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The Return of the Wage Phillips Curve

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Cardani, Roberta & Pfeiffer, Philipp & Ratto, Marco & Vogel, Lukas, 2023. "The COVID-19 recession on both sides of the Atlantic: A model-based comparison," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
  2. Barnichon, Regis & Mesters, Geert, 2021. "The Phillips multiplier," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 689-705.
  3. Lawrence Christiano & Mathias Trabandt & Karl Walentin, 2021. "Involuntary Unemployment and the Business Cycle," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 39, pages 26-54, January.
  4. Leyla BAŞTAV, 2019. "ABD İşgücü Piyasasında Histeresi Etkisi Üzerine Ampirik Bir Çalışma: Yeni Keynesyen Ücret Phillips Eğrisi (1990-2014)," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society.
  5. Dennery, Charles, 2019. "Dampened expectations in the Phillips Curve: A note," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
  6. Rhee, Hyuk-jae & Turdaliev, Nurlan, 2013. "Optimal monetary policy in a small open economy with staggered wage and price contracts," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 306-323.
  7. Best Gabriela & Kapinos Pavel, 2016. "Monetary policy and news shocks: are Taylor rules forward-looking?," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 16(2), pages 335-360, June.
  8. Martin Groiss & David Sondermann, 2025. "Help wanted: the drivers and implications of labour shortages," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(33), pages 4882-4896, July.
  9. Gabriel, Ricardo Duque, 2023. "Monetary policy and the wage inflation-unemployment tradeoff," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
  10. Crump, Richard K. & Eusepi, Stefano & Giannoni, Marc & Şahin, Ayşegül, 2024. "The unemployment–inflation trade-off revisited: The Phillips curve in COVID times," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
  11. Francesco Furlanetto & Martin Seneca, 2010. "Investment-specific technology shocks and consumption," Working Paper 2010/30, Norges Bank.
  12. Masao Fukui & Emi Nakamura & Jón Steinsson, 2023. "Women, Wealth Effects, and Slow Recoveries," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(1), pages 269-313, January.
  13. Matthias Burgert & Philipp Pfeiffer & Werner Roeger, 2025. "Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity and Fiscal Policy in a Monetary Union," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 73(3), pages 988-1051, September.
  14. Fabian Eser & Peter Karadi & Philip R. Lane & Laura Moretti & Chiara Osbat, 2020. "The Phillips Curve at the ECB," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 88(S1), pages 50-85, September.
  15. Massimiliano Marcellino & Yuliya Rychalovska, 2012. "An estimated DSGE model of a Small Open Economy within the Monetary Union: Forecasting and Structural Analysis," RSCAS Working Papers 2012/34, European University Institute.
  16. Sitikantha Pattanaik & Silu Muduli & Soumyajit Ray, 2020. "Inflation expectations of households: do they influence wage-price dynamics in India?," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 244-263, September.
  17. Massimiliano Marcellino & Yuliya Rychalovska, 2014. "Forecasting with a DSGE Model of a Small Open Economy within the Monetary Union," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(5), pages 315-338, August.
  18. Rusinova, Desislava & Lipatov, Vilen & Heinz, Frigyes Ferdinand, 2015. "How flexible are real wages in EU countries? A panel investigation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 140-154.
  19. Jonathan A. Attey, 2016. "Time-Varying Degree of Wage Indexation and the New Keynesian Wage Phillips Curve," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-102/VI, Tinbergen Institute.
  20. repec:cam:camjip:2318 is not listed on IDEAS
  21. Iwasaki, Yuto & Kubota, Hiroyuki & Muto, Ichiro & Shintani, Mototsugu, 2025. "Monetary policy, labor force participation, and wage rigidity," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
  22. MATSUMAE Tatsuyoshi & HASUMI Ryo, 2016. "Impacts of Government Spending on Unemployment: Evidence from a Medium-scale DSGE Model(in Japanese)," ESRI Discussion paper series 329, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  23. Angelini, Elena & Bokan, Nikola & Christoffel, Kai & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Zimic, Srečko, 2019. "Introducing ECB-BASE: The blueprint of the new ECB semi-structural model for the euro area," Working Paper Series 2315, European Central Bank.
