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Dynamics of fine wine and asset prices: evidence from short- and long-run co-movements

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  • B. Faye
  • E. Le Fur
  • S. Prat

Abstract

This article examines short- and long-term price linkages among the majority of fine wine and equity markets over the period of 2003 to 2012. We do not consider the price index (LIV-EX 100 or 500), as is typically undertaken in previous studies, but rather examine the auction price series of the world's most traded wine-vintage pairs (5 Bordeaux first growth, 8 Bordeaux second growth, 5 Burgundy, 3 Rhone, 4 Italian, 5 Californian, 1 Australian and 1 Portuguese). A global equity index is also included using the Morgan Stanley Capital International World. Cointegration procedures, the Granger non-causality test, and ECM are used to analyse short- and long-run relationships among these markets. The results indicate a strong effect of financial markets on wine prices and short-term causality for certain wines. Moreover, the findings indicate short-run causality between the wines themselves, revealing a leader (exogenous) or follower (endogenous) status of certain fine wines in price dynamics, and also long-run causality for endogenous wines. This approach is relevant to portfolio diversification strategies and allows price movements to be anticipated more accurately than using an index approach.

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  • B. Faye & E. Le Fur & S. Prat, 2015. "Dynamics of fine wine and asset prices: evidence from short- and long-run co-movements," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(29), pages 3059-3077, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:29:p:3059-3077
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011321
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    Cited by:

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    3. Masset, Philippe & Weisskopf, Jean-Philippe & Cardebat, Jean-Marie & Faye, Benoît & Le Fur, Eric, 2021. "Analyzing the risks of an illiquid and global asset: The case of fine wine," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 1-25.
    4. Hachmi Ben Ameur & Eric Le Fur & Julien Pillot, 2023. "The Influence of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Business Cycles on Fine Wine Prices," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(2), pages 589-608, August.
    5. Adrian Fernandez-Perez & Bart Frijns & Alireza Tourani-Rad & Jean-Philippe Weisskopf, 2019. "Behavioural heterogeneity in wine investments," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(30), pages 3236-3255, June.
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    7. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Wong, Wing-Keung & Zhu, Zhenzhen, 2018. "Is wine a good choice for investment?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 171-183.
    8. Du, Shaofu & Chen, Yuan & Peng, Jing & Nie, Tengfei, 2022. "Incorporating risk fairness concerns into wine futures under quality uncertainty," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    9. Samitas, Aristeidis & Papathanasiou, Spyros & Koutsokostas, Drosos & Kampouris, Elias, 2022. "Volatility spillovers between fine wine and major global markets during COVID-19: A portfolio hedging strategy for investors," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 629-642.
    10. Stephen Bazen & Jean-marie Cardebat, 2022. "Why have Bordeaux wine prices become so difficult to forecast?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 42(1), pages 124-142.
    11. Dubois, Magalie, 2021. "The market for wine quality evaluation: evolution and future perspectives," Working Papers 321855, American Association of Wine Economists.
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    13. Algieri, Bernardina & Iania, Leonardo & Leccadito, Arturo & Meloni, Giulia, 2023. "Message in a Bottle: Forecasting wine prices," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2023004, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
    14. Lennon, Conor & Shohfi, Tom, 2021. "Unbridled spirit: Illicit markets for bourbon whiskey," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 1025-1045.
    15. Ben Ameur, Hachmi & Le Fur, Eric, 2020. "Volatility transmission to the fine wine market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 307-316.
    16. Cardebat, Jean-Marie & Jiao, Linda, 2018. "The long-term financial drivers of fine wine prices: The role of emerging markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 347-361.
    17. Veronica Sanda Chedea & Ana-Maria Drăgulinescu & Liliana Lucia Tomoiagă & Cristina Bălăceanu & Maria Lucia Iliescu, 2021. "Climate Change and Internet of Things Technologies—Sustainable Premises of Extending the Culture of the Amurg Cultivar in Transylvania—A Use Case for Târnave Vineyard," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-28, July.
    18. Hachmi Ben Ameur & Zied Ftiti & Eric Le Fur, 2024. "What can we learn from the analysis of the fine wines market efficiency?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 703-718, January.
    19. Fur, Eric Le, 2021. "Fine Wines in a Diversified Portfolio of Collectibles," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315852, International Association of Agricultural Economists.

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