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Pablo Aguilar

Personal Details

First Name:Pablo
Middle Name:
Last Name:Aguilar
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pag133
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
https://www.bde.es/investigador/en/menu/people/research_staff_a/Aguilar__Pablo.html
pablo.aguilar@bde.es
Terminal Degree: Institut de Recherche Économique et Sociale (IRES); Louvain Institute of Data Analysis and Modelling in Economics and Statistics (LIDAM); Université Catholique de Louvain (from RePEc Genealogy)

Affiliation

(2%) Institut de Recherche Économique et Sociale (IRES)
Louvain Institute of Data Analysis and Modelling in Economics and Statistics (LIDAM)
Université Catholique de Louvain

Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium
https://uclouvain.be/en/research-institutes/lidam/ires
RePEc:edi:iruclbe (more details at EDIRC)

(98%) Banco de España

Madrid, Spain
http://www.bde.es/
RePEc:edi:bdegves (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Pablo A. Aguilar & Mario Alloza & James Costain & Samuel Hurtado & Jaime Martínez-Martín, 2024. "El efecto de los programas de compras de activos del Banco Central Europeo en las cuentas públicas de España," Occasional Papers 2409, Banco de España.
  2. Pablo A. Aguilar & Mario Alloza & James Costain & Samuel Hurtado & Jaime Martínez-Martín, 2024. "The effect of the European Central Bank’s asset purchase programmes on Spain’s public finances," Occasional Papers 2409, Banco de España.
  3. Pablo Aguilar & Luca Pensieroso, 2022. "Learning the Hard Way: Expectations and the U.S. Great Depression," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2022004, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
  4. Pablo Aguilar & Beatriz González & Samuel Hurtado, 2022. "Carbon tax sectoral (CATS) model: a sectoral model for energy transition stress test scenarios," Occasional Papers 2218, Banco de España.
  5. Cecion, Martina & Coenen, Günter & Gerke, Rafael & Le Bihan, Hervé & Motto, Roberto & Aguilar, Pablo & Ajevskis, Viktors & Giesen, Sebastian & Albertazzi, Ugo & Gilbert, Niels & Al-Haschimi, Alexander, 2021. "The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges," Occasional Paper Series 269, European Central Bank.
  6. Pablo Aguilar & Corinna Ghirelli & Matías Pacce & Alberto Urtasun, 2020. "Can news help measure economic sentiment? An application in COVID-19 times," Working Papers 2027, Banco de España.
  7. Pablo Aguilar & Óscar Arce & Samuel Hurtado & Jaime Martínez-Martín & Galo Nuño & Carlos Thomas, 2020. "The ECB monetary policy response to the Covid-19 crisis," Occasional Papers 2026, Banco de España.
  8. Pablo Aguilar & Óscar Arce & Samuel Hurtado & Jaime Martínez-Martín & Galo Nuño & Carlos Thomas, 2020. "La respuesta de la política monetaria del Banco Central Europeo frente a la crisis del Covid-19," Occasional Papers 2026, Banco de España.
  9. Pablo Aguilar & Samuel Hurtado & Stephan Fahr & Eddie Gerba, 2019. "Quest for robust optimal macroprudential policy," Working Papers 1916, Banco de España.
  10. Pablo Aguilar & Jesús Vázquez, 2018. "Term structure and real-time learning," Working Papers 1803, Banco de España.
  11. Pablo Aguilar & Jesús Vázquez, 2015. "The role of term structure in an estimated DSGE model with learning," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2015007, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).

