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Climate variation explains a third of global crop yield variability

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  1. Wang, Teng & Yi, Fujin & Liu, Huilin & Wu, Ximing & Zhong, Funing, 2021. "Can Agricultural Mechanization Have a Mitigation Effect on China's Yield Variability?," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315098, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
  2. Yaqin He & Brian J. Revell & Bofeng Leng & Zhongchao Feng, 2017. "The Effects of Weather on Oilseed Rape (OSR) Yield in China: Future Implications of Climate Change," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-14, March.
  3. Irmak, S. & Sandhu, R. & Kukal, M.S., 2022. "Multi-model projections of trade-offs between irrigated and rainfed maize yields under changing climate and future emission scenarios," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
  4. Cao, Juan & Zhang, Zhao & Tao, Fulu & Chen, Yi & Luo, Xiangzhong & Xie, Jun, 2023. "Forecasting global crop yields based on El Nino Southern Oscillation early signals," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
  5. Marco Rogna & Günter Schamel & Alex Weissensteiner, 2019. "Choosing between Hail Insurance and Anti-Hail Nets: A Simple Model and a Simulation among Apples Producers in South Tyrol," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS62, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
  6. Jeetendra Prakash Aryal & Tek B. Sapkota & Ritika Khurana & Arun Khatri-Chhetri & Dil Bahadur Rahut & M. L. Jat, 2020. "Climate change and agriculture in South Asia: adaptation options in smallholder production systems," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 22(6), pages 5045-5075, August.
  7. Rosa Carbonell-Bojollo & Oscar Veroz-Gonzalez & Rafaela Ordoñez-Fernandez & Manuel Moreno-Garcia & Gottlieb Basch & Amir Kassam & Miguel A. Repullo-Ruiberriz de Torres & Emilio J. Gonzalez-Sanchez, 2019. "The Effect of Conservation Agriculture and Environmental Factors on CO 2 Emissions in a Rainfed Crop Rotation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(14), pages 1-19, July.
  8. Florian Schierhorn & Max Hofmann & Taras Gagalyuk & Igor Ostapchuk & Daniel Müller, 2021. "Machine learning reveals complex effects of climatic means and weather extremes on wheat yields during different plant developmental stages," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 169(3), pages 1-19, December.
  9. Li, Siyi & Wang, Bin & Feng, Puyu & Liu, De Li & Li, Linchao & Shi, Lijie & Yu, Qiang, 2022. "Assessing climate vulnerability of historical wheat yield in south-eastern Australia's wheat belt," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
  10. Burhan Can Karahasan & Mehmet Pinar, 2023. "Climate change and spatial agricultural development in Turkey," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(3), pages 1699-1720, August.
  11. Jingpeng Guo & Kebiao Mao & Yinghui Zhao & Zhong Lu & Xiaoping Lu, 2019. "Impact of Climate on Food Security in Mainland China: A New Perspective Based on Characteristics of Major Agricultural Natural Disasters and Grain Loss," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-25, February.
  12. Seijger, Chris & Chukalla, Abebe & Bremer, Karin & Borghuis, Gerlo & Christoforidou, Maria & Mul, Marloes & Hellegers, Petra & van Halsema, Gerardo, 2023. "Agronomic analysis of WaPOR applications: Confirming conservative biomass water productivity in inherent and climatological variance of WaPOR data outputs," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
  13. Van Touch & Robert John Martin & Fiona Scott & Annette Cowie & De Li Liu, 2017. "Climate change impacts on rainfed cropping production systems in the tropics and the case of smallholder farms in North-west Cambodia," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 19(5), pages 1631-1647, October.
  14. Bekkers, Eddy & Brockmeier, Martina & Francois, Joseph & Yang, Fan, 2017. "Local Food Prices and International Price Transmission," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 216-230.
  15. Wang, Jianqing & Liu, Xiaoyu & Cheng, Kun & Zhang, Xuhui & Li, Lianqing & Pan, Genxing, 2018. "Winter wheat water requirement and utilization efficiency under simulated climate change conditions: A Penman-Monteith model evaluation," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 100-109.
  16. Bucheli, Janic & Dalhaus, Tobias & Finger, Robert, 2022. "Temperature effects on crop yields in heat index insurance," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
  17. Archana Raghavan Sathyan & Christoph Funk & Thomas Aenis & Lutz Breuer, 2018. "Climate Vulnerability in Rainfed Farming: Analysis from Indian Watersheds," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-27, September.
  18. Robert Becker Pickson & Ge He & Elliot Boateng, 2022. "Impacts of climate change on rice production: evidence from 30 Chinese provinces," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 3907-3925, March.
  19. Qinyu Deng & Wei Xie & Ke Wang, 2023. "Impact of extreme temperatures on production of different rice types: A county‐level analysis for China," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 45(2), pages 1097-1133, June.
