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Duration Dependent Transitions in a Markov Model of U.S. GNP Growth
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- Zeng, Songlin & Bec, Frédérique, 2015.
"Do stock returns rebound after bear markets? An empirical analysis from five OECD countries,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 50-61.
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"The Impact of Oil Price on South African GDP Growth: A Bayesian Markov Switching-VAR Analysis,"
African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 29(2), pages 319-336, June.
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- Mehmet Balcilar & Reneé van Eyden & Josine Uwilingiye & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "The impact of oil price on South African GDP growth: A Bayesian Markov Switching-VAR analysis," Working Papers 201470, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Caraiani, Petre, 2010. "Modeling Business Cycles In The Romanian Economy Using The Markov Switching Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 130-136, March.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2015. "Was the recent downturn in US real GDP predictable?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(28), pages 2985-3007, June.
- Congressional Budget Office, 2022. "A Markov-Switching Model of the Unemployment Rate: Working Paper 2022-05," Working Papers 57582, Congressional Budget Office.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Oscar Jorda, "undated".
"Stochastic Processes Subject to Time-Scale Transformations: An Application to High-Frequency FX Data,"
Working Papers
164, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Oscar Jorda & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2003. "Stochastic Processes Subject To Time Scale Transformations: An Application To High-Frequency Fx Data," Working Papers 2, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
- Oscar Jorda & Massimiliano Marcellino, "undated". "Stochastic Processes Subject To Time Scale Transformations: An Application To High-Frequency Fx Data," Department of Economics 00-02, California Davis - Department of Economics.
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Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 68(1), pages 1-19, February.
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- Shinn-Juh Lin & Jian Yang, 2003. "Examining intraday returns with buy/sell information," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(6), pages 447-461.
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"Volatility dynamics under duration-dependent mixing,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 7(3-4), pages 345-372, November.
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"Purchasing Power Parity : Evidence from a New Test,"
Discussion Paper
1999-09, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
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"Combination schemes for turning point predictions,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(4), pages 402-412.
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"How well do Markov switching models describe actual business cycles? The case of synchronization,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(2), pages 253-274.
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Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 4(1), pages 313-337, October.
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"Dissecting the cycle: a methodological investigation,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 365-381, March.
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- Terence C. Mills & Ping Wang, 2003. "Have output growth rates stabilised? evidence from the g‐7 economies," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 50(3), pages 232-246, August.
- Jesús Crespo Cuaresma, 2003. "Okun's Law Revisited," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 65(4), pages 439-451, September.
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"Un indicateur probabiliste du cycle d'accélération pour l'économie française,"
Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(3), pages 95-114.
- Marie Adanero-Donderis & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2009. "Un indicateur probabiliste du cycle d’accélération pour l’économie française," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 189(3), pages 95-114.
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Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 23, pages 87-95, January.
- Klaassen, F.J.G.M., 1999. "Long Swings in Exchange Rates : Are They Really in the Data?," Other publications TiSEM a54d23f3-13a8-458c-9f80-2, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
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"Duration Dependence in Stock Prices: An Analysis of Bull and Bear Markets,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 22, pages 253-273, July.
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"The duration of economic expansions and recessions: More than duration dependence,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 347-365, March.
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- Castro, Vitor, 2008. "The duration of economic expansions and recessions: More than duration dependence," Economic Research Papers 269858, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
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"Regime-Switching and the Estimation of Multifractal Processes,"
NBER Working Papers
9839, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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- Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 1999. "Dissecting the Cycle," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp1999n13, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
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"Nonlinear Features of Realized FX Volatility,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 84(4), pages 668-681, November.
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- Perez-Quiros, Gabriel & Timmermann, Allan, 2001.
"Business cycle asymmetries in stock returns: Evidence from higher order moments and conditional densities,"
Journal of Econometrics,
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- Allan Timmermann & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2000. "Business Cycle Asymmetries in Stock Returns: Evidence from Higher Order Moments and Conditional Densities," FMG Discussion Papers dp360, Financial Markets Group.
- Pérez Quirós, Gabriel & Timmermann, Allan, 2001. "Business cycle asymmetries in stock returns: evidence from higher order moments and conditional densities," Working Paper Series 0058, European Central Bank.
- Perez-Quiros, G. & Timmermann, A., 2001. "Business Cycle Asymmetries in Stock Returns: Evidence from Higher Order Moments and Conditional Densities," Papers 58, Quebec a Montreal - Recherche en gestion.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Oscar Jorda, "undated".
"Stochastic Processes Subject to Time-Scale Transformations: An Application to High-Frequency FX Data,"
Working Papers
164, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Oscar Jorda & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2003. "Stochastic Processes Subject To Time Scale Transformations: An Application To High-Frequency Fx Data," Working Papers 273, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
- Oscar Jorda & Massimiliano Marcellino, "undated". "Stochastic Processes Subject To Time Scale Transformations: An Application To High-Frequency Fx Data," Department of Economics 00-02, California Davis - Department of Economics.
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"Regime switching model of US crude oil and stock market prices: 1859 to 2013,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 317-327.
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- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2014. "Regime Switching Model of US Crude Oil and Stock Market Prices: 1859 to 2013," Working papers 2014-26, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
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- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2012.
"Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable?,"
Working Papers
201230, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable?," Working Papers 1210, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable?," Working papers 2012-38, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2013.
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Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 28(3), pages 333-352, September.
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Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 49(1), pages 325-342, August.
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- repec:dau:papers:123456789/10086 is not listed on IDEAS
- Focardi, Sergio M. & Fabozzi, Frank J. & Mazza, Davide, 2019. "Modeling local trends with regime shifting models with time-varying probabilities," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
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- Ronald MacDonald & Jun Nagayasu, 2013.
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