  24. Luca Fornaro & Veronica Guerrieri & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2025. "Monetary policy for the green transition," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 160.
  25. Antonia López‐villavicencio & Sophie Saglio, 2016. "The Wage Inflation‐Unemployment Curve at the Macroeconomic Level," Post-Print hal-05455832, HAL.
  26. Torben M. Andersen, 2016. "Automatic stabilizers—the intersection of labour market and fiscal policies," IZA Journal of European Labor Studies, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 5(1), pages 1-18, December.
  27. Antonia López-Villavicencio & Sophie Saglio, 2017. "The Wage Inflation-Unemployment Curve at the Macroeconomic Level," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 79(1), pages 55-78, February.
  28. Gunnar Bårdsen & Ragnar Nymoen, 2025. "U.S. Wage‐Price Dynamics, Before, During and After COVID‐19, Through the Lens of an Empirical Econometric Model," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 87(6), pages 1122-1145, December.
  29. Campbell, Carl, 2023. "The Specification of Lagged Inflation in the Wage Phillips Curve," MPRA Paper 117570, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  30. Roberto Bande & Marika Karanassou, 2014. "Spanish Regional Unemployment Revisited: The Role of Capital Accumulation," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(11), pages 1863-1883, November.
  31. Ambriško, Róbert & Babecký, Jan & Ryšánek, Jakub & Valenta, Vilém, 2015. "Assessing the impact of fiscal measures on the Czech economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 350-357.
  32. Marko Melolinna & Máté Tóth, 2019. "Output gaps, inflation and financial cycles in the UK," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1039-1070, March.
  33. Brand, Claus & Obstbaum, Meri & Coenen, Günter & Sondermann, David & Lydon, Reamonn & Ajevskis, Viktors & Hammermann, Felix & Angino, Siria & Hernborg, Nils & Basso, Henrique & Hertweck, Matthias & Bi, 2021. "Employment and the conduct of monetary policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 275, European Central Bank.
  34. Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin S. Eichenbaum & Mathias Trabandt, 2016. "Unemployment and Business Cycles," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 84(4), pages 1523-1569, July.
  35. Kevin X. D. Huang & Munechika Katayama & Mototsugu Shintani & Takayuki Tsuruga, 2022. "Sticky wages in a world of ideas," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(4), pages 1757-1781, October.
  36. Mushtariy Boymatova, 2026. "The emergence of wage-price spirals: Implications for Monetary Policy Response," IHEID Working Papers 13-2026, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
  37. Latsos Sophia, 2018. "Real Wage Effects of Japan’s Monetary Policy," ORDO. Jahrbuch für die Ordnung von Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft, De Gruyter, vol. 69(1), pages 177-215, July.
  38. Voinea, Liviu, 2019. "The Post-Crisis Phillips Curve: A New Empirical Relationship between Wage and Inflation," GLO Discussion Paper Series 303, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
  39. Oh, Hyunseung & Reis, Ricardo, 2012. "Targeted transfers and the fiscal response to the great recession," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(S), pages 50-64.
  40. Markus Brückner & Evi Pappa, 2012. "Fiscal Expansions, Unemployment, And Labor Force Participation: Theory And Evidence," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 53(4), pages 1205-1228, November.
  41. Hie Joo Ahn & Lam Nguyen, 2025. "Who's at Risk? Effects of Inflation on Unemployment Risk," Papers 2505.05757, arXiv.org.
  42. Ichiro Muto & Kohei Shintani, 2014. "What are the Characteristics of Japan's Aggregate Wage Dynamics?: An Empirical Study on the New Keynesian Wage Phillips Curve for Japan and the US," Bank of Japan Research Laboratory Series 14-E-2, Bank of Japan.
  43. Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Hector, 2010. "The Wage-Productivity Gap Revisited: Is the Labour Share Neutral to Employment?," IZA Discussion Papers 5092, IZA Network @ LISER.
