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High‐Frequency Contagion of Currency Crises in Asia

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  • Takatoshi Ito
  • Yuko Hashimoto

Abstract

Using daily data from the Asian currency crisis, the present paper examines high‐frequency contagion effects among six Asian countries. The ‘origin’ (of exchange rate depreciation, or decline in stock prices) and the ‘affected’ (currencies, or stock prices) in the daily spillover relationship were defined and identified. Indonesia is found to be the main origin country, affecting exchange rates of other countries. Contrary to conventional wisdom, evidence of high‐frequency crisis spillover from the Thai exchange rate to other currencies was weak at best. There exists a high‐frequency contagion in stock markets among East Asian countries. Contagion coefficients are positively correlated with trade indices, indicating that investors lower their financial assessment of a country that has trade linkage to a crisis origin country within days, if not hours, of a shock.

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  • Takatoshi Ito & Yuko Hashimoto, 2005. "High‐Frequency Contagion of Currency Crises in Asia," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 19(4), pages 357-381, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:asiaec:v:19:y:2005:i:4:p:357-381
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-8381.2005.00217.x
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    2. OGAWA Eiji & SHIMIZU Junko & LUO Pengfei, 2019. "Effects of US Interest Rate Hikes and Global Risk on Daily Capital Flows in Emerging Market Countries," Discussion papers 19019, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
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    5. John Beirne & Jana Gieck, 2014. "Interdependence and Contagion in Global Asset Markets," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(4), pages 639-659, September.
    6. Mala Raghavan & Evelyn S. Devadason, 2019. "How resilient is ASEAN-5 to trade shocks? Regional and global shocks compared," CAMA Working Papers 2019-53, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    7. Pavlova, Anna & Rigobon, Roberto, 2005. "Wealth Transfers, Contagion and Portfolio Constraints," CEPR Discussion Papers 5117, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Neha Seth & Monica Sighania, 2017. "Financial market contagion: selective review of reviews," Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 9(4), pages 391-408, November.
    9. Mala Raghavan & Evelyn S. Devadason, 2020. "How Resilient Is ASEAN-5 to Trade Shocks? A Comparison of Regional and Global Shocks," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 12(1), pages 93-115, January.
    10. Haidar, Jamal Ibrahim, 2012. "Currency crisis transmission through international trade," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 151-157.
    11. Castagneto-Gissey, G. & Nivorozhkin, E., 2016. "No contagion from Russia toward global equity markets after the 2014 international sanctions," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 79-98.
    12. Jan P. A. M. Lestano, 2007. "Dating currency crises with ad hoc and extreme value-based thresholds: East Asia 1970-2002 [Dating currency crises]," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(4), pages 371-388.
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    14. Khan, Saleheen, 2018. "Currency Crisis Transmission Through Trade Channel: Asian and Mexican Crises Revisited," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 33(4), pages 818-840.

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    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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