Publications
by alumni of
EPGE Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças
Fundação Getúlio Vargas (FGV)
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
(EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance, Getulio Vargas Foundation)
These are publications listed in RePEc written by alumni of the above institution who are registered with the RePEc Author Service and listed in the RePEc Genealogy. List of alumni. For a list of publications by current members of the department, see here. Register yourself.This page is updated in the first days of each month.
| Working papers | Journal articles | Chapters |
Working papers
2024
- Rafael Berriel & Eugenia Gonzalez-Aguado & Patrick J. Kehoe & Elena Pastorino, 2024.
"Is a fiscal union optimal for a monetary union?,"
Post-Print
hal-04390164, HAL.
- Berriel, Rafael & Gonzalez-Aguado, Eugenia & Kehoe, Patrick J. & Pastorino, Elena, 2024. "Is a fiscal union optimal for a monetary union?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 157-177.
2023
- Marta Baltar Moreira Areosa & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2023. "Anchoring Long-term VAR Forecasts Based On Survey Data and State-space Models," Working Papers Series 574, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Alexandre Bonnet R. Costa & Pedro Cavalcanti G. Ferreira & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Osmani Teixeira C. Guillén & João Victor Issler & Artur Brasil Fialho Rodrigues, 2023. "Predicting Recessions in (almost) Real Time in a Big-data Setting," Working Papers Series 587, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Rafael Berriel & Eugenia Gonzalez-Aguado & Patrick J. Kehoe & Elena Pastorino, 2023. "Fiscal Federalism and Monetary Unions," NBER Working Papers 31953, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
2022
- Gustavo Silva Araujo & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2022.
"Machine Learning Methods for Inflation Forecasting in Brazil: new contenders versus classical models,"
Working Papers Series
561, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Araujo, Gustavo Silva & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza, 2023. "Machine learning methods for inflation forecasting in Brazil: New contenders versus classical models," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(2).
2021
- Alexandre Bonnet R. Costa & Pedro Cavalcanti G. Ferreira & Wagner P. Gaglianone & Osmani Teixeira C. Guillén & João Victor Issler & Yihao Lin, 2021.
"Machine Learning and Oil Price Point and Density Forecasting,"
Working Papers Series
544, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Costa, Alexandre Bonnet R. & Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti G. & Gaglianone, Wagner P. & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira C. & Issler, João Victor & Lin, Yihao, 2021. "Machine learning and oil price point and density forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
- José Valentim Machado Vicente & Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2021. "Impacts of the Monetary Policy Committee Decisions on the Foreign Exchange Rate in Brazil," Working Papers Series 552, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
2020
- Angelo Mont’Alverne Duarte & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & João Victor Issler, 2020.
"Commodity Prices and Global Economic Activity: a derived-demand approach,"
Working Papers Series
539, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Mont'Alverne Duarte, Angelo & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor, 2021. "Commodity prices and global economic activity: A derived-demand approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
- Abreu, Rafael Costa Berriel & Costa, Carlos Eugênio da, 2020. "Who should bear the risk of economic growth?," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 817, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Tarciso Gouveia da Silva & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & George Augusto Noronha Morcerf & Andre de Melo Modenesi, 2020.
"Effects of Monetary Policy News on Financial Assets: evidence from Brazil on a bivariate VAR-GARCH model (2006-17),"
Working Papers Series
536, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- da Silva, Tarciso Gouveia & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Morcerf, George Augusto Noronha & de Melo Modenesi, Andre, 2022. "Effects of monetary policy news on financial assets: Evidence from Brazil on a bivariate VAR-GARCH model (2006–17)," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
2019
- Fernando Nascimento de Oliveira & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2019.
"Expectations Anchoring Indexes for Brazil using Kalman Filter: exploring signals of inflation anchoring in the long term,"
Working Papers Series
497, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Fernando Nascimento de Oliveira & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2020. "Expectations anchoring indexes for Brazil using Kalman filter: Exploring signals of inflation anchoring in the long term," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 163, pages 72-91.
