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Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries

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  • Mr. Edward F Buffie
  • Luis-Felipe Zanna
  • Mr. Marco Airaudo

Abstract

We analyze coordination of monetary and exchange rate policy in a two-sector model of a small open economy featuring imperfect substitution between domestic and foreign financial assets. Our central finding is that management of the exchange rate greatly enhances the efficacy of inflation targeting. In a flexible exchange rate system, inflation targeting incurs a high risk of indeterminacy where macroeconomic fluctuations can be driven by self-fulfilling expectations. Moreover, small inflation shocks may escalate into much larger increases in inflation ex post. Both problems disappear when the central bank leans heavily against the wind in a managed float.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Edward F Buffie & Luis-Felipe Zanna & Mr. Marco Airaudo, 2016. "Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries," IMF Working Papers 2016/055, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2016/055
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