  20. Yuhe Ji & Guangsheng Zhou & Lixia Wang & Shudong Wang & Zongshan Li, 2019. "Identifying climate risk causing maize (Zea mays L.) yield fluctuation by time-series data," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 96(3), pages 1213-1222, April.
  21. Sari J Himanen & Hanna Mäkinen & Karoliina Rimhanen & Riitta Savikko, 2016. "Engaging Farmers in Climate Change Adaptation Planning: Assessing Intercropping as a Means to Support Farm Adaptive Capacity," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-13, July.
  22. Kathleen Brüssow & Christoph Gornott & Anja Faße & Ulrike Grote, 2019. "The link between smallholders’ perception of climatic changes and adaptation in Tanzania," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 157(3), pages 545-563, December.
  23. Assefa, Yared & Yadav, Sudhir & Mondal, Manoranjan K. & Bhattacharya, Jayanta & Parvin, Rokhsana & Sarker, Shilpi R. & Rahman, Mahabubur & Sutradhar, Asish & Prasad, P.V. Vara & Bhandari, Humnath & Sh, 2021. "Crop diversification in rice-based systems in the polders of Bangladesh: Yield stability, profitability, and associated risk," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
  24. Flach, Rafaela & Abrahão, Gabriel & Bryant, Benjamin & Scarabello, Marluce & Soterroni, Aline C. & Ramos, Fernando M. & Valin, Hugo & Obersteiner, Michael & Cohn, Avery S., 2021. "Conserving the Cerrado and Amazon biomes of Brazil protects the soy economy from damaging warming," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
  25. Bacon, Christopher M. & Sundstrom, William A. & Stewart, Iris T. & Maurer, Ed & Kelley, Lisa C., 2021. "Towards smallholder food and water security: Climate variability in the context of multiple livelihood hazards in Nicaragua," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  26. Su, Zheng’e & Zhao, Jin & Marek, Thomas H. & Liu, Ke & Harrison, Matthew Tom & Xue, Qingwu, 2022. "Drought tolerant maize hybrids have higher yields and lower water use under drought conditions at a regional scale," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 274(C).
  27. Jaime Gaona & Pilar Benito-Verdugo & José Martínez-Fernández & Ángel González-Zamora & Laura Almendra-Martín & Carlos Miguel Herrero-Jiménez, 2022. "Soil Moisture Outweighs Climatic Factors in Critical Periods for Rainfed Cereal Yields: An Analysis in Spain," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-22, April.
  28. Tshering Choden & Bhim Bahadur Ghaley, 2021. "A Portfolio of Effective Water and Soil Conservation Practices for Arable Production Systems in Europe and North Africa," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-18, March.
  29. Santeramo, Fabio Gaetano & Maccarone, Irene, 2022. "Analisi storica delle rese agricole e la variabilità del clima: Analisi dei dati italiani sui cereali [Historical crop yields and climate variability: analysis of Italian cereal data]," MPRA Paper 114135, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Aug 2022.
  30. Da-Rocha, Jose-Maria & García-Cutrin, Javier & Gutierrez, Maria Jose & Touze, Julia, 2016. "A note on CES Preferences in Age-Structured Models," MPRA Paper 75298, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  31. Shengli Liu & Wenbin Wu & Xiaoguang Yang & Peng Yang & Jing Sun, 2020. "Exploring drought dynamics and its impacts on maize yield in the Huang-Huai-Hai farming region of China," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(1), pages 415-430, November.
  32. Joshua E. Cinner & Iain R. Caldwell & Lauric Thiault & John Ben & Julia L. Blanchard & Marta Coll & Amy Diedrich & Tyler D. Eddy & Jason D. Everett & Christian Folberth & Didier Gascuel & Jerome Guiet, 2022. "Potential impacts of climate change on agriculture and fisheries production in 72 tropical coastal communities," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
  33. Zhao, Xin & Calvin, Katherine & Patel, Pralit & Abigail, Snyder & Wise, Marshall & Waldhoff, Stephanie & Hejazi, Mohamad & Edmonds, James, 2021. "Impacts of interannual climate and biophysical variability on global agriculture markets," Conference papers 333245, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
  34. Oskar Marko & Sanja Brdar & Marko Panić & Isidora Šašić & Danica Despotović & Milivoje Knežević & Vladimir Crnojević, 2017. "Portfolio optimization for seed selection in diverse weather scenarios," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(9), pages 1-27, September.
  35. Ibrahim Sufiyan & K.D. Mohammed & Magaji J., 2020. "Assessment Of Crop Yield And Rainfall Simulation In Nasarawa Town Nasarawa State Nigeria," Journal Clean WAS (JCleanWAS), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 4(2), pages 75-78, July.
