change," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 58(4), pages 554-570, October.
  13. Sands, Ronald & Jones, Carol & Marshall, Elizabeth P., 2014. "Global Drivers of Agricultural Demand and Supply," Economic Research Report 186137, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
  14. Abirham Cherinet, 2019. "Climate Change/Variability Impacts on Farmers livelihoods and Adaptation Strategies: In the Case of Ensaro District, Ethiopia," International Journal of Environmental Sciences & Natural Resources, Juniper Publishers Inc., vol. 18(1), pages 01-07, March.
  15. Fernández, Francisco J. & Blanco, Maria, 2014. "Integration of biophysical and agro-economic models to assess the economic effects of climate change on agriculture: A review of global and EU regional approaches," Economics Discussion Papers 2014-48, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  16. Food and Agricultural Organization [FAO], 2016. "Climate Change and Food Systems: Global Assessments and Implications for Food Security and Trade," Working Papers id:8512, eSocialSciences.
  17. Kaixing Huang & Nicholas Sim, 2016. "Why Do Econometric Studies Disagree on the Effect of Warming on Agricultural Output? A Meta-Analysis," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2016-04, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
  18. Blanco, María & Ramos, Fabien & Van Doorslaer, Benjamin & Martínez, Pilar & Fumagalli, Davide & Ceglar, Andrej & Fernández, Francisco J., 2017. "Climate change impacts on EU agriculture: A regionalized perspective taking into account market-driven adjustments," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 52-66.
  19. Thornton, Philip K. & Whitbread, Anthony & Baedeker, Tobias & Cairns, Jill & Claessens, Lieven & Baethgen, Walter & Bunn, Christian & Friedmann, Michael & Giller, Ken E. & Herrero, Mario & Howden, Mar, 2018. "A framework for priority-setting in climate smart agriculture research," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 161-175.
  20. Soheil Shayegh & Johannes Emmerling & Massimo Tavoni, 2022. "International Migration Projections across Skill Levels in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-33, April.
  21. Bruno Lanz & Simon Dietz & Tim Swanson, 2018. "Global Economic Growth and Agricultural Land Conversion under Uncertain Productivity Improvements in Agriculture," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 100(2), pages 545-569.
  22. Zuzana Smeets Kristkova & Edward Smeets & Hans van Meijl, 2016. "Agricultural R&D investments, biofuel policy and food security – a CGE analysis," EcoMod2016 9966, EcoMod.
  23. Tibor András Marton & Anna Kis & Anna Zubor-Nemes & Anikó Kern & Nándor Fodor, 2020. "Human Impact Promotes Sustainable Corn Production in Hungary," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-16, August.
  24. Hans van Meijl & Petr Havlik & Hermann Lotze-Campen & Elke Stehfest & Peter Witzke & Ignacio Perez Dominguez & Benjamin Bodirsky & Michiel van Dijk & Jonathan Doelman & Thomas Fellmann & Florian Humpe, 2017. "Challenges of Global Agriculture in a Climate Change Context by 2050 (AgCLIM50)," JRC Research Reports JRC106835, Joint Research Centre.
  25. Nelson B. Villoria & Derek Byerlee & James Stevenson, 2014. "The Effects of Agricultural Technological Progress on Deforestation: What Do We Really Know?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 36(2), pages 211-237.
  26. Angelo C. Gurgel & John Reilly & Elodie Blanc, 2021. "Challenges in simulating economic effects of climate change on global agricultural markets," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 166(3), pages 1-21, June.
  27. Rosegrant, Mark W. & Fan, Shenggen & Otsuka, Keijiro, 2021. "Global issues in agricultural development," IFPRI book chapters, in: Agricultural development: New perspectives in a changing world, chapter 2, pages 35-78, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
  28. Nelson, Gerald, 2015. "Supporting Profitability with Climate-Smart Agriculture," Agricultural Outlook Forum 2015 205019, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum.