Articles

  1. Pablo Aguilar & Corinna Ghirelli & Blanca Jiménez-García, 2023. "Recent changes in investment in Spain from a macroeconomic perspective," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 2023/Q3.
  2. Aguilar, Pablo & González, Beatriz & Hurtado, Samuel, 2023. "Green policies and transition risk propagation in production networks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  3. Pablo Aguilar & Corinna Ghirelli & Blanca Jiménez-García, 2023. "La evolución reciente de la inversión en España desde una perspectiva macroeconómica," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue 2023/T3.
  4. Pablo Aguilar & Beatriz González & Samuel Hurtado, 2021. "Diseño de escenarios macroeconómicos para las pruebas de resistencia de cambio climático," Revista de Estabilidad Financiera, Banco de España, issue MAY.
  5. Pablo Aguilar, 2021. "La recuperación del consumo en 2021: un análisis a partir de las expectativas de los consumidores," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue 3/2021.
  6. Vázquez, Jesús & Aguilar, Pablo, 2021. "Adaptive learning with term structure information," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
  7. Pablo Aguilar & Beatriz González & Samuel Hurtado, 2021. "The design of macroeconomic scenarios for climate change stress tests," Financial Stability Review, Banco de España, issue MAY.
  8. Pablo Aguilar, 2021. "Consumption recovery in 2021: an analysis drawing on consumer expectations," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 3/2021.
  9. Aguilar, Pablo & Ghirelli, Corinna & Pacce, Matías & Urtasun, Alberto, 2021. "Can news help measure economic sentiment? An application in COVID-19 times," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
  10. Aguilar, Pablo & Vázquez, Jesús, 2021. "An Estimated Dsge Model With Learning Based On Term Structure Information," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(7), pages 1635-1665, October.
  11. Pablo Aguilar, 2020. "La persistencia de la inflación en el área del euro: el papel de las expectativas," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue 4/2020.
  12. Pablo Aguilar, 2020. "Inflation persistence in the euro area: the role of expectations," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 4/2020.
    RePEc:bde:revist:y:2021:i:spring:n:8 is not listed on IDEAS

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Pablo Aguilar & Jesús Vázquez, 2018. "Term structure and real-time learning," Working Papers 1803, Banco de España.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Term structure and real-time learning
      by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2018-04-07 00:41:41

Working papers

  1. Pablo Aguilar & Luca Pensieroso, 2022. "Learning the Hard Way: Expectations and the U.S. Great Depression," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2022004, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).

    Cited by:

    1. Cardi, Olivier & Restout, Romain, 2023. "Sectoral fiscal multipliers and technology in open economy," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    2. Luca Pensieroso & Romain Restout, 2023. "The Gold Standard and the International Dimension of the Great Depression," Post-Print hal-04264183, HAL.

