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Higher Order Improvements of the Sieve Bootstrap for Fractionally Integrated Processes

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  • D.S. Poskitt

    ()

  • Simone D. Grose

    ()

  • Gael M. Martin

    ()

Abstract

This paper investigates the accuracy of bootstrap-based inference in the case of long memory fractionally integrated processes. The re-sampling method is based on the semi-parametric sieve approach, whereby the dynamics in the process used to produce the bootstrap draws are captured by an autoregressive approximation. Application of the sieve method to data pre-filtered by a semi-parametric estimate of the long memory parameter is also explored. Higher-order improvements yielded by both forms of re-sampling are demonstrated using Edgeworth expansions for a broad class of linear statistics. The methods are then applied to the problem of estimating the sampling distribution of the sample mean under long memory, in an experimental setting. The pre-filtered version of the bootstrap is shown to avoid the distinct underestimation of the sampling variance of the mean which the raw sieve method demonstrates in finite samples, higher order accuracy of the latter notwithstanding.

Suggested Citation

  • D.S. Poskitt & Simone D. Grose & Gael M. Martin, 2012. "Higher Order Improvements of the Sieve Bootstrap for Fractionally Integrated Processes," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 9/12, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  • Handle: RePEc:msh:ebswps:2012-9
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    File URL: http://business.monash.edu/econometrics-and-business-statistics/research/publications/ebs/wp9-12.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sowell, Fallaw, 1992. "Maximum likelihood estimation of stationary univariate fractionally integrated time series models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1-3), pages 165-188.
    2. S. D. Grose & D. S. Poskitt, 2006. "The Finite-Sample Properties of Autoregressive Approximations of Fractionally-Integrated and Non-Invertible Processes," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 15/06, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    3. D. S. Poskitt, 2008. "Properties of the Sieve Bootstrap for Fractionally Integrated and Non-Invertible Processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 224-250, March.
    4. Morten Ørregaard Nielsen & Per Houmann Frederiksen, 2005. "Finite Sample Comparison of Parametric, Semiparametric, and Wavelet Estimators of Fractional Integration," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(4), pages 405-443.
    5. Faÿ, Gilles & Moulines, Eric & Soulier, Philippe, 2004. "Edgeworth expansions for linear statistics of possibly long-range-dependent linear processes," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 66(3), pages 275-288, February.
    6. D. Poskitt, 2007. "Autoregressive approximation in nonstandard situations: the fractionally integrated and non-invertible cases," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 59(4), pages 697-725, December.
    7. Lieberman, Offer & Rousseau, Judith & Zucker, David M., 2001. "Valid Edgeworth Expansion For The Sample Autocorrelation Function Under Long Range Dependence," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(01), pages 257-275, February.
    8. Andrews, Donald W.K. & Lieberman, Offer & Marmer, Vadim, 2006. "Higher-order improvements of the parametric bootstrap for long-memory Gaussian processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 133(2), pages 673-702, August.
    9. Lieberman, Offer & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2004. "Expansions For The Distribution Of The Maximum Likelihood Estimator Of The Fractional Difference Parameter," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(03), pages 464-484, June.
    10. Smith, Murray D., 1989. "On the expectation of a ratio of quadratic forms in normal variables," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 244-257, November.
    11. Edwin Choi & Peter Hall, 2000. "Bootstrap confidence regions computed from autoregressions of arbitrary order," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 62(2), pages 461-477.
    12. Faÿ, Gilles, 2010. "Moment bounds for non-linear functionals of the periodogram," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 120(6), pages 983-1009, June.
    13. Offer Lieberman & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2005. "Expansions for approximate maximum likelihood estimators of the fractional difference parameter," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 8(3), pages 367-379, December.
    14. repec:adr:anecst:y:1986:i:4:p:05 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. D.S. Poskitt & Gael M. Martin & Simone D. Grose, 2012. "Bias Reduction of Long Memory Parameter Estimators via the Pre-filtered Sieve Bootstrap," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 8/12, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    16. Doornik, Jurgen A. & Ooms, Marius, 2003. "Computational aspects of maximum likelihood estimation of autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 333-348, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Neil Kellard & Denise Osborn & Jerry Coakley & Simone D. Grose & Gael M. Martin & Donald S. Poskitt, 2015. "Bias Correction of Persistence Measures in Fractionally Integrated Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 721-740, September.
    2. D.S. Poskitt & Gael M. Martin & Simone D. Grose, 2012. "Bias Reduction of Long Memory Parameter Estimators via the Pre-filtered Sieve Bootstrap," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 8/12, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bias; bootstrap-based inference; Edgeworth expansion; pre-filtered sieve bootstrap; sampling distribution.;

    JEL classification:

    • C18 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Methodolical Issues: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection

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