IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v116y2023i3d10.1007_s11069-022-05791-0.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Quantifying crop vulnerability to weather-related extreme events and climate change through vulnerability curves

Author

Listed:
  • Beatrice Monteleone

    (University School for Advanced Studies of Pavia)

  • Iolanda Borzí

    (University of Messina)

  • Brunella Bonaccorso

    (University of Messina)

  • Mario Martina

    (University School for Advanced Studies of Pavia)

Abstract

Weather extremes have been responsible for widespread economic damage at global scale in the last decades. Agriculture alone absorbed 26% of the overall impact caused by natural hazards in low- and middle-income countries and even in high-income countries yield losses due to extreme weather are relevant. Vulnerability curves are traditionally used to quickly estimate the damage due to extreme events. This study maps the articles published from January 2000 to May 2022 implementing crop vulnerability curves to weather-related extreme events and climate change. Fifty-two articles have been identified through the use of Scopus, Web of Science, Google Scholar and the references of the selected papers. The selected papers have been analysed to determine for which extreme events vulnerability curves have been proposed, which crops have been studied, which explanatory variables have been used to create the curves, which functions are used to develop vulnerability curves and the number of parameters on which the proposed functions rely. Comparisons among the vulnerability curves for the various extremes are proposed, as well as indications of the main drawback of the developed vulnerability curves. Finally, areas where further research is needed are proposed together with recommendations on which elements should be included in vulnerability curve development.

