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Are Incentives For R&D Effective? Evidence From A Regression Discontinuity Approach

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  1. is not listed on IDEAS
  2. ZHANG,Hongyong & CHENG,Wenyin & LIANG,David Tao & Meng,Bo, 2024. "Industrial Subsidies along Domestic Value Chains and their Impacts on China’s Exports," IDE Discussion Papers 937, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
  3. Antoine Dechezlepretre & Elias Einio & Ralf Martin & Kieu-Trang Nguyen & John Van Reenen, 2016. "Do tax incentives for research increase firm innovation? An RD design for R&D," GRI Working Papers 230, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
  4. Stehnken, Thomas & Schöfl, Isabel & Danneil, Thomas & Astor, Michael & Rammer, Christian & Peters, Bettina & Ehrlich, Alexander & Kraft, Kornelius, 2024. "Evaluation des "Zentralen Innovationsprogramms Mittelstand" (ZIM): Endbericht," ZEW Expertises, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 300894.
  5. Caloffi, Annalisa & Colovic, Ana & Rizzoli, Valentina & Rossi, Federica, 2023. "Innovation intermediaries' types and functions: A computational analysis of the literature," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
  6. Borgomeo, Letizia & Koenig, Christoph & Miotto, Martina, 2025. "The long-run effects of R&D subsidies on high-tech start-ups: Insights from Italy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
  7. Aiello, Francesco & Albanese, Giuseppe & Piselli, Paolo, 2019. "Good value for public money? The case of R&D policy," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(6), pages 1057-1076.
  8. Kölling, Arnd, 2013. "Wirtschaftsförderung, Produktivität und betriebliche Arbeitsnachfrage - Eine Kausalanalyse mit Betriebspaneldaten -," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79843, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  9. Z. Jun Lin & Shengqiang Liu & Fangcheng Sun, 2017. "The Impact of Financing Constraints and Agency Costs on Corporate R&D Investment: Evidence from China," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 17(1), pages 3-42, March.
  10. Takalo, Tuomas & Tanayama, Tanja & Toivanen, Otto, 2017. "Welfare effects of R&D support policies," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 30/2017, Bank of Finland.
  11. Lanahan, Lauren & Joshi, Amol M. & Johnson, Evan, 2021. "Do public R&D subsidies produce jobs? Evidence from the SBIR/STTR program," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(7).
  12. Chiara Criscuolo & Ralf Martin & Henry G. Overman & John Van Reenen, 2019. "Some Causal Effects of an Industrial Policy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(1), pages 48-85, January.
  13. Chiara Bocci & Marco Mariani, 2015. "L?approccio delle funzioni dose-risposta per la valutazione di trattamenti continui nei sussidi alla r&s," SCIENZE REGIONALI, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2015(3 Suppl.), pages 81-102.
  14. Sophiko Skhirtladze & Zurab Abramishvili & Giorgi Papava & Irakli Barbakadze, 2020. "Impact Assessment of the State Support Program for Micro and Small Enterprises in Georgia," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(2), pages 1075-1082.
  15. Supradeep Dutta & Jenna Rodrigues & Timothy B. Folta, 2023. "Does NIH select the right healthcare ventures through the SBIR grant program?," The Journal of Technology Transfer, Springer, vol. 48(4), pages 1206-1220, August.
  16. Andrea Bellucci & Luca Pennacchio & Alberto Zazzaro, 2019. "Public R&D subsidies: collaborative versus individual place-based programs for SMEs," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 52(1), pages 213-240, January.
  17. Kinga B. Tchorzewska, 2024. "A Lost Opportunity? Environmental Investment Tax Incentive and Energy Efficient Technologies," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 87(12), pages 3301-3333, December.
  18. Koh, Yumi & Lee, Gea M., 2023. "R&D subsidies in permissive and restrictive environment: Evidence from Korea," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(1).
  19. Jean Acheson & Rory Malone, 2020. "Respect Your Elders: Evidence from Ireland’s R&D Tax Credit Reform," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 51(1), pages 105-131.
