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AH1N1 impact on the Mexican pork meat market

Author

Listed:
  • Edgardo Ayala

    (Tecnológico de Monterrey)

  • Joana Chapa

    (Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León)

Abstract

This article presents estimates of AH1N1's effects on the consumption of pork through an Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) for meat consumption in Mexico. Additionally, indirect effects through the Mexican economy are estimated using a general equilibrium model that captures the effects of intersectoral relationships and the induced effects by the circular flow of income. It is concluded that the presumed risk of contracting AH1N1 via pork consumption provoked total economic losses of $94 million. The rumor affected the pork sector, the grains sector and the manufacturing sector of food, beverages and tobacco. The poor rural households were the most affected.

Suggested Citation

  • Edgardo Ayala & Joana Chapa, 2017. "AH1N1 impact on the Mexican pork meat market," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 32(1), pages 3-25.
  • Handle: RePEc:emx:esteco:v:32:y:2017:i:1:p:3-25
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    File URL: http://estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx/archivo/EstudiosEconomicos2017/3-25.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    swine flu (AH1N1); food scares; Mexican meat market;

    JEL classification:

    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices
    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models

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