# Econometric Society

# Econometrica

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### 1990, Volume 58, Issue 6

**1321-39 Public and Private Information: An Experimental Study of Information Pooling***by*McKelvey, Richard D & Page, Talbot**1341-64 Universal Mechanisms***by*Forges, Francoise**1365-90 On the Definition of the Strategic Stability of Equilibria***by*Hillas, John**1391-1409 Long Waves and Short Waves: Growth through Intensive and Extensive Search***by*Jovanovic, Boyan & Rob, Rafael**1411-41 The Relationship between Wages and Income and the Timing and Spacing of Births: Evidence from Swedish Longitudinal Data***by*Heckman, James J & Walker, James R**1443-58 A Consistent Conditional Moment Test of Functional Form***by*Bierens, Herman J**1459-65 Testing for a Global Maximum in an Econometric Context***by*Veall, Michael R**1467-74 On the Possibility of Price Decreasing Bubbles***by*Weil, Philippe**1475-80 Random Paths to Stability in Two-Sided Matching***by*Roth, Alvin E & Vande Vate, John H**1481-85 A Globally Stable Price Adjustment Process***by*Kamiya, Kazuya

### 1990, Volume 58, Issue 5

**1007-40 Aggregate Consumer Behavior and the Measurement of Social Welfare***by*Jorgenson, Dale W**1041-63 Toward a Theory of Discounted Repeated Games with Imperfect Monitoring***by*Abreu, Dilip & Pearce, David & Stacchetti, Ennio**1065-81 Testing the Minimax Hypothesis: A Re-examination of O'Neill's Game Experiment***by*Brown, James N & Rosenthal, Robert W**1083-99 Nash Implementation: A Full Characterization***by*Moore, John & Repullo, Rafael**1101-19 On the Optimality of Central Places***by*Quinzii, Martine & Thisse, Jacques-Francois**1121-49 The Empirical Content of the Roy Model***by*Heckman, James J & Honore, Bo E**1151-80 Pensions, the Option Value of Work, and Retirement***by*Stock, James H & Wise, David A**1181-94 On the Normalization of Structural Equations: Properties of Direct Estimators***by*Hillier, Grant H**1195-1214 Tail Behavior of Regression Estimators and Their Breakdown Points***by*He, Xuming, et al**1215-34 Asymptotic Likelihood-Based Prediction Functions***by*Cooley, Thomas F & Parke, William R**1235-39 Common Knowledge of an Aggregate of Expectations***by*Nielsen, Lars Tyge, et al**1241-43 A Simple Characterization of Stochastically Monotone Functions***by*Bergin, James & Brandenburger, Adam**1245-47 Time Consistency of Fiscal and Monetary Policy: A Comment***by*Calvo, Guillermo A & Obstfeld, Maurice

### 1990, Volume 58, Issue 4

**757-82 Unemployment Insurance and Unemployment Spells***by*Meyer, Bruce D**783-808 Estimating a Market Equilibrium Search Model from Panel Data on Individuals***by*Eckstein, Zvi & Wolpin, Kenneth I**809-37 Efficient Instrumental Variables Estimation of Nonlinear Models***by*Newey, Whitney K**839-59 An Algorithmic Theory of the Choice of Techniques***by*Bidard, Christian**861-72 Discontinuous Games and Endogenous Sharing Rules***by*Simon, Leo K & Zame, William R**873-900 Efficiency Despite Mutually Payoff-Relevant Private Information: The Finite Case***by*Johnson, Scott & Pratt, John W & Zeckhauser, Richard J**901-28 Direct and Indirect Sale of Information***by*Admati, Anat R & Pfleiderer, Paul**929-50 Inventories and Money Holdings in a Search Economy***by*Diamond, Peter & Yellin, Joel**951-59 Bargaining with Uncertain Disagreement Points***by*Chun, Youngsub & Thomson, William**961-65 Risk Aversion in the Nash Bargaining Problem with Risky Outcomes and Risky Disagreement Points***by*Safra, Zvi & Zhou, Lin & Zilcha, Itzhak**967-76 Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator***by*Nelson, Charles R & Startz, Richard**977-81 The Danger of Extrapolating Asymptotic Local Power***by*Nelson, Forrest D & Savin, N E

