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Export survival and the dynamics of experience

Author

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  • Céline Carrère

    (University of Geneva, CEPR and FERDI)

  • Vanessa Strauss-Kahn

    (ESCP Europe and CEPII)

Abstract

This paper focuses on developing countries’ pioneer exports to the OECD and obtains several important results on export dynamics, linking export experience and export survival. Using product level data at the SITC 5-digit level for 114 developing countries over the 1962–2009 period, we show that prior export experience obtained in non-OECD markets significantly increases survival of pioneer exports toward the OECD. The experience does not need to last long, as gaining experience for more than two years does not confer any additional benefit. The effect of experience depreciates rapidly with time: a break in export experience prior to entering the OECD reduces the advantage on survival. Finally, the role of prior export experience is particularly relevant for survival in the first two years upon entry into the OECD. The geographic dynamic of export experience reveals that experience is acquired in neighboring, easy to access markets before reaching more distant, richer partners and ultimately serving the OECD with a higher probability of survival.

Suggested Citation

  • Céline Carrère & Vanessa Strauss-Kahn, 2017. "Export survival and the dynamics of experience," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 153(2), pages 271-300, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:weltar:v:153:y:2017:i:2:d:10.1007_s10290-017-0277-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s10290-017-0277-1
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    Cited by:

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    2. Facundo Albornoz & Héctor F. Calvo Pardo & Gregory Corcos & Emanuel Ornelas, 2021. "Sequential Exporting across Countries and Products," CESifo Working Paper Series 9119, CESifo.
    3. Martín Martín, Oscar & Chetty, Sylvie & Bai, Wensong, 2022. "Foreign market entry knowledge and international performance: The mediating role of international market selection and network capability," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 57(2).
    4. Luis Felipe Beltrán Morales, 2022. "Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Export Survival from Latin American Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-16, July.
    5. Ngoc Thang Doan & Thanh Ha Le, 2024. "On the relationship between trade credit and export survival," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 363-383, May.
    6. Eliane Choquette, 2019. "Import-based market experience and firms’ exit from export markets," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 50(3), pages 423-449, April.
    7. Alongkorn Tanasritunyakul, 2023. "Export survival for Thailand after the COVID-19 pandemic," Discussion Papers 20230809, Thammasat University, Faculty of Economics, revised Oct 2023.
    8. Ricardo Arguello & Andres Garcia-Suaza & Daniel Valderrama, 2020. "Exporters’ agglomeration and the survival of export flows: empirical evidence from Colombia," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 156(3), pages 703-729, August.
    9. Yang, Bixuan & Asche, Frank & Anderson, James L., 2019. "Trade dynamics and duration of Chinese food imports," 2019 Annual Meeting, July 21-23, Atlanta, Georgia 291085, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    10. Joseph Phiri & Karel Malec & Socrates Kraido Majune & Seth Nana Kwame Appiah-Kubi & Zdeňka Gebeltová & Sylvie Kobzev Kotásková & Mansoor Maitah & Kamil Maitah & Patricia Naluwooza, 2021. "Durability of Zambia’s Agricultural Exports," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-14, January.
    11. Radeef Chundakkadan & Subash Sasidharan & Ketan Reddy, 2023. "The Role of Export Incentives and Bank Credit on the Export Survival of Firms in India During COVID-19," Working Papers DP-2023-12, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    12. Asche, Frank & Cojocaru, Andreea L. & Gaasland, Ivar & Straume, Hans-Martin, 2018. "Cod stories: Trade dynamics and duration for Norwegian cod exports," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 71-79.
    13. Margalida Murillo & Cindy Paola Leal, 2021. "Tratados de Libre Comercio y duración de las exportaciones: Evidencia a nivel de firma para Colombia," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, vol. 88(6), pages 201-238, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Duration of export; Survival analysis; Experience and learning; Developing countries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • O50 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - General

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