Hyun Hak Kim
Personal Details
First Name: | Hyun Hak |
Middle Name: | |
Last Name: | Kim |
Suffix: | |
RePEc Short-ID: | pki382 |
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public] | |
http://khdouble.googlepages.com | |
Terminal Degree: | 2012 Department of Economics; Rutgers University-New Brunswick (from RePEc Genealogy) |
Affiliation
College of Economics and Business
Kookmin University
Seoul, South Koreahttp://kyungsang.kookmin.ac.kr/
RePEc:edi:cekookr (more details at EDIRC)
Research output
Jump to: Working papers ArticlesWorking papers
- Hyun Hak Kim & Hosung Jung, 2019. "Systemic Risk of the Consumer Credit Network across Financial Institutions," Working Papers 2019-23, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2016.
"Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach,"
Auburn Economics Working Paper Series
auwp2016-10, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2020. "Forecasting financial stress indices in Korea: a factor model approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 2859-2898, December.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2018. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2018-06, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Kim, Hyeongwoo & Shi, Wen & Kim, Hyun Hak, 2018. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," MPRA Paper 89768, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Hyun Hak Kim & Wen Shi, 2015. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," Working Papers 2015-30, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2019. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2019-02, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Hyun Hak Kim, 2015.
"Forecasting CPI Inflation Using Combination of Point Forecast and Density Forecast (in Korean),"
Working Papers
2015-11, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Hyun Hak Kim, 2015. "Forecasting CPI Inflation Using Combination of Point Forecast and Density Forecast (in Korean)," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, vol. 21(3), pages 103-136, September.
- Hyun Hak Kim & Kwang Myoung Hwang, 2014. "Hysteresis in Korean Labor Market with Alternative Measures of Labor Utilization (in Korean)," Working Papers 2014-29, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Hyun Hak Kim & Norman Swanson, 2013. "Mining Big Data Using Parsimonious Factor and Shrinkage Methods," Departmental Working Papers 201316, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
- Hyun Hak Kim, 2013. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Data Dimension Reduction Methods: The Case of Korea," Working Papers 2013-26, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Huyn Hak Kim & Norman R. Swanson, 2011.
"Forecasting Financial and Macroeconomic Variables Using Data Reduction Methods: New Empirical Evidence,"
Departmental Working Papers
201119, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
- Kim, Hyun Hak & Swanson, Norman R., 2014. "Forecasting financial and macroeconomic variables using data reduction methods: New empirical evidence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P2), pages 352-367.
Articles
- Kihwan Kim & Hyun Hak Kim & Norman R. Swanson, 2023. "Mixing mixed frequency and diffusion indices in good times and in bad: an assessment based on historical data around the great recession of 2008," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(3), pages 1421-1469, March.
- Hyun Hak Kim, 2022. "A dynamic analysis of household debt using a self-organizing map," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(6), pages 2893-2919, June.
- Hosung Jung & Hyun Hak Kim, 2020. "Default Probability by Employment Status in South Korea," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 19(3), pages 62-84, Fall.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2020.
"Forecasting financial stress indices in Korea: a factor model approach,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 2859-2898, December.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2018. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2018-06, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Kim, Hyeongwoo & Shi, Wen & Kim, Hyun Hak, 2018. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," MPRA Paper 89768, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Hyun Hak Kim & Wen Shi, 2015. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," Working Papers 2015-30, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2016. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2016-10, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2019. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2019-02, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Hyun Hak Kim & Norman R. Swanson, 2018. "Methods for backcasting, nowcasting and forecasting using factor†MIDAS: With an application to Korean GDP," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 281-302, April.
- Hyun Hak Kim, 2018. "Looking into the black box of the Korean economy: the sparse factor model approach1," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 1-16, January.
- Kim, Hyun Hak & Swanson, Norman R., 2018. "Mining big data using parsimonious factor, machine learning, variable selection and shrinkage methods," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 339-354.
- Hyun Hak Kim, 2015.
"Forecasting CPI Inflation Using Combination of Point Forecast and Density Forecast (in Korean),"
Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, vol. 21(3), pages 103-136, September.
- Hyun Hak Kim, 2015. "Forecasting CPI Inflation Using Combination of Point Forecast and Density Forecast (in Korean)," Working Papers 2015-11, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Kim, Hyun Hak & Swanson, Norman R., 2014.
"Forecasting financial and macroeconomic variables using data reduction methods: New empirical evidence,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P2), pages 352-367.
- Huyn Hak Kim & Norman R. Swanson, 2011. "Forecasting Financial and Macroeconomic Variables Using Data Reduction Methods: New Empirical Evidence," Departmental Working Papers 201119, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Working papers
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2016.
"Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach,"
Auburn Economics Working Paper Series
auwp2016-10, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2020. "Forecasting financial stress indices in Korea: a factor model approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 2859-2898, December.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2018. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2018-06, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Kim, Hyeongwoo & Shi, Wen & Kim, Hyun Hak, 2018. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," MPRA Paper 89768, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Hyun Hak Kim & Wen Shi, 2015. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," Working Papers 2015-30, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2019. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2019-02, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
Cited by:
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Jisoo Son, 2023.