- de Oliveira, Fernando Nascimento & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza, 2020. "Expectations anchoring indexes for Brazil using Kalman filter: Exploring signals of inflation anchoring in the long term," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 72-91.
2018
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Raffaella Giacomini & João Victor Issler & Vasiliki Skreta, 2018.
"Incentive-driven Inattention,"
Working Papers Series
485, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Giacomini, Raffaella & Issler, João Victor & Skreta, Vasiliki, 2022. "Incentive-driven inattention," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(1), pages 188-212.
- Skreta, Vasiliki & Giacomini, Raffaella & Gaglianone, Wagner & Issler, Joao, 2019. "Incentive-driven Inattention," CEPR Discussion Papers 13619, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Giacomini, Raffaella & Issler, João Victor & Skreta, Vasiliki, 2019. "Incentive-driven Inattention," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 811, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
2017
- Flávio de Freitas Val & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Marcelo Cabus Klotzle & Antonio Carlos Figueiredo Pinto, 2017. "Estimating the Credibility of Brazilian Monetary Policy using Forward Measures and a State-Space Model," Working Papers Series 463, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2017. "Empirical Findings on Inflation Expectations in Brazil: a survey," Working Papers Series 464, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Alessandra Pasqualina Viola & Marcelo Cabus Klotzle & Antonio Carlos Figueiredo Pinto & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2017. "Predicting Exchange Rate Volatility in Brazil: an approach using quantile autoregression," Working Papers Series 466, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
2016
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Waldyr Dutra Areosa, 2016.
"Financial Conditions Indicators for Brazil,"
Working Papers Series
435, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Dutra Areosa, Waldyr, 2017. "Financial Conditions Indicator for Brazil," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 8488, Inter-American Development Bank.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler & Silvia Maria Matos, 2016.
"Applying a Microfounded-Forecasting Approach to Predict Brazilian Inflation,"
Working Papers Series
436, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler & Silvia Maria Matos, 2017. "Applying a microfounded-forecasting approach to predict Brazilian inflation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 137-163, August.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins, 2016.
"Evaluation of Exchange Rate Point and Density Forecasts: an application to Brazil,"
Working Papers Series
446, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Marins, Jaqueline Terra Moura, 2017. "Evaluation of exchange rate point and density forecasts: An application to Brazil," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 707-728.
2015
- Yara de Almeida Campos Cordeiro & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2015.
"Inattention in Individual Expectations,"
Working Papers Series
395, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Yara de Almeida Campos Cordeiro & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2017. "Inattention in individual expectations," Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 17(1), pages 40-59.
- Cordeiro, Yara de Almeida Campos & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Issler, João Victor, 2016. "Inattention in individual expectations," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 776, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & Francisco Marcos Rodrigues Figueiredo, 2015. "Local Unit Root and Inflationary Inertia in Brazil," Working Papers Series 406, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
2014
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins, 2014. "Risk Assessment of the Brazilian FX Rate," Working Papers Series 344, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2014.
"Microfounded Forecasting,"
Working Papers Series
372, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Issler, João Victor, 2019. "Microfounded forecasting," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 813, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Issler, João Victor, 2015. "Microfounded forecasting," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 766, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Osmani Teixeira De Carvalho Guillén & José Valentim Machado Vicente & Claudio Oliveira De Moraes, 2014.
"Análise Do Comportamento Dos Bancosbrasileiros Pré E Pós Crise Subprime,"
Anais do XL Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 40th Brazilian Economics Meeting]
132, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
- Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & José Valentim Machado Vicente & Claudio Oliveira de Moraes, 2013. "Análise do Comportamento dos Bancos Brasileiros Pré e Pós-Crise Subprime," Working Papers Series 334, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
2013
- Debora Pereira Tavares & Gabriel Caldas Montes & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2013. "Transmissão da Política Monetária pelos Canais de Tomada de Risco e de Crédito: uma análise considerando os seguros contratados pelos bancos e o spread de crédito no Brasil," Working Papers Series 308, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & Alain Hecq & João Victor Issler & Diogo Saraiva, 2013. "Time Series under Present-Value-Model Short- and Long-run Co-movement Restrictions," Working Papers Series 330, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Issler, João Victor & Rodrigues, Claudia Ferreira & Burjack, Rafael, 2013.
