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A practical multivariate approach to testing volatility spillover

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  • Leong, Soon Heng
  • Urga, Giovanni

Abstract

We propose an asymptotic N(0,1) inferential strategy to test for volatility spillover between markets consisting of multiple sectors. First, we use nonparametric kernel method to derive test statistics that assign flexible weight to each lag order and are able to check a growing number of lags as the sample size increases. Second, we propose a practical multivariate volatility modeling approach — which enjoys estimation consistency and simplicity — to facilitate higher dimensional spillover testing. Simulations show the reasonable finite sample performance of the proposed econometric strategy in a relatively large system. An empirical application highlights the merits of the proposed approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Leong, Soon Heng & Urga, Giovanni, 2023. "A practical multivariate approach to testing volatility spillover," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:153:y:2023:i:c:s0165188923001008
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2023.104694
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Granger causality in variance; Infinite autoregression; Multivariate analysis; Risk management;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • F65 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Finance

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