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The Employment E ects of Collective Bargaining

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  • Bernardo Fanfani

    (Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore
    Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore)

Abstract

This paper studies the wage and employment e ects of Italian collective bargaining, analysing monthly data on the population of private-sector employees matched with information on contractual pay levels settled in industry-wide agreements bargained by trade unions' and employers' representatives at the national level. The research design exploits the generalised wage growth induced by changes in contractual pay levels, whose timing and size di ers across collective agreements, and it compares the outcomes of interest within sectors and geographical locations between workers subject to di erent contracts. The specification adopted controls for space-specific sectoral unobserved time-varying disturbances in a fully non-parametric way. Results show that a growth in contractual wages increases actual pay levels, determining at the same time negative effects on employment. The confidence interval of the implied own-price labour demand elasticity ranges between -0.4 and -1.2 in the preferred model specification. The interactions of this parameter with firm-level outcomes {value added per worker, size, the labour share and capital intensity{ are broadly consistent with Hicks-Marshall laws and with traditional models of centralized wage bargaining. Further analyses carefully document the dynamics of employment adjustments to contractual wage levels across time and assess the overall robustness of the results.

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  • Bernardo Fanfani, 2020. "The Employment E ects of Collective Bargaining," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza def095, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
  • Handle: RePEc:ctc:serie1:def095
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    collective bargaining; labour demand; employment; industrial relations; minimum wage.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J01 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - Labor Economics: General
    • J08 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - Labor Economics Policies
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
    • J38 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Public Policy
    • J52 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Labor-Management Relations, Trade Unions, and Collective Bargaining - - - Dispute Resolution: Strikes, Arbitration, and Mediation

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