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Citations for "Additive outliers, GARCH and forecasting volatility"

by Franses, Philip Hans & Ghijsels, Hendrik

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  1. Ewa Ratuszny, 2013. "Robust Estimation in VaR Modelling - Univariate Approaches using Bounded Innovation Propagation and Regression Quantiles Methodology," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, CEJEME, vol. 5(1), pages 35-63, March.
  2. WenShwo Fang & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "Output Growth and Its Volatility: The Gold Standard through the Great Moderation," Working Papers 1205, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
  3. Charles, Amélie & Darné, Olivier, 2014. "Large shocks in the volatility of the Dow Jones Industrial Average index: 1928–2013," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 188-199.
  4. WenShwo Fang & Stephen M. Miller & ChunShen Lee, 2009. "The Great Moderation Flattens Fat Tails: Disappearing Leptokurtosis," Working Papers 0903, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
  5. Chan, W.S. & Wong, C.S. & Chung, A.H.L., 2009. "Modelling Australian interest rate swap spreads by mixture autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic processes," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(9), pages 2779-2786.
  6. PREMINGER, Arie & FRANCK, Raphael, 2005. "Forecasting exchange rates: a robust regression approach," CORE Discussion Papers 2005025, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  7. Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné, 2012. "Volatility Persistence in Crude Oil Markets," Working Papers hal-00719387, HAL.
  8. Laurent, Sébastien & Lecourt, Christelle & Palm, Franz C., 2016. "Testing for jumps in conditionally Gaussian ARMA–GARCH models, a robust approach," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 383-400.
  9. Behmiri, Niaz Bashiri & Manera, Matteo, 2015. "The role of outliers and oil price shocks on volatility of metal prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(P2), pages 139-150.
  10. Bali, Rakesh & Guirguis, Hany, 2007. "Extreme observations and non-normality in ARCH and GARCH," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 332-346.
  11. Xiaowen Dai & Libin Jin & Anqi Shi & Lei Shi, 2016. "Outlier detection and accommodation in general spatial models," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 25(3), pages 453-475, August.
  12. Beum-Jo Park, 2009. "Risk-return relationship in equity markets: using a robust GMM estimator for GARCH-M models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(1), pages 93-104.
  13. Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Adrian Pop, 2015. "Risk and ethical investment: Empirical evidence from Dow Jones Islamic indexes," Post-Print hal-01153899, HAL.
  14. Ruiz, Esther & Peña, Daniel & Carnero, María Ángeles, 2001. "Outliers and conditional autoregressive heteroscedasticity in time series," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws010704, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  15. repec:fgv:epgewp:679 is not listed on IDEAS
  16. Dejan Živkov & Jovan Njegić & Mirela Momčilović & Ivan Milenković, 2016. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Uncovered Interest Rate Parity in the European Emerging Economies," Prague Economic Papers, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 2016(3), pages 253-270.
  17. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Luiz Renato Lima & Oliver Linton & Daniel R. Smith, 2011. "Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models via Quantile Regression," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 150-160, January.
  18. Anders Wilhelmsson, 2006. "Garch forecasting performance under different distribution assumptions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(8), pages 561-578.
  19. Giorgio Busetti & Matteo Manera, 2003. "STAR-GARCH Models for Stock Market Interactions in the Pacific Basin Region, Japan and US," Working Papers 2003.43, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
  20. Ané, Thierry & Ureche-Rangau, Loredana & Gambet, Jean-Benoît & Bouverot, Julien, 2008. "Robust outlier detection for Asia-Pacific stock index returns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 326-343, October.
  21. Dewachter, Hans & Erdemlioglu, Deniz & Gnabo, Jean-Yves & Lecourt, Christelle, 2014. "The intra-day impact of communication on euro-dollar volatility and jumps," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 131-154.
  22. WenShwo Fang & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Modeling the Volatility of Real GDP Growth: The Case of Japan Revisited," Working Papers 0904, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
  23. Michel Beine & Sébastien Laurent, 2003. "Central Bank interventions and jumps in double long memory models of daily exchange rates," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/10435, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  24. Karakatsani Nektaria V & Bunn Derek W., 2010. "Fundamental and Behavioural Drivers of Electricity Price Volatility," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 14(4), pages 1-42, September.
  25. E. Ruiz & M.A. Carnero & D. Pereira, 2004. "Effects of Level Outliers on the Identification and Estimation of GARCH Models," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 21, Econometric Society.
