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Synthetic Controls with Imperfect Pre-Treatment Fit

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Masahiro Kato & Akari Ohda, 2023. "Asymptotically Unbiased Synthetic Control Methods by Moment Matching," Papers 2307.11127, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2025.
  2. Joseph Fry, 2025. "Robust Inference when Nuisance Parameters may be Partially Identified with Applications to Synthetic Controls," Papers 2507.00307, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2025.
  3. Lu Zhang & Xiaomeng Zhang & Xinyu Zhang, 2024. "Asymptotic Properties of the Distributional Synthetic Controls," Papers 2405.00953, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
  4. Aleksandar Kešeljević & Rok Spruk, 2024. "Estimating the effects of Syrian civil war," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(2), pages 671-703, February.
  5. Klinenberg, Danny, 2024. "Selling Violent Extremism," Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, Working Paper Series qt2rj4t2rh, Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, University of California.
  6. Nuno Garoupa & Rok Spruk, 2025. "Revolutions as structural breaks: the long-term economic and institutional consequences of the 1979 Iranian Revolution," Constitutional Political Economy, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 273-301, September.
  7. Garoupa, Nuno & Spruk, Rok, 2025. "Populist constitutional backsliding and judicial independence: Evidence from Türkiye," International Review of Law and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  8. Crudu, Federico & Di Stefano, Roberta & Mellace, Giovanni & Tiezzi, Silvia, 2024. "The gray zone: How not imposing a strict lockdown at the beginning of a pandemic can cost many lives," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  9. Billy Ferguson & Brad Ross, 2020. "Assessing the Sensitivity of Synthetic Control Treatment Effect Estimates to Misspecification Error," Papers 2012.15367, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2021.
  10. Bruno Ferman & Gaute Torsvik & Kjell Vaage, 2023. "Skipping the doctor: evidence from a case with extended self-certification of paid sick leave," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 36(2), pages 935-971, April.
  11. Maltman, Matthew & Greenaway-McGrevy, Ryan, 2025. "Going it alone: The impact of upzoning on housing construction in Lower Hutt," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
  12. Timo Schenk, 2023. "Time-Weighted Difference-in-Differences: Accounting for Common Factors in Short T Panels," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-004/III, Tinbergen Institute.
  13. Nuno Garoupa & Virginia Rosales & Rok Spruk, 2025. "Assaults on Judicial Independence under the Pretense of Modernization: Evidence from Venezuela," Papers 2511.10681, arXiv.org.
  14. Chengwang Liao & Zhentao Shi & Yapeng Zheng, 2025. "A Relaxation Approach to Synthetic Control," Papers 2508.01793, arXiv.org.
  15. Pier Basaglia & Sophie M. Behr & Moritz A. Drupp & Piero Basaglia, 2023. "De-Fueling Externalities: Causal Effects of Fuel Taxation and Mediating Mechanisms for Reducing Climate and Pollution Costs," CESifo Working Paper Series 10508, CESifo.
  16. Rong J. B. Zhu, 2023. "Synthetic Regressing Control," Papers 2306.02584, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2026.
  17. Fry, Joseph, 2024. "A method of moments approach to asymptotically unbiased Synthetic Controls," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 244(1).
  18. Guillaume Allaire Pouliot & Zhen Xie, 2022. "Degrees of Freedom and Information Criteria for the Synthetic Control Method," Papers 2207.02943, arXiv.org.
  19. Grier, Kevin & Mahmood, Towhid & Powell, Benjamin, 2023. "Anti-sweatshop activism and the safety-employment tradeoff: Evidence from Bangladesh's Rana Plaza disaster," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 174-190.
  20. Dmitry Arkhangelsky & Aleksei Samkov, 2024. "Sequential Synthetic Difference in Differences," Papers 2404.00164, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2025.
  21. Sara CASAGRANDE & Bruno DALLAGO, 2024. "Assessing the benefits of European integration: a comparative and algorithmic approach," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 15, pages 5-40, June.
  22. Jiafeng Chen, 2022. "Synthetic Control As Online Linear Regression," Papers 2202.08426, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2022.
  23. Absher, Samuel & Grier, Robin & Grier, Kevin, 2023. "The consequences of CIA-sponsored regime change in Latin America," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  24. Guido Imbens & Nathan Kallus & Xiaojie Mao, 2021. "Controlling for Unmeasured Confounding in Panel Data Using Minimal Bridge Functions: From Two-Way Fixed Effects to Factor Models," Papers 2108.03849, arXiv.org.