  20. Aleksandar Giga & Alexandra Graddy-Reed & Andrea Belz & Richard J. Terrile & Fernando Zapatero, 2022. "Helping the Little Guy: the impact of government awards on small technology firms," The Journal of Technology Transfer, Springer, vol. 47(3), pages 846-871, June.
  21. Riccardo Crescenzi & Guido de Blasio & Mara Giua, 2020. "Cohesion Policy incentives for collaborative industrial research: evaluation of a Smart Specialisation forerunner programme," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(10), pages 1341-1353, October.
  22. Emmanuel Chavez, 2020. "The Effects of R&D Tax Credits and Subsidies onPrivate R&D in Mexico (Chapter 2)," Working Papers halshs-02652063, HAL.
  23. Nivala, Annika, 2024. "(No) Effects of Subsidizing the First Employee: Evidence of a Low Take-up Puzzle Among Firms," Working Papers 166, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
  24. Bajgar, Matěj & Srholec, Martin, 2025. "Crowding in or crowding out? Evidence from discontinuity in the assignment of business R&D subsidies," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
  25. Lily Fang & Josh Lerner & Chaopeng Wu & Qi Zhang, 2018. "Corruption, Government Subsidies, and Innovation: Evidence from China," NBER Working Papers 25098, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  26. Patrik Gustavsson Tingvall & Josefin Videnord, 2020. "Regional differences in effects of publicly sponsored R&D grants on SME performance," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 951-969, April.
  27. Dai, Xiaoyong & Wang, Mengqi, 2024. "Unintended effects of tax incentives on firms’ strategic patenting," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 219(C), pages 1-24.
  28. Beiqing Cui & Weide Chun & Zhonghao Shui & Tianyi Lei & Zhihui Li, 2024. "Substantial innovation or strategic innovation: An evolutionary game analysis of companies' green technology innovation strategies under carbon emission trading market," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(4), pages 2304-2320, June.
  29. Hünermund, Paul & Czarnitzki, Dirk, 2019. "Estimating the causal effect of R&D subsidies in a pan-European program," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 115-124.
  30. Fernando Alexandre & Miguel Chaves & Miguel Portela, 2025. "Investment grants and firms’ productivity: how effective is a grant booster shot?," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 64(4), pages 1601-1641, April.
  31. Tom Grimstvedt Meling, 2021. "Anonymous Trading in Equities," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(2), pages 707-754, April.
  32. Criscuolo, Chiara & Martin, Ralf & Overman, Henry & Van Reenen, John, 2012. "The Causal Effects of an Industrial Policy," IZA Discussion Papers 6323, IZA Network @ LISER.
  33. Massimo FLORIO & Aleksandra PARTEKA & Emanuela SIRTORI, 2016. "The Role of EU Policy in Supporting Technological Innovation in SMEs - a Bayesian Network Analysis of Firm-Level Data from Poland," Departmental Working Papers 2016-13, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano.
  34. Sharif, Naubahar & Chandra, Kevin & Mansoor, Athar & Sinha, Kirti Bhasin, 2021. "A comparative analysis of research and development spending and total factor productivity growth in Hong Kong, Shenzhen, Singapore," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 108-120.
  35. Bucci, Valeria, 2019. "The Effect of Fiscal Incentives on Business R&D," MPRA Paper 95333, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  36. Inha Oh & Seogwon Hwang, 2024. "Assessing the Effect of the Size of R&D Subsidies on the Economic Performance of SMEs: Comparison of Manufacturing and Service Firms in Korea," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(1), pages 518-546, March.
  37. Tian, Binbin & Yu, Baixue & Chen, Shi & Ye, Jingjing, 2020. "Tax incentive, R&D investment and firm innovation: Evidence from China," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  38. Andrea Bellucci & Luca Pennacchio & Alberto Zazzaro, 2019. "R&D Subsidies and Firms’ Debt Financing," CSEF Working Papers 527, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
  39. Dechezlepretre, Antoine & Einiö, Elias & Martin, Ralf & Nguyen, Kieu-Trang & Reenen, John Van, 2016. "Do tax incentives for research increase firm innovation? An RD design for R&D, patents and spillovers," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 66428, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  40. Ruiguang Ma & Jiangbin Yin & Xiaoyan Huang, 2023. "Effect of the Strategic Emerging Industry Support Program on Corporate Innovation among Listed Companies in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(24), pages 1-18, December.