### 1990, Volume 58, Issue 3

**525-42 Meteor Showers or Heat Waves? Heteroskedastic Intra-daily Volatility in the Foreign Exchange Market***by*Engle, Robert F & Ito, Takatoshi & Lin, Wen-Ling**543-70 Household Choices in Equilibrium***by*Altug, Sumru & Miller, Robert A**571-95 Learning How to Cooperate: Optimal Play in Repeated Coordination Games***by*Crawford, Vincent P & Haller, Hans**597-619 Long-term, Short-term and Renegotiation: On the Value of Commitment in Contracting***by*Rey, Patrick & Salanie, Bernard**621-36 Transactions/List Pricing***by*Seidmann, Daniel J**637-59 Intertemporal Price Competition***by*Eaton, Jonathan & Engers, Maxim**661-82 Existence of Marginal Cost Pricing Equilibria in Economies with Several Nonconvex Firms***by*Bonnisseau, Jean-Marc & Cornet, Bernard**683-704 On the Generic Nonoptimality of Dominant-Strategy Allocation Mechanisms: A General Theorem That Includes Pure Exchange Economies***by*Hurwicz, Leonid & Walker, Mark**705-23 Some Clarifications on the Transversality Condition***by*Michel, Philippe**725-28 Large Sample Properties of Two Inequality Indices***by*Thistle, Paul D

### 1990, Volume 58, Issue 2

**277-307 Learning to Believe in Sunspots***by*Woodford, Michael**309-47 Information Aggregation in an Experimental Market***by*Forsythe, Robert & Lundholm, Russell**349-77 Two-Stage Lotteries without the Reduction Axiom***by*Segal, Uzi**379-409 The Principal-Agent Relationship with an Informed Principal: The Case of Private Values***by*Maskin, Eric & Tirole, Jean**411-28 Hedging Pressure and Futures Price Movements in a General Equilibrium Model***by*Hirshleifer, David**429-52 Credit-Worthiness Tests and Interbank Competition***by*Broecker, Thorsten**453-73 Simple Estimation of a Duration Model with Unobserved Heterogeneity***by*Honore, Bo E**475-94 Exact Tests and Confidence Sets in Linear Regressions with Autocorrelated Errors***by*Dufour, Jean-Marie**495-505 The Fractional Unit Root Distribution***by*Sowell, Fallaw**507-14 On the Nature and Number of the Constraints on the Reduced Form as Implied by the Structural Form***by*Bekker, P A & Dijkstra, Theo K**515 Correlated Equilibrium in Two-Person Zero-Sum Games***by*Forges, Francoise

### 1990, Volume 58, Issue 1

**1-23 Information Revelation in a Market with Pairwise Meetings***by*Wolinsky, Asher**25-51 Asset Pricing and Optimal Portfolio Choice in the Presence of Illiquid Durable Consumption Goods***by*Grossman, Sanford J & Laroque, Guy**53-73 Precautionary Saving in the Small and in the Large***by*Kimball, Miles S**75-92 On Calculating Cost-of-Living Index Numbers for Arbitrary Income Levels***by*Balk, Bert M**93-111 Solving Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models: A Stochastic Equilibrium Model of Interest Rates***by*Novales, Alfonso**113-44 Inference in Linear Time Series Models with Some Unit Roots***by*Sims, Christopher A & Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W**145-63 A General Approach to the Limiting Distribution for Estimators in Time Series Regression with Nonstable Autoregressive Errors***by*Nabeya, Seiji & Tanaka, Katsuto**165-93 Asymptotic Properties of Residual Based Tests for Cointegration***by*Phillips, Peter C B & Ouliaris, S