"Using common features to understand the behavior of metal-commodity prices and forecast them at different horizons,"
FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE)
735, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Issler, João Victor & Rodrigues, Claudia & Burjack, Rafael, 2014. "Using common features to understand the behavior of metal-commodity prices and forecast them at different horizons," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 310-335.
- Issler, João Victor & Rodrigues, Claudia Ferreira & Burjack, Rafael, 2013. "Using common features to understand the behavior of metal-commodity prices and forecast them at different horizons," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 744, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Saraiva, Diogo Vinícius Menezes, 2013.
"Forecasting multivariate time series under present-value-model short- and long-run co-movement restrictions,"
FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE)
742, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Saraiva, Diogo, 2015. "Forecasting multivariate time series under present-value model short- and long-run co-movement restrictions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 862-875.
- Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Saraiva, Diogo Vinícius Menezes, 2015. "Forecasting multivariate time series under present-value-model short- and long-run co-movement restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 763, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Saraiva, Diogo Vinícius Menezes, 2014. "Forecasting Multivariate Time Series under Present-Value-Model Short- and Long-run Co-movement Restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 753, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Franco Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello, 2013.
"On the welfare costs of business-cycle fluctuations and economic-growth variation in the 20th century and beyond,"
FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE)
748, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Franco-Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello, 2014. "On the welfare costs of business-cycle fluctuations and economic-growth variation in the 20th century and beyond," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 62-78.
2012
- Luiz Awazu Pereira da Silva & Ricardo Eyer Harris, 2012.
"Financial Stability in Brazil,"
Working Papers Series
289, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Luiz Awazu Pereira da Silva & Adriana Soares Sales & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2013. "Financial stability in Brazil," Chapters, in: Andreas Dombret & Otto Lucius (ed.), Stability of the Financial System, chapter 4, Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira Lima & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2012.
"Constructing Optimal Density Forecasts from Point Forecast Combinations,"
Série Textos para Discussão (Working Papers)
5, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Economia - PPGE, Universidade Federal da Paraíba.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Luiz Renato Lima, 2014. "Constructing Optimal Density Forecasts From Point Forecast Combinations," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(5), pages 736-757, August.
- Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillény & João Victor Issler & Afonso Arinos de Mello Franco-Neto, 2012.
"On the Welfare Costs of Business-Cycle Fluctuations and Economic-Growth Variation in the 20th Century,"
Working Papers Series
284, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Franco Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello, 2012. "On the welfare costs of business-cycle fluctuations and economic-growth variation in the 20th century," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 729, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Franco Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello, 2012. "On the welfare costs of business-cycle fluctuations and economic-growth variation in the 20th century," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 734, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
2011
- Ricardo Schechtman & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2011.
"Macro Stress Testing of Credit Risk Focused on the Tails,"
Working Papers Series
241, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Schechtman, Ricardo & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza, 2012. "Macro stress testing of credit risk focused on the tails," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 174-192.
- Osmani Teixeira De Carvalho Guillen & José Valentim Machado Vicente, 2011. "Characterizing The Brazilian Termstructure Of Interest Rates In A Cointegrated Var Model," Anais do XXXVIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 38th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 041, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
2010
- George Athanasopoulos & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & João Victor Issler & Farshid Vahid, 2010.
"Model selection, Estimation and Forecasting in VAR Models with Short-run and Long-run Restrictions,"
Working Papers Series
205, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Athanasopoulos, George & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2011. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 116-129, September.
- Athanasopoulos, George & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2010. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 707, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Athanasopoulos, George & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2011. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 713, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- George Athanasopoulos & Osmani T. de C. Guillén & João V. Issler & Farshid Vahid, 2009. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 2/09, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Athanasopoulos, George & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2010. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 704, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Athanasopoulos, George & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor, 2009. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 688, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- José Valentim Machado Vicente & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillen, 2010.