"What Charge-Off Rates Are Predictable by Macroeconomic Latent Factors?,"
Auburn Economics Working Paper Series
auwp2023-06, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Kim, Hyeongwoo & Son, Jisoo, 2024. "What charge-off rates are predictable by macroeconomic latent factors?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Jisoo Son, 2024. "What Charge-Off Rates Are Predictable by Macroeconomic Latent Factors?," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2024-01, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Kim, Hyeongwoo & Son, Jisoo, 2023. "What Charge-Off Rates Are Predictable by Macroeconomic Latent Factors?," MPRA Paper 116880, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Kyunghwan Ko, 2017.
"Improving Forecast Accuracy of Financial Vulnerability: PLS Factor Model Approach,"
Auburn Economics Working Paper Series
auwp2017-03, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Kyunghwan Ko, 2019. "Improving Forecast Accuracy of Financial Vulnerability: PLS Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2019-03, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Kim, Hyeongwoo & Ko, Kyunghwan, 2018. "Improving Forecast Accuracy of Financial Vulnerability: PLS Factor Model Approach," MPRA Paper 89449, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kim, Hyeongwoo & Ko, Kyunghwan, 2020. "Improving forecast accuracy of financial vulnerability: PLS factor model approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 341-355.
- Hao Dong & Yingrong Zheng & Na Li, 2023. "Analysis of Systemic Risk Scenarios and Stabilization Effect of Monetary Policy under the COVID-19 Shock and Pharmaceutical Economic Recession," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-32, January.
- Ohik Kwon & Jaevin Park, 2018. "E-money: Legal Restrictions Theory and Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2018-17, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Yishuai Tian & Yifan Wu, 2024. "Systemic Financial Risk Forecasting: A Novel Approach with IGSA-RBFNN," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-31, May.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi, 2016.
"Forecasting Financial Vulnerability in the US: A Factor Model Approach,"
Auburn Economics Working Paper Series
auwp2016-15, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi, 2018. "Forecasting Financial Vulnerability in the US: A Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2018-07, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Kim, Hyeongwoo & Shi, Wen, 2018. "Forecasting Financial Vulnerability in the US: A Factor Model Approach," MPRA Paper 89766, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi, 2020. "Forecasting Financial Vulnerability in the US: A Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2020-04, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi, 2021. "Forecasting financial vulnerability in the USA: A factor model approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 439-457, April.
- Young Sik Kim & Ohik Kwon, 2019. "Central Bank Digital Currency and Financial Stability," Working Papers 2019-6, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Tang, Pan & Tang, Tiantian & Lu, Chennuo, 2024. "Predicting systemic financial risk with interpretable machine learning," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Jisoo Son, 2023. "Forecasting Net Charge-Off Rates of Large U.S. Bank Holding Companies using Macroeconomic Latent Factors," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2023-02, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Jinsoo Lee & Bok-Keun Yu, 2018. "What Drives the Stock Market Comovements between Korea and China, Japan and the US?," Working Papers 2018-2, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Kyunghwan Ko, 2017. "Improving Forecast Accuracy of Financial Vulnerability: Partial Least Squares Factor Model Approach," Working Papers 2017-14, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Haddou, Samira, 2022. "International financial stress spillovers to bank lending: Do internal characteristics matter?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
- Sung Ho Park, 2018. "Fixed-Rate Loans and the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2018-20, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Kaelo Ntwaepelo & Grivas Chiyaba, 2022. "Financial Stability Surveillance Tools: Evaluating the Performance of Stress Indices," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2022-06, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
- Youngjin Yun, 2018. "Cross-Border Bank Flows through Foreign Branches: Evidence from Korea," Working Papers 2018-23, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Hyun Hak Kim & Norman Swanson, 2013.
"Mining Big Data Using Parsimonious Factor and Shrinkage Methods,"
Departmental Working Papers
201316, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
Cited by:
- Hyun Hak Kim, 2013. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Data Dimension Reduction Methods: The Case of Korea," Working Papers 2013-26, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Valentina Corradi & Norman Swanson, 2013.
"Testing for Structural Stability of Factor Augmented Forecasting Models,"
Departmental Working Papers
201314, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
- Corradi, Valentina & Swanson, Norman R., 2014. "Testing for structural stability of factor augmented forecasting models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 100-118.
- Hyun Hak Kim, 2013.
"Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Data Dimension Reduction Methods: The Case of Korea,"
Working Papers
2013-26, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
Cited by:
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2020.
"Forecasting financial stress indices in Korea: a factor model approach,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 2859-2898, December.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2018. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2018-06, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Kim, Hyeongwoo & Shi, Wen & Kim, Hyun Hak, 2018. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," MPRA Paper 89768, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Hyun Hak Kim & Wen Shi, 2015. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," Working Papers 2015-30, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2016. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2016-10, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2019. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2019-02, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2020.
"Forecasting financial stress indices in Korea: a factor model approach,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 2859-2898, December.
- Huyn Hak Kim & Norman R. Swanson, 2011.
"Forecasting Financial and Macroeconomic Variables Using Data Reduction Methods: New Empirical Evidence,"
Departmental Working Papers
201119, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
- Kim, Hyun Hak & Swanson, Norman R., 2014. "Forecasting financial and macroeconomic variables using data reduction methods: New empirical evidence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P2), pages 352-367.
Cited by:
- Teresa Buchen & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013.
"Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting - Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area, and Germany,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
4148, CESifo.
- Klaus Wohlrabe & Teresa Buchen, 2014. "Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting: Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area and Germany," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 231-242, July.
- Teresa, Buchen & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2014. "Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting: Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area, and Germany," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100626, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Manuel Lukas & Eric Hillebrand, 2014.
