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Report NEP-FOR-2025-07-14
This is the archive for NEP-FOR, a report on new working papers in the area of Forecasting. Rob J Hyndman issued this report. It is usually issued weekly.Subscribe to this report: email, RSS, or Mastodon, or Bluesky.
Other reports in NEP-FOR
The following items were announced in this report:
- Marco Zanotti, 2025, "The cost of ensembling: is it always worth combining?," Working Papers, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, number 554, Jun.
- Marco Zanotti, 2025, "On the stability of global forecasting models," Working Papers, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, number 553, Jun.
- Dhanashree Somani & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2025, "Supply Bottlenecks and Machine Learning Forecasting of International Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202521, Jun.
- Daniel H. Cooper & Giovanni P. Olivei & Hannah Rhodenhiser, 2025, "Forecasting U.S. Economic Activity with a Small Information Set," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, number 25-4, Jun, DOI: 10.29412/res.wp.2025.04.
- Carlos Segura-Rodriguez, 2024, "Modelos FAVAR con factores estáticos y dinámicos para pronosticar la inflación en Costa Rica," Documentos de Trabajo, Banco Central de Costa Rica, number 2403, Aug.
- Paula Bejarano Carbo & Rory MacQueen & Efthymios Xylangouras, 2025, "Nowcasting Monthly UK GDP: Evidence from Bottom-Up Sectoral Modeling with Big Data Methods and Forecast Combination Algorithms," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Policy Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, number 46, Jun.
- Tim de Silva & Eugene Larsen-Hallock & Adam Rej & David Thesmar, 2025, "Expectations Formation with Fat-Tailed Processes: Evidence and Theory," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 33808, May.
- Xin Sheng & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Minko Markovski, 2025, "Mixed Frequency Machine Learning Forecasting of the Growth of Real Gross Fixed Capital Formation in the United States: The Role of Extreme Weather Conditions," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202520, May.
- Jorge Onrubia & Fernando Pinto & María del Carmen Rodado Ruíz, 2025, "From digital search to deed: Forecasting UK housing purchases in Spain using Google Trends across the Brexit disruption," Working Papers, FEDEA, number 2025-08, Jul.
- Leland D. Crane & Akhil Karra & Paul E. Soto, 2025, "Total Recall? Evaluating the Macroeconomic Knowledge of Large Language Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2025-044, Jun, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2025.044.
- Benjamin Kay & Aeimit Lakdawala & Jane Ryngaert, 2025, "Partisan Bias in Professional Macroeconomic Forecasts," Working Papers, Wake Forest University, Economics Department, number 127, Jun.
- Li, Mengheng & Mendieta-Munoz, Ivan, 2025, "Unpacking trend inflation: Evidence from a factor correlated unobserved components model of sticky and flexible prices," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 320299.
- Andrew B. Martinez & Alexander D. Schibuola & David Beckworth, 2025, "The Reliability of the Nominal GDP Expectations Gap," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2025-004, Jun.
- Emiliano Basco & Diego ElÃas & Luciana Pastore & Maximiliano Gómez Aguirre, 2025, "Soybean Yield Prediction in Argentina Using Climate Data," BCRA Working Paper Series, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, number 2025117, May.
- Eric Benyo, Reinhard Ellwanger, Stephen Snudden, 2025, "A Reappraisal of Real-time Forecasts of the Real Price of Oil," LCERPA Working Papers, Laurier Centre for Economic Research and Policy Analysis, number jc0158, Jun, revised Jun 2025.
- Nickel, Christiane & Kilponen, Juha & Moral-Benito, Enrique & Koester, Gerrit & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Enders, Almira & Holton, Sarah & Landau, Bettina & Venditti, Fabrizio & Bobeica, Elena & Brand, Cla, 2025, "A strategic view on the economic and inflation environment in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 371, Jun.
- Monia Magnani & Massimo Guidolin, 2025, "Nonlinear Dynamics in Monetary Policy-Fueled Stock Market Bubbles," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy, number 25252.