  26. Wang, Ju-Jie & Wang, Jian-Zhou & Zhang, Zhe-George & Guo, Shu-Po, 2012. "Stock index forecasting based on a hybrid model," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 758-766.
  27. Martha Cecilia García & Aura María Jalal & Luis Alfonso Garzón & Jorge Mario López, 2013. "Métodos para predecir índices Bursátiles," REVISTA ECOS DE ECONOMÍA, UNIVERSIDAD EAFIT, December.
  28. YAMAMOTO, Yohei, 2015. "Asymptotic Inference for Common Factor Models in the Presence of Jumps," Discussion Papers 2015-05, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University.
  29. repec:hit:hiasdp:2015-04 is not listed on IDEAS
  30. Charles, Amelie & Darne, Olivier, 2005. "Outliers and GARCH models in financial data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 86(3), pages 347-352, March.
  31. Grané, Aurea & Veiga, Helena, 2010. "Wavelet-based detection of outliers in financial time series," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2580-2593, November.
  32. Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & van Dijk, D.J.C., 1999. "Outlier detection in the GARCH (1,1) model," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 9926-/A, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
  33. Doornik, Jurgen A. & Ooms, Marius, 2008. "Multimodality in GARCH regression models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 432-448.
  34. Guermat, Cherif & Harris, Richard D. F., 2002. "Forecasting value at risk allowing for time variation in the variance and kurtosis of portfolio returns," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 409-419.
  35. Boudt, Kris & Daníelsson, Jón & Laurent, Sébastien, 2013. "Robust forecasting of dynamic conditional correlation GARCH models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 244-257.
  36. Boudt, Kris & Croux, Christophe, 2010. "Robust M-estimation of multivariate GARCH models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2459-2469, November.
  37. Ruiz, Esther & Peña, Daniel & Carnero, María Ángeles, 2004. "Spurious and hidden volatility," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws042007, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  38. Veiga, Helena & Grané, Aurea, 2010. "Outliers in Garch models and the estimation of risk measures," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws100502, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  39. Mohamed Ali Houfi & Ghassen El Montasser, 2010. "Effets des points aberrants sur les tests de normalité et de linéarité. Applications à la bourse de Tokyo," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 13(36), pages 15-51, June.
  40. Jan G. de Gooijer & Rob J. Hyndman, 2005. "25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-068/4, Tinbergen Institute.
  41. Charles, Amelie & Darne, Olivier, 2006. "Large shocks and the September 11th terrorist attacks on international stock markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 683-698, July.
  42. LeBaron, Blake, 2003. "Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance,: Philip Hans Franses and Dick van Dijk, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2000, 296 pp., Paperback, ISBN 0-521-77965-0, $33, [UK pound]22.95, [," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 751-752.
  43. Francesco GUIDI, 2010. "Modelling And Forecasting Volatility Of East Asian Newly Industrialized Countries And Japan Stock Markets With Non-Linear Models," Journal of Applied Research in Finance Bi-Annually, ASERS Publishing, vol. 0(1), pages 27-43, June.
  44. Mathieu Gatumel & Dominique Guegan, 2008. "Dynamic analysis of the insurance linked securities index," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne b08049, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
  45. Thavaneswaran, A. & Appadoo, S.S. & Peiris, S., 2005. "Forecasting volatility," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 75(1), pages 1-10, November.
  46. repec:hal:journl:halshs-00320378 is not listed on IDEAS
  47. Beatriz Catalan & F. Javier Trivez, 2007. "Forecasting volatility in GARCH models with additive outliers," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(6), pages 591-596.
  48. F. Javier Trivez & Beatriz Catalan, 2009. "Detecting level shifts in ARMA-GARCH (1,1) Models," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(6), pages 679-697.
  49. Loredana Ureche-Rangau & Franck Speeg, 2011. "A simple method for variance shift detection at unknown time points," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(3), pages 2204-2218.
  50. De Gooijer, Jan G. & Hyndman, Rob J., 2006. "25 years of time series forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 443-473.
  51. Watkins, Clinton & McAleer, Michael, 2005. "Related commodity markets and conditional correlations," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 68(5), pages 567-579.
  52. Ruiz, Esther & Hotta, Luiz & Trucíos, Carlos, 2015. "Robust bootstrap forecast densities for GARCH models: returns, volatilities and value-at-risk," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws1523, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  53. Veiga, Helena & Grané, Aurea, 2009. "Wavelet-based detection of outliers in volatility models," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws090403, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  54. Amélie Charles, 2008. "Forecasting volatility with outliers in GARCH models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(7), pages 551-565.
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