  25. Carrillo-Maldonado, Paul & Arias, Karla & Zanoni, Wladimir & Cruz, Zoe, 2024. "Local socioeconomic impacts of large-scale mining projects in Ecuador: The case of Fruta del Norte," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  26. Lindequist, David & Selent, Samuel, 2025. "Did shale gas green the U.S. economy?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
  27. Loukas Karabarbounis & Jeremy Lise & Anusha Nath, 2022. "Minimum Wages and Labor Markets in the Twin Cities," NBER Working Papers 30239, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  28. Damian Clarke & Daniel Paila~nir & Susan Athey & Guido Imbens, 2023. "Synthetic Difference In Differences Estimation," Papers 2301.11859, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
  29. Zongwu Cai & Ying Fang & Ming Lin & Zixuan Wu, 2023. "A Quasi Synthetic Control Method for Nonlinear Models With High-Dimensional Covariates," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202305, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2023.
  30. David Gilchrist & Thomas Emery & Nuno Garoupa & Rok Spruk, 2023. "Synthetic Control Method: A tool for comparative case studies in economic history," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 409-445, April.
  31. Justin C. Wiltshire, 2023. "Walmart Supercenters and Monopsony Power: How A Large, Low-Wage Employer Impacts Local Labor Markets," Department Discussion Papers 2304, Department of Economics, University of Victoria.
  32. Demirci, Murat, 2023. "Youth responses to political populism: Education abroad as a step toward emigration," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 653-673.
  33. Shtele, Evgeniia & Beria, Paolo, 2025. "Using synthetic control method to evaluate the effect of a competitor's entry into high-speed rail market," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
  34. Matias D. Cattaneo & Yingjie Feng & Filippo Palomba & Rocio Titiunik, 2022. "scpi: Uncertainty Quantification for Synthetic Control Methods," Papers 2202.05984, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2022.
  35. Dench, Daniel & Pineda-Torres, Mayra & Myers, Caitlin Knowles, 2023. "The Effects of the Dobbs Decision on Fertility," IZA Discussion Papers 16608, IZA Network @ LISER.
  36. Barros, Fernando & Delalibera, Bruno R. & Neto, Valdemar Pinho & Rodrigues, Victor, 2022. "Bonus for firearms seizures and police performance," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
  37. Avdic, Daniel & Ivets, Maryna & Lagerqvist, Bo & Sriubaite, Ieva, 2023. "Providers, peers and patients. How do physicians’ practice environments affect patient outcomes?," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  38. Kim, Youngho, 2023. "Payments for Ecosystem Services Programs and Climate Change Adaptation in Agriculture," 2023 Annual Meeting, July 23-25, Washington D.C. 335971, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  39. Li, Xingyu & Shen, Yan & Zhou, Qiankun, 2024. "Confidence intervals of treatment effects in panel data models with interactive fixed effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 240(1).
  40. Aaron Adalja & Jūra Liaukonytė & Emily Wang & Xinrong Zhu, 2023. "GMO and Non-GMO Labeling Effects: Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 42(2), pages 233-250, March.
  41. repec:osf:socarx:z2qbc_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
  42. Erick Lahura & Rosario Sabrera, 2023. "The effect of infrastructure investment on tourism demand: a synthetic control approach for the case of Kuelap, Peru," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 443-478, July.
  43. Bilge Erten & Joseph E. Stiglitz & Eric Verhoogen, 2025. "Employment Impacts of the CHIPS Act," RFBerlin Discussion Paper Series 25166, ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin (RFBerlin).
  44. Ignacio Martinez & Jaume Vives-i-Bastida, 2022. "Bayesian and Frequentist Inference for Synthetic Controls," Papers 2206.01779, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
  45. González-Rozada, Martín & Ruffo, Hernán, 2024. "Do trade agreements contribute to the decline in labor share? Evidence from Latin American countries," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
  46. Chen, Qiang & Xiao, Zhijie & Yao, Qingsong, 2025. "Quantile control via random forest," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 249(PA).
  47. Wei Tian & Seojeong Lee & Valentyn Panchenko, 2023. "Synthetic Controls with Multiple Outcomes," Papers 2304.02272, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
  48. Dench, Daniel & Pineda-Torres, Mayra & Myers, Caitlin, 2024. "The effects of post-Dobbs abortion bans on fertility," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
  49. Yonzan, Nishant & Timilsina, Laxman & Kelly, Inas Rashad, 2024. "Economic incentives surrounding fertility: Evidence from Alaska’s permanent fund dividend," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  50. Avdic, Daniel & von Hinke, Stephanie, 2021. "Extending alcohol retailers’ opening hours: Evidence from Sweden," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
  51. Alberto Abadie & Jaume Vives-i-Bastida, 2022. "Synthetic Controls in Action," Papers 2203.06279, arXiv.org.
  52. Luis A. F. Alvarez & Bruno Ferman, 2024. "On “Imputation of Counterfactual Outcomes when the Errors are Predictable”: Discussions on Misspecification and Suggestions of Sensitivity Analyses," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(4), pages 1123-1127, October.