### 1989, Volume 57, Issue 6

**1243-77 Supply Function Equilibria in Oligopoly under Uncertainty***by*Klemperer, Paul D & Meyer, Margaret A**1279-97 The Consumption-Based Capital Asset Pricing Model***by*Duffie, Darrell & Zame, William**1299-1316 Proper Posteriors from Improper Priors for an Unidentified Errors-in-Variables Model***by*Erickson, Timothy**1317-39 Bayesian Inference in Econometric Models Using Monte Carlo Integration***by*Geweke, John**1341-60 Test in a Structural Equation***by*Morimune, Kimio**1361-1401 The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis***by*Perron, Pierre**1403-30 Semiparametric Estimation of Index Coefficients***by*Powell, James L & Stock, James H & Stoker, Thomas M**1431-37 Observable Implications of Models with Multiple Equilibria***by*Jovanovic, Boyan**1439-43 A Note on the Quadratic Expenditure Model***by*van Daal, Jan & Merkies, Arnold H Q M**1445-49 Consistent Plans, Consequentialism, and Expected Utility***by*Hammond, Peter J**1451-59 Extracting the Surplus in the Common-Value Auction***by*McAfee, R Preston & McMillan, John & Reny, Philip J

### 1989, Volume 57, Issue 5

**995-1026 A Method of Simulated Moments for Estimation of Discrete Response Models without Numerical Integration***by*McFadden, Daniel**1027-57 Simulation and the Asymptotics of Optimization Estimators***by*Pakes, Ariel & Pollard, David**1059-90 Power in Econometric Applications***by*Andrews, Donald W K**1091-1120 Seminonparametric Estimation of Conditionally Constrained Heterogeneous Processes: Asset Pricing Applications***by*Gallant, Ronald & Tauchen, George**1121-52 A Test of the Efficiency of a Given Portfolio***by*Gibbons, Michael R & Ross, Stephen A & Shanken, Jay**1153-69 Expectation and Variation in Multi-period Decisions***by*Gilboa, Itzhak**1171-1214 Extensive Form Games in Continuous Time: Pure Strategies***by*Simon, Leo K & Stinchcombe, Maxwell B**1215-19 Occupational Choice under Uncertainty When Experience Is a Determinant of Earnings***by*Connelly, Rachel**1221-28 Sampling Performance of Some Joint One-Sided Preliminary Test Estimators under Squared Error Loss***by*Yancey, T A & Judge, G G & Bohrer, Robert

### 1989, Volume 57, Issue 4

**759-78 Reputation and Equilibrium Selection in Games with a Patient Player***by*Fudenberg, Drew & Levine, David K**779-813 Mortality Risk and Bequests***by*Hurd, Michael D**815-29 The Random Utility Hypothesis and Inference in Demand Systems***by*Brown, Bryan W & Walker, Mary Beth**831-60 Estimation of Multi-market Fix-Price Models: An Application of Pseudo Maximum Likelihood Methods***by*Laroque, Guy & Salanie, Bernard**861-88 Econometric Analysis of Aggregation in the Context of Linear Prediction Models***by*Pesaran, M Hashem & Pierse, Richard G & Kumar, Mohan S**889-910 Learning Rational Expectations under Computability Constraints***by*Spear, Stephen E**911-35 On the Inventory Cycle and the Instability of the Competitive Mechanism***by*Laroque, Guy**937-69 Substitution, Risk Aversion, and the Temporal Behavior of Consumption and Asset Returns: A Theoretical Framework***by*Epstein, Larry G & Zin, Stanley E**971-77 Hajek Inequalities, Measures of Leverage and the Size of Heteroskedasticity Robust Wald Tests***by*Chesher, Andrew**979-85 The Weak Axiom of Revealed Preference for Market Demand Is Strong***by*Hildenbrand, Werner

