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High Frequency Contagion of Currency Crises in Asia

  • Takatoshi Ito
  • Yuko Hashimoto

Using daily data during the period of Asian Currency Crises, this paper examines high-frequency contagion effects among Asian six countries. By identifying the origin' (of exchange rate depreciation, or decline in stock prices) and the affected' (currencies, or stock prices) in spillover relationship, Indonesia and Korea are found to be the two main origin countries, affecting exchange rates and stock prices of other countries. Evidence of high-frequency crisis spillover from Thailand to other countries was weak at best. A positive relationship between trade link indices and the contagion coefficients is found, implying that the bilateral trade linkage is an important factor for currency market participants to expect which currency should be affected within days of an original a shock in the exchange rate of a particular country.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 9376.

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Date of creation: Dec 2002
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Publication status: published as Ito, Takatoshi and Yuko Hashimoto. "High-Frequency Contagion Of Currency Crises In Asia," Asian Economic Journal, 2005, v19(4,Dec), 357-381.
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:9376
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    • Takatoshi Ito, 2000. "Capital Flows in Asia," NBER Chapters, in: Capital Flows and the Emerging Economies: Theory, Evidence, and Controversies, pages 255-296 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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