  2. Cecion, Martina & Coenen, Günter & Gerke, Rafael & Le Bihan, Hervé & Motto, Roberto & Aguilar, Pablo & Ajevskis, Viktors & Giesen, Sebastian & Albertazzi, Ugo & Gilbert, Niels & Al-Haschimi, Alexander, 2021. "The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges," Occasional Paper Series 269, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. BENIGNO, Pierpaolo & CANOFARI, Paola & DI BARTOLOMEO, Giovanni & MESSORI, Marcello, 2023. "The ECB’s new inflation target from a short- and long-term perspective," Working Papers 2023006, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    2. Dobrew, Michael & Gerke, Rafael & Kienzler, Daniel & Schwemmer, Alexander, 2023. "Monetary policy rules under bounded rationality," Discussion Papers 18/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    3. Lucian Briciu & Stefan Hohberger & Luca Onorante & Beatrice Pataracchia & Marco Ratto & Lukas Vogel, 2023. "The ECB Strategy Review - Implications for the Space of Monetary Policy," European Economy - Discussion Papers 193, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    4. Hans-Eggert Reimers & Dieter Gerdesmeier & Barbara Roffia, 2023. "Investigating the Inflation–Output Nexus for the Euro Area: Old Questions and New Results," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-15, October.
    5. Edouard Djeutem & Mario He & Abeer Reza & Yang Zhang, 2022. "Household Heterogeneity and the Performance of Monetary Policy Frameworks," Staff Working Papers 22-12, Bank of Canada.
    6. Gerdesmeier, Dieter & Reimers, Hans-Eggert & Roffia, Barbara, 2023. "Investigating the inflation-output-nexus for the euro area: Old questions and new results," Wismar Discussion Papers 01/2023, Hochschule Wismar, Wismar Business School.
    7. Ignazio Visco, 2023. "Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 51(2), pages 111-129, September.
    8. Brand, Claus & Obstbaum, Meri & Coenen, Günter & Sondermann, David & Lydon, Reamonn & Ajevskis, Viktors & Hammermann, Felix & Angino, Siria & Hernborg, Nils & Basso, Henrique & Hertweck, Matthias & Bi, 2021. "Employment and the conduct of monetary policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 275, European Central Bank.
    9. Eleni Argiri & Ifigeneia Skotida, 2021. "The 2021 review of the monetary policy strategy of the Eurosystem: an economy of forces," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 54, pages 23-57, December.
    10. Corbisiero, Giuseppe & Lawton, Neil, 2021. "The ECB’s Review of its Monetary Policy Strategy," Quarterly Bulletin Articles, Central Bank of Ireland, pages 70-103, October.
    11. Stéphane Dupraz & Hervé Le Bihan & Julien Matheron, 2022. "Make-up Strategies with Finite Planning Horizons but Forward-Looking Asset Prices," Working papers 862, Banque de France.
    12. Debrun, Xavier & Masuch, Klaus & Ferrero, Guiseppe & Vansteenkiste, Isabel & Ferdinandusse, Marien & von Thadden, Leopold & Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Alloza, Mario & Derouen, Chloé & Bańkowski, Krzyszto, 2021. "Monetary-fiscal policy interactions in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 273, European Central Bank.
    13. Martina Cecioni & Adriana Grasso & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2021. "Revisiting monetary policy objectives and strategies: international experience and challenges from the ELB," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 660, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    14. Gerke, Rafael & Kienzler, Daniel & Scheer, Alexander, 2022. "On the macroeconomic effects of reinvestments in asset purchase programmes," Discussion Papers 47/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.

  3. Pablo Aguilar & Corinna Ghirelli & Matías Pacce & Alberto Urtasun, 2020. "Can news help measure economic sentiment? An application in COVID-19 times," Working Papers 2027, Banco de España.

    Cited by:

    1. Larissa Batrancea, 2021. "Empirical Evidence Regarding the Impact of Economic Growth and Inflation on Economic Sentiment and Household Consumption," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-16, July.
    2. Zahner, Johannes & Baumgärtner, Martin, 2022. "Whatever it Takes to Understand a Central Banker – Embedding their Words Using Neural Networks," VfS Annual Conference 2022 (Basel): Big Data in Economics 264019, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    3. María del Pilar Cruz N. & Hugo Peralta V. & Juan Pablo Cova M., 2022. "Utilización de noticias de prensa como indicador de confianza económica en tiempo real," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 938, Central Bank of Chile.
    4. Erik Andres-Escayola & Corinna Ghirelli & Luis Molina & Javier J. Pérez & Elena Vidal, 2022. "Using newspapers for textual indicators: which and how many?," Working Papers 2235, Banco de España.
    5. Iustina Alina Boitan & Emilia Mioara Campeanu & Sanja Sever Malis, 2021. "Economic Sentiment Perceptions During COVID-19 Pandemic – A European Cross-Country Impact Assessment," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 23(Special15), pages 982-982, November.
    6. Deimante Teresiene & Greta Keliuotyte-Staniuleniene & Yiyi Liao & Rasa Kanapickiene & Ruihui Pu & Siyan Hu & Xiao-Guang Yue, 2021. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Consumer and Business Confidence Indicators," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-23, April.
    7. Vu M. Ngo & Toan L. D. Huynh & Phuc V. Nguyen & Huan H. Nguyen, 2022. "Public sentiment towards economic sanctions in the Russia–Ukraine war," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 69(5), pages 564-573, November.
    8. Saiz, Lorena & Ashwin, Julian & Kalamara, Eleni, 2021. "Nowcasting euro area GDP with news sentiment: a tale of two crises," Working Paper Series 2616, European Central Bank.
    9. Anastasiou, Dimitris & Ballis, Antonis & Drakos, Konstantinos, 2022. "Constructing a positive sentiment index for COVID-19: Evidence from G20 stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).