### 1989, Volume 57, Issue 3

**511-31 Reputation in Bargaining and Durable Goods Monopoly***by*Ausubel, Lawrence M & Deneckere, Raymond J**533-57 Multiproduct Duopolists***by*Champsaur, Paul & Rochet, Jean-Charles**559-70 The College Admissions Problem Revisited***by*Roth, Alvin E & Sotomayor, Marilda**571-87 Subjective Probability and Expected Utility without Additivity***by*Schmeidler, David**589-614 Potential, Value, and Consistency***by*Hart, Sergiu & Mas-Colell, Andreu**615-35 A Concept of Egalitarianism under Participation Constraints***by*Dutta, Bhaskar & Ray, Debraj**637-60 Election Goals and the Allocation of Campaign Resources***by*Snyder, James M**661-74 An Edgeworth Test Size Correction for the Linear Model with AR(1) Errors***by*Magee, Lonnie**675-83 A Uniform Law of Large Numbers for Dependent and Heterogeneous Data Processes***by*Potscher, Benedikt M & Prucha, Ingmar R**685-93 Alternative Tests of the Error Components Model***by*Moulton, Brent R & Randolph, William C**695-700 Efficient Estimation Using Panel Data***by*Breusch, Trevor S & Mizon, Grayham E & Schmidt, Peter**701-05 A Demand System Rank Theorem***by*Lewbel, Arthur**707-15 A Note on Bankruptcy Rules and Credit Constraints in Temporary Equilibrium***by*Eichberger, Jurgen

### 1989, Volume 57, Issue 2

**275-306 Econometrics and the Design of Economic Reform***by*Bruno, Michael**307-33 Likelihood Ratio Tests for Model Selection and Non-nested Hypotheses***by*Vuong, Quang H**335-55 Nonlinear Hypotheses, Inequality Restrictions, and Non-nested Hypotheses: Exact Simultaneous Tests in Linear Regressions***by*Dufour, Jean-Marie**357-84 A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle***by*Hamilton, James D**385-409 Estimating the Value of an In-Kind Transfer: The Case of Food Stamps***by*Moffitt, Robert**411-45 On the Covariance Structure of Earnings and Hours Changes***by*Abowd, John M & Card, David**447-80 Implicit Contracts, Incentive Compatibility, and Involuntary Unemployment***by*MacLeod, W Bentley & Malcomson, James M**481-501 Fertility Choice in a Model of Economic Growth***by*Barro, Robert J & Becker, Gary S

### 1989, Volume 57, Issue 1

**1-40 Efficient and Competitive Rationing***by*Wilson, Robert B**41-80 Optimal Price Dynamics and Speculation with a Storable Good***by*Benabou, Roland**81-95 Bargaining Foundations of Shapley Value***by*Gul, Faruk**97-113 Noncooperative Bargaining and Spatial Competition***by*Bester, Helmut**115-34 Implementation with Incomplete Information in Exchange Economies***by*Palfrey, Thomas R & Srivastava, Sanjay**135-62 The Structure of Financial Equilibrium with Exogenous Yields: The Case of Incomplete Markets***by*Balasko, Yves & Cass, David**163-69 Asset Demands without the Independence Axiom***by*Dekel, Eddie**171-85 Testing for Common Roots***by*Gourieroux, Christian & Monfort, Alan & Renault, Eric

### 1988, Volume 56, Issue 6

**1247-57 Full Extraction of the Surplus in Bayesian and Dominant Strategy Auctions***by*Cremer, Jacques & McLean, Richard P**1259-81 The Structure of Nash Equilibrium in Repeated Games with Finite Automata***by*Abreu, Dilip & Rubinstein, Ariel**1283-1300 Asset Pricing in Multiperiod Securities Markets***by*Chamberlain, Gary**1301-14 Household Economies of Scale in Consumption: Theory and Evidence***by*Nelson, Julie A**1315-32 Nonparametric Analysis of Technical and Allocative Efficiencies in Production***by*Banker, Rajiv D & Maindiratta, Ajay**1333-54 Trends versus Random Walks in Time Series Analysis***by*Durlauf, Steven N & Phillips, Peter C B**1355-69 Testing for Structural Change in Dynamic Models***by*Kramer, Walter & Ploberger, Werner & Alt, Raimund**1371-95 Estimating Vector Autoregressions with Panel Data***by*Holtz-Eakin, Douglas & Newey, Whitney & Rosen, Harvey S**1397-1417 Asymptotic Normality, When Regressors Have a Unit Root***by*West, Kenneth D**1419-53 Chi-Square Diagnostic Tests for Econometric Models: Theory***by*Andrews, Donald W K**1455-65 Equity and Efficiency in Public Sector Pricing: A Case for Stochastic Rationing***by*Wijkander, Hans**1467-71 The Optimal Depletion and Exploration of a Nonrenewable Resource***by*Quyen, N V