  29. Fernández, Francisco J. & Blanco, Maria, 2015. "Modelling the economic impacts of climate change on global and European agriculture: Review of economic structural approaches," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 9, pages 1-53.
  30. Zhao, Xin & Calvin, Katherine V. & Wise, Marshall A. & Iyer, Gokul, 2021. "The role of global agricultural market integration in multiregional economic modeling: Using hindcast experiments to validate an Armington model," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 1-17.
  31. Jerome Dumortier & Miguel Carriquiry & Amani Elobeid, 2021. "Impact of climate change on global agricultural markets under different shared socioeconomic pathways," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 52(6), pages 963-984, November.
  32. Hjort, Ingrid, 2016. "Potential Climate Risks in Financial Markets: A Literature Overview," Memorandum 01/2016, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
  33. Bruce A McCarl & Thomas W Hertel, 2018. "Climate Change as an Agricultural Economics Research Topic," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 40(1), pages 60-78.
  34. George Philippidis & Heleen Bartelings & John Helming & Robert M’barek & Edward Smeets & Hans Van Meijl, 2018. "The Good, the Bad and the Uncertain: Bioenergy Use in the European Union," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-19, October.
  35. Coronese, Matteo & Occelli, Martina & Lamperti, Francesco & Roventini, Andrea, 2023. "AgriLOVE: Agriculture, land-use and technical change in an evolutionary, agent-based model," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
  36. Hasibuan, Abdul Muis & Gregg, Daniel & Stringer, Randy, 2020. "Accounting for diverse risk attitudes in measures of risk perceptions: A case study of climate change risk for small-scale citrus farmers in Indonesia," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
  37. Rega, Carlo & Helming, John & Paracchini, Maria Luisa, 2019. "Environmentalism and localism in agricultural and land-use policies can maintain food production while supporting biodiversity. Findings from simulations of contrasting scenarios in the EU," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
  38. Xie, Wei & Huang, Jikun & Wang, Jinxia & Cui, Qi & Robertson, Ricky & Chen, Kevin, 2020. "Climate change impacts on China's agriculture: The responses from market and trade," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  39. Kaixing Huang & Nicholas Sim, 2018. "Why do the econometric-based studies on the effect of warming on agriculture disagree? A meta-analysis," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 70(2), pages 392-416.
  40. Njuki, E. & Bravo-Ureta, B., 2018. "Accounting for the Impacts of Changing Configurations in Temperature and Precipitation on U.S. Agricultural Productivity," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277140, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
  41. Schmitz, Christoph & van Meijl, Hans & Kyle, Page & Fujimori, Shinichiro & Gurgel, Angelo & Havlik, Petr & d'Croz, Daniel Mason & Popp, Alexander & Sands, Ron & Tabeau, Andrzej & van der Mensbrugghe, , 2013. "An agro-economic model comparison of cropland change until 2050," Conference papers 332351, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
  42. Joshua D. Merfeld & Peter Brummund, 2022. "The importance of specification choices when analyzing sectoral productivity gaps," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 53(4), pages 605-616, July.
  43. Eric Njuki & Boris E Bravo-Ureta & Víctor E Cabrera, 2020. "Climatic effects and total factor productivity: econometric evidence for Wisconsin dairy farms," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 47(3), pages 1276-1301.
  44. Irina Pilvere & Aleksejs Nipers & Agnese Krievina & Ilze Upite & Daniels Kotovs, 2022. "LASAM Model: An Important Tool in the Decision Support System for Policymakers and Farmers," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-26, May.
  45. Shinichiro Fujimori & Toshichika Iizumi & Tomoko Hasegawa & Jun’ya Takakura & Kiyoshi Takahashi & Yasuaki Hijioka, 2018. "Macroeconomic Impacts of Climate Change Driven by Changes in Crop Yields," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-14, October.