"Bagging Weak Predictors,"
CREATES Research Papers
2014-01, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Hillebrand, Eric & Lukas, Manuel & Wei, Wei, 2021. "Bagging weak predictors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 237-254.
- Eric Hillebrand & Manuel Lukas & Wei Wei, 2020. "Bagging Weak Predictors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 16/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Exterkate, Peter & Groenen, Patrick J.F. & Heij, Christiaan & van Dijk, Dick, 2016.
"Nonlinear forecasting with many predictors using kernel ridge regression,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 736-753.
- Peter Exterkate & Patrick J.F. Groenen & Christiaan Heij & Dick van Dijk, 2013. "Nonlinear Forecasting With Many Predictors Using Kernel Ridge Regression," CREATES Research Papers 2013-16, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Peter Exterkate & Patrick J.F. Groenen & Christiaan Heij & Dick van Dijk, 2011. "Nonlinear Forecasting with Many Predictors using Kernel Ridge Regression," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-007/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Kim, Hyun Hak & Swanson, Norman R., 2018. "Mining big data using parsimonious factor, machine learning, variable selection and shrinkage methods," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 339-354.
- Andrii Babii & Ryan T. Ball & Eric Ghysels & Jonas Striaukas, 2023.
"Panel Data Nowcasting: The Case of Price-Earnings Ratios,"
Papers
2307.02673, arXiv.org.
- Andrii Babii & Ryan T. Ball & Eric Ghysels & Jonas Striaukas, 2024. "Panel data nowcasting: The case of price–earnings ratios," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 292-307, March.
- Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné, 2022. "Backcasting world trade growth using data reduction methods," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(10), pages 3169-3191, October.
- Norman R. Swanson & Weiqi Xiong, 2018.
"Big data analytics in economics: What have we learned so far, and where should we go from here?,"
Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 51(3), pages 695-746, August.
- Norman R. Swanson & Weiqi Xiong, 2018. "Big data analytics in economics: What have we learned so far, and where should we go from here?," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 51(3), pages 695-746, August.
- Ciner, Cetin, 2019. "Do industry returns predict the stock market? A reprise using the random forest," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 152-158.
- Ouysse, Rachida, 2016. "Bayesian model averaging and principal component regression forecasts in a data rich environment," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 763-787.
- Maxime Leroux & Rachidi Kotchoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2017.
"Forecasting economic activity in data-rich environment,"
Working Papers
hal-04141668, HAL.
- Maxime Leroux & Rachidi Kotchoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2017. "Forecasting economic activity in data-rich environment," EconomiX Working Papers 2017-5, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Dalibor Stevanovic & Rachidi Kotchoni & Maxime Leroux, 2017. "Forecasting economic activity in data-rich environment," CIRANO Working Papers 2017s-05, CIRANO.
- Kihwan Kim & Hyun Hak Kim & Norman R. Swanson, 2023. "Mixing mixed frequency and diffusion indices in good times and in bad: an assessment based on historical data around the great recession of 2008," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(3), pages 1421-1469, March.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Boriss Siliverstovs & Daniel Wochner, 2020.
"Recessions as Breadwinner for Forecasters State-Dependent Evaluation of Predictive Ability: Evidence from Big Macroeconomic US Data,"
Working Papers
2020/02, Latvijas Banka.
- Boriss Siliverstovs & Daniel Wochner, 2019. "Recessions as Breadwinner for Forecasters State-Dependent Evaluation of Predictive Ability: Evidence from Big Macroeconomic US Data," KOF Working papers 19-463, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Yi Cao & Xiaoquan Liu & Jia Zhai & Shan Hua, 2022. "A two‐stage Bayesian network model for corporate bankruptcy prediction," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 455-472, January.
- Oguzhan Cepni & I. Ethem Guney & Norman R. Swanson, 2020. "Forecasting and nowcasting emerging market GDP growth rates: The role of latent global economic policy uncertainty and macroeconomic data surprise factors," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 18-36, January.
- Mario Forni & Alessandro Giovannelli & Marco Lippi & Stefano Soccorsi, 2016.
"Dynamic Factor Model with Infinite Dimensional Factor Space: Forecasting,"
Working Papers ECARES
ECARES 2016-16, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Forni, Mario & Giovannelli, Alessandro & Lippi, Marco & Soccorsi, Stefano, 2016. "Dynamic Factor model with infinite dimensional factor space: forecasting," CEPR Discussion Papers 11161, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mario Forni & Alessandro Giovannelli & Marco Lippi & Stefano Soccorsi, 2016. "Dynamic Factor model with infinite dimensional factor space: forecasting," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 120, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- Mario Forni & Alessandro Giovannelli & Marco Lippi & Stefano Soccorsi, 2018. "Dynamic factor model with infinite‐dimensional factor space: Forecasting," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(5), pages 625-642, August.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2016. "Boosting und die Prognose der deutschen Industrieproduktion: Was verrät uns der Blick in die Details?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(03), pages 30-33, February.
- Bryan T. Kelly & Asaf Manela & Alan Moreira, 2019. "Text Selection," NBER Working Papers 26517, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Lehmann, R. & Wohlrabe, K., 2016.
"Looking into the black box of boosting: the case of Germany,"
Munich Reprints in Economics
43525, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Looking into the Black Box of Boosting: The Case of Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series 5686, CESifo.
- Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2015. "Looking into the Black Box of Boosting: The Case of Germany," MPRA Paper 67608, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- R. Lehmann & K. Wohlrabe, 2016. "Looking into the black box of boosting: the case of Germany," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(17), pages 1229-1233, November.
- Giovannelli, Alessandro & Proietti, Tommaso, 2014.
"On the Selection of Common Factors for Macroeconomic Forecasting,"
MPRA Paper
60673, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Alessandro Giovannelli & Tommaso Proietti, 2015. "On the Selection of Common Factors for Macroeconomic Forecasting," CEIS Research Paper 332, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 12 Mar 2015.
- Tommaso Proietti, 2016. "On the Selection of Common Factors for Macroeconomic Forecasting," Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 593-628, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Alessandro Giovannelli & Tommaso Proietti, 2014. "On the Selection of Common Factors for Macroeconomic Forecasting," CREATES Research Papers 2014-46, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Xu, Ning & Hong, Jian & Fisher, Timothy, 2016.
"Model selection consistency from the perspective of generalization ability and VC theory with an application to Lasso,"
MPRA Paper
71670, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ning Xu & Jian Hong & Timothy C. G. Fisher, 2016. "Model selection consistency from the perspective of generalization ability and VC theory with an application to Lasso," Papers 1606.00142, arXiv.org.
- Çepni, Oğuzhan & Guney, I. Ethem & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "The role of an aligned investor sentiment index in predicting bond risk premia of the U.S," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Valentina Corradi & Norman Swanson, 2013.
"Testing for Structural Stability of Factor Augmented Forecasting Models,"
Departmental Working Papers
201314, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
- Corradi, Valentina & Swanson, Norman R., 2014. "Testing for structural stability of factor augmented forecasting models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 100-118.
- Xu Cheng & Bruce E. Hansen, 2012.
"Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Regression: A Frequentist Model Averaging Approach,"
PIER Working Paper Archive
12-046, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Cheng, Xu & Hansen, Bruce E., 2015. "Forecasting with factor-augmented regression: A frequentist model averaging approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 186(2), pages 280-293.
- Erik Christian Montes Schütte, 2018. "In Search of a Job: Forecasting Employment Growth in the US using Google Trends," CREATES Research Papers 2018-25, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2015.
"The role of component-wise boosting for regional economic forecasting,"
MPRA Paper
68186, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 03 Dec 2015.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2017. "Boosting and regional economic forecasting: the case of Germany," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 161-175, July.
- Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Emmanouil Sofianos, 2022. "Forecasting unemployment in the euro area with machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 551-566, April.
- Swamy, Vighneswara, 2020. "Macroeconomic transmission of Eurozone shocks to India—A mean-adjusted Bayesian VAR approach," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 126-150.
- Marine Carrasco & Barbara Rossi, 2016.
"In-sample inference and forecasting in misspecified factor models,"
Economics Working Papers
1530, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Marine Carrasco & Barbara Rossi, 2016. "In-Sample Inference and Forecasting in Misspecified Factor Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 313-338, July.
- Rossi, Barbara & Carrasco, Marine, 2016. "In-sample Inference and Forecasting in Misspecified Factor Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 11388, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Berg, Tim O. & Henzel, Steffen R., 2015.
"Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1067-1095.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," ifo Working Paper Series 155, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Berg, Tim Oliver & Henzel, Steffen, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79783, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2014. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Bayesian VARs," CESifo Working Paper Series 4711, CESifo.
- Maehashi, Kohei & Shintani, Mototsugu, 2020. "Macroeconomic forecasting using factor models and machine learning: an application to Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
- Boriss Siliverstovs & Daniel S. Wochner, 2021. "State‐dependent evaluation of predictive ability," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 547-574, April.
- Daniel Borup & Erik Christian Montes Schütte, 2019.
"In search of a job: Forecasting employment growth using Google Trends,"
CREATES Research Papers
2019-13, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Daniel Borup & Erik Christian Montes Schütte, 2022. "In Search of a Job: Forecasting Employment Growth Using Google Trends," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 186-200, January.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019.
"Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them,"
Economics Working Papers
1711, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," Working Papers 1162, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," CEPR Discussion Papers 14472, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kutateladze, Varlam, 2022. "The kernel trick for nonlinear factor modeling," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 165-177.
- Matilainen, M. & Croux, C. & Nordhausen, K. & Oja, H., 2017. "Supervised dimension reduction for multivariate time series," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 4(C), pages 57-69.
- Jianqing Fan & Yuan Ke & Yuan Liao, 2016.
"Augmented Factor Models with Applications to Validating Market Risk Factors and Forecasting Bond Risk Premia,"
Papers
1603.07041, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2018.
- Fan, Jianqing & Ke, Yuan & Liao, Yuan, 2021. "Augmented factor models with applications to validating market risk factors and forecasting bond risk premia," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 269-294.
- Kauppi, Heikki & Virtanen, Timo, 2021. "Boosting nonlinear predictability of macroeconomic time series," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 151-170.
- Shuo-Chieh Huang & Ruey S. Tsay, 2024. "Time Series Forecasting with Many Predictors," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-20, July.
- Alessandro Girardi & Roberto Golinelli & Carmine Pappalardo, 2017.
"The role of indicator selection in nowcasting euro-area GDP in pseudo-real time,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 79-99, August.