  44. Stéphane Dupraz, 2023. "The Dynamic IS Curve when there is both Investment and Savings," Working papers 905, Banque de France.
  45. Thierry Betti, 2014. "Assessing The Effects of Public Expenditure Shocks on the Labor Market in the Euro-Area," Working Papers of BETA 2014-21, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
  46. Aminu, Nasir, 2019. "Energy prices volatility and the United Kingdom: Evidence from a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 487-497.
  47. Bergholt, Drago & Røisland, Øistein & Sveen, Tommy & Torvik, Ragnar, 2023. "Monetary policy when export revenues drop," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
  48. Quaas, Georg & Klein, Mathias, 2010. "Is the Phillips Curve of Germany Spurious?," MPRA Paper 26604, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  49. boughabi, houssam, 2026. "Income Growth In Morocco: An Analysis of Income Growth Following an ARFIMA Model," MPRA Paper 128041, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  50. Casares, Miguel & Moreno, Antonio & Vázquez, Jesús, 2014. "An estimated New-Keynesian model with unemployment as excess supply of labor," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 338-359.
  51. Beatrice Pataracchia & Philipp Pfeiffer & Marco Ratto & Jan Teresiński, 2025. "Energy Commodity Price Shocks in the Euro Area Evidence from a Large-Scale Structural Model," European Economy - Discussion Papers 233, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
  52. Bradley Speigner, 2014. "Long-term unemployment and convexity in the Phillips curve," Bank of England working papers 519, Bank of England.
  53. Gerhard Fenz & Christian Ragacs & Alfred Stiglbauer, 2019. "Aggregate wage developments in Austria since the introduction of the euro," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 19/Q1-Q2, pages 41-56.
  54. Daisuke Ida & Mitsuhiro Okano, 2023. "International heterogeneity of nominal wages and optimal monetary policy," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 112-138, August.
  55. Shira Buzaglo-Baris, 2024. "Wage and Price Inflation: An Industry-Level Study," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2024.09, Bank of Israel.
  56. Javier Andres & Oscar Arce & Dominik Thaler & Carlos Thomas, 2020. "When Fiscal Consolidation Meets Private Deleveraging," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 214-233, July.
  57. Jorge Alvarez & John Christopher Bluedorn & Niels‐Jakob Hansen & Youyou Huang & Evgenia Pugacheva & Alexandre Sollaci, 2024. "Wage–price spirals: what is the historical evidence?," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 91(364), pages 1291-1319, October.
  58. Kenichi Sakura, 2020. "Comments on "Can an ageing workforce explain low inflation?"," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Inflation dynamics in Asia and the Pacific, volume 111, pages 81-84, Bank for International Settlements.
  59. Robert G Murphy & Adam Rohde, 2018. "Rational Bias in Inflation Expectations," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 44(1), pages 153-171, January.
  60. Fumitaka Nakamura & Nao Sudo & Yu Sugisaki, 2021. "Monetary Policy Shocks and the Employment of Young, Middle-Aged, and Old Workers," IMES Discussion Paper Series 21-E-06, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
  61. Roberto Bande & Marika Karanassou, 2014. "Spanish Regional Unemployment Revisited: The Role of Capital Accumulation," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(11), pages 1863-1883, November.
  62. Yao Chen & Felix Ward, 2022. "Output Divergence in Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 22-031/VI, Tinbergen Institute, revised 22 May 2025.
  63. Ha,Jongrim & Ivanova,Anna & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte & Unsal Portillo Ocando,Derya Filiz, 2019. "Inflation : Concepts, Evolution, and Correlates," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8738, The World Bank.
  64. Jovanovic, Branimir & Petreski, Marjan, 2014. "Monetary policy, exchange rates and labor unions in SEE and the CIS during the financial crisis," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 309-332.
  65. Óscar Arce & Samuel Hurtado & Carlos Thomas, 2016. "Policy Spillovers and Synergies in a Monetary Union," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 12(3), pages 219-277, September.
