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Prediction of multivariate time series by autoregressive model fitting

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Cited by:

  1. Colletaz, Gilbert & Levieuge, Grégory & Popescu, Alexandra, 2018. "Monetary policy and long-run systemic risk-taking," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 165-184.
  2. Onatski, Alexei & Uhlig, Harald, 2012. "Unit Roots In White Noise," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(3), pages 485-508, June.
  3. Loutfi, Ahmad Amine & Sun, Mengtao & Loutfi, Ijlal & Solibakke, Per Bjarte, 2022. "Empirical study of day-ahead electricity spot-price forecasting: Insights into a novel loss function for training neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 319(C).
  4. Alain DeSerres & Alain Guay, 1995. "Selection of the Truncation Lag in Structural VARs (or VECMs) with Long-Run Restrictions," Econometrics 9510001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  5. Bunzel, Helle, 2006. "FIXED-b ASYMPTOTICS IN SINGLE-EQUATION COINTEGRATION MODELS WITH ENDOGENOUS REGRESSORS," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(4), pages 743-755, August.
  6. Qingfeng Liu & Ryo Okui & Arihiro Yoshimura, 2016. "Generalized Least Squares Model Averaging," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(8-10), pages 1692-1752, December.
  7. Snell, Andy, 1998. "Testing for r versus r-1 cointegrating vectors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 88(1), pages 151-191, November.
  8. DUFOUR, Jean-Marie & JOUINI, Tarek, 2005. "Asymptotic Distribution of a Simple Linear Estimator for VARMA Models in Echelon Form," Cahiers de recherche 10-2005, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
  9. Lee, Yoon-Jin & Okui, Ryo & Shintani, Mototsugu, 2018. "Asymptotic inference for dynamic panel estimators of infinite order autoregressive processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(2), pages 147-158.
  10. Zacharias Psaradakis & Marián Vávra, 2019. "Portmanteau tests for linearity of stationary time series," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(2), pages 248-262, February.
  11. Bauer, Dietmar & Maynard, Alex, 2012. "Persistence-robust surplus-lag Granger causality testing," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(2), pages 293-300.
  12. Laura Mayoral, 2009. "Heterogeneous dynamics, aggregation and the persistence of economic shocks," Working Papers 400, Barcelona School of Economics.
  13. Demetrescu Matei, 2009. "Panel Unit Root Testing with Nonlinear Instruments for Infinite-Order Autoregressive Processes," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 1(2), pages 1-30, December.
  14. Zhang, Erhua & Wu, Jilin, 2020. "Adaptive estimation of AR∞ models with time-varying variances," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
  15. John Galbraith & Aman Ullah & Victoria Zinde-Walsh, 2002. "Estimation Of The Vector Moving Average Model By Vector Autoregression," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(2), pages 205-219.
  16. Anderson, Paul L. & Kavalieris, Laimonis & Meerschaert, Mark M., 2008. "Innovations algorithm asymptotics for periodically stationary time series with heavy tails," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 99(1), pages 94-116, January.
  17. Tommaso Proietti & Alessandro Giovannelli, 2018. "A Durbin–Levinson regularized estimator of high-dimensional autocovariance matrices," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 105(4), pages 783-795.
  18. Ghysels, Eric & Hill, Jonathan B. & Motegi, Kaiji, 2016. "Testing for Granger causality with mixed frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(1), pages 207-230.
  19. Patrick Fève & Alain Guay, 2010. "Identification of Technology Shocks in Structural Vars," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 120(549), pages 1284-1318, December.
  20. Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2022. "Instrumental Variable Identification of Dynamic Variance Decompositions," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 130(8), pages 2164-2202.
  21. Erhua Zhang & Xiaojun Song & Jilin Wu, 2022. "A non‐parametric test for multi‐variate trend functions," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(6), pages 856-871, November.
  22. Saikkonen, Pentti & Luukkonen, Ritva, 1997. "Testing cointegration in infinite order vector autoregressive processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 93-126, November.
  23. McKenzie, C.R., 1997. "The properties of some two step estimators of ARMA Models," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 451-456.
  24. Hafner, Christian M. & Linton, Oliver B. & Tang, Haihan, 2020. "Estimation of a multiplicative correlation structure in the large dimensional case," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(2), pages 431-470.
  25. Òscar Jordà & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2010. "Path forecast evaluation," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 635-662.
  26. Lütkepohl,Helmut & Krätzig,Markus (ed.), 2004. "Applied Time Series Econometrics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521547871.
  27. Yicong Lin & Hanno Reuvers, 2019. "Efficient Estimation by Fully Modified GLS with an Application to the Environmental Kuznets Curve," Papers 1908.02552, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
  28. Lutkepohl, Helmut & Saikkonen, Pentti, 1997. "Impulse response analysis in infinite order cointegrated vector autoregressive processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 127-157, November.