- A. Girardi & R. Golinelli & C. Pappalardo, 2014. "The Role of Indicator Selection in Nowcasting Euro Area GDP in Pseudo Real Time," Working Papers wp919, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
- Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Yigit Onay, 2020.
"The Role of Investor Sentiment in Forecasting Housing Returns in China: A Machine Learning Approach,"
Working Papers
202055, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Yigit Onay, 2022. "The role of investor sentiment in forecasting housing returns in China: A machine learning approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(8), pages 1725-1740, December.
- Olivier Darné & Amelie Charles, 2020.
"Nowcasting GDP growth using data reduction methods: Evidence for the French economy,"
Post-Print
hal-02948802, HAL.
- Olivier Darne & Amelie Charles, 2020. "Nowcasting GDP growth using data reduction methods: Evidence for the French economy," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(3), pages 2431-2439.
- M. Chudý & S. Karmakar & W. B. Wu, 2020. "Long-term prediction intervals of economic time series," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 191-222, January.
- Marek Chudý & Erhard Reschenhofer, 2019. "Macroeconomic Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Adjusted Band Regression," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-14, December.
- Rachidi Kotchoni & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2019.
"Macroeconomic Forecast Accuracy in data-rich environment,"
Post-Print
hal-02435757, HAL.
- Rachidi Kotchoni & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2019. "Macroeconomic forecast accuracy in a data‐rich environment," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(7), pages 1050-1072, November.
- Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche & Christian Pierdzioch, 2015.
"Predicting Recessions With Boosted Regression Trees,"
Working Papers
2015-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Döpke, Jörg & Fritsche, Ulrich & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2017. "Predicting recessions with boosted regression trees," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 745-759.
- Nazemi, Abdolreza & Fabozzi, Frank J., 2018. "Macroeconomic variable selection for creditor recovery rates," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 14-25.
- Yousuf, Kashif & Ng, Serena, 2021.
"Boosting high dimensional predictive regressions with time varying parameters,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 60-87.
- Kashif Yousuf & Serena Ng, 2019. "Boosting High Dimensional Predictive Regressions with Time Varying Parameters," Papers 1910.03109, arXiv.org.
- Christiana Anaxagorou & Nicoletta Pashourtidou, 2022. "Forecasting economic activity using preselected predictors: the case of Cyprus," Cyprus Economic Policy Review, University of Cyprus, Economics Research Centre, vol. 16(1), pages 11-36, June.
- Jiahan Li & Ilias Tsiakas & Wei Wang, 2015.
"Predicting Exchange Rates Out of Sample: Can Economic Fundamentals Beat the Random Walk?,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 13(2), pages 293-341.
- Jiahan Li & Ilias Tsiakas & Wei Wang, 2014. "Predicting Exchange Rates Out of Sample: Can Economic Fundamentals Beat the Random Walk?," Working Paper series 05_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Jack Fosten, 2016. "Forecast evaluation with factor-augmented models," University of East Anglia School of Economics Working Paper Series 2016-05, School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
- Daniel Wochner, 2020. "Dynamic Factor Trees and Forests – A Theory-led Machine Learning Framework for Non-Linear and State-Dependent Short-Term U.S. GDP Growth Predictions," KOF Working papers 20-472, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Arabinda Basistha, 2023. "Estimation of short‐run predictive factor for US growth using state employment data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 34-50, January.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2016.
"Boosting and Regional Economic Forecasting: The Case of Germany,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
6157, CESifo.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2017. "Boosting and regional economic forecasting: the case of Germany," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 161-175, July.
- Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2017. "Boosting and regional economic forecasting: the case of Germany," Munich Reprints in Economics 49919, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Yose Rizal Damuri & Prabaning Tyas & Haryo Aswicahyono & Lionel Priyadi & Stella Kusumawardhani & Ega Kurnia Yazid, 2021. "Tracking the Ups and Downs in Indonesia’s Economic Activity During COVID-19 Using Mobility Index: Evidence from Provinces in Java and Bali," Working Papers DP-2021-18, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
- Sung Hoon Choi, 2021. "Feasible Weighted Projected Principal Component Analysis for Factor Models with an Application to Bond Risk Premia," Papers 2108.10250, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
- Ziliang Yu & Jian Yang & Robert I. Webb, 2023. "Price discovery in China's crude oil futures markets: An emerging Asian benchmark?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 297-324, March.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 72, November.
- Cepni, Oguzhan & Güney, I. Ethem & Swanson, Norman R., 2019. "Nowcasting and forecasting GDP in emerging markets using global financial and macroeconomic diffusion indexes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 555-572.
- Smeekes, Stephan & Wijler, Etiënne, 2016.
"Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Penalized Regression Methods,"
Research Memorandum
039, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
- Smeekes, Stephan & Wijler, Etienne, 2018. "Macroeconomic forecasting using penalized regression methods," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 408-430.
- Kuruppuarachchi, Duminda & Premachandra, I.M., 2016. "Information spillover dynamics of the energy futures market sector: A novel common factor approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 277-294.
- Paolo Andreini & Donato Ceci, 2019. "A Horse Race in High Dimensional Space," CEIS Research Paper 452, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 14 Feb 2019.
- Norman R. Swanson, 2016. "Comment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 348-353, July.
- Nikodinoska, Dragana & Käso, Mathias & Müsgens, Felix, 2022. "Solar and wind power generation forecasts using elastic net in time-varying forecast combinations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PA).
