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Impact of BSE and Bird Flu on Consumers f Meat Demand in Japan

Author

Listed:
  • Takashi Ishida

    (Graduate School of Economics and Business Administration, Hokkaido University)

  • Noriko Ishikawa

    (Graduate School of Science and Technology, Kobe University)

  • Mototsugu Fukushige

    (Graduate School of Economics, Osaka University)

Abstract

This paper investigates the impacts of the BSE and Bird Flu on consumers f meat demand in Japan using the Almost Ideal demand system. BSE and Bird Flu scares bring about a fall in demand for beef and chicken respectively, and an upturn in demand for pork and fishery products, both of which are substitutes for beef and chicken in Japan. We also find that a Bird Flu outbreak has a negative impact on the market share for beef, although a BSE outbreak raises consumer demand for chicken. Empirical results also show that both impacts do not persist permanently, but remain for a period that might depend on the characteristics of the disease, such as incubation period, cure rate and infection risk, and on the differences in the government response to the particular disease crises.

Suggested Citation

  • Takashi Ishida & Noriko Ishikawa & Mototsugu Fukushige, 2006. "Impact of BSE and Bird Flu on Consumers f Meat Demand in Japan," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 06-01, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:osk:wpaper:0601
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Lijia Mo, 2013. "Impact of food safety information on US poultry demand," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(9), pages 1121-1131, March.
    2. Jin Guo & Tetsuji Tanaka, 2020. "The Effectiveness of Self-Sufficiency Policy: International Price Transmissions in Beef Markets," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-23, July.
    3. Siettou, Christina, 2016. "Avian Influenza: outbreaks and the impact on UK consumer demand for poultry," 90th Annual Conference, April 4-6, 2016, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 236328, Agricultural Economics Society.
    4. Zijun Luo & Xu Tian, 2018. "Can China’s meat imports be sustainable? A case study of mad cow disease," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(9), pages 1022-1042, February.
    5. Widenhorn, Andreas & Salhofer, Klaus, 2014. "Using a Generalized Differenced Demand Model to Estimate Price and Expenditure Elasticities for Milk and Meat in Austria," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 63(02), pages 1-16, June.
    6. Hsu, Jane Lu & Liu, Kang Ernest & Lee, Hwang-Jaw & Huang, Min-Hsin & Hung, Kelsey Jing-Ru, 2010. "The Influences Of Avian Influenza, Bse, And H1n1 Influenza On Attitudinal Changes In Meat Safety Issues," 115th Joint EAAE/AAEA Seminar, September 15-17, 2010, Freising-Weihenstephan, Germany 116405, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    7. Aldy, Joseph E. & Viscusi, W. Kip, 2013. "Risk Regulation Lessons from Mad Cows," Foundations and Trends(R) in Microeconomics, now publishers, vol. 8(4), pages 231-313, December.
    8. Aye Chan Myae & Ellen Goddard, 2020. "Household behavior with respect to meat consumption in the presence of BSE and CWD," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 68(3), pages 315-341, September.
    9. Satoshi Kabe & Yuichiro Kanazawa, 2014. "Estimating the Markov-switching almost ideal demand systems: a Bayesian approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 47(4), pages 1193-1220, December.
    10. Melissa Maas & Gumataw Kifle Abebe & Christopher M. Hartt & Emmanuel K. Yiridoe, 2022. "Consumer Perceptions about the Value of Short Food Supply Chains during COVID-19: Atlantic Canada Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-20, July.
    11. Shang, Xia & Tonsor, Glynn T., 2017. "Food safety recall effects across meat products and regions," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 145-153.
    12. Widenhorn, Andreas & Salhofer, Klaus, 2014. "Using a Generalized Differenced Demand Model to Estimate Price and Expenditure Elasticities for Milk and Meat in Austria," Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, vol. 63(2).
    13. Shashika D. Rathnayaka & Saroja Selvanathan & E. A. Selvanathan, 2021. "Demand for animal‐derived food in selected Asian countries: A system‐wide analysis," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 52(1), pages 97-122, January.
    14. Byung Min Soon & Wyatt Thompson, 2020. "Japanese beef trade impact from BSE using a time‐varying Armington model," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(3), pages 385-401, June.
    15. Liu, Kang Ernest & Huang, Min-Hsin & Hsu, Jane Lu & Lee, Hwang-Jaw, 2009. "Avian Influenza Threat and its Potential Impact on Demand for Chicken and Eggs," 2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 49297, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    16. Martin Browning & Lars Gårn Hansen & Sinne Smed, 2013. "Rational inattention or rational overreaction? Consumer reactions to health news," IFRO Working Paper 2013/14, University of Copenhagen, Department of Food and Resource Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    BSE; Bird Flu; Almost Ideal demand system; Meat Demand;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • Q13 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Markets and Marketing; Cooperatives; Agribusiness
    • L66 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - Food; Beverages; Cosmetics; Tobacco

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