  29. Mary C. Daly & John G. Fernald & Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio, 2013. "Shocks and Adjustments," Working Paper Series 2013-32, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  30. Pierre St-Amant & David Tessier, 1998. "A Discussion of the Reliability of Results Obtained with Long-Run Identifying Restrictions," Staff Working Papers 98-4, Bank of Canada.
  31. George Kapetanios & Zacharias Psaradakis, 2016. "Semiparametric Sieve-Type Generalized Least Squares Inference," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(6), pages 951-985, June.
  32. Oscar Jorda, 2007. "Inference for Impulse Responses," Working Papers 77, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
  33. Jesús Gonzalo & Jean‐Yves Pitarakis, 2002. "Lag length estimation in large dimensional systems," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(4), pages 401-423, July.
  34. Yanping Chong & Òscar Jordà & Alan M. Taylor, 2012. "The Harrod–Balassa–Samuelson Hypothesis: Real Exchange Rates And Their Long‐Run Equilibrium," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 53(2), pages 609-634, May.
  35. Chaudourne, Jeremy & Fève, Patrick & Guay, Alain, 2014. "Understanding the effect of technology shocks in SVARs with long-run restrictions," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 154-172.
  36. Leong, Soon Heng & Urga, Giovanni, 2023. "A practical multivariate approach to testing volatility spillover," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
  37. Thomai Filippeli & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2015. "DSGE priors for BVAR models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 48(2), pages 627-656, March.
  38. Qu, Zhongjun & Perron, Pierre, 2007. "A Modified Information Criterion For Cointegration Tests Based On A Var Approximation," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(4), pages 638-685, August.
  39. Helmut Lütkepohl, 2013. "Vector autoregressive models," Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 6, pages 139-164, Edward Elgar Publishing.
  40. Paul L. Anderson & Mark M. Meerschaert, 2005. "Parameter Estimation for Periodically Stationary Time Series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(4), pages 489-518, July.
  41. Dietmar Bauer & Alex Maynard, 2010. "Persistence-robust Granger causality testing," Working Papers 1011, University of Guelph, Department of Economics and Finance.
  42. Cavaliere, Giuseppe & Xu, Fang, 2014. "Testing for unit roots in bounded time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P2), pages 259-272.
  43. Dufour, Jean-Marie & Taamouti, Abderrahim, 2010. "Short and long run causality measures: Theory and inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 154(1), pages 42-58, January.
  44. Cleiton Guollo Taufemback, 2023. "Non‐parametric short‐ and long‐run Granger causality testing in the frequency domain," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(1), pages 69-92, January.
  45. Bouhaddioui, Chafik & Roy, Roch, 2006. "On the distribution of the residual cross-correlations of infinite order vector autoregressive series and applications," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 76(1), pages 58-68, January.
  46. Chafik Bouhaddioui & Roch Roy, 2003. "On the Distribution of the Residual Cross-Correlations between Two Uncorrelated Infinite Order Vector Autoregressive Series," CIRANO Working Papers 2003s-41, CIRANO.
  47. Beutner, Eric & Heinemann, Alexander & Smeekes, Stephan, 2017. "A Justification of Conditional Confidence Intervals," Research Memorandum 023, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
  48. Kuersteiner, Guido M., 2012. "Kernel-weighted GMM estimators for linear time series models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 170(2), pages 399-421.
  49. Oscar Jorda & Sharon Kozicki, 2006. "Projection Minimum Distance: An Estimator for Dynamic Macroeconomic Models," Working Papers 623, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
  50. Arbués, Ignacio & Ledo, Ramiro & Matilla-García, Mariano, 2016. "Automatic identification of general vector error correction models," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 10, pages 1-41.
  51. Benjamin Poignard & Manabu Asai, 2023. "High‐dimensional sparse multivariate stochastic volatility models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(1), pages 4-22, January.
  52. Mikkel Plagborg‐Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2021. "Local Projections and VARs Estimate the Same Impulse Responses," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(2), pages 955-980, March.
  53. Pascual, Lorenzo & Ruiz Ortega, Esther & Fresoli, Diego Eduardo, 2011. "Bootstrap forecast of multivariate VAR models without using the backward representation," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws113426, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  54. You, Jinhong & Zhou, Xian & Zhu, Li-Xing, 2009. "Inference on a regression model with noised variables and serially correlated errors," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(6), pages 1182-1197, July.
  55. Choi, In & Kurozumi, Eiji, 2012. "Model selection criteria for the leads-and-lags cointegrating regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(2), pages 224-238.
  56. Oscar Jorda & Sharon Kozicki, 2007. "Estimation and Inference by the Method of Projection Minimum Distance," Working Papers 148, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
  57. Helmut Lütkepohl, 2010. "Forecasting Aggregated Time Series Variables: A Survey," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2010(2), pages 1-26.
  58. Dietmar Bauer & Lukas Matuschek & Patrick de Matos Ribeiro & Martin Wagner, 2020. "A Parameterization of Models for Unit Root Processes: Structure Theory and Hypothesis Testing," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-54, November.