- Kohei Maehashi & Mototsugu Shintani, 2020. "Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Factor Models and Machine Learning: An Application to Japan," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1146, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Varlam Kutateladze, 2021. "The Kernel Trick for Nonlinear Factor Modeling," Papers 2103.01266, arXiv.org.
- Ardia, David & Bluteau, Keven & Boudt, Kris, 2019. "Questioning the news about economic growth: Sparse forecasting using thousands of news-based sentiment values," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1370-1386.
- Heikki Kauppi & Timo Virtanen, 2018. "Boosting Non-linear Predictabilityof Macroeconomic Time Series," Discussion Papers 124, Aboa Centre for Economics.
- Norman R. Swanson & Weiqi Xiong & Xiye Yang, 2020. "Predicting interest rates using shrinkage methods, real‐time diffusion indexes, and model combinations," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(5), pages 587-613, August.
- Peng Ye & Yong Li & Abu Bakkar Siddik, 2023. "Forecasting the Return of Carbon Price in the Chinese Market Based on an Improved Stacking Ensemble Algorithm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-39, June.
- Iason Kynigakis & Ekaterini Panopoulou, 2022. "Does model complexity add value to asset allocation? Evidence from machine learning forecasting models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 603-639, April.
- Kihwan Kim & Norman Swanson, 2013. "Diffusion Index Model Specification and Estimation Using Mixed Frequency Datasets," Departmental Working Papers 201315, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
- Gary Cornwall & Marina Gindelsky, 2024. "Nowcasting Distributional National Accounts for the United States: A Machine Learning Approach," BEA Papers 0130, Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- Clément Cariou & Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné, 2024. "Are national or regional surveys useful for nowcasting regional jobseekers? The case of the French region of Pays‐de‐la‐Loire," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 2341-2357, September.
- Tan, Xueping & Sirichand, Kavita & Vivian, Andrew & Wang, Xinyu, 2022. "Forecasting European carbon returns using dimension reduction techniques: Commodity versus financial fundamentals," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 944-969.
Articles
- Hosung Jung & Hyun Hak Kim, 2020.
"Default Probability by Employment Status in South Korea,"
Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 19(3), pages 62-84, Fall.
Cited by:
- Hyun Hak Kim, 2022. "A dynamic analysis of household debt using a self-organizing map," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(6), pages 2893-2919, June.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2020.
"Forecasting financial stress indices in Korea: a factor model approach,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 2859-2898, December.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2018. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2018-06, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Kim, Hyeongwoo & Shi, Wen & Kim, Hyun Hak, 2018. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," MPRA Paper 89768, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Hyun Hak Kim & Wen Shi, 2015. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," Working Papers 2015-30, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2016. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2016-10, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Wen Shi & Hyun Hak Kim, 2019. "Forecasting Financial Stress Indices in Korea: A Factor Model Approach," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2019-02, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Hyun Hak Kim & Norman R. Swanson, 2018.
"Methods for backcasting, nowcasting and forecasting using factor†MIDAS: With an application to Korean GDP,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 281-302, April.
Cited by:
- Cheng, Mingmian & Liao, Yuan & Yang, Xiye, 2023. "Uniform predictive inference for factor models with instrumental and idiosyncratic betas," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Qifa Xu & Lu Chen & Cuixia Jiang & Yezheng Liu, 2022. "Forecasting expected shortfall and value at risk with a joint elicitable mixed data sampling model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 407-421, April.
- Kihwan Kim & Hyun Hak Kim & Norman R. Swanson, 2023. "Mixing mixed frequency and diffusion indices in good times and in bad: an assessment based on historical data around the great recession of 2008," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(3), pages 1421-1469, March.
- Oguzhan Cepni & I. Ethem Guney & Norman R. Swanson, 2020. "Forecasting and nowcasting emerging market GDP growth rates: The role of latent global economic policy uncertainty and macroeconomic data surprise factors," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 18-36, January.
- Hwee Kwan Chow & Yijie Fei & Daniel Han, 2023. "Forecasting GDP with many predictors in a small open economy: forecast or information pooling?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(2), pages 805-829, August.
- Stavros Degiannakis, 2023.
"The D-model for GDP nowcasting,"
Working Papers
317, Bank of Greece.
- Stavros Degiannakis, 2023. "The D-model for GDP nowcasting," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 159(1), pages 1-33, December.
- Jack Fosten & Daniel Gutknecht, 2021. "Horizon confidence sets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 667-692, August.
- Kim, Hyun Hak & Swanson, Norman R., 2018.
"Mining big data using parsimonious factor, machine learning, variable selection and shrinkage methods,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 339-354.
Cited by:
- Goulet Coulombe, Philippe & Leroux, Maxime & Stevanovic, Dalibor & Surprenant, Stéphane, 2021.
"Macroeconomic data transformations matter,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1338-1354.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & St'ephane Surprenant, 2020. "Macroeconomic Data Transformations Matter," Papers 2008.01714, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2020. "Macroeconomic Data Transformations Matter," CIRANO Working Papers 2020s-42, CIRANO.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stephane Surprenant, 2020. "Macroeconomic Data Transformations Matter," Working Papers 20-17, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Mar 2021.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stephane Surprenant, 2020.
"How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?,"
Working Papers
20-01, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Aug 2020.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2019. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," CIRANO Working Papers 2019s-22, CIRANO.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2022. "How is machine learning useful for macroeconomic forecasting?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 920-964, August.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & St'ephane Surprenant, 2020. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," Papers 2008.12477, arXiv.org.