"Do Inflation-linked Bonds Contain Information about Future Inflation?,"
Working Papers Series
214, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Vicente, José Valentim Machado & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho, 2013. "Do inflation-linked bonds contain information about future inflation?," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 67(2), June.
2009
- Carlos Enrique Carrasco Gutierrez & Reinaldo Castro Souza & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2009.
"Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features,"
Fucape Working Papers
16, Fucape Business School.
- Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique Carrasco & Souza, Reinaldo Castro & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho, 2009. "Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 29(1), May.
- Carrasco Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique & Castro Souza, Reinaldo & Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani, 2009. "Selection of optimal lag length in cointegrated VAR models with weak form of common cyclical features," MPRA Paper 22550, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carrasco Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique & Castro Souza, Reinaldo & Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani, 2009. "Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features," MPRA Paper 66065, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2009.
- Carlos Enrique Carrasco Gutiérrez & Reinaldo Castro Souza & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2007. "Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features," Working Papers Series 139, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
2008
- Wagner P. Gaglianone & Luiz Renato Lima & Oliver Linton, 2008.
"Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models via Quantile Regressions,"
Working Papers Series
161, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Luiz Renato Lima & Oliver Linton & Daniel R. Smith, 2011. "Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models via Quantile Regression," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 150-160, January.
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Lima, Luiz Renato & Linton, Oliver & Smith, Daniel R., 2011. "Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models via Quantile Regression," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 29(1), pages 150-160.
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Linton, Oliver & Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira, 2008. "Evaluating Value-at-Risk models via Quantile regressions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 679, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Luiz Renato Lima & Oliver Linton & Daniel Smith, 2010. "Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models via Quantile Regression," NCER Working Paper Series 67, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Lima, Luiz Renato & Linton, Oliver & Smith, Daniel, 2009. "Evaluating Value-at-Risk models via Quantile Regression," UC3M Working papers. Economics we094625, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa.
- Carlos Enrique Carrasco Gutierrez & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2008. "Evaluating Asset Pricing Models in a Fama-French Framework," Working Papers Series 175, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2008. "An Econometric Contribution to the Intertemporal Approach of the Current Account," Working Papers Series 178, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Carlos Hamilton Vasconcelos Araujo & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2008. "Previsão de inflação com incerteza do hiato do produto no Brasil," Anais do XXXVI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 36th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 200807211138520, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
2007
- Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & Benjamin M. Tabak?, 2007.
"Characterizing The Brazilian Term Structure Of Interest Rates,"
Anais do XXXV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 35th Brazilian Economics Meeting]
108, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
- Osmani Teixeira De Carvalho Guillen & Benjamin M. Tabak, 2009. "Characterising the Brazilian term structure of interest rates," International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 2(2), pages 103-114.
- Osmani T. Guillen & Benjamin M. Tabak, 2008. "Characterizing the Brazilian Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers Series 158, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
2006
- Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira & Sampaio, Raquel Menezes Bezerra & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza, 2006.
"Debt ceiling and fiscal sustainability in Brazil: a quantile autoregression approach,"
FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE)
631, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Lima, Luiz Renato & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Sampaio, Raquel M.B., 2008. "Debt ceiling and fiscal sustainability in Brazil: A quantile autoregression approach," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(2), pages 313-335, June.
- Sin, Hui Lok & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza, 2006. "Stochastic simulation of a DSGE model for Brazil," MPRA Paper 20853, University Library of Munich, Germany.
2005
- Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira & Sampaio, Raquel Menezes Bezerra & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza, 2005. "Limite de endividamento e sustentabilidade fiscal no Brasil: uma abordagem via modelo quantílico auto-regressivo (QAR)," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 602, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Pereira, Ana Luiza Louzada, 2005. "Um ensaio sobre expectativas da taxa de câmbio no Brasil [An essay on the foreign exchange rate expectations in Brazil]," MPRA Paper 20840, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho de Guillén & Carlos Hamilton Vasconcelos Araújo, 2005. "O Mecanismo De Transmissão Da Taxa De Câmbio Para Índices De Preços: Uma Análise Vecm Para O Brasil," Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 034, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
- Athanasopoulos, George & Issler, João Victor & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho, 2005.