  53. Ferman, Bruno, 2021. "Matching estimators with few treated and many control observations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 295-307.
  54. Youngho Kim, 2024. "Payments for Ecosystem Services Programs and Climate Change Adaptation in Agriculture," Economics Series Working Papers 1054, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  55. repec:hal:cdiwps:hal-04391362 is not listed on IDEAS
  56. Luis Alvarez & Bruno Ferman, 2023. "Extensions for Inference in Difference-in-Differences with Few Treated Clusters," Papers 2302.03131, arXiv.org.
  57. Gabriel, Ricardo Duque & Pessoa, Ana Sofia, 2024. "Adopting the euro: A synthetic control approach," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  58. Chen, Qian & Koch, Christoffer & Richardson, Gary & Sharma, Padma, 2025. "Suspensions of payments and their consequences," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  59. Ratzanyel Rinc'on & Kyungchul Song, 2025. "Causal Inference with Groupwise Matching," Papers 2510.26106, arXiv.org.
  60. Makioka, Ryo & Zhang, Hongyong, 2024. "The impact of export controls on international trade: Evidence from the Japan–Korea trade dispute in semiconductor industry," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  61. Ege Aksu & Charles J. Courtemanche & Dhaval M. Dave & Daniel L. Dench & Michael Grossman & Jooyoung Kim & Selen Ozdogan & Shubhsri Rajendra & Joseph J. Sabia & Henry Saffer, 2025. "The Effect of Online Sales Bans on E-Cigarette Use," NBER Working Papers 34565, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  62. Joseph Fry, 2023. "A Method of Moments Approach to Asymptotically Unbiased Synthetic Controls," Papers 2312.01209, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
  63. repec:ags:aaea22:335971 is not listed on IDEAS
  64. Callaway, Brantly & Karami, Sonia, 2023. "Treatment effects in interactive fixed effects models with a small number of time periods," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 233(1), pages 184-208.
  65. Xiaomeng Zhang & Wendun Wang & Xinyu Zhang, 2022. "Asymptotic Properties of the Synthetic Control Method," Papers 2211.12095, arXiv.org.
  66. Cummins Joseph & Miller Douglas L. & Smith Brock & Simon David, 2024. "Matching on Noise: Finite Sample Bias in the Synthetic Control Estimator," Journal of Econometric Methods, De Gruyter, vol. 13(1), pages 67-95, January.
  67. Woo-Mora, L. Guillermo, 2025. "Populism’s original sin: Short-term populist penalties and uncertainty traps," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
  68. Joe Maganga Zonda & Chang-Ching Lin & Ming-Jen Chang, 2024. "On the economic costs of political instabilities: a tale of sub-Saharan Africa," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(1), pages 137-173, January.
  69. Pier Basaglia & Sophie M. Behr & Moritz A. Drupp, 2023. "De-Fueling Externalities: How Tax Salience and Fuel Substitution Mediate Climate and Health Benefits," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2041, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
  70. Roberta Di Stefano & Giovanni Mellace, 2020. "The inclusive synthetic control method," Working Papers 21/20, Sapienza University of Rome, DISS.
  71. Kraynak,Daniel Christopher & Timilsina,Govinda R. & Alberini,Anna, 2024. "The Effect of Pricing Instruments on CO2 Emissions: Empirical Evidence from Australia," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10812, The World Bank.
  72. Dmitry Arkhangelsky & Guido Imbens, 2023. "Causal Models for Longitudinal and Panel Data: A Survey," Papers 2311.15458, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
  73. Mario Tello-Pacheco, 2023. "Los “spillovers” del COVID-19 sobre el empleo y el ingreso en Perú," Apuntes del Cenes, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, vol. 42(75), pages 161-195.
  74. Dennis Shen & Peng Ding & Jasjeet Sekhon & Bin Yu, 2022. "Same Root Different Leaves: Time Series and Cross-Sectional Methods in Panel Data," Papers 2207.14481, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2022.
  75. Bilbao-Goyoaga, Eugenia, 2023. "Perceptions Matter: Quasi-Experimental Evidence on the Effects of Minimum Income on Objective and Subjective Financial Wellbeing in Spain," SocArXiv wv7xt, Center for Open Science.
  76. Justin C. Wiltsire, 2024. "Lifting the Cap on Non-Resident University Enrollment: Evidence from Wisconsin," Department Discussion Papers 2408, Department of Economics, University of Victoria.
  77. Sang‐Wook (Stanley) Cho & Hansoo Choi, 2025. "Unlocking the impact of US free trade agreements on industries with a synthetic control approach," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 58(2), pages 716-746, May.
  78. Santoni Edoardo & Patriarca Fabrizio & Scarlato Margherita, 2025. "The Effects of Hiring Credits on Firms’ Dynamics: A Synthetic Difference-in-Differences Evaluation," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 25(4), pages 1121-1181.
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