- Kyosuke Chikamatsu, Naohisa Hirakata, Yosuke Kido, Kazuki Otaka, 2018. "Nowcasting Japanese GDPs," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 18-E-18, Bank of Japan.
- Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné, 2022. "Backcasting world trade growth using data reduction methods," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(10), pages 3169-3191, October.
- Norman R. Swanson & Weiqi Xiong, 2018.
"Big data analytics in economics: What have we learned so far, and where should we go from here?,"
Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 51(3), pages 695-746, August.
- Norman R. Swanson & Weiqi Xiong, 2018. "Big data analytics in economics: What have we learned so far, and where should we go from here?," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 51(3), pages 695-746, August.
- Kihwan Kim & Hyun Hak Kim & Norman R. Swanson, 2023. "Mixing mixed frequency and diffusion indices in good times and in bad: an assessment based on historical data around the great recession of 2008," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(3), pages 1421-1469, March.
- Thomas Despois & Catherine Doz, 2022. "Identifying and interpreting the factors in factor models via sparsity : Different approaches," Working Papers halshs-03626503, HAL.
- Thomas Despois & Catherine Doz, 2023. "Identifying and interpreting the factors in factor models via sparsity: Different approaches," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 533-555, June.
- Oguzhan Cepni & I. Ethem Guney & Norman R. Swanson, 2020. "Forecasting and nowcasting emerging market GDP growth rates: The role of latent global economic policy uncertainty and macroeconomic data surprise factors," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 18-36, January.
- Jokubaitis, Saulius & Celov, Dmitrij & Leipus, Remigijus, 2021. "Sparse structures with LASSO through principal components: Forecasting GDP components in the short-run," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 759-776.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2019.
"Assessing Nowcast Accuracy of US GDP Growth in Real Time: The Role of Booms and Busts,"
Working Papers
2019/01, Latvijas Banka.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2020. "Assessing nowcast accuracy of US GDP growth in real time: the role of booms and busts," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 7-27, January.
- Gabe J. Bondt, 2019. "A PMI-Based Real GDP Tracker for the Euro Area," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 15(2), pages 147-170, December.
- Çepni, Oğuzhan & Guney, I. Ethem & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "The role of an aligned investor sentiment index in predicting bond risk premia of the U.S," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Guilherme Schultz Lindenmeyer & Hudson Silva Torrent, 2024. "Boosting and Predictability of Macroeconomic Variables: Evidence from Brazil," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(1), pages 377-409, July.
- Philip Hans Franses, 2021. "Modeling Judgment in Macroeconomic Forecasts," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(1), pages 401-417, December.
- Maehashi, Kohei & Shintani, Mototsugu, 2020. "Macroeconomic forecasting using factor models and machine learning: an application to Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
- Saiz, Lorena & Ashwin, Julian & Kalamara, Eleni, 2021. "Nowcasting euro area GDP with news sentiment: a tale of two crises," Working Paper Series 2616, European Central Bank.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019.
"Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them,"
Economics Working Papers
1711, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," Working Papers 1162, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," CEPR Discussion Papers 14472, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kutateladze, Varlam, 2022. "The kernel trick for nonlinear factor modeling," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 165-177.
- Michael Zhemkov, 2021.
"Nowcasting Russian GDP using forecast combination approach,"
International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 168, pages 10-24.
- Zhemkov, Michael, 2021. "Nowcasting Russian GDP using forecast combination approach," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 10-24.
- Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Yigit Onay, 2020.
"The Role of Investor Sentiment in Forecasting Housing Returns in China: A Machine Learning Approach,"
Working Papers
202055, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Yigit Onay, 2022. "The role of investor sentiment in forecasting housing returns in China: A machine learning approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(8), pages 1725-1740, December.
- Chikamatsu, Kyosuke & Hirakata, Naohisa & Kido, Yosuke & Otaka, Kazuki, 2021. "Mixed-frequency approaches to nowcasting GDP: An application to Japan," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
- Olivier Darné & Amelie Charles, 2020.
"Nowcasting GDP growth using data reduction methods: Evidence for the French economy,"
Post-Print
hal-02948802, HAL.
- Olivier Darne & Amelie Charles, 2020. "Nowcasting GDP growth using data reduction methods: Evidence for the French economy," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(3), pages 2431-2439.
- Thomas Despois & Catherine Doz, 2022. "Identifying and interpreting the factors in factor models via sparsity : Different approaches," PSE Working Papers halshs-03626503, HAL.
- Thomas Despois & Catherine Doz, 2021. "Identifying and interpreting the factors in factor models via sparsity: Different approaches," Working Papers halshs-02235543, HAL.
- Marijn A. Bolhuis & Brett Rayner, 2020. "Deus ex Machina? A Framework for Macro Forecasting with Machine Learning," IMF Working Papers 2020/045, International Monetary Fund.
- Christiana Anaxagorou & Nicoletta Pashourtidou, 2022. "Forecasting economic activity using preselected predictors: the case of Cyprus," Cyprus Economic Policy Review, University of Cyprus, Economics Research Centre, vol. 16(1), pages 11-36, June.
- Xiaoxin Zhu & Guanghai Zhang & Baiqing Sun, 2019. "A comprehensive literature review of the demand forecasting methods of emergency resources from the perspective of artificial intelligence," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 97(1), pages 65-82, May.
