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Durable and nondurable consumption responses to indebtedness shocks: A cross-country analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Fernando Barros Jr

    (FEARP/USP)

  • Bruno Delalibera

    (Universitat de Barcelona)

  • Juliano Galle

    (UFR)

  • Fábio Gomes

    (FEARP/USP)

Abstract

Using a Panel-VAR model for 20 OECD countries from 2007Q3 to 2019Q4, we examine how durable and nondurable goods consumption responds to household indebtedness shocks. Our results indicate that durable good consumption responds more strongly and negatively to an indebtedness shock compared to nondurable consumption. Additionally, higher household indebtedness is associated with a decline in economic activity. These findings can inform policies aimed at mitigating the adverse effects of household indebtedness, particularly during periods of contractionary monetary policy, when higher interest rates increase debt service burdens and compromise future disposable income.

Suggested Citation

  • Fernando Barros Jr & Bruno Delalibera & Juliano Galle & Fábio Gomes, 2025. "Durable and nondurable consumption responses to indebtedness shocks: A cross-country analysis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 45(3), pages 1326-1340.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-25-00033
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables

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