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Fertility-related pensions and cyclical instability

  • Fanti, Luciano
  • Gori, Luca

We show that the introduction of unfunded public pensions in a Cobb-Douglas economy with overlapping generations and endogenous fertility may cause complex economic cycles when individuals are short-sighted. In particular, the risk of cyclical instability increases with both the individual degree of thriftiness and the relative weight of individual fertility in the pension system. Our results provide a possible explanation of the occurrence of persistent cycles in an overlapping generations context and represent a policy warning about the dramatic destabilising effects of a fertility-related pension reform.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/20221/1/MPRA_paper_20221.pdf
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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 20221.

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Date of creation: 23 Jan 2010
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:20221
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