### 1988, Volume 56, Issue 5

**997-1019 Approximate Power Functions for Some Robust Tests of Regression Coefficients***by*Rothenberg, Thomas J**1021-43 Regression Theory for Near-Integrated Time Series***by*Phillips, Peter C B**1045-64 Controlling a Stochastic Process with Unknown Parameters***by*Easley, David & Kiefer, Nicholas M**1065-83 On the Formulation of Wald Tests of Nonlinear Restrictions***by*Phillips, Peter C B & Park, Joon Y**1085-1118 Rational Expectations and the Aggregation of Diverse Information in Laboratory Security Markets***by*Plott, Charles R & Sunder, Shyam**1119-51 Bubbles, Crashes, and Endogenous Expectations in Experimental Spot Asset Markets***by*Smith, Vernon L & Suchanek, Gerry L & Williams, Arlington W**1153-75 The Dynamics of Incentive Contracts***by*Laffont, Jean-Jacques & Tirole, Jean**1177-90 Justifying the First-Order Approach to Principal-Agent Problems***by*Jewitt, Ian**1191-1220 Subgame Perfect Implementation***by*Moore, John & Repullo, Rafael**1221-39 Context-Dependent Choice with Nonlinear and Nontransitive Preferences***by*Fishburn, Peter C & LaValle, Irving H

### 1988, Volume 56, Issue 4

**755-85 Incomplete Contracts and Renegotiation***by*Hart, Oliver D & Moore, John**787-814 On 64%-Majority Rule***by*Caplin, Andrew S & Nalebuff, Barry J**815-40 Arbitrage and Diversification in a General Equilibrium Asset Economy***by*Milne, Frank**841-49 Strategic Considerations in Invention and Innovation; The Case of Natural Resources Revisited***by*Olsen, Trond E**851-76 Aggregation of Information in Large Cournot Markets***by*Vives, Xavier**877-908 Seasonality, Cost Shocks, and the Production Smoothing Models of Inventories***by*Miron, Jeffrey A & Zeldes, Stephen P**909-30 An Analysis of Substitution Bias in Measuring Inflation, 1959-85***by*Manser, Marilyn E & McDonald, Richard J**931-54 Root- N-Consistent Semiparametric Regression***by*Robinson, Peter M**955-71 Optimal Experimental Design for Error Components Models***by*Aigner, Dennis J & Balestra, Pietro**973-79 Estimating Risk Aversion from Arrow-Debreu Portfolio Choice***by*Varian, Hal R**981-89 Hedonic Prices and the Benefits of Public Projects***by*Kanemoto, Yoshitsugu

### 1988, Volume 56, Issue 3

**497-530 Measuring the Effect of Subsidized Training Programs on Movements in and out of Employment***by*Card, David & Sullivan, Daniel G**531-48 The Stochastic Difference between Econometric Statistics***by*Robinson, Peter M**549-69 A Theory of Dynamic Oligopoly, I: Overview and Quantity Competition with Large Fixed Costs***by*Maskin, Eric & Tirole, Jean**571-99 A Theory of Dynamic Oligopoly, II: Price Competition, Kinked Demand Curves, and Edgeworth Cycles***by*Maskin, Eric & Tirole, Jean**601-11 On Delay in Bargaining with One-Sided Uncertainty***by*Gul, Faruk & Sonnenschein, Hugo**613-43 The Existence of Input and Output Aggregates in Aggregate Production Functions***by*Blackorby, Charles & Schworm, William**645-59 Trade Patterns under Uncertainty with Country Specific Shocks***by*Helpman, Elhanan**661-92 Game Forms with Minimal Message Spaces***by*Reichelstein, Stefan & Reiter, Stanley**693-700 Strategy Space Reduction in Maskin's Theorem: Sufficient Conditions for Nash Implementation***by*Saijo, Tatsuyoshi**701-14 Alternative Estimators of FIML Covariance Matrix: A Monte Carlo Stud y***by*Calzolari, Giorgio & Panattoni, Lorenzo

