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The Effect of Weather-Induced Internal Migration on Local Labor Markets: Evidence from Uganda

  • Strobl, Eric

    ()

    (Aix-Marseille University)

  • Valfort, Marie-Anne

    ()

    (University of Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne)

Relying on census data collected in 2002 and historical weather data for Uganda, we estimate the impact of weather-induced internal migration on the probability for non-migrants living in the destination regions to be employed. Our results reveal a significant negative impact. Consistent with the prediction of a simple theoretical model, they further show that this negative impact is significantly stronger in regions with lower road density and therefore less conducive to capital mobility: a 10 percentage points increase in the net in-migration rate in these areas decreases the probability of being employed of non-migrants by more than 20 percentage points.

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Paper provided by Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in its series IZA Discussion Papers with number 6923.

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Length: 36 pages
Date of creation: Oct 2012
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp6923
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