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Agricultural Impact of Climate Change: A General Equilibrium Analysis with Special Reference to Southeast Asia

  • Fan Zhai

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  • Juzhong Zhuang
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Capitalizing on the most recent worldwide estimates of the impacts of climate change on agriculture production, this paper assesses the economic effects of climate change for Southeast Asian countries through 2080. However, the uneven distribution of productivity losses across global regions would bring significant structural adjustments in world wide agriculture production and trade, leaving the developed country as the net loser. The expected increase of crop import dependence in the coming decades would make most Southeast Asian economies suffer more welfare losses through deterioration of terms of trade. To cope with the potential agricultural damages, Southeast Asia must concentrate on reversing its current trend of declining agricultural productivity. [ ADBI WP no 131]

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Paper provided by eSocialSciences in its series Working Papers with number id:1921.

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Date of creation: May 2009
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Handle: RePEc:ess:wpaper:id:1921
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  1. Yu, Wusheng & Hertel, Thomas W. & Preckel, Paul V. & Eales, James S., 2003. "Projecting World Food Demand Using Alternative Demand Systems," 2003 Annual Meeting, August 16-22, 2003, Durban, South Africa 25905, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
  2. Hertel, Thomas, . "Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and applications," GTAP Books 7685, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University.
  3. David Zilberman & Xuemei Liu & David Roland-Holst & David Sunding, 2004. "The economics of climate change in agriculture," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 9(4), pages 365-382, October.
  4. Anderson, Jock R. & Pardey, Philip G. & Roseboom, Johannes, 1994. "Sustaining growth in agriculture: a quantitative review of agricultural research investments," Agricultural Economics of Agricultural Economists, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 10(2), April.
  5. Darwin, Roy & Tsigas, Marinos E. & Lewandrowski, Jan & Raneses, Anton, 1995. "World Agriculture and Climate Change: Economic Adaptations," Agricultural Economics Reports 33933, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
  6. Shoven,John B. & Whalley,John, 1992. "Applying General Equilibrium," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521266550.
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