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Fiscal regimes in the EU

  • Afonso, António
  • Toffano, Priscilla

We assess the existence of fiscal regime shifts in the U.K., Germany, and Italy, using Markov switching fiscal rules. On the basis of a newly built quarterly data set, our results show the existence of fiscal regimes shifts, sometimes coupled with regime switches also regarding monetary developments. While in the UK “active” and “passive” (Leeper, 1991) fiscal regimes are somewhat clearer cut, in Germany fiscal regimes have been overall less active, supporting more fiscal sustainability. For Italy, a more passive fiscal behaviour is uncovered in the run-up to EMU. JEL Classification: C22, E62, H62

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Paper provided by European Central Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number 1529.

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Date of creation: Apr 2013
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Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20131529
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  1. Eric M. Leeper & Todd B. Walker, 2012. "Perceptions and Misperceptions of Fiscal Inflation," NBER Chapters, in: Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis, pages 255-299 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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  19. Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper, 2007. "Fluctuating Macro Policies and the Fiscal Theory," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2006, Volume 21, pages 247-316 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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  28. Hans Dewachter & Priscilla Toffano, 2012. "Fiscal activism and the cost of debt financing," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(1), pages 14-22, 01.
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