  41. Mulier, Klaas & Samarin, Ilia, 2021. "Sector heterogeneity and dynamic effects of innovation subsidies: Evidence from Horizon 2020," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(10).
  42. Lucas Figal Garone & Paula A. López Villalba & Alessandro Maffioli & Christian A. Ruzzier, 2020. "Productivity differences among firms in Latin American and the Caribbean," Working Papers 136, Universidad de San Andres, Departamento de Economia, revised Jan 2020.
  43. Sabrina T. Howell & Jason Rathje & John Van Reenen & Jun Wong, 2025. "Opening Up Military Innovation: Causal Effects of Reforms to US Defense Research," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 133(11), pages 3605-3651.
  44. Yu, Hong & Zhang, Muyang & Zhu, Ruolu, 2025. "A reevaluation on the effectiveness of subsidies on firm's innovation: Evidence from newly categorized subsidy data," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
  45. Brian Lucking & Nicholas Bloom & John Van Reenen, 2019. "Have R&D Spillovers Declined in the 21st Century?," Fiscal Studies, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(4), pages 561-590, December.
  46. Vincent Dortet-Bernadet & Michaël Sicsic, 2017. "The effect of R&D subsidies and tax incentives on employment: an evaluation for small firms in France," Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE), issue 493, pages 5-22.
  47. Andrea Bellucci & Luca Pennacchio & Alberto Zazzaro, 2016. "Public subsidies for SME research and development: Empirical evaluation of collaborative versus individual place-based programs," Mo.Fi.R. Working Papers 133, Money and Finance Research group (Mo.Fi.R.) - Univ. Politecnica Marche - Dept. Economic and Social Sciences.
  48. de Souza, Gustavo, 2022. "The Labor Market Consequences of Appropriate Technology," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Docweb) 2208, CEPREMAP.
  49. Santoleri, Pietro & Russo, Emanuele, 2025. "Spurring subsidy entrepreneurs," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(1).
  50. Brachert, Matthias & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Dettmann, Eva & Giebler, Alexander & Schneider, Lutz & Titze, Mirko, 2020. ""Evaluation der Gemeinschaftsaufgabe 'Verbesserung der regionalen Wirtschaftsstruktur' (GRW)" durch einzelbetriebliche Erfolgskontrolle: Endbericht," IWH Online 5/2020, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  51. Emmanuel Chavez, 2020. "The Effects of Public R&D Subsidies on Private R&D Activities in Mexico," Working Papers halshs-02355106, HAL.
  52. Matthew R. Denes & Sabrina T. Howell & Filippo Mezzanotti & Xinxin Wang & Ting Xu, 2020. "Investor Tax Credits and Entrepreneurship: Evidence from U.S. States," NBER Working Papers 27751, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  53. Sabrina T. Howell, 2017. "Financing Innovation: Evidence from R&D Grants," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(4), pages 1136-1164, April.
  54. Anders Gustafsson & Andreas Stephan & Alice Hallman & Nils Karlsson, 2016. "The “sugar rush” from innovation subsidies: a robust political economy perspective," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 43(4), pages 729-756, November.
  55. Gustavo de Souza, 2022. "The Labor Market Consequences of Appropriate Technology," Working Paper Series WP 2022-53, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  56. Wan, Qunchao & Chen, Jin & Yao, Zhu & Yuan, Ling, 2022. "Preferential tax policy and R&D personnel flow for technological innovation efficiency of China's high-tech industry in an emerging economy," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
  57. Morten Henningsen & Torbjørn Hægeland & Jarle Møen, 2015. "Estimating the additionality of R&D subsidies using proposal evaluation data to control for research intentions," The Journal of Technology Transfer, Springer, vol. 40(2), pages 227-251, April.