"Forecasting accuracy and estimation uncertainty using VAR models with short- and long-term economic restrictions: a Monte-Carlo study,"
FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE)
589, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & João Victor Issler & George Athanasopoulos, 2006. "Forecasting Accuracy and Estimation Uncertainty using VAR Models with Short- and Long-Term Economic Restrictions: A Monte-Carlo Study," IBMEC RJ Economics Discussion Papers 2006-01, Economics Research Group, IBMEC Business School - Rio de Janeiro.
- Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & João Victor Issler & George Athanasopoulos, 2005. "Forecasting Accuracy and Estimation Uncertainty Using VAR Models with Short- and Long-Term Economic Restrictions: A Monte-Carlo Study," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 15/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Franco Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello & Issler, João Victor & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho, 2005.
"The welfare cost of macroeconomic uncertainty in the post-war period,"
FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE)
605, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Issler, Joao Victor & de Mello Franco-Neto, Afonso Arinos & de Carvalho Guillen, Osmani Teixeira, 2008. "The welfare cost of macroeconomic uncertainty in the post-war period," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 98(2), pages 167-175, February.
- Franco Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello & Issler, João Victor & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho, 2006. "The welfare cost of macroeconomic uncertainty in the post-war period," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 624, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- João Victor Issler & Afonso Arinos de Mello Franco & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2006. "The Welfare Cost of Macroeconomic Uncertainty in the Post-War Period," IBMEC RJ Economics Discussion Papers 2006-02, Economics Research Group, IBMEC Business School - Rio de Janeiro.
2004
- Carlos Hamilton Vasconcelos Araujo & Marta Baltar Moreira Areosa & Osmani Teixera de Carvalho Guillén, 2004. "Estimating Potential Output And The Output Gap For Brazil," Anais do XXXII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 32nd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 041, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
- Ricardo D. Brito & Angelo Jose Mont & Alverne Duarte & Osamani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2004. "Reação Exagerada dos Diferenciais de Rendimento e Movimentos das Taxas de Juros Brasileiras," Finance Lab Working Papers flwp_67, Finance Lab, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
2003
- Ricardo D. Brito & Angelo José Mont’Alverne Duarte & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2003. "O Prêmio pela Maturidade na Estrutura a Termo das Taxas de Juros Brasileiras," Working Papers Series 72, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Issler, João Victor & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho, 2003. "On the welfare costs of business cycles in the 20th century," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 481, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
2002
- Pedro Cavalcanti Ferreira & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2002. "Estrutura Competitiva, Produtividade Industrial e Liberação Comercial no Brasil," Working Papers Series 44, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Carlos Hamilton Vasconcelos Araújo & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho de Guillén, 2002. "Componentes de Curto e Longo Prazo das Taxas de Juros no Brasil," Working Papers Series 55, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
2001
- Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & Pedro Cavalcanti Ferreira, 2001.
"O Impacto da Abertura Comercial sobre Mark-Up e Produtividade Industrial Brasileira,"
Anais do XXIX Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 29th Brazilian Economics Meeting]
066, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
- Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho, 2001. "O Impacto da Abertura Comercial Sobre Mark-Up e Produtividade Industrial Brasileira," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 432, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
Journal articles
2024
- Berriel, Rafael & Gonzalez-Aguado, Eugenia & Kehoe, Patrick J. & Pastorino, Elena, 2024.
"Is a fiscal union optimal for a monetary union?,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 157-177.
- Rafael Berriel & Eugenia Gonzalez-Aguado & Patrick J. Kehoe & Elena Pastorino, 2024. "Is a fiscal union optimal for a monetary union?," Post-Print hal-04390164, HAL.
2023
- Araujo, Gustavo Silva & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza, 2023.
"Machine learning methods for inflation forecasting in Brazil: New contenders versus classical models,"
Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(2).