  4. Pablo Aguilar & Óscar Arce & Samuel Hurtado & Jaime Martínez-Martín & Galo Nuño & Carlos Thomas, 2020. "The ECB monetary policy response to the Covid-19 crisis," Occasional Papers 2026, Banco de España.

    Cited by:

    1. Nelimarkka, Jaakko & Laine, Olli-Matti, 2021. "The effects of the ECB's pandemic-related monetary policy measures," BoF Economics Review 4/2021, Bank of Finland.
    2. Mauro Paoloni & Massimiliano Celli, 2023. "The Covid-19 Pandemic and the Eurozone: A Reconnaissance of E.U. Financial Assistance to Counteract the Coronavirus’s Perfect Storm," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 16(7), pages 1-72, February.
    3. Wang, Hao & Xu, Ning & Yin, Haiyan & Ji, Hao, 2022. "The dynamic impact of monetary policy on financial stability in China after crises," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    4. Eleni Argiri & Ifigeneia Skotida, 2021. "The 2021 review of the monetary policy strategy of the Eurosystem: an economy of forces," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 54, pages 23-57, December.
    5. Alejandro Buesa & Coral García & Iván Kataryniuk & César Martín-Machuca & Susana Moreno & Moritz Roth, 2020. "Brexit: situation and economic consequences," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 4/2020.
    6. Pana Alves & Lucio San Juan, 2021. "The impact of the COVID-19 health crisis on the housing market in Spain," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 2/2021.

  5. Pablo Aguilar & Samuel Hurtado & Stephan Fahr & Eddie Gerba, 2019. "Quest for robust optimal macroprudential policy," Working Papers 1916, Banco de España.

    Cited by:

    1. Nadezhda Ivanova & Mikhail Andreev & Andrey Sinyakov & Ivan Shevchuk, 2019. "Review of Bank of Russia Conference on ‘Macroprudential Policy Effectiveness: Theory and Practice’," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 78(3), pages 89-121, September.
    2. Stephen Millard, & Margarita Rubio & Alexandra Varadi, 2020. "The impact of Covid-19 on productivity," Discussion Papers 2020/14, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
    3. Millard, Stephen & Rubio, Margarita & Varadi, Alexandra, 2021. "The macroprudential toolkit: effectiveness and interactions," Bank of England working papers 902, Bank of England.
    4. Gerba, Eddie & Katsoulis, Petros, 2021. "The repo market under Basel III," Bank of England working papers 954, Bank of England.

  6. Pablo Aguilar & Jesús Vázquez, 2018. "Term structure and real-time learning," Working Papers 1803, Banco de España.

    Cited by:

    1. Aguilar, Pablo & Vázquez, Jesús, 2021. "An Estimated Dsge Model With Learning Based On Term Structure Information," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(7), pages 1635-1665, October.
    2. Brand, Claus & Obstbaum, Meri & Coenen, Günter & Sondermann, David & Lydon, Reamonn & Ajevskis, Viktors & Hammermann, Felix & Angino, Siria & Hernborg, Nils & Basso, Henrique & Hertweck, Matthias & Bi, 2021. "Employment and the conduct of monetary policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 275, European Central Bank.
    3. Vázquez, Jesús & Aguilar, Pablo, 2021. "Adaptive learning with term structure information," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    4. Carlos Pérez Montes & Jorge E. Galán & María Bru & Julio Gálvez & Alberto García & Carlos González & Samuel Hurtado & Nadia Lavín & Eduardo Pérez Asenjo & Irene Roibás, 2023. "Marco de análisis sistémico del impacto de los riesgos económicos y financieros," Occasional Papers 2311, Banco de España.
    5. Cecion, Martina & Coenen, Günter & Gerke, Rafael & Le Bihan, Hervé & Motto, Roberto & Aguilar, Pablo & Ajevskis, Viktors & Giesen, Sebastian & Albertazzi, Ugo & Gilbert, Niels & Al-Haschimi, Alexander, 2021. "The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges," Occasional Paper Series 269, European Central Bank.