- Jaehyuk Choi & Desheng Ge & Kyu Ho Kang & Sungbin Sohn, 2023. "Yield spread selection in predicting recession probabilities," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1772-1785, November.
- Daniel Wochner, 2020. "Dynamic Factor Trees and Forests – A Theory-led Machine Learning Framework for Non-Linear and State-Dependent Short-Term U.S. GDP Growth Predictions," KOF Working papers 20-472, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Arabinda Basistha, 2023. "Estimation of short‐run predictive factor for US growth using state employment data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 34-50, January.
- Konstantin Boss & Andre Groeger & Tobias Heidland & Finja Krueger & Conghan Zheng, 2023. "Forecasting Bilateral Refugee Flows with High-dimensional Data and Machine Learning Techniques," Working Papers 1387, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Jaehyuk Choi & Desheng Ge & Kyu Ho Kang & Sungbin Sohn, 2021. "Yield Spread Selection in Predicting Recession Probabilities: A Machine Learning Approach," Papers 2101.09394, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Hyun Hak Kim, 2022. "A dynamic analysis of household debt using a self-organizing map," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(6), pages 2893-2919, June.
- Cepni, Oguzhan & Güney, I. Ethem & Swanson, Norman R., 2019. "Nowcasting and forecasting GDP in emerging markets using global financial and macroeconomic diffusion indexes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 555-572.
- Lake, A., 2020. "Optimal Feasible Expectations in Economics and Finance," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20105, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2019.
"IMA(1,1) as a new benchmark for forecast evaluation,"
Econometric Institute Research Papers
EI2019-28, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Philip Hans Franses, 2020. "IMA(1,1) as a new benchmark for forecast evaluation," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(17), pages 1419-1423, October.
- Donato Ceci & Andrea Silvestrini, 2023.
"Nowcasting the state of the Italian economy: The role of financial markets,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1569-1593, November.
- Donato Ceci & Andrea Silvestrini, 2022. "Nowcasting the state of the Italian economy: the role of financial markets," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1362, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Bantis, Evripidis & Clements, Michael P. & Urquhart, Andrew, 2023. "Forecasting GDP growth rates in the United States and Brazil using Google Trends," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1909-1924.
- Kohei Maehashi & Mototsugu Shintani, 2020. "Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Factor Models and Machine Learning: An Application to Japan," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1146, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Varlam Kutateladze, 2021. "The Kernel Trick for Nonlinear Factor Modeling," Papers 2103.01266, arXiv.org.
- Ardia, David & Bluteau, Keven & Boudt, Kris, 2019. "Questioning the news about economic growth: Sparse forecasting using thousands of news-based sentiment values," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1370-1386.
- Norman R. Swanson & Weiqi Xiong & Xiye Yang, 2020. "Predicting interest rates using shrinkage methods, real‐time diffusion indexes, and model combinations," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(5), pages 587-613, August.
- Zheng, Tingguo & Fan, Xinyue & Jin, Wei & Fang, Kuangnan, 2024. "Words or numbers? Macroeconomic nowcasting with textual and macroeconomic data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 746-761.
- Julian Ashwin & Eleni Kalamara & Lorena Saiz, 2024. "Nowcasting Euro area GDP with news sentiment: A tale of two crises," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 887-905, August.
- Buckmann, Marcus & Joseph, Andreas, 2022. "An interpretable machine learning workflow with an application to economic forecasting," Bank of England working papers 984, Bank of England.
- Clément Cariou & Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné, 2024. "Are national or regional surveys useful for nowcasting regional jobseekers? The case of the French region of Pays‐de‐la‐Loire," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 2341-2357, September.
- Joseph, Andreas & Kalamara, Eleni & Kapetanios, George & Potjagailo, Galina & Chakraborty, Chiranjit, 2021. "Forecasting UK inflation bottom up," Bank of England working papers 915, Bank of England, revised 27 Sep 2022.
- Goulet Coulombe, Philippe & Leroux, Maxime & Stevanovic, Dalibor & Surprenant, Stéphane, 2021.
"Macroeconomic data transformations matter,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1338-1354.
- Kim, Hyun Hak & Swanson, Norman R., 2014.
"Forecasting financial and macroeconomic variables using data reduction methods: New empirical evidence,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P2), pages 352-367.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Huyn Hak Kim & Norman R. Swanson, 2011. "Forecasting Financial and Macroeconomic Variables Using Data Reduction Methods: New Empirical Evidence," Departmental Working Papers 201119, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
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NEP Fields
NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 7 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.- NEP-FOR: Forecasting (6) 2011-12-13 2013-07-20 2016-09-25 2018-11-05 2018-11-19 2019-04-01. Author is listed
- NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (4) 2016-09-25 2018-11-05 2018-11-19 2019-04-01
- NEP-RMG: Risk Management (4) 2016-09-25 2018-11-05 2018-11-19 2020-02-03
- NEP-BAN: Banking (1) 2020-02-03
- NEP-CBA: Central Banking (1) 2011-12-13
- NEP-ECM: Econometrics (1) 2013-07-20
- NEP-FMK: Financial Markets (1) 2016-09-25
- NEP-NET: Network Economics (1) 2020-02-03
- NEP-ORE: Operations Research (1) 2011-12-13
- NEP-PAY: Payment Systems and Financial Technology (1) 2020-02-03
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