Suggested Citation

  • Beatrice Monteleone & Iolanda Borzí & Brunella Bonaccorso & Mario Martina, 2023. "Quantifying crop vulnerability to weather-related extreme events and climate change through vulnerability curves," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(3), pages 2761-2796, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:116:y:2023:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-022-05791-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-022-05791-0
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-022-05791-0
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-022-05791-0?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kaizhong Li & Shaohong Wu & Erfu Dai & Zhongchun Xu, 2012. "Flood loss analysis and quantitative risk assessment in China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 63(2), pages 737-760, September.
    2. F. Todisco & F. Mannocchi & L. Vergni, 2013. "Severity–duration–frequency curves in the mitigation of drought impact: an agricultural case study," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 65(3), pages 1863-1881, February.
    3. Heidi Webber & Frank Ewert & Jørgen E. Olesen & Christoph Müller & Stefan Fronzek & Alex C. Ruane & Maryse Bourgault & Pierre Martre & Behnam Ababaei & Marco Bindi & Roberto Ferrise & Robert Finger & , 2018. "Diverging importance of drought stress for maize and winter wheat in Europe," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 1-10, December.
    4. Elodie Blanc & Eric Strobl, 2016. "Assessing the Impact of Typhoons on Rice Production in the Philippines," Post-Print hal-01446210, HAL.
    5. Li, Ziyue & Zhang, Zhao & Zhang, Lingyan, 2021. "Improving regional wheat drought risk assessment for insurance application by integrating scenario-driven crop model, machine learning, and satellite data," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    6. Cui, Yi & Jiang, Shangming & Jin, Juliang & Ning, Shaowei & Feng, Ping, 2019. "Quantitative assessment of soybean drought loss sensitivity at different growth stages based on S-shaped damage curve," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 821-832.
    7. Monteleone, Beatrice & Borzí, Iolanda & Bonaccorso, Brunella & Martina, Mario, 2022. "Developing stage-specific drought vulnerability curves for maize: The case study of the Po River basin," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    8. Olga Wilhelmi & Donald Wilhite, 2002. "Assessing Vulnerability to Agricultural Drought: A Nebraska Case Study," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 25(1), pages 37-58, January.
    9. Deepak K. Ray & James S. Gerber & Graham K. MacDonald & Paul C. West, 2015. "Climate variation explains a third of global crop yield variability," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 6(1), pages 1-9, May.
    10. Gurdeep Singh Malhi & Manpreet Kaur & Prashant Kaushik, 2021. "Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture and Its Mitigation Strategies: A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-21, January.
    11. Marco Moriondo & Marco Bindi & Zbigniew Kundzewicz & M. Szwed & A. Chorynski & P. Matczak & M. Radziejewski & D. McEvoy & Anita Wreford, 2010. "Impact and adaptation opportunities for European agriculture in response to climatic change and variability," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 15(7), pages 657-679, October.
    12. S. M. Alfieri & M. Riccardi & M. Menenti & A. Basile & A. Bonfante & F. Lorenzi, 2019. "Adaptability of global olive cultivars to water availability under future Mediterranean climate," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 435-466, March.
    13. E. Michel‐Kerjan & S. Hochrainer‐Stigler & H. Kunreuther & J. Linnerooth‐Bayer & R. Mechler & R. Muir‐Wood & N. Ranger & P. Vaziri & M. Young, 2013. "Catastrophe Risk Models for Evaluating Disaster Risk Reduction Investments in Developing Countries," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(6), pages 984-999, June.
    14. Zahra Ganji & Alireza Shokoohi & Jamal Samani, 2012. "Developing an agricultural flood loss estimation function (case study: rice)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(1), pages 405-419, October.
    15. Badri Bhakta Shrestha & Edangodage Duminda Pradeep Perera & Shun Kudo & Mamoru Miyamoto & Yusuke Yamazaki & Daisuke Kuribayashi & Hisaya Sawano & Takahiro Sayama & Jun Magome & Akira Hasegawa & Tomoki, 2019. "Assessing flood disaster impacts in agriculture under climate change in the river basins of Southeast Asia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 97(1), pages 157-192, May.
    16. Erik Chavez & Gordon Conway & Michael Ghil & Marc Sadler, 2015. "An end-to-end assessment of extreme weather impacts on food security," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 5(11), pages 997-1001, November.
    17. Hao Guo & Xingming Zhang & Fang Lian & Yuan Gao & Degen Lin & Jing’ai Wang, 2016. "Drought Risk Assessment Based on Vulnerability Surfaces: A Case Study of Maize," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-22, August.
    18. Yaojie Yue & Jian Li & Xinyue Ye & Zhiqiang Wang & A-Xing Zhu & Jing-ai Wang, 2015. "An EPIC model-based vulnerability assessment of wheat subject to drought," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 78(3), pages 1629-1652, September.
    19. Zhu, Xiufang & Xu, Kun & Liu, Ying & Guo, Rui & Chen, Lingyi, 2021. "Assessing the vulnerability and risk of maize to drought in China based on the AquaCrop model," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    20. Li Fawen & Zhang Manjing & Liu Yaoze, 2022. "Quantitative research on drought loss sensitivity of summer maize based on AquaCrop model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 112(2), pages 1065-1084, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Emiliana Valentini & Serena Sapio & Emma Schiavon & Margherita Righini & Beatrice Monteleone & Andrea Taramelli, 2024. "Development of a Pre-Automatized Processing Chain for Agricultural Monitoring Using a Multi-Sensor and Multi-Temporal Approach," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-17, January.
