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Properties of the Sieve Bootstrap for Fractionally Integrated and Non‐Invertible Processes

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  • D. S. Poskitt

Abstract

. In this article, we investigate the consequences of applying the sieve bootstrap under regularity conditions that are sufficiently general to encompass both fractionally integrated and non‐invertible processes. The sieve bootstrap is obtained by approximating the data‐generating process by an autoregression, whose order h increases with the sample size T. The sieve bootstrap may be particularly useful in the analysis of fractionally integrated processes since the statistics of interest can often be non‐pivotal with distributions that depend on the fractional index d. The validity of the sieve bootstrap is established for |d| 0. Practical implementation of the sieve bootstrap is considered and the results are illustrated using a canonical example.

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  • D. S. Poskitt, 2008. "Properties of the Sieve Bootstrap for Fractionally Integrated and Non‐Invertible Processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 224-250, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:29:y:2008:i:2:p:224-250
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9892.2007.00554.x
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    Cited by:

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    5. George Kapetanios & Fotis Papailias, 2011. "Block Bootstrap and Long Memory," Working Papers 679, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    6. Neil Kellard & Denise Osborn & Jerry Coakley & Simone D. Grose & Gael M. Martin & Donald S. Poskitt, 2015. "Bias Correction of Persistence Measures in Fractionally Integrated Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 721-740, September.
    7. Cassola, Nuno & Morana, Claudio, 2010. "Comovements in volatility in the euro money market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 525-539, April.
    8. Zacharias Psaradakis & Marian Vavra, 2017. "Normality Tests for Dependent Data," Working and Discussion Papers WP 12/2017, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    9. Morana, Claudio, 2009. "On the macroeconomic causes of exchange rate volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 328-350.
    10. Poskitt, D.S. & Grose, Simone D. & Martin, Gael M., 2015. "Higher-order improvements of the sieve bootstrap for fractionally integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 188(1), pages 94-110.
    11. Rupasinghe, Maduka & Samaranayake, V.A., 2012. "Asymptotic properties of sieve bootstrap prediction intervals for FARIMA processes," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 82(12), pages 2108-2114.
    12. Marián Vávra, 2020. "Assessing distributional properties of forecast errors for fan-chart modelling," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 2841-2858, December.
    13. Margherita Gerolimetto & Stefano Magrini, 2020. "Testing for boundary conditions in case of fractionally integrated processes," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 29(2), pages 357-371, June.
    14. Dong Jin Lee, 2021. "Bootstrap tests for structural breaks when the regressors and the serially correlated error term are unstable," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(2), pages 212-229, April.
    15. Masoud M. Nasari & Mohamedou Ould-Haye, 2022. "Confidence intervals with higher accuracy for short and long-memory linear processes," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 1187-1220, August.
    16. Beran, Jan & Shumeyko, Yevgen, 2012. "Bootstrap testing for discontinuities under long-range dependence," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 105(1), pages 322-347.
    17. George Kapetanios & Fotis Papailias, 2011. "Block Bootstrap and Long Memory," Working Papers 679, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    18. Zhanshou Chen & Yanting Xiao & Fuxiao Li, 2021. "Monitoring memory parameter change-points in long-memory time series," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(5), pages 2365-2389, May.
    19. Richard T. Baillie & Fabio Calonaci & Dooyeon Cho & Seunghwa Rho, 2019. "Long Memory, Realized Volatility and HAR Models," Working Papers 881, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    20. D.S. Poskitt & Gael M. Martin & Simone D. Grose, 2012. "Bias Reduction of Long Memory Parameter Estimators via the Pre-filtered Sieve Bootstrap," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 8/12, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    21. Arteche, Josu & Orbe, Jesus, 2016. "A bootstrap approximation for the distribution of the Local Whittle estimator," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 645-660.
    22. Arteche González, Jesús María, 2020. "Frequency Domain Local Bootstrap in long memory time series," BILTOKI info:eu-repo/grantAgreeme, Universidad del País Vasco - Departamento de Economía Aplicada III (Econometría y Estadística).
    23. F. Giordano & M. La Rocca & C. Perna, 2011. "Properties of the neural network sieve bootstrap," Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 803-817.

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    JEL classification:

    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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