  66. Vincent Dadam & Nicola Viegi, 2021. "Estimating a New Keynesian Wage Phillips Curve," Working Papers 202107, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  67. Yosuke Kido & Kotaro Suita, 2025. "Labor Cost Passthrough: Evidence from Japanese Long-term Subnational Data," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 25-E-5, Bank of Japan.
  68. Barseghyan Gayane, 2013. "An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for Armenian Economy," EERC Working Paper Series 13/11e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS.
  69. Marika Karanassou & Hector Sala, 2010. "The Wage-Productivity Gap Revisited: Is the Labour Share Neutral to Employment?," Working Papers 668, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
  70. Brzozowski, Michał & Siwińska-Gorzelak, Joanna, 2024. "Did robots make wages less responsive to unemployment?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
  71. Mohsen Bahmani-oskooee & Massoumeh Hajilee, 2011. "How Fast Wages Adjust to Prices: A Multi Country Analysis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(3), pages 2404-2413.
  72. Coenen, Günter & Mazelis, Falk & Motto, Roberto & Ristiniemi, Annukka & Smets, Frank & Warne, Anders & Wouters, Raf, 2025. "Inflation and monetary policy in medium-sized New Keynesian DSGE models," Working Paper Series 3137, European Central Bank.
  73. Aguirre, Idoia & Casares, Miguel, 2024. "The post-COVID inflation episode," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  74. Sanjay K. Chugh & Christian Merkl, 2016. "Efficiency And Labor Market Dynamics In A Model Of Labor Selection," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 57(4), pages 1371-1404, November.
  75. Muto Ichiro & Shintani Kohei, 2020. "An empirical study on the New Keynesian wage Phillips curve: Japan and the US," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(1), pages 1-17, January.
  76. Ida Daisuke & Okano Mitsuhiro, 2024. "Does Nominal Wage Stickiness Affect Fiscal Multiplier in a Two-Agent New Keynesian Model?," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(2), pages 883-928.
  77. Galí, Jordi, 2010. "Monetary Policy and Unemployment," Handbook of Monetary Economics, in: Benjamin M. Friedman & Michael Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 10, pages 487-546, Elsevier.
  78. A. Moutaabbid, 2024. "Les determinants de la dynamique des salaires en France : approches macro et sectorielles par la courbe de Phillips," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers 2024-20, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques.
  79. Giakas, Konstantinos, 2023. "Hysteresis, financial frictions and monetary policy," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
  80. Malikane, Christopher, 2012. "The microfoundations of the Keynesian wage-price spiral," MPRA Paper 42921, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 29 Nov 2012.
  81. Quaas, Georg & Klein, Mathias, 2010. "Der Beitrag alternativer NAIRU-Kurven zur Erklärung der Inflation [The Contribution of Alternative NAIRU-curves to the Explanation of Inflation]," MPRA Paper 26176, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  82. Philip Liu & Konstantinos Theodoridis & Haroon Mumtaz & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Changing Macroeconomic Dynamics at the Zero Lower Bound," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 391-404, July.
  83. Okan Akarsu & Emrehan Aktug & Muserref Kucukbayrak, 2025. "Hand-to-Mouth Households in the Eurosystem and the Transmission of Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2506, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  84. Clemens, Marius, 2016. "Migration, Unemployment and the Business Cycle - A Euro Area Perspective," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145578, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  85. Kiley, Michael T., 2013. "Output gaps," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 1-18.
  86. Nalban, Valeriu & Smădu, Andra, 2021. "The interaction between private sector and public sector labor markets: Evidence from Romania," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 804-821.
  87. Bilbiie, Florin & Trabandt, Mathias, 2023. "Sticky Prices or Sticky Wages? An Equivalence Result," CEPR Discussion Papers 18542, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
  88. Mr. Gee Hee Hong & Zsoka Koczan & Weicheng Lian & Mr. Malhar S Nabar, 2018. "More Slack than Meets the Eye? Recent Wage Dynamics in Advanced Economies," IMF Working Papers 2018/050, International Monetary Fund.
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