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Targeting the Real Exchange Rate: Theory and Evidence

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Carlos A. Végh Gramont
  • Mr. Guillermo Calvo
  • Ms. Carmen Reinhart

Abstract

This paper presents a theoretical and empirical analysis of policies aimed at setting a more depreciated level of the real exchange rate. An intertemporal optimizing model suggests that, in the absence of changes in fiscal policy, a more depreciated level of the real exchange can only be attained temporarily. This can be achieved by means of higher inflation and/or higher real interest rates, depending on the degree of capital mobility. Evidence for Brazil, Chile, and Colombia supports the model’s prediction that undervalued real exchange rates are associated with higher inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Carlos A. Végh Gramont & Mr. Guillermo Calvo & Ms. Carmen Reinhart, 1994. "Targeting the Real Exchange Rate: Theory and Evidence," IMF Working Papers 1994/022, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1994/022
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    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates

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