### 1988, Volume 56, Issue 2

**259-93 Efficiency Wages and the Inter-industry Wage Structure***by*Krueger, Alan B & Summers, Lawrence H**295-316 Road Damage Externalities and Road User Charges***by*Newbery, David M**317-33 An Econometric Analysis of Fluctuations in Aggregate Labor Supply and Demand***by*Kennan, John**335-60 Intertemporal Preferences and Labor Supply***by*Hotz, V Joseph & Kydland, Finn E & Sedlacek, Guilherme L**361-82 The Second Welfare Theorem with Nonconvex Preferences***by*Anderson, Robert M**383-96 On the Theory of Infinitely Repeated Games with Discounting***by*Abreu, Dilip**397-410 Finite Rationality and Interpersonal Complexity in Repeated Games***by*Kalai, Ehud & Stanford, William**411-32 Optimal Time-Consistent Fiscal Policy with Finite Lifetimes***by*Calvo, Guillermo A & Obstfeld, Maurice**433-47 Conditions for Identification in Nonparametric and Parametic Models***by*Roehrig, Charles S**449-66 Managerial Task Assignment and Promotions***by*Ricart i Costa, Joan E**467-72 Analytic Derivatives for Estimation of Discrete-Time,***by*Zadrozny, Peter**473-76 A General Approach to the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT)***by*Reisman, Haim**477-84 The Rotterdam Model: An Approximation in Variable Space***by*Mountain, Dean C

### 1988, Volume 56, Issue 1

**1-36 Experimental Tests of a Sequential Equilibrium Reputation Model***by*Camerer, Colin & Weigelt, Keith**37-61 Dividend Innovations and Stock Price Volatility***by*West, Kenneth D**63-90 Rational Household Labor Supply***by*Chiappori, Pierre-Andre**91-118 An Empirical Analysis of Life Cycle Fertility and Female Labor Supply***by*Hotz, V Joseph & Miller, Robert A**119-45 The Student's t Approximation in a Stationary First Order Autoregressive Model***by*Nankervis, J C & Savin, N E**147-72 The Inverse Optimal Problem: A Dynamic Programming Approach***by*Chang, Fwu-Ranq**173-77 Poverty Orderings***by*Foster, James E & Shorrocks, Anthony F

### 1987, Volume 55, Issue 6

**1249-73 Does Saving Anticipate Declining Labor Income? An Alternative Test of the Permanent Income Hypothesis***by*Campbell, John Y**1275-1304 Information Impact and Allocation Rules in Auctions with Affiliated Private Values: A Laboratory Study***by*Kagel, John H & Harstad, Ronald M & Levin, Dan**1305-29 Implicit Alternatives and the Local Power of Test Statistics***by*Davidson, Russell & MacKinnon, James G**1331-48 Structural Consistency, Consistency, and Sequential Rationality***by*Kreps, David M & Ramey, Garey**1349-65 Incentive Compatibility in Signaling Games with a Continuum of Types***by*Mailath, George J**1367-89 A Refinement of Sequential Equilibrium***by*Cho, In-Koo**1391-1402 Rationalizability and Correlated Equilibria***by*Brandenburger, Adam & Dekel, Eddie**1403-18 Arbitrage and the Existence of Competitive Equilibrium***by*Werner, Jan**1419-31 Time Consistency of Fiscal and Monetary Policy***by*Persson, Mats & Persson, Torsten & Svensson, Lars E O**1433-50 Forward Exchange, Futures Trading, and Spot Price Variability: A General Equilibrium Approach***by*Weller, Paul & Yano, Makoto**1451-59 Characterizing Some Gorman Engel Curves***by*Lewbel, Arthur**1461-64 Value, Symmetry, and Equal Treatment: A Comment [Non-symmetric Cardinal Value Allocations]***by*Aumann, Robert J**1465-71 Consistency in Nonlinear Econometric Models: A Generic Uniform Law of Large Numbers [On Unification of the Asymptotic Theory of Nonlinear Econometric Models]***by*Andrews, Donald W K**1473-76 Forecast Variance in Dynamic Simulation of Simultaneous Equation Models***by*Calzolari, Giorgio