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The Banks that Said No: the Impact of Credit Supply on Productivity and Wages

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  • Jeremy Franklin

    (Bank of England)

  • May Rostom

    (Bank of Canada)

  • Gregory Thwaites

    (Bank of England and London School of Economics)

Abstract

This paper estimates the effects of changes in bank credit supply on the real economy. We use UK firm-level data around the global financial crisis and information on pre-existing bank lending relationships to isolate exogenous credit supply shocks. We find some evidence that contractions in credit supply substantially reduce labour productivity, wages, and capital per worker within firms, and increase the chance firms will fail. Our results have implications for the welfare costs of financial crises, and for the costs of policy measures affecting credit supply at other times.

Suggested Citation

  • Jeremy Franklin & May Rostom & Gregory Thwaites, 2020. "The Banks that Said No: the Impact of Credit Supply on Productivity and Wages," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 57(2), pages 149-179, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jfsres:v:57:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s10693-019-00306-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s10693-019-00306-8
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    Cited by:

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    2. Thornton, John & Vasilakis, Chrysovalantis, 2023. "Bank regulations and surges and stops in credit: Panel evidence," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    3. Peisen LIU & Shiqi Chen & Yufeng XIA, 2023. "The Effect of Bank Competition and Rural Banks on Wages: Evidence from Agricultural Firms," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 5-24, December.
    4. Balleer, Almut & Arabzadeh Jamali, Hamzeh & Gehrke, Britta, 2020. "Uncovering the mechanism(s): Financial constraints and wages," CEPR Discussion Papers 15585, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Selay Sahan & Euan Phimister, 2022. "Worker Incentives in the Banking Industry," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 61(2), pages 259-284, April.
    6. Mustapha Douch & Huw Edwards & Sushanta Mallick, 2022. "The UK Productivity Puzzle: Does Firm Cohort matter for their Performance following the Financial Crisis?," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 101, Bank of Lithuania.
    7. Ikhsan Ikhsan & Khairul Amri, 2023. "Sectoral Growth Impacts of Bank Credit Allocation: The Role of COVID-19 Pandemic as Moderating Variable," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 5, pages 32-50.
    8. Koray Aktaş & Gian Paolo Barbetta, 2023. "The Effect of Giving Credit to Social Enterprises: Evidence From Italy," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 9(1), pages 235-263, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Firm behaviour; Productivity; Credit supply; Banks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Cost; Capital; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity; Capacity
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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