  46. Eric Njuki & Boris E Bravo-Ureta & Christopher J O’Donnell, 2018. "A new look at the decomposition of agricultural productivity growth incorporating weather effects," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(2), pages 1-21, February.
  47. Bakker, Craig & Zaitchik, Benjamin F. & Siddiqui, Sauleh & Hobbs, Benjamin F. & Broaddus, Elena & Neff, Roni A. & Haskett, Jonathan & Parker, Cindy L., 2018. "Shocks, seasonality, and disaggregation: Modelling food security through the integration of agricultural, transportation, and economic systems," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 165-184.
  48. Hugo Valin & Ronald D. Sands & Dominique van der Mensbrugghe & Gerald C. Nelson & Helal Ahammad & Elodie Blanc & Benjamin Bodirsky & Shinichiro Fujimori & Tomoko Hasegawa & Petr Havlik & Edwina Heyhoe, 2014. "The future of food demand: understanding differences in global economic models," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(1), pages 51-67, January.
  49. Jianhui Dong & Wenju Yun & Kening Wu & Shaoshuai Li & Bingrui Liu & Qiaoyuan Lu, 2023. "Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Cultivated Land from 2010 to 2020 in Long’an County, Karst Region, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-22, February.
  50. Jo Michell, 2023. "Macroeconomic policy at the end of the age of abundance," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 20(2), pages 369-387, November.
  51. Robinson, Sherman & Gueneau, Arthur, 2014. "Economic evaluation of the Diamer-Basha dam: Analysis with an integrated economic/water simulation model of Pakistan:," PSSP working papers 14, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
  52. Jayatilleke S. Bandara & Yiyong Cai, 2014. "The impact of climate change on food crop productivity, food prices and food security in South Asia," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(4), pages 451-465.
  53. Mottaleb, Khondoker & Hodson, David, 2021. "Assessing Wheat Blast Induced Economic Loss in Bangladesh: A Natural Experiment," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315870, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
  54. Wei Xie & Qi Cui & Tariq Ali, 2019. "Role of market agents in mitigating the climate change effects on food economy," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 99(3), pages 1215-1231, December.
  55. Palazzo,Amanda & Valin,Hugo Jean Pierre & Batka,Miroslav & Havlík,Petr, 2019. "Investment Needs for Irrigation Infrastructure along Different Socioeconomic Pathways," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8744, The World Bank.
  56. Chiara Falco & Franco Donzelli & Alessandro Olper, 2018. "Climate Change, Agriculture and Migration: A Survey," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-21, May.
  57. Creamer, Bernado & Enahoro, Dolapo & Kleinwechter, Ulrich & Gbegbelegbe, Sika & Hareau, Guy & Swamikannu, Nedumaran & Nelgen, Signe & Telleria, Roberto & Wiebe, Keith, 2015. "Interpreting results from using bio-economic modeling for global and regional ex ante impact assessment," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211648, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
  58. Christoph Müller & Richard D. Robertson, 2014. "Projecting future crop productivity for global economic modeling," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(1), pages 37-50, January.
  59. Marcel Adenäuer & Clara Frezal & Thomas Chatzopoulos, 2023. "Mitigating the impact of extreme weather events on agricultural markets through trade," OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers 198, OECD Publishing.
  60. Philippidis, George & Shutes, Lindsay & van Meijl, Hans & M'barek, Robert & Ronzon, Tevecia, 2018. "Can the evolution of the European bioeconomy contribute to the Sustainable Development Goals?," Conference papers 332944, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
  61. Chatzopoulos, T. & Perez Dominguez, I. & Zampieri, M. & Toreti, A., 2018. "Agricultural commodity market responses to extreme agroclimatic events," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 276039, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
  62. Cenacchi, Nicola & Lim, Youngah & Sulser, Timothy B. & Islam, Shahnila & Mason-D’Croz, Daniel & Robertson, Richard D. & Kim, Chang-Gil & Wiebe, Keith D., 2016. "Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation in the Republic of Korea to 2050: An integrated assessment," IFPRI discussion papers 1586, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
  63. Ada Ignaciuk & Daniel Mason-D'Croz, 2014. "Modelling Adaptation to Climate Change in Agriculture," OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers 70, OECD Publishing.