    2. Monteleone, Beatrice & Borzí, Iolanda & Arosio, Marcello & Cesarini, Luigi & Bonaccorso, Brunella & Martina, Mario, 2023. "Modelling the response of wheat yield to stage-specific water stress in the Po Plain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 287(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Monteleone, Beatrice & Borzí, Iolanda & Arosio, Marcello & Cesarini, Luigi & Bonaccorso, Brunella & Martina, Mario, 2023. "Modelling the response of wheat yield to stage-specific water stress in the Po Plain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 287(C).
    2. Peng Su & Shiqi Li & Jing’ai Wang & Fenggui Liu, 2021. "Vulnerability Assessment of Maize Yield Affected by Precipitation Fluctuations: A Northeastern United States Case Study," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-15, November.
    3. Monteleone, Beatrice & Borzí, Iolanda & Bonaccorso, Brunella & Martina, Mario, 2022. "Developing stage-specific drought vulnerability curves for maize: The case study of the Po River basin," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    4. Zhu, Xiufang & Xu, Kun & Liu, Ying & Guo, Rui & Chen, Lingyi, 2021. "Assessing the vulnerability and risk of maize to drought in China based on the AquaCrop model," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    5. Wang, Zhiqiang & Ye, Li & Jiang, Jingyi & Fan, Yida & Zhang, Xiaoran, 2022. "Review of application of EPIC crop growth model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 467(C).
    6. Umesh, Barikara & Reddy, K.S. & Polisgowdar, B.S. & Maruthi, V. & Satishkumar, U. & Ayyanagoudar, M.S. & Rao, Sathyanarayan & Veeresh, H., 2022. "Assessment of climate change impact on maize (Zea mays L.) through aquacrop model in semi-arid alfisol of southern Telangana," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 274(C).
    7. Li, Siyi & Wang, Bin & Feng, Puyu & Liu, De Li & Li, Linchao & Shi, Lijie & Yu, Qiang, 2022. "Assessing climate vulnerability of historical wheat yield in south-eastern Australia's wheat belt," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    8. Bucheli, Janic & Dalhaus, Tobias & Finger, Robert, 2022. "Temperature effects on crop yields in heat index insurance," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    9. Li, Pei & Huang, Qiang & Huang, Shengzhi & Leng, Guoyong & Peng, Jian & Wang, Hao & Zheng, Xudong & Li, Yifei & Fang, Wei, 2022. "Various maize yield losses and their dynamics triggered by drought thresholds based on Copula-Bayesian conditional probabilities," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    10. Xi Hu & Jim W. Hall & Peijun Shi & Wee Ho Lim, 2016. "The spatial exposure of the Chinese infrastructure system to flooding and drought hazards," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(2), pages 1083-1118, January.
    11. Huafeng Xu & Kexin Xu & Yingjie Yang, 2021. "Risk assessment model of agricultural drought disaster based on grey matter-element analysis theory," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(3), pages 2693-2707, July.
    12. Kieu N. Le & Manoj K. Jha & Jaehak Jeong & Philip W. Gassman & Manuel R. Reyes & Luca Doro & Dat Q. Tran & Lyda Hok, 2018. "Evaluation of Long-Term SOC and Crop Productivity within Conservation Systems Using GFDL CM2.1 and EPIC," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-17, July.
    13. Xi Hu & Jim W. Hall & Peijun Shi & Wee Lim, 2016. "The spatial exposure of the Chinese infrastructure system to flooding and drought hazards," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(2), pages 1083-1118, January.
    14. Huifang Sun & Yaoguo Dang & Wenxin Mao, 2019. "Identifying key factors of regional agricultural drought vulnerability using a panel data grey combined method," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 98(2), pages 621-642, September.
    15. Enrico Biffis & Erik Chavez, 2017. "Satellite Data and Machine Learning for Weather Risk Management and Food Security," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(8), pages 1508-1521, August.
    16. Yining Ma & Suri Guga & Jie Xu & Jiquan Zhang & Zhijun Tong & Xingpeng Liu, 2021. "Comprehensive Risk Assessment of High Temperature Disaster to Kiwifruit in Shaanxi Province, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(19), pages 1-22, October.
    17. Jingpeng Guo & Kebiao Mao & Yinghui Zhao & Zhong Lu & Xiaoping Lu, 2019. "Impact of Climate on Food Security in Mainland China: A New Perspective Based on Characteristics of Major Agricultural Natural Disasters and Grain Loss," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-25, February.
    18. Pujun Liang & Wei Xu & Yunjia Ma & Xiujuan Zhao & Lianjie Qin, 2017. "Increase of Elderly Population in the Rainstorm Hazard Areas of China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-17, August.
    19. D. Santillán & L. Garrote & A. Iglesias & V. Sotes, 2020. "Climate change risks and adaptation: new indicators for Mediterranean viticulture," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 25(5), pages 881-899, May.
    20. Jeetendra Prakash Aryal & Tek B. Sapkota & Ritika Khurana & Arun Khatri-Chhetri & Dil Bahadur Rahut & M. L. Jat, 2020. "Climate change and agriculture in South Asia: adaptation options in smallholder production systems," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 22(6), pages 5045-5075, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:116:y:2023:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-022-05791-0. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.