  36. Bucheli, Janic & Visse, Margot & Herrera, Juan & Häner, Lilia Levy & Tack, Jesse & Finger, Robert, 2022. "Precipitation causes quality losses of economic relevance in wheat production," 96th Annual Conference, April 4-6, 2022, K U Leuven, Belgium 321208, Agricultural Economics Society - AES.
  37. Obembe, Oladipo S., 2017. "Climate Change Impacts on US Wheat Production through Crop Abandonment," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258326, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  38. Chen, Chao & Fletcher, Andrew & Ota, Noboru & Oliver, Yvette & Lawes, Roger, 2023. "Integrating long fallow into wheat-based cropping systems in Western Australia: Spatial pattern of yield and economic responses," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
  39. Fang, Lan & Fu, Yong & Chen, Shaojian & Mao, Hui, 2021. "Can water rights trading pilot policy ensure food security in China? Based on the difference-in-differences method," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 23(6), pages 1415-1434.
  40. Sohail Abbas & Ghulam Dastgeer, 2021. "Analysing the impacts of climate variability on the yield of Kharif rice over Punjab, Pakistan," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(4), pages 329-349, November.
  41. Nazan An & Mustafa Tufan Turp & Murat Türkeş & Mehmet Levent Kurnaz, 2020. "Mid-Term Impact of Climate Change on Hazelnut Yield," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-20, May.
  42. Paolo Agnolucci & Vincenzo De Lipsis, 2020. "Long-run trend in agricultural yield and climatic factors in Europe," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 159(3), pages 385-405, April.
  43. Linnenluecke, Martina K. & Smith, Tom & McKnight, Brent, 2016. "Environmental finance: A research agenda for interdisciplinary finance research," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 124-130.
  44. Gaëlle van Frank & Pierre Rivière & Sophie Pin & Raphaël Baltassat & Jean-François Berthellot & François Caizergues & Christian Dalmasso & Jean-Sébastien Gascuel & Alexandre Hyacinthe & Florent Mercie, 2020. "Genetic Diversity and Stability of Performance of Wheat Population Varieties Developed by Participatory Breeding," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-21, January.
  45. Chamila Kumari Chandrasiri & Takuji W. Tsusaka & Tien D. N. Ho & Farhad Zulfiqar & Avishek Datta, 2023. "Impacts of climate change on paddy yields in different climatic zones of Sri Lanka: a panel data approach," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 7(2), pages 455-489, June.
  46. Ibrahim Wahab & Magnus Jirström & Ola Hall, 2020. "An Integrated Approach to Unravelling Smallholder Yield Levels: The Case of Small Family Farms, Eastern Region, Ghana," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-27, June.
  47. Nakelse, Tebila & Dalton, Timothy J. & Hendricks, Nathan P. & Hodjo, Manzamasso, 2018. "Are smallholder farmers better or worse off from an increase in the international price of cereals?," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 213-223.
  48. Viorica GAVRILĂ, 2017. "The Stability of Fruit Production Under the Impact of Climate Factors – Scientific Literature-Based Approaches," Agricultural Economics and Rural Development, Institute of Agricultural Economics, vol. 14(2), pages 267-274.
  49. Puyu Feng & Bin Wang & De Li Liu & Hongtao Xing & Fei Ji & Ian Macadam & Hongyan Ruan & Qiang Yu, 2018. "Impacts of rainfall extremes on wheat yield in semi-arid cropping systems in eastern Australia," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 147(3), pages 555-569, April.
  50. Acosta-Alba, Ivonne & Chia, Eduardo & Andrieu, Nadine, 2019. "The LCA4CSA framework: Using life cycle assessment to strengthen environmental sustainability analysis of climate smart agriculture options at farm and crop system levels," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 155-170.
  51. Qiu, Weihong & Ma, Xiaolong & Cao, Hanbing & Huang, Tingmiao & She, Xu & Huang, Ming & Wang, Zhaohui & Liu, Jinshan, 2022. "Improving wheat yield by optimizing seeding and fertilizer rates based on precipitation in the summer fallow season in drylands of the Loess Plateau," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 264(C).
  52. Erin Coughlan de Perez & Maarten van Aalst & Richard Choularton & Bart van den Hurk & Simon Mason & Hannah Nissan & Saroja Schwager, 2019. "From rain to famine: assessing the utility of rainfall observations and seasonal forecasts to anticipate food insecurity in East Africa," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 11(1), pages 57-68, February.
  53. Md Kamrul Hasan & Lalit Kumar, 2020. "Perceived farm-level climatic impacts on coastal agricultural productivity in Bangladesh," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 161(4), pages 617-636, August.