  64. Neubauer, Florian & Wall, Alan & Njuki, Eric & Bravo-Ureta, Boris, 2023. "Climatic Effects and Farming Performance: An Overview of Selected Studies," 2023 Inter-Conference Symposium, April 19-21, 2023, Montevideo, Uruguay 338540, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
  65. Robinson, Sherman & Mason d'Croz, Daniel & Islam, Shahnila & Sulser, Timothy B. & Robertson, Richard D. & Zhu, Tingju & Gueneau, Arthur & Pitois, Gauthier & Rosegrant, Mark W., 2015. "The International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade (IMPACT): Model description for version 3:," IFPRI discussion papers 1483, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
  66. Carl-Friedrich Schleussner & Joeri Rogelj & Michiel Schaeffer & Tabea Lissner & Rachel Licker & Erich M. Fischer & Reto Knutti & Anders Levermann & Katja Frieler & William Hare, 2016. "Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(9), pages 827-835, September.
  67. Dominic Woolf & Johannes Lehmann & David R. Lee, 2016. "Optimal bioenergy power generation for climate change mitigation with or without carbon sequestration," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 7(1), pages 1-11, December.
  68. Nelson, Gerald C. & van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique, 2014. "Public sector agricultural research priorities for sustainable food security: Perspectives from plausible scenarios:," IFPRI discussion papers 1339, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
  69. Jose A. Perez‐Mendez & David Roibas & Alan Wall, 2019. "The influence of weather conditions on dairy production," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 50(2), pages 165-175, March.
  70. Dorman,Peter, 2022. "Alligators in the Arctic and How to Avoid Them," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781316516270.
  71. Christoph Schmitz & Hans van Meijl & Page Kyle & Gerald C. Nelson & Shinichiro Fujimori & Angelo Gurgel & Petr Havlik & Edwina Heyhoe & Daniel Mason d'Croz & Alexander Popp & Ron Sands & Andrzej Tabea, 2014. "Land-use change trajectories up to 2050: insights from a global agro-economic model comparison," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(1), pages 69-84, January.
  72. Robert M’Barek & George Philippidis & Tevecia Ronzon, 2019. "Alternative global transition pathways to 2050: Prospects for the bioeconomy?," JRC Research Reports JRC118064, Joint Research Centre.
  73. Balcha, Yodit & Macleod, Jamie, 2017. "Climate Change, Agricultural Production and Trade in Africa," Conference papers 332921, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
  74. Elke Stehfest & Willem-Jan Zeist & Hugo Valin & Petr Havlik & Alexander Popp & Page Kyle & Andrzej Tabeau & Daniel Mason-D’Croz & Tomoko Hasegawa & Benjamin L. Bodirsky & Katherine Calvin & Jonathan C, 2019. "Key determinants of global land-use projections," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-10, December.
  75. Kipling, Richard P. & Bannink, André & Bellocchi, Gianni & Dalgaard, Tommy & Fox, Naomi J. & Hutchings, Nicholas J. & Kjeldsen, Chris & Lacetera, Nicola & Sinabell, Franz & Topp, Cairistiona F.E. & va, 2016. "Modeling European ruminant production systems: Facing the challenges of climate change," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 24-37.
  76. Martin Lampe & Dirk Willenbockel & Helal Ahammad & Elodie Blanc & Yongxia Cai & Katherine Calvin & Shinichiro Fujimori & Tomoko Hasegawa & Petr Havlik & Edwina Heyhoe & Page Kyle & Hermann Lotze-Campe, 2014. "Why do global long-term scenarios for agriculture differ? An overview of the AgMIP Global Economic Model Intercomparison," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(1), pages 3-20, January.
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