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Real estate price and heterogeneous investment behavior in China

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  • Wang, Ren
  • Hou, Jie
  • He, Xiaobei

Abstract

We study the dynamic link between real estate prices and firms' investment behaviors in China using a new Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model. The model features heterogeneous production sectors in which private firms face discriminatory borrowing constraints while state-owned firms are not. Fitted to China's quarterly data from 2005Q3 to 2014Q4, the quantitative general equilibrium model enables us to identify the driving forces behind and the macroeconomic variables interacting with land price. It confirms the existence of the “collateral channel” in the private sector without bearing the potential endogeneity problems in empirical studies. More importantly, we identify a “crowding out” channel between private and state-owned firms caused by discriminatory financial constraints. The “crowding out” channel implies a negative relationship between real estate prices and the investment of state-owned firms, which has been documented in empirical research but short of explanation so far.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Ren & Hou, Jie & He, Xiaobei, 2017. "Real estate price and heterogeneous investment behavior in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 271-280.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:60:y:2017:i:c:p:271-280
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2016.09.020
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    9. Shengfu Yang & Shougeng Hu & Weidong Li & Chuanrong Zhang & José A. Torres, 2017. "Spatiotemporal Effects of Main Impact Factors on Residential Land Price in Major Cities of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-16, November.
    10. Qianhui Yu & Yanying Chen & Feng Helen Liang, 2021. "Housing Market Speculation and Firm Productivity: Evidence from China," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 29(5), pages 148-174, September.
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    12. Wang, Lei & Li, Shouwei & Wang, Jining & Meng, Yi, 2020. "Real estate bubbles in a bank-real estate loan network model integrating economic cycle and macro-prudential stress testing," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 542(C).

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