  54. Qian, Long & Meng, Huayue & Chen, Xiaohong & Tang, Rong, 2023. "Evaluating agricultural drought and flood abrupt alternation: A case study of cotton in the middle-and-lower Yangtze River, China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
  55. Jing Hou & Bo Hou, 2019. "Farmers’ Adoption of Low-Carbon Agriculture in China: An Extended Theory of the Planned Behavior Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-20, March.
  56. Janusz Prusiński & Radosław Nowicki, 2020. "Effect of planting density and row spacing on the yielding of soybean (Glycine max L. Merrill)," Plant, Soil and Environment, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 66(12), pages 616-623.
  57. Zeleke, K.T. & Nendel, C., 2016. "Analysis of options for increasing wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) yield in south-eastern Australia: The role of irrigation, cultivar choice and time of sowing," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 139-148.
  58. Arata, Linda & Fabrizi, Enrico & Sckokai, Paolo, 2020. "A worldwide analysis of trend in crop yields and yield variability: Evidence from FAO data," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 190-208.
  59. Beatrice Monteleone & Iolanda Borzí & Brunella Bonaccorso & Mario Martina, 2023. "Quantifying crop vulnerability to weather-related extreme events and climate change through vulnerability curves," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(3), pages 2761-2796, April.
  60. Chen, Kefei & O'Leary, Rebecca A. & Evans, Fiona H., 2019. "A simple and parsimonious generalised additive model for predicting wheat yield in a decision support tool," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 140-150.
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  62. Zhichao An & Chong Wang & Xiaoqiang Jiao & Zhongliang Kong & Wei Jiang & Dong Zhang & Wenqi Ma & Fusuo Zhang, 2021. "Methodology of Analyzing Maize Density Loss in Smallholder’s Fields and Potential Optimize Approach," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-15, May.
  63. Choi, Eseul & DePaula, Guilherme & Kyveryga, Peter & Fey, Suzanne, 2024. "The Trade-off between Yield and Nitrogen Pollution under Excessive Rainfall: Evidence from On-farm Field Experiments in Iowa," ISU General Staff Papers 202402222018560000, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  64. Maria Waldinger, 2023. "“Let Them Eat Cake”: Drought, Peasant Uprisings, and Demand for Institutional Change in the French Revolution," CESifo Working Paper Series 10303, CESifo.
  65. Dazhuan Ge & Hualou Long & Li Ma & Yingnan Zhang & Shuangshuang Tu, 2017. "Analysis Framework of China’s Grain Production System: A Spatial Resilience Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-21, December.
  66. Jarvis, Nicholas & Larsbo, Mats & Lewan, Elisabet & Garré, Sarah, 2022. "Improved descriptions of soil hydrology in crop models: The elephant in the room?," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
  67. T. V. Lakshmi Kumar & Humberto Barbosa & S. Madhu & K. Koteswara Rao, 2019. "Studies on Crop Yields and Their Extreme Value Analysis over India," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(17), pages 1-14, August.
  68. Huey-Lin Lee & Yu-Pin Lin & Joy R. Petway, 2018. "Global Agricultural Trade Pattern in A Warming World: Regional Realities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-21, August.
  69. Balsher Singh Sidhu & Zia Mehrabi & Milind Kandlikar & Navin Ramankutty, 2022. "On the relative importance of climatic and non-climatic factors in crop yield models," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 173(1), pages 1-21, July.
  70. Nazan An & M Tufan Turp & M Tufan Turp & Murat Türkeş & M Levent Kurnaz & Murat Türkeş & M Levent Kurnaz, 2020. "Climate Change Effects on Agricultural Production- A Short Review," Current Investigations in Agriculture and Current Research, Lupine Publishers, LLC, vol. 8(3), pages 1097-1099, March.
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  98. Gastaldi, A. & Alvarez Prado, S. & Arduini, J.A. & Miralles, D.J., 2020. "Optimizing wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) management under dry environments: A case study in the West Pampas of Argentina," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
  99. Nasir Mahmood & Muhammad Arshad & Harald Kaechele & Muhammad Faisal Shahzad & Ayat Ullah & Klaus Mueller, 2020. "Fatalism, Climate Resiliency Training and Farmers’ Adaptation Responses: Implications for Sustainable Rainfed-Wheat Production in Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-21, February.
  100. Siatwiinda M. Siatwiinda & Iwan Supit & Bert van Hove & Olusegun Yerokun & Gerard H. Ros & Wim de Vries, 2021. "Climate change impacts on rainfed maize yields in Zambia under conventional and optimized crop management," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 167(3), pages 1-23, August.
  101. Sara Bosi & Lorenzo Negri & Antonio Fakaros & Giulia Oliveti & Anne Whittaker & Giovanni Dinelli, 2022. "GGE Biplot Analysis to Explore the Adaption Potential of Italian Common Wheat Genotypes," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-18, January.
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