  58. Matteo Deleidi & Mariana Mazzucato, 2019. "Mission-Oriented Innovation Policies: A Theoretical And Empirical Assessment For The Us Economy," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0248, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
  59. Howell, Sabrina T. & Rathje, Jason & Van Reenen, John & Wong, Jun, 2021. "Opening up Military Innovation: Causal Effects of 'Bottom-up' Reforms to U.S. Defense Research," IZA Discussion Papers 14297, IZA Network @ LISER.
  60. Ivano D'Antonio & Alessandro De Iudicibus & Giuseppe Piroli & Francesco Savoia, 2014. "Ricerca e innovazione in campania: una valutazione controfattuale della politica di coesione," STUDI ECONOMICI, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2014(113), pages 61-87.
  61. Wenhua Di & Daniel L. Millimet, 2017. "Targeted business incentives and the debt behavior of households," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 1115-1142, May.
  62. Brüggemann, Julia & Proeger, Till, 2017. "The effectiveness of public subsidies for private innovations: An experimental approach," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 266, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics, revised 2017.
  63. Francesco Manaresi & Carlo Menon & Pietro Santoleri, 2021. "Supporting innovative entrepreneurship: an evaluation of the Italian “Start-up Act” [The effects of entry on incumbent innovation and productivity]," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 30(6), pages 1591-1614.
  64. Arnd Kölling, 2014. "Wirtschaftsförderung, Produktivität und betriebliche Arbeitsnachfrage [Subsidies, productivity and labour demand]," Journal for Labour Market Research, Springer;Institute for Employment Research/ Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), vol. 47(1), pages 143-164, March.
  65. Bronzini, Raffaello & Piselli, Paolo, 2016. "The impact of R&D subsidies on firm innovation," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 442-457.
  66. Irem Guceri, 2018. "Will the real R&D employees please stand up? Effects of tax breaks on firm-level outcomes," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 25(1), pages 1-63, February.
  67. Annamaria Conti, 2018. "Entrepreneurial Finance and the Effects of Restrictions on Government R&D Subsidies," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 29(1), pages 134-153, February.
  68. Hongyong Zhang & Wenyin Cheng & Tao Liang & Bo Meng, 2024. "Subsidies along Value Chains and their Impacts on China's Exports," Working Papers e205, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
  69. Martins, Ana & Pereira dos Santos, João & Pozzobon, Fernando, 2025. "Sailing Through Troubled Waters: Evidence from Support Discontinuities to Firms in Times of Crisis," IZA Discussion Papers 18136, IZA Network @ LISER.
  70. Lee, Daeyong, 2018. "Impact of the excise tax on firm R&D and performance in the medical device industry: Evidence from the Affordable Care Act," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(5), pages 854-871.
  71. İrem Güçeri & Marko Köthenbürger & Martin Simmler, 2020. "Supporting Firm Innovation and R&D: What is the Optimal Policy Mix?," EconPol Policy Reports 20, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
  72. Sarah Demeulemeester & Hanna Hottenrott, 2015. "R&D subsidies and firms' cost of debt," Working Papers of Department of Management, Strategy and Innovation, Leuven 516028, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Management, Strategy and Innovation, Leuven.
  73. Gigante, Gimede & Manglaviti, Davide, 2022. "The ESG effect on the cost of debt financing: A sharp RD analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  74. Alexandre, Fernando & Chaves, Miguel & Portela, Miguel, 2022. "Investment Grants and Firms' Productivity: How Effective Is a Grant Booster Shot?," IZA Discussion Papers 15779, IZA Network @ LISER.
  75. Cingano, Federico & Palomba, Filippo & Pinotti, Paolo & Rettore, Enrico, 2022. "Making Subsidies Work: Rules vs. Discretion," IZA Discussion Papers 15172, IZA Network @ LISER.
  76. Pallante, Gianluca & Russo, Emanuele & Roventini, Andrea, 2023. "Does public R&D funding crowd-in private R&D investment? Evidence from military R&D expenditures for US states," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(8).
  77. Irem Guceri, 2016. "Will the real R&D employees please stand up? Effects of tax breaks on firm level outcomes," Working Papers 1602, Oxford University Centre for Business Taxation.
