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Are Banking Shocks Contagious? Evidence from the Eurozone

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  • Thomas Flavin

    () (Department of Economics, Finance and Accounting, Maynooth University.)

  • Dolores Lagoa-Varela

    (Universidad La Coruña, Spain.)

Abstract

We test for contagion between banking stocks – global and domestic – and the domestic nonfinancial sector for eleven Eurozone countries. Using a Markov-switching Factor augmented VAR (MS-FAVAR) model, we assess changes to the transmission mechanism of shocks as we move from ‘normal’ market conditions to a high-volatility, ‘crisis’ regime. Results confirm the role of contagion in propagating shocks between the global and domestic banking sectors but show that the non-financial sector suffered little contagion. In general, the nonfinancial sectors appear to ‘de-couple’ from the global and domestic banking sectors.

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  • Thomas Flavin & Dolores Lagoa-Varela, 2016. "Are Banking Shocks Contagious? Evidence from the Eurozone," Economics, Finance and Accounting Department Working Paper Series n268-16.pdf, Department of Economics, Finance and Accounting, National University of Ireland - Maynooth.
  • Handle: RePEc:may:mayecw:n268-16.pdf
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    Keywords

    Contagion; Shock transmission; Financial market crises.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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