- Gustavo Silva Araujo & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2022. "Machine Learning Methods for Inflation Forecasting in Brazil: new contenders versus classical models," Working Papers Series 561, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
2022
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Giacomini, Raffaella & Issler, João Victor & Skreta, Vasiliki, 2022.
"Incentive-driven inattention,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(1), pages 188-212.
- Skreta, Vasiliki & Giacomini, Raffaella & Gaglianone, Wagner & Issler, Joao, 2019. "Incentive-driven Inattention," CEPR Discussion Papers 13619, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Giacomini, Raffaella & Issler, João Victor & Skreta, Vasiliki, 2019. "Incentive-driven Inattention," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 811, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Raffaella Giacomini & João Victor Issler & Vasiliki Skreta, 2018. "Incentive-driven Inattention," Working Papers Series 485, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- da Silva, Tarciso Gouveia & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Morcerf, George Augusto Noronha & de Melo Modenesi, Andre, 2022.
"Effects of monetary policy news on financial assets: Evidence from Brazil on a bivariate VAR-GARCH model (2006–17),"
Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- Tarciso Gouveia da Silva & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & George Augusto Noronha Morcerf & Andre de Melo Modenesi, 2020. "Effects of Monetary Policy News on Financial Assets: evidence from Brazil on a bivariate VAR-GARCH model (2006-17)," Working Papers Series 536, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
2021
- Costa, Alexandre Bonnet R. & Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti G. & Gaglianone, Wagner P. & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira C. & Issler, João Victor & Lin, Yihao, 2021.
"Machine learning and oil price point and density forecasting,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
- Alexandre Bonnet R. Costa & Pedro Cavalcanti G. Ferreira & Wagner P. Gaglianone & Osmani Teixeira C. Guillén & João Victor Issler & Yihao Lin, 2021. "Machine Learning and Oil Price Point and Density Forecasting," Working Papers Series 544, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Mont'Alverne Duarte, Angelo & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor, 2021.
"Commodity prices and global economic activity: A derived-demand approach,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
- Angelo Mont’Alverne Duarte & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & João Victor Issler, 2020. "Commodity Prices and Global Economic Activity: a derived-demand approach," Working Papers Series 539, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
2020
- Fernando Nascimento de Oliveira & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2020.
"Expectations anchoring indexes for Brazil using Kalman filter: Exploring signals of inflation anchoring in the long term,"
International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 163, pages 72-91.
- de Oliveira, Fernando Nascimento & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza, 2020. "Expectations anchoring indexes for Brazil using Kalman filter: Exploring signals of inflation anchoring in the long term," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 72-91.
- Fernando Nascimento de Oliveira & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2019. "Expectations Anchoring Indexes for Brazil using Kalman Filter: exploring signals of inflation anchoring in the long term," Working Papers Series 497, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
2018
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho & Figueiredo, Francisco Marcos Rodrigues, 2018. "Estimating inflation persistence by quantile autoregression with quantile-specific unit roots," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 407-430.
2017
- Yara de Almeida Campos Cordeiro & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2017.
"Inattention in individual expectations,"
Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 17(1), pages 40-59.
- Cordeiro, Yara de Almeida Campos & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Issler, João Victor, 2016. "Inattention in individual expectations," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 776, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Yara de Almeida Campos Cordeiro & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2015. "Inattention in Individual Expectations," Working Papers Series 395, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Marins, Jaqueline Terra Moura, 2017.
"Evaluation of exchange rate point and density forecasts: An application to Brazil,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 707-728.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins, 2016. "Evaluation of Exchange Rate Point and Density Forecasts: an application to Brazil," Working Papers Series 446, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- de Freitas Val, Flávio & Klotzle, Marcelo Cabus & Pinto, Antonio Carlos Figueiredo & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza, 2017. "Estimating the credibility of Brazilian monetary policy using a Kalman filter approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 37-53.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler & Silvia Maria Matos, 2017.