  7. Pablo Aguilar & Jesús Vázquez, 2015. "The role of term structure in an estimated DSGE model with learning," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2015007, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).

    Cited by:

    1. Georgios Georgiadis & Martina Jancokova, 2017. "Financial Globalisation, Monetary Policy Spillovers and Macro-modelling: Tales from 1001 Shocks," Globalization Institute Working Papers 314, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    2. Aguilar, Pablo & Vázquez, Jesús, 2021. "An Estimated Dsge Model With Learning Based On Term Structure Information," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(7), pages 1635-1665, October.

Articles

  1. Vázquez, Jesús & Aguilar, Pablo, 2021. "Adaptive learning with term structure information," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Volha Audzei, 2021. "Learning and Cross-Country Correlations in a Multi-Country DSGE Model," Working Papers 2021/7, Czech National Bank.
    2. Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Notarpietro, Alessandro & Kilponen, Juha & Papadopoulou, Niki & Zimic, Srečko & Aldama, Pierre & Langenus, Geert & Alvarez, Luis Julian & Lemoine, Matthieu & Angelini, Elena, 2021. "Review of macroeconomic modelling in the Eurosystem: current practices and scope for improvement," Occasional Paper Series 267, European Central Bank.
    3. Sun, Xiaojin & Tsang, Kwok Ping, 2023. "Yield curve and the macroeconomy: Evidence from a DSGE model with housing," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    4. Pablo Aguilar, 2021. "Consumption recovery in 2021: an analysis drawing on consumer expectations," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 3/2021.
    5. Herrera, Luis & Vázquez, Jesús, 2023. "On the significance of quality-of-capital news shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).

  2. Aguilar, Pablo & Ghirelli, Corinna & Pacce, Matías & Urtasun, Alberto, 2021. "Can news help measure economic sentiment? An application in COVID-19 times," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Aguilar, Pablo & Vázquez, Jesús, 2021. "An Estimated Dsge Model With Learning Based On Term Structure Information," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(7), pages 1635-1665, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Pablo Aguilar, 2021. "Consumption recovery in 2021: an analysis drawing on consumer expectations," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 3/2021.
    2. Herrera, Luis & Vázquez, Jesús, 2023. "On the significance of quality-of-capital news shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

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Rankings

This author is among the top 5% authors according to these criteria:
  1. Closeness measure in co-authorship network

Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 10 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (10) 2015-05-02 2018-03-19 2019-07-15 2020-03-02 2020-08-24 2020-11-02 2021-03-08 2021-09-27 2022-03-14 2023-05-22. Author is listed
  2. NEP-DGE: Dynamic General Equilibrium (5) 2015-05-02 2018-03-19 2019-07-15 2020-03-02 2022-03-14. Author is listed
  3. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (4) 2019-07-15 2020-03-02 2021-03-08 2021-09-27. Author is listed
  4. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (4) 2019-07-15 2020-03-02 2021-03-08 2021-09-27. Author is listed
  5. NEP-BAN: Banking (2) 2019-07-15 2020-03-02
  6. NEP-EEC: European Economics (2) 2020-08-24 2021-09-27
  7. NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (1) 2023-05-22
  8. NEP-ENV: Environmental Economics (1) 2023-05-22
  9. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (1) 2018-03-19
  10. NEP-HIS: Business, Economic and Financial History (1) 2022-03-14
  11. NEP-ISF: Islamic Finance (1) 2021-09-27

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