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Origins of Sharp Reductions in Current Account deficits: An Empirical Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Milesi-Ferretti, G.M.
  • Razin, A.

Abstract

This brief report of ongoing research on determinants of current account reversals and their economic consequences provides evidence which is consistent with the literature on current account sustainability. A natural extension of this work, that we are currently pursuing, is an examination of the link between currency crises and reversals in current account imbalances. We believe that this type of analysis can shed additional light on the determinants of output costs associated with external crises.

Suggested Citation

  • Milesi-Ferretti, G.M. & Razin, A., 1997. "Origins of Sharp Reductions in Current Account deficits: An Empirical Analysis," Papers 25-97, Tel Aviv.
  • Handle: RePEc:fth:teavfo:25-97
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Juan José Echavarría & Enrique López E. & Martha Misas A., 2008. "Desalineamiento de la tasa de cambio, destorcidas de cuenta corriente y ataques especulativos en Colombia," COYUNTURA ECONÓMICA, FEDESARROLLO, December.
    2. Herwartz, H. & Xu, F., 2010. "A functional coefficient model view of the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 37-54, February.
    3. repec:kap:iaecre:v:5:y:1999:i:3:p:277-288 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Ante Babić & Ante Žigman, 2001. "Currency Crises: Theoretical and Empirical Overview of the 1990s," Surveys 5, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
    5. Philippe Bacchetta & Eric van Wincoop, 2000. "Capital Flows to Emerging Markets: Liberalization, Overshooting, and Volatility," NBER Chapters,in: Capital Flows and the Emerging Economies: Theory, Evidence, and Controversies, pages 61-98 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Deren Unalmis & Ibrahim Unalmis & Derya Filiz Unsal, 2008. "Oil Price Shocks, Macroeconomics Stability and Welfare in a Small Open Economy," Discussion Papers 08/13, Department of Economics, University of York.
    7. Octavio De Barros & Fernando Honorato Barbosa, 2009. "Les déterminants à long terme des comptes externes brésiliens," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 95(2), pages 103-122.
    8. Barbara Pistoresi & Alberto Rinaldi, 2013. "External constraint and economic growth in Italy: 1861-2000," Department of Economics (DEMB) 0011, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Department of Economics "Marco Biagi".
    9. Cunado, Juncal & Gracia, Fernando Perez de, 2005. "Current account and productivity: evidence for some European countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 75-89, February.
    10. Semmler, Willi & Wohrmann, Peter, 2004. "Credit risk and sustainable debt: a model and estimations of why the Euro is stable in the long-run," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 21(6), pages 1145-1160, December.
    11. Jaime Guajardo & Guillermo Le Fort, 1999. "Cuenta Corriente y Desvíos Transitorios en Términos de Intercambio y Volúmenes de Exportaciones: Chile 1985-1999," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 49, Central Bank of Chile.
    12. Fang Xu & Helmut Herwartz, "undated". "What determines the relation between domestic saving and investment? - a new look at the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle," EcoMod2006 272100105, EcoMod.
    13. Ahec Šonje, Amina & Babić, Ante, 2002. "Measuring and predicting currency disturbances in Croatia: the “signals” approach," MPRA Paper 83137, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Apr 2002.
    14. Ho-Don Yan, 1999. "Intertemporal current account balance and the East Asian currency crises," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 5(3), pages 277-288, August.
    15. Alberto Bagnai & Stefano Manzocchi, 1999. "Current-Account Reversals in Developing Countries: The Role of Fundamentals," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 143-163, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    FINANCIAL POLICY ; MONEY;

    JEL classification:

    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements

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