"Applying a microfounded-forecasting approach to predict Brazilian inflation,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 137-163, August.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler & Silvia Maria Matos, 2016. "Applying a Microfounded-Forecasting Approach to Predict Brazilian Inflation," Working Papers Series 436, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
2015
- Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Saraiva, Diogo, 2015.
"Forecasting multivariate time series under present-value model short- and long-run co-movement restrictions,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 862-875.
- Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Saraiva, Diogo Vinícius Menezes, 2013. "Forecasting multivariate time series under present-value-model short- and long-run co-movement restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 742, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Saraiva, Diogo Vinícius Menezes, 2015. "Forecasting multivariate time series under present-value-model short- and long-run co-movement restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 763, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Saraiva, Diogo Vinícius Menezes, 2014. "Forecasting Multivariate Time Series under Present-Value-Model Short- and Long-run Co-movement Restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 753, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
2014
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Luiz Renato Lima, 2014.
"Constructing Optimal Density Forecasts From Point Forecast Combinations,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(5), pages 736-757, August.
- Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira Lima & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2012. "Constructing Optimal Density Forecasts from Point Forecast Combinations," Série Textos para Discussão (Working Papers) 5, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Economia - PPGE, Universidade Federal da Paraíba.
- Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Franco-Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello, 2014.
"On the welfare costs of business-cycle fluctuations and economic-growth variation in the 20th century and beyond,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 62-78.
- Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Franco Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello, 2013. "On the welfare costs of business-cycle fluctuations and economic-growth variation in the 20th century and beyond," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 748, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
2013
- Vicente, José Valentim Machado & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho, 2013.
"Do inflation-linked bonds contain information about future inflation?,"
Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 67(2), June.
- José Valentim Machado Vicente & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillen, 2010. "Do Inflation-linked Bonds Contain Information about Future Inflation?," Working Papers Series 214, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Montes, Gabriel Caldas & Tavares, Debora Pereira & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho, 2013. "Canal de Transmissão da Política Monetária Por Meio dos Seguros Contratados Pelo Setor Bancário," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 67(3), September.
2012
- Carlos Enrique Carrasco-Gutierrez & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2012.
"Evaluating Asset Pricing Models in a Simulated Multifactor Approach,"
Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 10(4), pages 425-460.
- Carrasco-Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique & Piazza, Wagner, 2011. "Evaluating Asset Pricing Models in a Simulated Multifactor Approach," MPRA Paper 66063, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2012.
- Schechtman, Ricardo & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza, 2012.
"Macro stress testing of credit risk focused on the tails,"
Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 174-192.
- Ricardo Schechtman & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2011. "Macro Stress Testing of Credit Risk Focused on the Tails," Working Papers Series 241, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Luiz Renato Lima, 2012.
"Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(8), pages 1589-1607, December.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Luiz Renato Lima, 2012. "Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(8), pages 1589-1607, December.
2011
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Lima, Luiz Renato & Linton, Oliver & Smith, Daniel R., 2011.
"Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models via Quantile Regression,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 29(1), pages 150-160.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Luiz Renato Lima & Oliver Linton & Daniel R. Smith, 2011. "Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models via Quantile Regression," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 150-160, January.
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Linton, Oliver & Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira, 2008. "Evaluating Value-at-Risk models via Quantile regressions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 679, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Wagner P. Gaglianone & Luiz Renato Lima & Oliver Linton, 2008. "Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models via Quantile Regressions," Working Papers Series 161, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Luiz Renato Lima & Oliver Linton & Daniel Smith, 2010. "Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models via Quantile Regression," NCER Working Paper Series 67, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Lima, Luiz Renato & Linton, Oliver & Smith, Daniel, 2009. "Evaluating Value-at-Risk models via Quantile Regression," UC3M Working papers. Economics we094625, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa.
- Athanasopoulos, George & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2011.
"Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 116-129, September.
- Athanasopoulos, George & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2010. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 707, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Athanasopoulos, George & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2011. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 713, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- George Athanasopoulos & Osmani T. de C. Guillén & João V. Issler & Farshid Vahid, 2009. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 2/09, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Athanasopoulos, George & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2010. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 704, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- George Athanasopoulos & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & João Victor Issler & Farshid Vahid, 2010. "Model selection, Estimation and Forecasting in VAR Models with Short-run and Long-run Restrictions," Working Papers Series 205, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Athanasopoulos, George & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor, 2009. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 688, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
2009
- Osmani Teixeira De Carvalho Guillen & Benjamin M. Tabak, 2009.