  78. Alberto Marzucchi, 2011. "Multi-level innovation policy in southern EU countries.An additionality evaluation of the Italian and Spanish public interventions," Openloc Working Papers 1110, Public policies and local development.
  79. Wen Qi & Yanyang Yan & Hongbing Yin, 2023. "Protecting Innovation Sustainability: R&D Manipulation and Effective Regulation Based on a Two-Scenario Evolutionary Game Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-21, June.
  80. Andreas Lichter & Max Löffler & Ingo E. Isphording & Thu-Van Nguyen & Felix Poege & Sebastian Siegloch, 2025. "Profit Taxation, R&D Spending, and Innovation," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 17(1), pages 432-463, February.
  81. Martin Beraja & David Y Yang & Noam Yuchtman, 2023. "Data-intensive Innovation and the State: Evidence from AI Firms in China," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 90(4), pages 1701-1723.
  82. Widmann, Rainer, 2024. "The behavioral additionality of government research grants," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
  83. Plank, Josef & Doblinger, Claudia, 2018. "The firm-level innovation impact of public R&D funding: Evidence from the German renewable energy sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 430-438.
  84. Aalto, Eero & Gustafsson, Robin, 2020. "Innovation Promotion Rationales and Impacts – A Review," ETLA Reports 99, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
  85. Cameron Hepburn & Jacquelyn Pless & David Popp, 2018. "Policy Brief—Encouraging Innovation that Protects Environmental Systems: Five Policy Proposals," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 12(1), pages 154-169.
  86. Kohei Takahashi & Yuki Hashimoto, 2023. "Small grant subsidy application effects on productivity improvement: evidence from Japanese SMEs," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 60(4), pages 1631-1658, April.
  87. Takalo, Tuomas & Tanayama, Tanja & Toivanen, Otto, 2022. "Welfare effects of R&D support policies," Research Discussion Papers 2/2022, Bank of Finland.
  88. Chiappinelli, Olga & Giuffrida, Leonardo M. & Spagnolo, Giancarlo, 2025. "Public procurement as an innovation policy: Where do we stand?," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
  89. Fayssal Ayad, 2026. "Lessons of the Vergangenheit: optimal policy learning of innovation subsidies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 70(4), pages 1-37, April.
  90. Casaburi, Gabriel & Crespi, Gustavo & De León, Ignacio L. & Figal Garone, Lucas & Grazzi, Matteo & Guaipatín, Carlos & Katz, Jorge & Llisterri, Juan J. & Maffioli, Alessandro & Navarro, Juan Carlos & , 2016. "La política de innovación en América Latina y el Caribe: Nuevos caminos," IDB Publications (Books), Inter-American Development Bank, number 7705.
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  92. Irem Guceri & Li Liu, 2019. "Effectiveness of Fiscal Incentives for R&D: Quasi-experimental Evidence," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 11(1), pages 266-291, February.
  93. Elizabeth Webster & Alfons Palangkaraya & Paul H. Jensen & Russell Thomson, 2024. "The effects of university-industry collaboration subsidies on firm performance," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2024n14, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
  94. Stefaan Decramer & Stijn Vanormelingen, 2016. "The effectiveness of investment subsidies: evidence from a regression discontinuity design," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 47(4), pages 1007-1032, December.
  95. Chiappini, Raphaël & Montmartin, Benjamin & Pommet, Sophie & Demaria, Samira, 2022. "Can direct innovation subsidies relax SMEs’ financial constraints?," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(5).
  96. Gustavo de Souza, 2023. "R&D Subsidy and Import Substitution: Growing in the Shadow of Protection," Working Paper Series WP 2023-37, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  97. Aronica, Martina & Fazio, Giorgio & Piacentino, Davide, 2022. "A micro-founded approach to regional innovation in Italy," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
  98. Gustavo de Souza & Gabriel Garber, 2025. "R&D Subsidy and Import Substitution: growing in the shadow of protection," Working Papers Series 631, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  99. David Aristei & Alessandro Sterlacchini & Francesco Venturini, 2017. "Effectiveness of R&D subsidies during the crisis: firm-level evidence across EU countries," Economics of Innovation and New Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(6), pages 554-573, August.
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