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International SVAR Factor Modelling

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Abstract

Models of Australia proxy international linkages using the US, despite Japan being an equivalent trading partner. This paper uses a Kahnan filter to extract US and Japanese reference cycles which are then used in an SVAR model of the Australian economy. The US and Japanese shocks are interpreted to be aggregate demand and interest rate shocks respectively. The results show that US shocks axe dominant for Australian outcomes, but the model is misspecified if Japan is excluded. The role of Japan is to dampen expansionary US shocks. Further, Australian monetary policy responds to domestic conditions, rather than international monetary policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Renee Fry, 2002. "International SVAR Factor Modelling," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 109, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology.
  • Handle: RePEc:qut:dpaper:109
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    File URL: http://external-apps.qut.edu.au/business/documents/discussionPapers/2002/DP%20No%20109.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Kathleen Goffey & Andrew Worthington, 2002. "Motor Vehicle Usage Patterns in Australia: A Comparative Analysis of Driver, Vehicle & Purpose Characteristics for Household & Freight Travel," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 117, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Structural VAR; latent factors; Kalman filter.;

    JEL classification:

    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data; Data Access

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