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Persistence Characteristics of Latin American Financial Markets

Author

Listed:
  • NYO NYO A. KYAW

    (Kent State University)

  • CORNELIS A. LOS

    (Kent State University)

  • SIJING ZONG

    (Kent State University)

Abstract

Static time series models usually assume stationarity, normality, and independence for the increments of financial rates of return. This paper investigates the empirical characteristics of financial rates of return from Latin American stock and currency markets and documents that their empirical rates of return are non-normal, non- stationary and non-ergodic, and that they exhibit long-term dependence. This paper measures the degree of long-term dependence of these financial time series by calculating their global, or homogeneous, Hurst exponents from their wavelet multiresolution analyses (MRA), i.e. from the wavelet resonance coefficients. Visualizations of these resonance coefficients and their power spectra are provided by scalograms and scalegrams, respectively. These visualizations help to identify the long-term dependence characteristics, which cannot be identified by the classical time series analysis, which is based on the stationarity and independence assumptions. Our findings are consistent with some empirical findings from financial market data in the USA, in Europe and in Asia, but extend their domain of empirical investigation.

Suggested Citation

  • Nyo Nyo A. Kyaw & Cornelis A. Los & Sijing Zong, 2004. "Persistence Characteristics of Latin American Financial Markets," Finance 0409048, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpfi:0409048
    Note: Type of Document - pdf. Kyaw, Nyo Nyo A., Los, Cornelis A. and Zong, Sijing, 'Persistence Characteristics of Latin American Financial Markets' (February 2003). Kent State University Finance Working Paper.
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Los, Cornelis A. & Yu, Bing, 2008. "Persistence characteristics of the Chinese stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 64-82.
    2. Fernandez, Viviana, 2007. "A postcard from the past: The behavior of U.S. stock markets during 1871–1938," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 386(1), pages 267-282.
    3. Francis In & Sangbae Kim, 2012. "An Introduction to Wavelet Theory in Finance:A Wavelet Multiscale Approach," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 8431.
    4. Jamdee, Sutthisit & Los, Cornelis A., 2007. "Long memory options: LM evidence and simulations," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 260-280, June.
    5. Espinosa Méndez, Christian, 2005. "Evidencia De Comportamiento Caótico En Indices Bursátiles Americanos [Evidence Of Chaotic Behavior In American Stock Markets]," MPRA Paper 2794, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Jun 2006.
    6. Cerqueti, Roy & Fanelli, Viviana & Rotundo, Giulia, 2019. "Long run analysis of crude oil portfolios," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 183-205.
    7. Sensoy, Ahmet & Tabak, Benjamin M., 2016. "Dynamic efficiency of stock markets and exchange rates," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 353-371.
    8. Erdinc Akyildirim & Ahmet Goncu & Ahmet Sensoy, 2021. "Prediction of cryptocurrency returns using machine learning," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 297(1), pages 3-36, February.
    9. Vogl, Markus, 2023. "Hurst exponent dynamics of S&P 500 returns: Implications for market efficiency, long memory, multifractality and financial crises predictability by application of a nonlinear dynamics analysis framewo," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    10. Karuppiah, Jeyanthi & Los, Cornelis A., 2005. "Wavelet multiresolution analysis of high-frequency Asian FX rates, Summer 1997," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 211-246.
    11. Chaker Aloui & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2014. "On the detection of extreme movements and persistent behaviour in Mediterranean stock markets: a wavelet-based approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(22), pages 2611-2622, August.
    12. Harbir Lamba & Tim Seaman, 2008. "Market Statistics Of A Psychology-Based Heterogeneous Agent Model," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 11(07), pages 717-737.
    13. Roy Cerqueti & Viviana Fanelli, 2021. "Long memory and crude oil’s price predictability," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 299(1), pages 895-906, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Persistence; Hurst Exponent; Nonstationarity; Nonergodicity; Financial Markets; Latin America;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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