"Characterising the Brazilian term structure of interest rates,"
International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 2(2), pages 103-114.
- Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & Benjamin M. Tabak?, 2007. "Characterizing The Brazilian Term Structure Of Interest Rates," Anais do XXXV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 35th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 108, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
- Osmani T. Guillen & Benjamin M. Tabak, 2008. "Characterizing the Brazilian Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers Series 158, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique Carrasco & Souza, Reinaldo Castro & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho, 2009.
"Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features,"
Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 29(1), May.
- Carrasco Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique & Castro Souza, Reinaldo & Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani, 2009. "Selection of optimal lag length in cointegrated VAR models with weak form of common cyclical features," MPRA Paper 22550, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carrasco Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique & Castro Souza, Reinaldo & Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani, 2009. "Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features," MPRA Paper 66065, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2009.
- Carlos Enrique Carrasco Gutierrez & Reinaldo Castro Souza & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2009. "Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features," Fucape Working Papers 16, Fucape Business School.
- Carlos Enrique Carrasco Gutiérrez & Reinaldo Castro Souza & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2007. "Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features," Working Papers Series 139, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
2008
- Lima, Luiz Renato & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Sampaio, Raquel M.B., 2008.
"Debt ceiling and fiscal sustainability in Brazil: A quantile autoregression approach,"
Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(2), pages 313-335, June.
- Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira & Sampaio, Raquel Menezes Bezerra & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza, 2006. "Debt ceiling and fiscal sustainability in Brazil: a quantile autoregression approach," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 631, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Issler, Joao Victor & de Mello Franco-Neto, Afonso Arinos & de Carvalho Guillen, Osmani Teixeira, 2008.
"The welfare cost of macroeconomic uncertainty in the post-war period,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 98(2), pages 167-175, February.
- Franco Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello & Issler, João Victor & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho, 2006. "The welfare cost of macroeconomic uncertainty in the post-war period," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 624, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- João Victor Issler & Afonso Arinos de Mello Franco & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2006. "The Welfare Cost of Macroeconomic Uncertainty in the Post-War Period," IBMEC RJ Economics Discussion Papers 2006-02, Economics Research Group, IBMEC Business School - Rio de Janeiro.
- Franco Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello & Issler, João Victor & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho, 2005. "The welfare cost of macroeconomic uncertainty in the post-war period," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 605, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
2005
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Ana Luiza Louzada Pereira, 2005. "An Essay on the Foreign Exchange Rate Expectations in Brazil," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 3(1), pages 55-100.
- Osmani T. De C. De Guillén & Carlos Hamilton V. Araújo, 2005. "Tasas de cupón de cambio en Brasil: componentes de corto y largo plazos," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(1), pages 77-103, enero-mar.
2004
- Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho, 2004. "Estrutura Competitiva, Produtividade Industrial e Liberalização Comercial no Brasil," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 58(4), October.
- Brito, Ricardo D. & Duarte, Angelo José Mont' Alverne & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho, 2004. "Overreaction of yield spreads and movements of Brazilian interest ratest," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 24(1), May.
Chapters
2013
- Luiz Awazu Pereira da Silva & Adriana Soares Sales & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2013.
"Financial stability in Brazil,"
Chapters, in: Andreas Dombret & Otto Lucius (ed.), Stability of the Financial System, chapter 4,
Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Luiz Awazu Pereira da Silva & Ricardo Eyer Harris, 2012. "Financial Stability in Brazil," Working Papers Series 289, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
2010
- Carlos Hamilton V Araujo & Wagner P Gaglianone, 2010. "Survey-based inflation expectations in Brazil," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Monetary policy and the measurement of inflation: prices, wages and expectations, volume 49, pages 107-114, Bank for International Settlements.