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Le declenchement des crises de change : qu'avons-nous appris depuis dix ans ?

  • Andre Cartapanis

Cet article est consacre aux principales lecons qui peuvent etre tirees de l'experience des annees quatre-vingt-dix et de la litterature theorique et empirique consacree au declenchement des crises de change. En reponse aux insuffisances des modeles de premiere et de deuxieme generation accordant un role cle aux fondamentaux macro-economiques, on a assiste a une redefinition des facteurs de vulnerabilite aux crises en privilegiant l'imperfection des marches financiers et les risques d'illiquidite bancaire internationale. Les crises de change sont alors indissociables du risque systemique et justifient le projet, encore inacheve, de la nouvelle architecture financiere internationale dans le domaine de la prevention et de la gestion des crises.

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Article provided by CEPII research center in its journal Economie Internationale.

Volume (Year): (2004)
Issue (Month): 97 ()
Pages: 5-48

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Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiei:2004-1ta
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