  59. Dahlen, Anders & Scherrer, Wolfgang, 2004. "The relation of the CCA subspace method to a balanced reduction of an autoregressive model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 118(1-2), pages 293-312.
  60. Abhimanyu Gupta & Javier Hidalgo, 2020. "Nonparametric prediction with spatial data," Papers 2008.04269, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
  61. Mayer, Alexander, 2020. "(Consistently) testing strict exogeneity against the alternative of predeterminedness in linear time-series models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
  62. Greenaway-McGrevy, Ryan, 2015. "Evaluating panel data forecasts under independent realization," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 108-125.
  63. Tata Subba Rao & Granville Tunnicliffe Wilson & Michael Eichler & Rainer Dahlhaus & Johannes Dueck, 2017. "Graphical Modeling for Multivariate Hawkes Processes with Nonparametric Link Functions," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(2), pages 225-242, March.
  64. Oscar Jorda, 2007. "Inference for Impulse Responses," Working Papers 201, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
  65. Oscar Jorda & Sharon Kozicki, 2006. "Projection Minimum Distance: An Estimator for Dynamic Macroeconomic Models," Working Papers 154, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
  66. Hansen, Bruce E., 2005. "Challenges For Econometric Model Selection," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(1), pages 60-68, February.
  67. Oscar Jorda & Alan Taylor & Sanjay Singh, 2019. "The Long-Run Effects of Monetary Policy," 2019 Meeting Papers 1307, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  68. Bühlmann, Peter, 1995. "Moving-average representation of autoregressive approximations," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 60(2), pages 331-342, December.
  69. Richard T. Baillie & Dooyeon Cho & Seunghwa Rho, 2023. "Approximating long-memory processes with low-order autoregressions: Implications for modeling realized volatility," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(6), pages 2911-2937, June.
  70. Òscar Jordà & Sharon Kozicki, 2007. "Estimation and Inference by the Method of Projection Minimum Distance," Staff Working Papers 07-56, Bank of Canada.
  71. Zhang, Hui Jun & Dufour, Jean-Marie & Galbraith, John W., 2016. "Exchange rates and commodity prices: Measuring causality at multiple horizons," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 100-120.
  72. Òscar Jord�, 2010. "Book Review: New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(2), pages 243-246, April.
  73. Schorfheide, Frank, 2005. "VAR forecasting under misspecification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 128(1), pages 99-136, September.
  74. Helle Bunzel, 2004. "Fixed Bandwidth Asymptotics in Single Equation Models of Cointegration with an Application to Money Demand," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 219, Econometric Society.
  75. Chafik Bouhaddioui & Roch Roy, 2004. "A Generalized Portmanteau Test for Independence of Two Infinite Order Vector Autoregressive Series," CIRANO Working Papers 2004s-06, CIRANO.
  76. Arbus, Ignacio, 2009. "Departure from normality of increasing-dimension martingales," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(6), pages 1304-1315, July.
  77. Serguei Zernov & Victoria Zindle-Walsh & John Galbraith, 2006. "Asymptotics For Estimation Of Truncated Infinite-Dimensional Quantile Regressions," Departmental Working Papers 2006-16, McGill University, Department of Economics.
  78. Fresoli, Diego & Ruiz, Esther & Pascual, Lorenzo, 2015. "Bootstrap multi-step forecasts of non-Gaussian VAR models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 834-848.
  79. Òscar Jordà & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2010. "Path forecast evaluation," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 635-662.
  80. R. Bhansali, 1996. "Asymptotically efficient autoregressive model selection for multistep prediction," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 48(3), pages 577-602, September.
  81. Yuanyuan Li & Dietmar Bauer, 2020. "Modeling I(2) Processes Using Vector Autoregressions Where the Lag Length Increases with the Sample Size," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-28, September.
  82. Lusompa, Amaze, 2019. "Local Projections, Autocorrelation, and Efficiency," MPRA Paper 99856, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Apr 2020.
  83. Yun-Yeong Kim, 2016. "Dynamic Analyses Using VAR Model with Mixed Frequency Data through Observable Representation," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 32, pages 41-75.
  84. M. Salau, 2003. "The effects of different choices of order for autoregressive approximation on the Gaussian likelihood estimates for ARMA models," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 44(1), pages 89-105, January.
  85. Zernov, Serguei & Zinde-Walsh, Victoria & Galbraith, John W., 2009. "Asymptotics for estimation of quantile regressions with truncated infinite-dimensional processes," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(3), pages 497-508, March.
  86. Lütkepohl, Helmut & Saikkonen, Pentti, 1997. "Order selection in testing for the cointegrating rank of a VAR process," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 1997,93, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
  87. Liao, Jun & Zong, Xianpeng & Zhang, Xinyu & Zou, Guohua, 2019. "Model averaging based on leave-subject-out cross-validation for vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 209(1), pages 35-60.
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